Saturday, October 10, 2026
Saturday college football: all four models, every matchup
Classic, Primary, Tighten Up Conservative ON and OFF are shown separately. The published selection board uses Tighten Up OFF. ON/OFF share scoring arithmetic; four configurations contain three score engines. NBA and NHL remain tracking-only. MLS and UFC have no registered scoring engine.
Compare all four models · Methods and limitations · Results tracker
This full-slate roundup includes every scheduled FBS matchup and every FCS matchup in the retained Division I feeds, encompassing all ranked-team games. It is an index of the individual sourced reports, not an additional wager or tracker row. Availability adjustments and each model’s disagreements remain visible in the linked reports.
Texas A&M Aggies at Missouri Tigers
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 23.5 / 26.5.
Bussey third in receiving yards with 7 catches/92 yards; Craver second with 23/235. Distinct receiver opportunities support separate isolated scenarios. Joint -6 is the user's additive human assumption for two distinct receivers, not an estimated six-point statistical loss; redistributed targets can overlap and the -3 common-passing sensitivity is also retained. | Hardy is an established 2025 lead back still OUT after offseason injury. Roberts already leads 2026 with 113 carries/606 yards; current scoring already contains that redistributio
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceArizona Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 28.0 / 22.0.
Richardson 16/187 and Hunter 13/155 are separate substantial receiver roles (29 receptions combined). Joint -6 is user human-judgment scenario for their separate target opportunities, with shared passing-drive uncertainty and a -3 overlap sensitivity retained. Rusk 6/86 and Mahdi 12 carries require role caution; no extra deduction merely because their positions are covered. | West Virginia Mountaineers: current report contains 4 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed quali
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceUCF Knights at Oklahoma State Cowboys
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 26.0 / 23.0.
Barnett has 49 attempts but is OUT; Jenkins has already assumed greater passing volume (76 attempts) and is PROBABLE. Carr has no verified material game workload and no additional deduction. Jenkins' 19/20 TCU performance and work with QB coach McKenzie Milton verify current team experience, not equivalence to Barnett. If Jenkins is later ruled out a new named Annett scenario is required; do not presume PROBABLE means unavailable. | Oklahoma State Cowboys: current report contains 1 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceNorth Carolina Tar Heels at Pittsburgh Panthers
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 17.0 / 31.5.
Shipp leads receiving with 20 catches/273 yards; QUESTIONABLE stays two branches. Thurman 16/233 already anchors a receiving-TE pathway. Listed reserve TEs are not automatically additional deductions. | Official October 5 coach report confirms Heintschel season-ending ACL injury and Geriner starter. Geriner completed 19/26 for 219 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT in three appearances. First full start, third school in five years, current work with Kade Bell; changing coaches is not proof of no familiarity. No independent defensive score adjustment.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceWake Forest Demon Deacons at NC State Wolfpack
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 30.0 / 25.5.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: current report contains 1 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability. | Scott is top rusher at 62 carries/358 yards. Gause already has 46/188. Trader has 16 catches/221 yards and remains QUESTIONABLE. Combined -6 represents distinct rushing and receiving role assumptions; Scott's three catches not counted again.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceIndiana Hoosiers at Nebraska Cornhuskers
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 33.5 / 22.0.
Indiana Hoosiers: current report contains 3 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability. | Nebraska Cornhuskers: current report contains 2 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported rest
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceTulane Green Wave at Army Black Knights
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 21.0 / 28.0.
Tulane Green Wave: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Army Black Knights: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceSacramento State Hornets at Bowling Green Falcons
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 29.5 / 21.0.
Sacramento State Hornets: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Bowling Green Falcons: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceNew Hampshire Wildcats at North Carolina A&T Aggies
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 32.5 / 22.5.
North Carolina A&T Aggies: QB Kevin White, RB J.T. Smith/Shimique Blizzard/RJ Baker, WR Michael Carlock-Williams/Elijah Kennedy/Jayvonne Dillard, TE Anthony Rucker; New Hampshire Wildcats: QB Brooks Bentley/Barry Kleinpeter, RB Joquez Smith/Myles Thomason, WR Ja'Carree Kelly/Logan Perez/Josh Fillion, TE Colby Ramshaw/Drew Danson
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceStonehill Skyhawks at Sacred Heart Pioneers
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 19.0 / 28.0.
Sacred Heart Pioneers: QB Poochie Snyder/John Michalski, RB Darius Chukwuemeka, WR Dean Hangey/Ben Evee, TE Logan Lyson/Chris Leggett; Stonehill Skyhawks: QB Jack O'Connell/Drew Eason, RB Shane Eason/Aidan Garrett/Rayshaun King, WR Shawn Corchado/Jaylin Baker/An'Tiyan Neal, TE Cole Clarke/Kevin Sheridan
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceBryant Bulldogs at Brown Bears
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 20.0 / 25.0.
Brown Bears: QB James Murphy, RB Matt Childs/Qwentin Brown/Eli Jones, WR Pearson Hill/Carson Hill/Saphir Miller, TE Levi Linowes/Jadon Garza-Pender; Bryant Bulldogs: QB Brennan Myer, RB OJ Ross/Jordan Bennett/Kendrick Agenor, WR Jose Leon/Shamar Fowles, TE Maximus Nosler/Koby Keenan
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceDartmouth Big Green at Yale Bulldogs
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 23.0 / 29.5.
Yale Bulldogs: QB Charles Hewitt/Dante Reno, RB Hugo Djeumeni Kemeni/Cuttler Adams/Vann Hopping, WR Lucius Anderson/Jaxton Santiago/Reid Jones, TE Graham Smith/Brady Wagner; Dartmouth Big Green: QB Grayson Saunier, RB Myles Craddock/Chris Roper/Jacob Henry, WR Ky'Dric Fisher/James Elliott/Nick Lemon, TE Kyle Meier/Kristian Strong
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceRobert Morris Colonials at Morgan State Bears
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 23.0 / 28.5.
Morgan State Bears: QB Cameron Edge/Tahj Smith, RB Jordan Barnett/Keith Jenkins Jr./Dorian Harris, WR Justin Perry/Dante Archie/Joseph Kennerly Jr., TE Malachi Bryant/Alex Simmons; Robert Morris Colonials: QB Carson Haggard, RB Xavier Goulbourne/Donta Whack/Breyon Williams, WR Jaqai Carter/Noah Schaerli/Attawan Mays, TE Tyreke Jinks/Max Lopacienski
Read all four forecasts and full evidencePrinceton Tigers at Wagner Seahawks
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 33.0 / 12.0.
Wagner Seahawks: QB Benjamin Newman/Trip Maxwell, RB Shawn James/Sekou Kamau, WR Zion Fowler-El/Derek Burrell/Jeremiah Colclough, TE Christopher Harris/Johans Bars; Princeton Tigers: QB Wyatt Becker/Ty Ciongoli, RB Kai Honda/Ethan Clark/Christian Lynch, WR Josh Smith/Aidan Besselman/Jackson Green, TE no primary receiver established
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceSouth Carolina State Bulldogs at Charleston Southern Buccaneers
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 33.0 / 18.0.
Charleston Southern Buccaneers: QB Lek Powell/Jared Echols, RB Harry Smalls/Sharode Richardson/Brandon Musch, WR Quay Kindell/Mekhi Campfield/Maxwell Warren, TE Jackson Moseley; South Carolina State Bulldogs: QB Keely Watson/Ronnie Robinson, RB Mason Pickett-Hicks/Josh Shaw/Tyler Smith, WR Malaqhi Jones/Shamontae Burgess/DJ Maultsby, TE Martavious Collins
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceDavidson Wildcats at Presbyterian Blue Hose
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 21.5 / 39.5.
Presbyterian Blue Hose: QB Landon Sharpe, RB Damion Moate/Jackson Burleson/Tony O'Banner, WR Caleb Johnson/Anton Smith/Brice Johnson, TE Ethan Medley/Sean McNamara; Davidson Wildcats: QB Casey Bullock/Jim Franklin, RB Brodey Berg, WR Jacary Lightsey/Andrew Frazier/AJ Adams, TE Caden Glenn
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceMorehead State Eagles at Dayton Flyers
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 15.5 / 39.0.
Dayton Flyers: QB Bryce Schondelmyer, RB Luke Hansen/Mason Hackett/Noah Spencer, WR Michael Mussari/Gavin Lochow/Ethan Thulin, TE Bryce Cowgill/Carson Labensky; Morehead State Eagles: QB David Parsons/Bryce Patterson, RB Jackson Lanier/Blake Fisher/Ezekiel Pour, WR Anthony Ice/Riley Purcell/Cannon Dinger, TE no primary receiver established
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceEast Tennessee State Buccaneers at The Citadel Bulldogs
12:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 34.0 / 24.0.
The Citadel Bulldogs: QB Quentin Hayes/Nick Billoups, RB Gavin Garcia/Michael Lorino, WR Abijah Webb/Damir Abdullah/Braylon Knauth, TE Whit Hobgood; East Tennessee State Buccaneers: QB Mason Mims/Jadyn Davis, RB TJ Peyton/Jason Albritton/Jaiden Daniels, WR Tyler Griffin/Suderian Harrison, TE Charlie Browder/Khristian Means
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceBall State Cardinals at Northwestern Wildcats
12:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 13.0 / 37.5.
Ball State Cardinals: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Northwestern Wildcats: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceBucknell Bison at Georgetown Hoyas
12:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 23.0 / 26.5.
Georgetown Hoyas: QB Jack Johnson/Gavin Beard, RB Clay Ash/Jayden Sumpter/Isaac Ramsey, WR Hassan Mahasin/Jayvin Pyle-Thompson/Legend Bernard, TE Isaiah Grimes/Burke Carroll; Bucknell Bison: QB Emmett Dowling/Christopher Dietrich, RB Ty Stauffer/Jack Sullivan/Michael Cadden, WR TJ Cadden/Sam Milligan/Matthew Giannantonio, TE Tom Arth/Jack Bohm-Squicciarini
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceSouth Carolina Gamecocks at Florida Gators
12:45 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 27.5 / 31.0.
South Carolina Gamecocks: current report contains 1 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability. | Second-leading receiver (17 catches/271 yards) is QUESTIONABLE. Preserve available and redistributed-target branches. Philo/Baugh carry no listed restriction in the current conference report.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceRice Owls at East Carolina Pirates
1:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 17.5 / 34.0.
Rice Owls: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | East Carolina Pirates: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceHarvard Crimson at Cornell Big Red
1:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 28.5 / 19.0.
Cornell Big Red: QB Garrett Bass-Sulpizio, RB Ean Pope/John McAuliffe/Ty Doughty, WR Samuel Musungu/Brendan Lee/Ja'von Broussard, TE Ryder Kurtz; Harvard Crimson: QB Charlie Smith/Kise Flannery, RB Xaviah Bascon/Cole Allen/Jordan Harris, WR Nate Bailey/Henry Shoemaker/Ryan Tattersall, TE Teigan Pelletier/Seamus Gilmartin
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceYoungstown State Penguins at Indiana State Sycamores
1:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 41.0 / 23.0.
Indiana State Sycamores: QB Brady Allen/Brock Riddle, RB Aaron Ball/Manny Ellis/Max McCool, WR Jayden Reed/Keshon Singleton/Dane Pardridge, TE Jaylan Johnson; Youngstown State Penguins: QB Beau Brungard, RB Jaden Gilbert/Antuan Gardner/Tahir Mills, WR Jeremiah Sanders/Lorenzo Jenkins/Bryan Hunt, TE Austin Bray/Alex McDonald
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceAmerican International Yellow Jackets at Central Connecticut Blue Devils
1:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 18.0 / 34.5.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils: QB Brett Griffis/Conner Kenyon, RB Davon Smith Jr./John Manning IV/Kendal Donovan, WR Damani Williams/Michael Trovarelli/Donovan Wadley, TE Ryan Turley; American International Yellow Jackets: QB Daron Bryden/Lukas Kasko, RB Bo Catherwood/Judah Varfley, WR Hardley Gilmore/Christopher Washington/Jovanny Brown, TE Jayden Vega/Xavier Hullum
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceLong Island University Sharks at Duquesne Dukes
1:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 23.0 / 26.0.
Duquesne Dukes: QB Carson Camp/Logan Kushner, RB Ness Davis/Cam Oliver/Shawn Solomon Jr, WR Ryan Petras/Trey Graham/Myles Walker, TE Noah Canty/Garrett Harrold; Long Island University Sharks: QB Luca Stanzani/Mekhi Moore, RB Sam Slade/Jesiah Mcknight/Chris Howell, WR Evan Brooks/Josiah Brown/Jayden Simpson, TE Gianni Marino/Tristin McFarland
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceFranklin Pierce Ravens at Delaware State Hornets
1:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 23.0 / 31.5.
Delaware State Hornets: QB Ui Ale/Noah Brannock, RB Jayden Jenkins/Sean Weston Jr./Kobe Boykin, WR Jaylin Terzado/Bronseman Davis Jr./Nathan Stewart, TE Jaron Kelley/Daniel Smith; Franklin Pierce Ravens: QB Kevin Leal/Shawn Brown, RB Anthony Johnson/Jaden Griffin, WR Joseph Mugovero/Tristan Evans/Raj Hillhouse, TE Connor Marchi
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceHoward Bison at Pennsylvania Quakers
1:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 17.0 / 28.5.
Pennsylvania Quakers: QB Miles Teodecki, RB Donte West/Tommy Lafayette/Sean Williams Jr, WR Mason Page/Isaac Lee/Simon Cofrancesco, TE Dante Barone/Jack Donnelly; Howard Bison: QB Ja'Shawn Scroggins/Isaiah Freeman, RB Eden James/Travis Kerney/Billy Roberson II, WR Semaj Pierre/Zaden Jackson/Se'Quan Osborne, TE Nathanial Clark
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceWilliam & Mary Tribe at North Carolina Central Eagles
1:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 25.5 / 34.5.
North Carolina Central Eagles: QB Nelson Layne/Cobey Thompkins, RB Zion Dobson/Plez Lawrence/Gino Addison, WR Chance Peterson/Mehki Wall/RJ Lancaster, TE Luke Bracey; William & Mary Tribe: QB Winston Watkins/Carter Carroll, RB Josh Miller/Andrew King/Brayden Smalls, WR Khylil Johnson/Kai Austin/Luke Vanantwerp, TE Sean McElwain/Jackson Blee
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceSan Diego Toreros at Butler Bulldogs
1:00 PM ET · Butler Bulldogs +2.5 (-108). OFF projected means 25.5 / 34.5.
Butler Bulldogs: QB Gabe Passini, RB Desmin Jackson/Michael Dellumo/Sam Manna, WR Nick Munson/Michael Nix/Blake Matthews, TE Drew Sullivan/Landon Hochstein; San Diego Toreros: QB Dom Nankil/CJ Ceron, RB Adam Criter/Omar Mbakwe/Zamar Reese, WR Cole Monach/Christopher Hall/Yosei Takahashi, TE Carter Pruitt
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceBethune-Cookman Wildcats at Alabama A&M Bulldogs
1:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 27.0 / 31.5.
Alabama A&M Bulldogs: QB Cornelious Brown IV/Mac Armstrong, RB Byron Perrilliat/Maurice Edwards IV/Kolton Nero, WR Imari Conley/Jaylan Bean/Devin Herring, TE Donovan Price/Jaxson Davis; Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: QB Tyler Jefferson/Joel Morris, RB Rashon Brown/Isaiah Daniel/Deanwar Johnson, WR Josh Evans/Willie Anderson/Rickie Shaw II, TE Micheal Walker
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceSamford Bulldogs at Chattanooga Mocs
1:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 18.0 / 32.5.
Chattanooga Mocs: QB Battle Alberson, RB Kevin Lalin/Harrison Bey-Buie, WR Ashton Schumann/Erik Bussmann/Davon Kiser, TE Landon Strickland; Samford Bulldogs: QB Gabarri Johnson/Coulter Cleland, RB Domonique Thomas/Emerson Russell/Ken Cherry, WR Marquise Henderson/Cayden Aukerman/Kevonte Corbin, TE Cannon Pigg/Maddox McKim
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceOld Dominion Monarchs at App State Mountaineers
1:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 22.5 / 30.0.
Harrell third receiving yards (9/126) OUT; leading WR TJ Johnson 12/163 QUESTIONABLE. Separate receiver opportunities allow isolated -3 scenarios and joint -6 human sensitivity, with -3 overlap sensitivity. Henicle PROBABLE is not presumed replaced. | App State Mountaineers: current report contains 3 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceMiami (OH) RedHawks at Massachusetts Minutemen
2:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 28.5 / 23.5.
Miami (OH) RedHawks: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Massachusetts Minutemen: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceWofford Terriers at Elon Phoenix
2:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 21.0 / 29.0.
Elon Phoenix: QB Elijah Guttman/TJ Crews IV, RB Kamerin McDowell-Moore/Dan Frederick/Xavier Spadacini, WR Kenaz McMillian/Jaedon Alford/Jamarien Dalton, TE Dylan Magazu/Brendan Hester; Wofford Terriers: QB Ethan Drumm/J.T. Fayard, RB Gerald Modest Jr./Davis Penn, WR Isaiah Scott/Colby Alexander/Ivory Aikens, TE Jaden Fowler/Jack Ewell
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceSouthern Illinois Salukis at South Dakota Coyotes
2:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 28.5 / 31.5.
South Dakota Coyotes: QB Austyn Modrzewski/Jackson Proctor, RB Charles Pierre Jr./Carson Fletcher/Reid Watkins, WR Tysen Boze/Tennel Bryant, TE Chris Herrin/Jesse Miller; Southern Illinois Salukis: QB DJ Williams/Jake Curry, RB Chandler Chapman/Edward Robinson/Quade Chatmon, WR Kyle Thomas/Markell Quick/Allen Middleton, TE Karsen Konkel
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceVirginia Lynchburg Dragons at Norfolk State Spartans
2:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 5.0 / 53.5.
Norfolk State Spartans: QB Da'Jean Golmond/Evan Helfrich, RB Jalyn Daniels/Ravon Moore/Kiron Benjamin, WR Elyjah Mitchell/Brevin Caldwell/Paul Billups II, TE Rocco Ciocca; Virginia Lynchburg Dragons: QB Max Zavala, RB Israel Rhodes, WR Omarion Hairston/Dustin Placide, TE no primary receiver established
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceDrake Bulldogs at Valparaiso Beacons
2:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 28.5 / 28.0.
Valparaiso Beacons: QB Rowan Keefe/Noah Ehrlich, RB Cedric Benning Iii/Michael Rumoro/Russell Tye, WR Micah Mackay/Chris Gundy/Marty O'Keeffe, TE Colin Hayes/Dom DiNuzzo; Drake Bulldogs: QB Riley Warzynski/Chase Spellman, RB Kavaughn Clark/Cody Blicharz/Adrien Robbins, WR Willis Nofsinger/Mitchell January/Aidan Garcia, TE Chase Schutty
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceStetson Hatters at St. Thomas Tommies
2:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 16.5 / 42.5.
St. Thomas Tommies: QB Nick Peipert/Anthony Policare, RB Gabriel Abel/Joseph Koch/Mordecai Ford, WR Quentin Cobb-Butler/Pierce McCrary/Stefano Giovannelli, TE Luke Schuler; Stetson Hatters: QB Thomas Von Grote/Kael Alexander, RB Troy Flowers/Marvin Duffey Jr/Michael Dempsey, WR Landon Farco/Wyatt Rogers/Shawne Jones, TE Anthony Benzija/Gunner Chenier
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceSoutheast Missouri State Redhawks at Lindenwood Lions
2:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 26.0 / 25.0.
Lindenwood Lions: QB Pops Battle/Hoyt Gregory, RB Jared Rhodes/Noah Triplett/Robert Giaimo, WR Elijah Roy/Christopher Bennett Jr./Drew Krobath, TE Aiden Grote/Mac Busteed; Southeast Missouri State Redhawks: QB Braylen Ragland, RB Khyair Spain/Payton Brown/Tyrell Reed Jr., WR Jobe Bryant/Khylen Harris-Norman/Tristin Purnell, TE Clayton Leonard
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceIdaho Vandals at Weber State Wildcats
3:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 32.5 / 33.0.
Weber State Wildcats: QB Nate Dahle/Devin Brown, RB Seth Rigtrup/Omar Shah/Spencer Ferguson, WR Noah Kjar/Tate Kjar/Marvin Session, TE Kolby Howard; Idaho Vandals: QB Joshua Wood/Israel Carter, RB Hayden Kincheloe/Damonte Bias/Ferrari Miller, WR Tony Harste/Ryan Jezioro/Daveon Superales, TE no primary receiver established
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceArkansas Baptist Buffaloes at Alcorn State Braves
3:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 3.0 / 67.5.
Alcorn State Braves: QB Jaylon Tolbert, RB Fredrick Robertson/Ernest Temple/Carl McDonald Jr., WR Armon Wright/Jamarr Ebron/Tyree Kelly, TE no primary receiver established; Arkansas Baptist Buffaloes: QB Charles Coney/Jayden Young, RB Darryl Searcy Jr./Terrelle Weathers/Tavion Rupert, WR Cornell Russell/Taylor Poole/Leon Elloie, TE no primary receiver established
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceWestern Carolina Catamounts at Mercer Bears
3:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 27.0 / 37.5.
Mercer Bears: QB Jaylen King/JP Pickles, RB Devon Caldwell/Zahmari Palode-Gary/Micah Bell, WR Brayden Smith/Eric Rasheed/Travion Solomon, TE Kaden Hanson/Jackson Kostmayer; Western Carolina Catamounts: QB Lex Thomas/Patrick Harding, RB Josh Perry/Marlin Cochran/Anthony Benjamin, WR AJ Colombo/Michael Rossin/Santana Carlos, TE no primary receiver established
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceMississippi Valley State Delta Devils at Texas Southern Tigers
3:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 24.5 / 33.5.
Texas Southern Tigers: QB Cam'Ron McCoy/Nelson Peterson Jr., RB Athean Renfro Jr./Jacob Washington/David Kency, WR Roriyon Richardson/Daveon Walker/Fatu Mukuba, TE Xavier Phipps; Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils: QB Josh Brown/Jordon Davis, RB Norman Taylor/Carter James/Dezmond Ray, WR Caleb Brownlow/Mekhi Penix/Nicholas Buggs, TE Jaylen King
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceTexas Longhorns at Oklahoma Sooners
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 24.5 / 16.0.
Texas Longhorns: current report contains 1 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability. | Harris is second WR by current receiving yards, 6/104; loss redistributes targets toward Sategna and primary receiving TE Beers (18/255). Robinson 13 carries is a secondary committee risk: retain isolated conditional-role -3 sensitivity but no unsupported
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceOle Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt Commodores
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 30.5 / 30.0.
Official game center identifies Lacy rushing leader (191 yards), current SEC QUESTIONABLE. Replacement committee is candidate redistribution; final touch shares remain unverified. Dye's one current carry is not a second material-loss deduction. | Vanderbilt Commodores: current report contains 1 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceHouston Cougars at Kansas State Wildcats
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 28.0 / 29.5.
Houston Cougars: current report contains 2 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability. | Kansas State Wildcats: current report contains 2 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported rest
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceDuke Blue Devils at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 32.5 / 24.5.
Duke Blue Devils: current report contains 5 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: current report contains 4 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no report
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceStanford Cardinal at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 8.0 / 47.5.
Stanford Cardinal: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceVirginia Tech Hokies at California Golden Bears
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 30.5 / 25.5.
Virginia Tech Hokies: current report contains 4 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability. | QB QUESTIONABLE and lead RB DOUBTFUL, neither silently converted OUT. Brousseau's UNLV relief: 19/32, 200 yards, two TD, no INT. Separate isolated -3 branches plus combined -6 for QB passing role and RB rushing workload; Mohammed receiving targets
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceIllinois Fighting Illini at Michigan State Spartans
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 27.5 / 19.5.
Valentine's 50 carries exceed Laughery's 45, verifying material committee role despite fewer yards. Laughery 321 yards becomes main redistribution candidate. Receiving loss only three catches and not an independent second deduction. | Edwards leads 64 carries/304 yards. Patterson 44/162 and Parrish 29/89 make redistribution plausible. QB Fancher is questionable reserve (11 attempts versus Milivojevic 129); this alone does not justify starting-QB -3.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceUCLA Bruins at Oregon Ducks
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 21.5 / 36.5.
UCLA Bruins: current report contains 2 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability. | Moore OUT, Raiola already 19/25 for 289 and 2 TD against USC. McClellan 7/170 is third WR by yards. Isolated scenarios each -3; joint -3 consolidates QB/receiver losses in the same passing drives. Additional independent McClellan score loss is unestimated; joi
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceCharlotte 49ers at North Texas Mean Green
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 15.0 / 49.5.
Charlotte 49ers: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | North Texas Mean Green: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceTulsa Golden Hurricane at Navy Midshipmen
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 24.0 / 29.0.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Navy Midshipmen: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceEastern Michigan Eagles at Akron Zips
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 28.0 / 24.5.
Eastern Michigan Eagles: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Akron Zips: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceBuffalo Bulls at Toledo Rockets
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 16.0 / 38.0.
Buffalo Bulls: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Toledo Rockets: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceCentral Michigan Chippewas at Ohio Bobcats
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 21.5 / 28.5.
Central Michigan Chippewas: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Ohio Bobcats: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceKent State Golden Flashes at Western Michigan Broncos
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 14.5 / 33.0.
Kent State Golden Flashes: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Western Michigan Broncos: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceRichmond Spiders at Fordham Rams
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 31.0 / 19.0.
Fordham Rams: QB Gunnar Smith/Crew Colon, RB Jamell James/Yohan-Li Louis/Taariq Denson, WR Ricky Gonzalez II/Nodin Tracy/KJ Reed, TE Chris Tuck II/John Morris; Richmond Spiders: QB Ashten Snelsire, RB Aziz Foster-Powell/Jamaal Brown/Warrick Stephenson, WR Bryce Allen/Andreas Hill/Quanye Veney, TE Carson Derey/Sean Clarke
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceEastern Illinois Panthers at Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 19.0 / 35.5.
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs: QB Cole Pennington, RB Christian Vann, WR Kory Jones/Giovanni Adopte/Montez Green, TE Collin Carroll/Beau Blankenship; Eastern Illinois Panthers: QB Cole LaCrue/Jeremiah Salem, RB Charles Kellom/Tyren Buggs/Jacarre Fleming-Page, WR Jeremy Reeves/Devin Whitlock/Landers Green, TE Alex Ginnever/Whitten Weems
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceUT Martin Skyhawks at Tennessee State Tigers
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 27.5 / 22.0.
Tennessee State Tigers: QB Daylin Lee, RB Brenton Paul/Trevor Pearson, WR Cam Bulluck/Jayden Guy/Brock Montgomery, TE Aaron Duncan II/Francisco Pratts III; UT Martin Skyhawks: QB Tate Surber, RB Chris Franklin/Jaydon Peete/Tommy Ansley, WR Makhia Sherrard/Deuce Oliver/Anthony Carter, TE Dawson Adams-Grenier/Connie Hewitt II
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceFurman Paladins at Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
3:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 17.0 / 37.0.
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: QB Jax Leatherwood, RB M.J. Flowers/Marcus Harris II/Qua Ashley, WR Gabe Nunez/Tre' Holloway/Maury Sullivan, TE Lazaro Rodriguez/Gerard Grewe; Furman Paladins: QB Connor Ackerley/Trey Smith, RB Ben Croasdale/CJ Nettles, WR Luke Shields/Ethan Harris/Daniel Haughton, TE Jackson Pryor/Cameron James
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceUConn Huskies at Temple Owls
3:45 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 34.0 / 25.5.
UConn Huskies: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Temple Owls: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceStony Brook Seawolves at Towson Tigers
4:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 33.0 / 26.0.
Towson Tigers: QB Andrew Indorf/Jacob Davis, RB Kemarrion Battles/Xavier Pugh/Tristen Kenan, WR Aaron Enterline/Cleveland Charlton/Jashaun Amin, TE CJ Schaeffer/Peyton Faulkner; Stony Brook Seawolves: QB Quinn Boyd, RB CJ Hester/Jeremiah Coney/Dylan Harris, WR Seth Sweitzer/D.J. Linkins/James Dely, TE Rayden Aphayvong
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceUtah Tech Trailblazers at Portland State Vikings
4:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 32.5 / 28.5.
Portland State Vikings: QB John-Keawe Sagapolutele/Gabe Downing, RB Delon Thompson/Niall Raby, WR Terence Loville/Jason Robinson Jr./Darius Bailey, TE Tanner Beaman/Tyson Hunt; Utah Tech Trailblazers: QB Bronson Barben/Deacon Hill, RB Ace Chatman/Kona Crowell/Cavalli Nealy, WR Darnell O'Quinn/Zay Morris/Ja'Kheo Mitchell, TE Justin Buhler
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceSouthern Jaguars at Prairie View A&M Panthers
4:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 17.5 / 38.0.
Prairie View A&M Panthers: QB Tevin Carter, RB Jahbari Kuykendall/Chase Bingmon/Zayvion Turner-Knox, WR Rodny Ojo/Damien McDaniel/Chaney Fitzgerald, TE Travon Jones/Kheagian Heckaman; Southern Jaguars: QB Christian Johnson/Wyatt McCauley, RB Trey Holly/Macario Dade Jr./Mike Franklin, WR Daejawn Smith/Miles Dixon/Floyd Jones, TE Emeka Iloh/Jermaine Minor Jr.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceIncarnate Word Cardinals at Lamar Cardinals
4:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 25.0 / 29.5.
Lamar Cardinals: QB Aiden McCown/Evan Bullock, RB LaDamion McDowell/Parker Jenkins/Jameer Muhammad, WR Blake Thomas/Brit Simmons/Jaydn Girard, TE Davin Driskell/Justin Neal; Incarnate Word Cardinals: QB Emmett Brown/Jackson Fields, RB Jayden Hibbler/Lontrell Turner/Damashja Harris, WR Isaiah Champagne/Price Morgan/Zach Phipps, TE no primary receiver established
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceTennessee Volunteers at Arkansas Razorbacks
4:15 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 39.5 / 21.5.
Brandon leads 101 pass attempts and 53 rushes. QB replacement gets one isolated -3, not separate rushing-QB deduction. Davis is OUT with 3 catches/43 yards/2 TD, while Brame has 6/43: primary receiving-TE identity and red-zone redistribution remain unresolved; isolated Davis -3 only if primary-option role confirmed. Gordon 20 carries is behind Bishop 88 and Morris 46; no headcount penalty. | Arkansas Razorbacks: current report contains 1 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confir
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceMaryland Terrapins at Ohio State Buckeyes
4:15 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 9.5 / 41.0.
Dalton has 30 carries/113 yards/3 TD, a material committee workload. Howard has 52 carries, Williams 13 carries/194 yards and is PROBABLE. Six offensive report names do not imply six deductions. | Inniss third receiver 10/147 is DOUBTFUL. McCuin second receiver 17/245 is PROBABLE. Preserve available vs unavailable Inniss branch; no automatic conversion from doubtful to out.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks at Northern Iowa Panthers
5:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 37.5 / 20.5.
Northern Iowa Panthers: QB Jaxon Dailey/Cale McThenia, RB Christian Collins/Caleb Kamara/Michael Bormann, WR Ayden Price/Jaiden Ellis-Lahey/Ben Gordon, TE Zach Mehmert/Kaleb Diers; North Dakota Fighting Hawks: QB Jerry Kaminski/Javance Tupou'ata-Johnson, RB Griffin Broderick/Matt Lawson/Charles Langama, WR Deng Deng/Cameron Weir/Korey Tai, TE Nathan Hromadka/Mason South
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceMontana Grizzlies at Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
5:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 38.0 / 24.5.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: QB Ty Pennington/Donivan Dixon, RB Quran Gossett/Kenveon Stone/Lindsey Graves, WR Joey Stout/Myseth Currie/Darius Haskin, TE Jeter Purdy/Nassim Isaac; Montana Grizzlies: QB Keali'i Ah Yat/Luke Flowers, RB Eli Gillman/Chase Cook/Dylan Paine, WR Brooks Davis/Landon Ransom-Goelz/Ian Finch, TE Reese Brooks/Mariano Birdno
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceJackson State Tigers at Grambling Tigers
5:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 37.0 / 22.0.
Grambling Tigers: QB Jacobe Robinson/Ashton Frye, RB D'Shuan Ford/Jamarion Parker/Byron Eaton Jr., WR Jordan Bride/Tyson George/Nae'Saan Dickerson, TE Patrick Williams II/Davon Mitchell; Jackson State Tigers: QB Jared Lockhart, RB Nate Blount IV/Emari Matthews/Li'Darius Pryor, WR Nate Rembert/Jabari Jones/Kobe Paul, TE Jency Riley Jr.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceSan Diego State Aztecs at Oregon State Beavers
6:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 26.0 / 25.0.
San Diego State Aztecs: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Oregon State Beavers: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceCal Poly Mustangs at Idaho State Bengals
6:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 24.0 / 37.5.
Idaho State Bengals: QB Jordan Cooke/Davis Harsin, RB Tytan Mason/Robert Freeman IV, WR Chedon James/Julian Mason/Zedekiah Anahu-Ambrosio, TE no primary receiver established; Cal Poly Mustangs: QB Anthony Grigsby Jr./Lucas Razore, RB Jaden Green/Misa Paiau/Koen Glover, WR Tayvion McCoy/Ray Hall/Fidel Pitts, TE Luke Leighton/Alek Marshall
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceWest Georgia Wolves at Eastern Kentucky Colonels
6:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 25.5 / 23.0.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels: QB Jordyn Potts/Blake Kendall Jr., RB Brady Hensley/Brayden Latham/Cortez Stone, WR Elijah Caldwell/Jackson House/Jarvis Hayes, TE Caeleb Schlachter/Jakobie Hughes; West Georgia Wolves: QB Colton Fitzgerald/Luke Marble, RB Justin Montgomery/Christian Monfort/Naeem Odeniyi, WR Brody Jones/DK Daniel/Malik Leverett, TE Josh Schuchts/Colby Dixon
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceLSU Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats
7:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 29.5 / 21.5.
Green is a primary receiving TE with 14 catches/222 yards, third in total receiving yards. Replacement routes need confirmation; receiver redistribution rather than nominal TE substitution may carry opportunity. Do not treat this candidate list as confirmed depth chart. | Kentucky Wildcats: current report contains 0 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceUAB Blazers at Memphis Tigers
7:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 20.0 / 39.0.
UAB Blazers: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Memphis Tigers: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceNevada Wolf Pack at UTEP Miners
7:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 31.5 / 22.0.
Nevada Wolf Pack: current report contains 0 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability. | Colson 77 attempts and 67 rushes is principal QB; Jones 40 carries/196 yards is material RB. Both QUESTIONABLE in Thursday initial report. Raymond Moore III has 18 attempts and 33 carries/294 yards; Braesen Leon has one attempt. Actual starting replacemen
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceNorth Dakota State Bison at UNLV Rebels
7:00 PM ET · North Dakota State Bison -2.5 (-112). OFF projected means 36.0 / 18.0.
North Dakota State Bison: current report contains 8 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability. | UNLV Rebels: current report contains 1 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restr
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceTarleton State Texans at Austin Peay Governors
7:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 33.5 / 28.0.
Austin Peay Governors: QB Chris Parson/Matthew Wilson, RB Courtland Simmons/Corey Richardson/Isaiah Groves, WR Marvin Sims/Jaden Robinson/Denver Harper, TE Jackson Head/Ben Marshall; Tarleton State Texans: QB Kaden Anderson/Braedyn Locke, RB Miequle Brock/Bryce Green/Aiden Ramos, WR Cydd Ford/B.J. Fleming/Bryce Parker, TE Danny Joiner/Klein Essler
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceNorthern Colorado Bears at Eastern Washington Eagles
7:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 28.5 / 27.0.
Eastern Washington Eagles: QB Nate Bell/Kaden Rolfsness, RB Jaxon Bell/Kevin Allen III/Malik Dotson, WR Drew Carlson/Rylin Lang/Wesley Garrett, TE Kayden Stuit/Will McKissick; Northern Colorado Bears: QB Brayten Silbor/Kenny Lueth, RB Justin Guin/Brandon Lambert Jr./Kieryus Boone, WR Trey Olsen/Jordan Herron/Garrett Harstad, TE no primary receiver established
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceCoastal Carolina Chanticleers at Marshall Thundering Herd
7:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 28.5 / 29.5.
Hinton second receiving yards 10/220 and four TD; QUESTIONABLE creates two scenarios without assigning an availability probability. | Marshall Thundering Herd: current report contains 0 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceGeorgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide
7:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 28.5 / 28.0.
Bowens leads RB carries (35) and has six rushing TD plus 10 catches/132 yards. Clear material committee/red-zone role. Current baseline reflects some absence exposure; no invented efficiency conversion. Blackshear 5 catches and Canion 3 are secondary role uncertainties, not headcount additions. | Alabama Crimson Tide: current report contains 1 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported r
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceSyracuse Orange at Virginia Cavaliers
7:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 14.5 / 35.5.
Angeli OUT; replacement Odom DOUBTFUL after 335 yards/five TD versus UConn. QB branch Angeli→Odom or Angeli→next reserve has one -3; no stacking two unavailable QBs occupying one role. Anderson 30 carries/146 yards is material RB, separate -3 rushing pathway. Joint -6 QB+RB; third-QB efficiency is unestimated and final actual reserve selection still unresolved. | Virginia Cavaliers: current report contains 3 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement ide
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceUSC Trojans at Penn State Nittany Lions
7:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 28.0 / 26.5.
Mosley 13/255/4 TD and Bowman 21/204/2 TD are material receiver/receiving-TE roles, both QUESTIONABLE. Joint -6 for distinct receiving opportunities is human assumption with -3 common-passing overlap sensitivity retained. Corey Simms OUT 12/178 is significant rotation loss but main role needs current routes/depth confirmation; do not certify no effect or automatically add third penalty. Roster-verified receivers are redistribution candidates; actual replacement TE routes remain unresolved. | Howard leads receiving yards, 12/344, so OUT is a mai
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceAir Force Falcons at Northern Illinois Huskies
7:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 30.5 / 18.0.
MW lists Szarka out for season; he is team leader in passing and rushing. Medders has seven current pass attempts and 18 rushes; official September note identifies first game action in 2026. Only one -3 for this QB, not separate deduction for being top rusher. Limited prior replacement sample and option execution materially widen uncertainty. | Northern Illinois Huskies: current report contains 4 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceJames Madison Dukes at Georgia Southern Eagles
7:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 38.0 / 13.0.
Top receiver Corey Scott OUT: 21 catches/289 yards/4 TD. Receiving TE Keller 12/163 and two other current receivers are candidates; target changes not quantitatively projected. | Hollins OUT for season after 14 catches/202 yards/2 TD, third receiving yards. Dallas PROBABLE with 29 catches and receiving TE Helms 20 catches are redistribution candidates; one-catch reserve King Phillips no additional deduction.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
7:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 23.0 / 30.5.
Smith 30 carries/156 yards forms a material four-back committee with Reagan39, Garner27 and Blanco36 carries. OUT for season changes distributed rushing workload. Norris 2 catches is no automatic mainWR loss. | Kukuk top passer 73 attempts and 32 rushes QUESTIONABLE. Baker has 36 attempts/360 yards/four TD. One QB replacement -3 if unavailable; no second rushing penalty for Kukuk's 167 rushing yards.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceKansas Jayhawks at Utah Utes
8:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 16.5 / 37.0.
Willis 27 carries versus Edwards50, Dupree21, Johnson13 verifies material committee role. Cole Ballard is a reserve with seven attempts, compared with Marshall104; no current starting-QB penalty solely for his OUT designation. | Utah Utes: current report contains 1 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceMinnesota Golden Gophers at Purdue Boilermakers
8:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 33.5 / 21.0.
Minnesota Golden Gophers: current report contains 4 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no reported restriction, not a guarantee of availability. | Purdue Boilermakers: current report contains 1 covered-position designations; current passing, rushing, WR and TE leaders are enumerated. None has a confirmed qualifying replacement identified from captured workload evidence. Unlisted is no report
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceCentral Arkansas Bears at Abilene Christian Wildcats
8:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 24.5 / 31.5.
Abilene Christian Wildcats: QB Tucker Parks, RB Rovaughn Banks Jr./Alex Broome/Deonte Dean, WR Raydrian Baltrip/Luke Moffitt/JC French-Love, TE Jayden York/Itty Henry; Central Arkansas Bears: QB Donovyn Omolo/Walker White, RB Jalen Washington/Chapman McKown/James Jointer, WR Dakarai Anderson/Ty Durham/Tyrell Pollard, TE Kealen Juniel/Que Tillman
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceSE Louisiana Lions at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
8:00 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 24.5 / 31.5.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: QB Aidan Jakobsohn/Garret Rangel, RB TJ Dement/Brennan Carroll/Broderick Taylor, WR Jaydon Smith/Kyran Lee/Corey Holmes, TE no primary receiver established; SE Louisiana Lions: QB Kyle Lowe/Issac Mooring III, RB Deantre Jackson/Calvin Smith Jr./Chad Elzy Jr., WR Dkhai Joseph/Tristan Goodly/Desmen Jefferson, TE Lonnie Shinn
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceHawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Arizona State Sun Devils
10:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 24.5 / 28.5.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Arizona State Sun Devils: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceBoise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs
10:30 PM ET · PASS / Stay Away. OFF projected means 26.0 / 25.5.
Boise State Broncos: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding. | Fresno State Bulldogs: current role reference is captured from team roster and 2026 leaders, but current medical availability is unverified. No deduction applied without a qualifying trigger; this is not a healthy finding.
Read all four forecasts and full evidenceForecasts are informational, not guarantees or wagering advice. Use licensed operators, set limits, never chase losses, and stop when betting is no longer entertainment. No guaranteed return, calibrated wagering probability or assigned stake is claimed.