Official final — October 4
San Diego Padres 3, Milwaukee Brewers 4. Official league result. The original PASS remains NO GRADE, zero units. The pregame report is preserved below.
MLB · Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers: King and Henderson face a seven-run Game 2 market
San Diego Padres (91-71) and Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) meet in NL Division Series Game 2. Captured records are context, not an independent score forecast. Saturday Game 1 official final: San Diego Padres 2, Milwaukee Brewers 3.
Final Call
Both probable starters are listed, but confirmed batting orders and a validated postseason scoring distribution are unavailable. No calibrated price edge is established.
No Pick of the Day, Bonus Pick or Free Pick is assigned to this matchup. No stake or numerical wagering confidence is assigned. A complete market is necessary for analysis; it does not create a price edge by itself.
Complete Market Snapshot
Sunday morning refresh: researched October 4. Prices and availability below are timestamped publication snapshots, not continuously live quotes. Earlier edition and revision record.
| Market | San Diego Padres | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +124 | -149 |
| Run line | +1.5 (-188) | -1.5 (+154) |
| Total 7 | Over (-111) | Under (-109) |
Provider: DraftKings via ESPN · Captured: 2026-10-04T05:44:02.827Z (1:44 AM ET). Source market feed. Prices are a publication snapshot and may vary by operator or change before the game.
Feed-labeled opening fields: away ML +109; home ML -131; home line -1.5; total o7. These are one provider’s fields, not independently timestamped market-wide opening quotes. No claim about sharp money or betting volume is made.
Availability and Matchup Context
Milwaukee Brewers: Grant Anderson 15-Day-IL; Brandon Woodruff 60-Day-IL; Quinn Priester 60-Day-IL; Angel Zerpa 60-Day-IL; Brian Fitzpatrick 60-Day-IL. San Diego Padres: Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL; Jeremiah Estrada 15-Day-IL; Lucas Giolito 60-Day-IL; Walker Buehler paternity; Casey Mize 15-Day-IL. Reported statuses do not confirm a final active roster. Official probable starters: Michael King and Logan Henderson. Batting orders and relief availability remain unconfirmed.
Secondary injury snapshot
Milwaukee Brewers
- Grant Anderson — 15-Day-IL; Biceps. Source update: 2026-09-15T16:04Z.
- Brandon Woodruff — 60-Day-IL; Shoulder. Source update: 2026-09-29T19:54Z.
- Quinn Priester — 60-Day-IL; Shoulder. Source update: 2026-06-18T15:25Z.
- Angel Zerpa — 60-Day-IL; Elbow. Source update: 2026-05-31T17:56Z.
- Brian Fitzpatrick — 60-Day-IL; Elbow. Source update: 2026-07-05T00:09Z.
San Diego Padres
- Miguel Andujar — 10-Day-IL; Wrist. Source update: 2026-09-24T05:45Z.
- Jeremiah Estrada — 15-Day-IL; Shoulder. Source update: 2026-09-12T20:06Z.
- Lucas Giolito — 60-Day-IL; Elbow. Source update: 2026-08-24T23:01Z.
- Walker Buehler — paternity; Personal. Source update: 2026-10-03T16:28Z.
- Casey Mize — 15-Day-IL; Ankle. Source update: 2026-09-26T21:47Z.
Reported player statuses from ESPN’s matchup injury snapshot, retrieved 2026-10-04T05:44:02.812Z. Day-to-day is not confirmed active, and an omitted player is not guaranteed to play. Official schedule and probable-pitcher sources are linked below.
Evidence and Scoring Context
Both probable starters are listed, but confirmed batting orders and a validated postseason scoring distribution are unavailable. No calibrated price edge is established. No unsupported numerical forecast range or wagering-confidence percentage is assigned.
Current DraftKings snapshot: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+154); total 7, Over -111 / Under -109. King and Henderson are officially listed as probable starters. Their regular-season run prevention is descriptive, not a calibrated postseason scoring distribution. Saturday’s bullpen usage and unannounced batting orders leave material inputs unresolved; a complete market alone does not establish value. Regular-season pitching: Michael King, 185.0 IP, 3.21 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 159 strikeouts/70 walks; Logan Henderson, 98.1 IP, 2.47 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 110 strikeouts/19 walks. ERA and WHIP are descriptive historical statistics; no postseason win probability is derived from them.
A likely winner and a favorable price are separate judgments. A -1.5 run line requires a two-run win; a one-run favorite win does not cover. Exactly 7 combined runs pushes the total under ordinary two-way settlement rules; it is neither a win nor a loss.
Seven-Desk Analysis
Parker Fields — Personnel
Official probable starters are Michael King and Logan Henderson. Probable is a reported designation; the announced batting orders are not confirmed here. Milwaukee Brewers: Grant Anderson 15-Day-IL; Brandon Woodruff 60-Day-IL; Quinn Priester 60-Day-IL; Angel Zerpa 60-Day-IL; Brian Fitzpatrick 60-Day-IL. San Diego Padres: Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL; Jeremiah Estrada 15-Day-IL; Lucas Giolito 60-Day-IL; Walker Buehler paternity; Casey Mize 15-Day-IL. Reported statuses do not confirm a final active roster. Official probable starters: Michael King and Logan Henderson. Batting orders and relief availability remain unconfirmed.
Uncle Sibursam — Season Context
San Diego Padres (91-71) and Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) meet in NL Division Series Game 2. Captured records are context, not an independent score forecast. Saturday Game 1 official final: San Diego Padres 2, Milwaukee Brewers 3. Game 1 relief usage: San Diego Padres — Bradgley Rodriguez 1.1 IP/19 pitches; Yuki Matsui 1.0 IP/15 pitches; Jason Adam 1.0 IP/16 pitches; Adrian Morejon 2.0 IP/31 pitches. Milwaukee Brewers — Antonio Senzatela 0.2 IP/11 pitches; Aaron Ashby 1.2 IP/23 pitches; Abner Uribe 0.1 IP/16 pitches; DL Hall 1.0 IP/20 pitches; Trevor Megill 1.1 IP/17 pitches. This records past workload; it does not confirm Sunday availability.
Gideon Marsh — Matchup
Current DraftKings snapshot: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+154); total 7, Over -111 / Under -109. King and Henderson are officially listed as probable starters. Their regular-season run prevention is descriptive, not a calibrated postseason scoring distribution. Saturday’s bullpen usage and unannounced batting orders leave material inputs unresolved; a complete market alone does not establish value. Regular-season pitching: Michael King, 185.0 IP, 3.21 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 159 strikeouts/70 walks; Logan Henderson, 98.1 IP, 2.47 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 110 strikeouts/19 walks. ERA and WHIP are descriptive historical statistics; no postseason win probability is derived from them.
ConstitutionOwl — Schedule
4:00 PM ET at American Family Field. American Family Field has a retractable roof; the setting is not verified here. No weather scoring adjustment is assigned. The publication date follows America/New_York; The early-hour October 5 UTC start times in this slate belong to October 4 Eastern.
Polly Ticks — Conditions
Retractable-roof venue; roof setting not independently confirmed. No outdoor-weather adjustment assigned.
Liberty Belle — Market
The captured home moneyline requires 59.84% wins to break even; the away price requires 44.64%. After normalizing the pair, the home market share is 57.27%. That share is market-implied, not our confidence. Over requires 52.61% and Under 52.15% at these prices, excluding pushes where applicable.
Warren Bullion — Synthesis
PASS / Stay Away. Both probable starters are listed, but confirmed batting orders and a validated postseason scoring distribution are unavailable. No calibrated price edge is established. No stake, no wagering tier and no assigned wagering confidence. The official result will later be recorded without converting this decision into a retrospective selection.
Risks and Uncertainty
Milwaukee Brewers: Grant Anderson 15-Day-IL; Brandon Woodruff 60-Day-IL; Quinn Priester 60-Day-IL; Angel Zerpa 60-Day-IL; Brian Fitzpatrick 60-Day-IL. San Diego Padres: Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL; Jeremiah Estrada 15-Day-IL; Lucas Giolito 60-Day-IL; Walker Buehler paternity; Casey Mize 15-Day-IL. Reported statuses do not confirm a final active roster. Official probable starters: Michael King and Logan Henderson. Batting orders and relief availability remain unconfirmed. A later price, player-status change or lineup announcement calls for a new assessment, not a silent edit to this published decision. Forecasts are informational, not guarantees or wagering advice. If you wager, use a licensed operator, set limits and never chase losses. Passing is a valid decision.
Sources and Method
- ESPN schedule, market or injury snapshot
- ESPN schedule, market or injury snapshot
- Official MLB schedule or statistics
- www.mlb.com — official schedule or team source
- Official MLB schedule or statistics
- Official MLB schedule or statistics
- Official MLB schedule or statistics
- Official MLB schedule or statistics
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