Official final — October 4
Los Angeles Rams 24, Philadelphia Eagles 20. Official league result. The original PASS remains NO GRADE, zero units. The pregame report is preserved below.
NFL · Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles: Philadelphia’s receiving absences reshape the matchup
Los Angeles Rams (1-2) visits Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) in Week 4. Three-game records are descriptive context, not calibrated next-game probabilities.
Final Call
The early-season sample and reported personnel changes do not establish independently calibrated spread, total or win probabilities. No supported price edge is assigned.
No Pick of the Day, Bonus Pick or Free Pick is assigned to this matchup. No stake or numerical wagering confidence is assigned. A complete market is necessary for analysis; it does not create a price edge by itself.
Complete Market Snapshot
Sunday morning refresh: researched October 4. Prices and availability below are timestamped publication snapshots, not continuously live quotes. Earlier edition and revision record.
| Market | Los Angeles Rams | Philadelphia Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -180 | +150 |
| Spread | -3.5 (-112) | +3.5 (-108) |
| Total 42.5 | Over (-112) | Under (-108) |
Provider: DraftKings via ESPN · Captured: 2026-10-04T05:33:53.552Z (1:33 AM ET). Source market feed. Prices are a publication snapshot and may vary by operator or change before the game.
Feed-labeled opening fields: away ML -118; home ML -102; home line +1.5; total o47.5. These are one provider’s fields, not independently timestamped market-wide opening quotes. No claim about sharp money or betting volume is made.
Availability and Matchup Context
Los Angeles Rams: Colby Parkinson QUESTIONABLE; Terrance Ferguson OUT; Jaylen Watson OUT; Aaron Donald OUT. Philadelphia Eagles: Zack Baun OUT; Marquise Brown OUT; Marcus Epps OUT; Dallas Goedert OUT; Fred Johnson OUT; DeVonta Smith OUT. Captured weekly designations are separate from secondary reserve lists and are not final active rosters.
Los Angeles Rams — official weekly designations
- Colby Parkinson (TE): QUESTIONABLE — Knee/Shoulder
- Terrance Ferguson (TE): OUT — Ankle
- Jaylen Watson (CB): OUT — Shoulder
- Aaron Donald (DE): OUT — Back
Official club injury report · Captured 2026-10-04T05:33:54.613Z. Final active list not yet confirmed.
Philadelphia Eagles — official weekly designations
- Zack Baun (LB): OUT — Concussion
- Marquise Brown (WR): OUT — Ankle
- Marcus Epps (S): OUT — Groin
- Dallas Goedert (TE): OUT — Knee
- Fred Johnson (T): OUT — Knee
- DeVonta Smith (WR): OUT — Hamstring
Official club injury report · Captured 2026-10-04T05:33:54.844Z. Final active list not yet confirmed.
Secondary injury snapshot
Philadelphia Eagles
- Fred Johnson — Out; Knee. Source update: 2026-10-03T01:28Z.
- Marcus Epps — Out; Groin. Source update: 2026-10-03T00:03Z.
- Zack Baun — Out; Concussion. Source update: 2026-10-02T23:49Z.
- Hollywood Brown — Out; Ankle. Source update: 2026-10-02T23:43Z.
- Dallas Goedert — Out; Knee - MCL. Source update: 2026-10-02T20:00Z.
Los Angeles Rams
- Jaylen Watson — Out; Shoulder. Source update: 2026-10-02T21:12Z.
- Colby Parkinson — Questionable; Shoulder - AC Joint. Source update: 2026-10-02T19:41Z.
- Terrance Ferguson — Injured Reserve; Ankle. Source update: 2026-10-02T18:41Z.
- Aaron Donald — Out; Back. Source update: 2026-10-02T18:38Z.
- Myles Garrett — Injured Reserve; Knee. Source update: 2026-09-27T10:57Z.
Reported player statuses from ESPN’s matchup injury snapshot, retrieved 2026-10-04T05:33:53.904Z. Day-to-day is not confirmed active, and an omitted player is not guaranteed to play. Official schedule and league/team sources are linked below.
Evidence and Scoring Context
The early-season sample and reported personnel changes do not establish independently calibrated spread, total or win probabilities. No supported price edge is assigned. No unsupported numerical forecast range or wagering-confidence percentage is assigned.
Current DraftKings snapshot: Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 (-108); total 42.5, Over -112 / Under -108. Philadelphia’s receiving and blocking absences interact with the Rams’ reported defensive losses. Competing personnel effects do not justify an automatic under or an arbitrary point deduction.
A likely winner and a favorable price are separate judgments. Spread and total probabilities cannot be substituted for the moneyline probability. The half-point total has no whole-number push outcome.
Seven-Desk Analysis
Parker Fields — Personnel
Los Angeles Rams: Colby Parkinson QUESTIONABLE; Terrance Ferguson OUT; Jaylen Watson OUT; Aaron Donald OUT. Philadelphia Eagles: Zack Baun OUT; Marquise Brown OUT; Marcus Epps OUT; Dallas Goedert OUT; Fred Johnson OUT; DeVonta Smith OUT. Captured weekly designations are separate from secondary reserve lists and are not final active rosters.
Uncle Sibursam — Season Context
Los Angeles Rams (1-2) visits Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) in Week 4. Three-game records are descriptive context, not calibrated next-game probabilities.
Gideon Marsh — Matchup
Current DraftKings snapshot: Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 (-108); total 42.5, Over -112 / Under -108. Philadelphia’s receiving and blocking absences interact with the Rams’ reported defensive losses. Competing personnel effects do not justify an automatic under or an arbitrary point deduction.
ConstitutionOwl — Schedule
1:00 PM ET at Lincoln Financial Field. Official league schedule confirms the teams, venue and start time; no unsupported travel adjustment is applied. The publication date follows America/New_York; The early-hour October 5 UTC start times in this slate belong to October 4 Eastern.
Polly Ticks — Conditions
NWS near scheduled start (2026-10-04T13:00:00-04:00): 64°F, chance rain showers, E wind 5 mph, precipitation chance 32%. This nearby grid forecast is not a guarantee of field conditions; no unsupported scoring adjustment is applied.
Liberty Belle — Market
The captured home moneyline requires 40.00% wins to break even; the away price requires 64.29%. After normalizing the pair, the home market share is 38.36%. That share is market-implied, not our confidence. Over requires 52.83% and Under 51.92% at these prices, excluding pushes where applicable.
Warren Bullion — Synthesis
PASS / Stay Away. The early-season sample and reported personnel changes do not establish independently calibrated spread, total or win probabilities. No supported price edge is assigned. No stake, no wagering tier and no assigned wagering confidence. The official result will later be recorded without converting this decision into a retrospective selection.
Risks and Uncertainty
Los Angeles Rams: Colby Parkinson QUESTIONABLE; Terrance Ferguson OUT; Jaylen Watson OUT; Aaron Donald OUT. Philadelphia Eagles: Zack Baun OUT; Marquise Brown OUT; Marcus Epps OUT; Dallas Goedert OUT; Fred Johnson OUT; DeVonta Smith OUT. Captured weekly designations are separate from secondary reserve lists and are not final active rosters. A later price, player-status change or lineup announcement calls for a new assessment, not a silent edit to this published decision. Forecasts are informational, not guarantees or wagering advice. If you wager, use a licensed operator, set limits and never chase losses. Passing is a valid decision.
Sources and Method
- ESPN schedule, market or injury snapshot
- ESPN schedule, market or injury snapshot
- www.therams.com — official schedule or team source
- www.philadelphiaeagles.com — official schedule or team source
- www.nfl.com — official schedule or team source
- www.nfl.com — official schedule or team source
- National Weather Service forecast
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