Official final — October 4
Los Angeles Chargers 23, Seattle Seahawks 30. Official league result. The original PASS remains NO GRADE, zero units. The pregame report is preserved below.
NFL · Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks: Seattle’s favorite status is separate from a seven-point cover
Los Angeles Chargers (0-3) visits Seattle Seahawks (2-1) in Week 4. Three-game records are descriptive context, not calibrated next-game probabilities.
Final Call
The early-season sample and reported personnel changes do not establish independently calibrated spread, total or win probabilities. No supported price edge is assigned.
No Pick of the Day, Bonus Pick or Free Pick is assigned to this matchup. No stake or numerical wagering confidence is assigned. A complete market is necessary for analysis; it does not create a price edge by itself.
Complete Market Snapshot
Sunday morning refresh: researched October 4. Prices and availability below are timestamped publication snapshots, not continuously live quotes. Earlier edition and revision record.
| Market | Los Angeles Chargers | Seattle Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +285 | -360 |
| Spread | +7 (-108) | -7 (-112) |
| Total 42.5 | Over (-118) | Under (-102) |
Provider: DraftKings via ESPN · Captured: 2026-10-04T05:33:53.552Z (1:33 AM ET). Source market feed. Prices are a publication snapshot and may vary by operator or change before the game.
Feed-labeled opening fields: away ML +136; home ML -162; home line -3; total o45.5. These are one provider’s fields, not independently timestamped market-wide opening quotes. No claim about sharp money or betting volume is made.
Availability and Matchup Context
Los Angeles Chargers: Kayode Awosika OUT; Donte Jackson QUESTIONABLE; Derwin James QUESTIONABLE; Charlie Kolar OUT; Trey Lance QUESTIONABLE; Ladd McConkey QUESTIONABLE; Elijah Molden QUESTIONABLE; Brenen Thompson OUT; Dalvin Tomlinson OUT. Seattle Seahawks: Zach Charbonnet OUT; Ty Okada QUESTIONABLE; Jadarian Price OUT; Chazz Surratt QUESTIONABLE. Captured weekly designations are separate from secondary reserve lists and are not final active rosters.
Los Angeles Chargers — official weekly designations
- Kayode Awosika (G): OUT — Fibula
- Donte Jackson (CB): QUESTIONABLE — Concussion
- Derwin James (S): QUESTIONABLE — Hamstring
- Charlie Kolar (TE): OUT — Forearm
- Trey Lance (QB): QUESTIONABLE — Groin
- Ladd McConkey (WR): QUESTIONABLE — Foot
- Elijah Molden (DB): QUESTIONABLE — Hamstring
- Brenen Thompson (WR): OUT — Quadricep
- Dalvin Tomlinson (DL): OUT — Hamstring
Official club injury report · Captured 2026-10-04T05:33:54.539Z. Final active list not yet confirmed.
Seattle Seahawks — official weekly designations
- Zach Charbonnet (RB): OUT — Knee
- Ty Okada (S): QUESTIONABLE — Hamstring
- Jadarian Price (RB): OUT — Chest
- Chazz Surratt (LB): QUESTIONABLE — Calf
Official club injury report · Captured 2026-10-04T05:33:54.840Z. Final active list not yet confirmed.
Secondary injury snapshot
Seattle Seahawks
- Jadarian Price — Injured Reserve; Chest. Source update: 2026-10-03T20:02Z.
- Ty Okada — Questionable; Hamstring. Source update: 2026-10-03T00:32Z.
- Chazz Surratt — Questionable; Calf. Source update: 2026-10-02T21:39Z.
- Zach Charbonnet — Out; Knee - ACL. Source update: 2026-10-02T21:12Z.
- Anthony Bradford — Injured Reserve; Knee. Source update: 2026-09-24T00:52Z.
Los Angeles Chargers
- Dalvin Tomlinson — Out; Hamstring. Source update: 2026-10-02T23:21Z.
- Brenen Thompson — Out; Quadriceps. Source update: 2026-10-02T23:16Z.
- Charlie Kolar — Out; Forearm. Source update: 2026-10-02T23:11Z.
- Donte Jackson — Questionable; Concussion. Source update: 2026-10-02T23:08Z.
- Elijah Molden — Questionable; Hamstring. Source update: 2026-10-02T23:03Z.
Reported player statuses from ESPN’s matchup injury snapshot, retrieved 2026-10-04T05:33:53.988Z. Day-to-day is not confirmed active, and an omitted player is not guaranteed to play. Official schedule and league/team sources are linked below.
Evidence and Scoring Context
The early-season sample and reported personnel changes do not establish independently calibrated spread, total or win probabilities. No supported price edge is assigned. No unsupported numerical forecast range or wagering-confidence percentage is assigned.
Current DraftKings snapshot: Seattle Seahawks -7 (-112); total 42.5, Over -118 / Under -102. Los Angeles reports receiving and defensive uncertainty. Seattle’s outright favoritism does not establish a seven-point cover; exactly seven points pushes under ordinary settlement rules.
A likely winner and a favorable price are separate judgments. Spread and total probabilities cannot be substituted for the moneyline probability. The half-point total has no whole-number push outcome.
Seven-Desk Analysis
Parker Fields — Personnel
Los Angeles Chargers: Kayode Awosika OUT; Donte Jackson QUESTIONABLE; Derwin James QUESTIONABLE; Charlie Kolar OUT; Trey Lance QUESTIONABLE; Ladd McConkey QUESTIONABLE; Elijah Molden QUESTIONABLE; Brenen Thompson OUT; Dalvin Tomlinson OUT. Seattle Seahawks: Zach Charbonnet OUT; Ty Okada QUESTIONABLE; Jadarian Price OUT; Chazz Surratt QUESTIONABLE. Captured weekly designations are separate from secondary reserve lists and are not final active rosters.
Uncle Sibursam — Season Context
Los Angeles Chargers (0-3) visits Seattle Seahawks (2-1) in Week 4. Three-game records are descriptive context, not calibrated next-game probabilities.
Gideon Marsh — Matchup
Current DraftKings snapshot: Seattle Seahawks -7 (-112); total 42.5, Over -118 / Under -102. Los Angeles reports receiving and defensive uncertainty. Seattle’s outright favoritism does not establish a seven-point cover; exactly seven points pushes under ordinary settlement rules.
ConstitutionOwl — Schedule
4:25 PM ET at Lumen Field. Official league schedule confirms the teams, venue and start time; no unsupported travel adjustment is applied. The publication date follows America/New_York; The early-hour October 5 UTC start times in this slate belong to October 4 Eastern.
Polly Ticks — Conditions
NWS near scheduled start (2026-10-04T13:00:00-07:00): 66°F, sunny, NNW wind 5 mph, precipitation chance 0%. This nearby grid forecast is not a guarantee of field conditions; no unsupported scoring adjustment is applied.
Liberty Belle — Market
The captured home moneyline requires 78.26% wins to break even; the away price requires 25.97%. After normalizing the pair, the home market share is 75.08%. That share is market-implied, not our confidence. Over requires 54.13% and Under 50.50% at these prices, excluding pushes where applicable.
Warren Bullion — Synthesis
PASS / Stay Away. The early-season sample and reported personnel changes do not establish independently calibrated spread, total or win probabilities. No supported price edge is assigned. No stake, no wagering tier and no assigned wagering confidence. The official result will later be recorded without converting this decision into a retrospective selection.
Risks and Uncertainty
Los Angeles Chargers: Kayode Awosika OUT; Donte Jackson QUESTIONABLE; Derwin James QUESTIONABLE; Charlie Kolar OUT; Trey Lance QUESTIONABLE; Ladd McConkey QUESTIONABLE; Elijah Molden QUESTIONABLE; Brenen Thompson OUT; Dalvin Tomlinson OUT. Seattle Seahawks: Zach Charbonnet OUT; Ty Okada QUESTIONABLE; Jadarian Price OUT; Chazz Surratt QUESTIONABLE. Captured weekly designations are separate from secondary reserve lists and are not final active rosters. A later price, player-status change or lineup announcement calls for a new assessment, not a silent edit to this published decision. Forecasts are informational, not guarantees or wagering advice. If you wager, use a licensed operator, set limits and never chase losses. Passing is a valid decision.
Sources and Method
- ESPN schedule, market or injury snapshot
- ESPN schedule, market or injury snapshot
- www.chargers.com — official schedule or team source
- www.seahawks.com — official schedule or team source
- www.nfl.com — official schedule or team source
- www.nfl.com — official schedule or team source
- National Weather Service forecast
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