# September 29 assessment policy

Eleven complete-market reports; all PASS, zero selected wagers, no wagering confidence assigned. Five DWCS bouts explicitly excluded under the saved September 23/24 incomplete-market removal rule. Each published report has seven desks, source times, availability context and an inspected hero.

The inherited MLB arithmetic is retained: average offense runs/game and opposing runs allowed/game, add 0.18*(opposing starter ERA-4.20), then -0.08 away/+0.12 home. Round team scores to one decimal. It is descriptive regular-season context, not a validated postseason forecast. Starter innings, individual batting orders, relief deployment and injury impacts are not modeled. Numerical edge thresholds remain qualification gates (7 percentage points; 12 for Pick of the Day, 10 Bonus), not a command to promote every unvalidated baseline difference. This edition does not map these postseason descriptive scores into wagering probabilities or tiers. WNBA rotation/injury effects and NHL opening-night goalies are likewise not quantitatively established. No invented numeric confidence or forecast interval is supplied.

Paired moneyline probabilities use abs(negative)/(abs(negative)+100) or 100/(positive+100); normalize each pair to remove the quoted margin. These values are market context, not forecast confidence. Puck/run-line probabilities are not inferred from moneylines. Opening fields are labeled as feed values without an independently verified opening timestamp.

Official previous result: Chicago 27, Philadelphia 7, agreed by both team schedules and ESPN. The original PASS remains no-grade with zero units. All earlier calls, categories, prices and confidence fields are preserved. The ledger remains 103–84, +12.20 confidence-weighted units; it is not odds-based cash profit.

Source limitations: ESPN player statuses are reported entries, not final active lists; scheduled return dates do not prove clearance. NHL projected-lineup URL returned a soft error page and is not used as positive evidence. UFC guessed event/results URLs redirected to search and are not used as event evidence; the actual official weigh-in page verifies five bouts. DraftKings rendered DWCS pages offered moneylines only for four bouts; Diop–Sabanov was absent. Alternate BFO moneyline leads do not fill unverified round totals.