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          "home_name": "Washington Capitals",
          "home_score": 0
        },
        "base_score": [
          2.8600434938977504,
          3.1857060537039112
        ],
        "display_score": [
          3,
          3
        ],
        "inputs": {
          "training_games": 2852,
          "latest_game": "2026-10-09T02:00Z",
          "unknown_teams": [],
          "coefficient_sha256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd"
        },
        "status": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
        "selected_market_probability": null,
        "exact_score_probability": null,
        "pregame_at_calculation": true
      },
      {
        "event_id": "401892467",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "identity": {
          "id": "401892467",
          "date": "2026-10-09T23:00Z",
          "completed": false,
          "state": "STATUS_SCHEDULED",
          "season_type": 2,
          "season": 2027,
          "neutral": false,
          "sport": "NHL",
          "venue": {
            "id": "1828",
            "fullName": "Nationwide Arena",
            "indoor": true,
            "address": {
              "city": "Columbus",
              "state": "OH",
              "country": "USA"
            }
          },
          "away": "16",
          "away_name": "Pittsburgh Penguins",
          "away_score": 0,
          "home": "29",
          "home_name": "Columbus Blue Jackets",
          "home_score": 0
        },
        "base_score": [
          3.29776523024931,
          3.388260702684709
        ],
        "display_score": [
          3.5,
          3.5
        ],
        "inputs": {
          "training_games": 2852,
          "latest_game": "2026-10-09T02:00Z",
          "unknown_teams": [],
          "coefficient_sha256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd"
        },
        "status": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
        "selected_market_probability": null,
        "exact_score_probability": null,
        "pregame_at_calculation": true
      },
      {
        "event_id": "401892468",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "identity": {
          "id": "401892468",
          "date": "2026-10-10T00:00Z",
          "completed": false,
          "state": "STATUS_SCHEDULED",
          "season_type": 2,
          "season": 2027,
          "neutral": false,
          "sport": "NHL",
          "venue": {
            "id": "1397",
            "fullName": "Canada Life Centre",
            "indoor": true,
            "address": {
              "city": "Winnipeg",
              "state": "MB",
              "country": "Canada"
            }
          },
          "away": "25",
          "away_name": "Anaheim Ducks",
          "away_score": 0,
          "home": "28",
          "home_name": "Winnipeg Jets",
          "home_score": 0
        },
        "base_score": [
          2.975472518076778,
          3.3018280762447207
        ],
        "display_score": [
          3,
          3.5
        ],
        "inputs": {
          "training_games": 2852,
          "latest_game": "2026-10-09T02:00Z",
          "unknown_teams": [],
          "coefficient_sha256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd"
        },
        "status": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
        "selected_market_probability": null,
        "exact_score_probability": null,
        "pregame_at_calculation": true
      }
    ],
    "limitations": [
      "Raw score means; distributions not calibrated.",
      "Personnel overlays and independent desks pending; not a final freeze.",
      "Retained NHL club history was officially stage reconciled October 8; new games need current official-stage check."
    ]
  },
  "football": {
    "created": "2026-10-09T11:40:35.175Z",
    "reviewer": "Parker Fields \u2014 independent football desk",
    "edition": "2026-10-09",
    "authorizedModel": "Primary 2.0 for this single package per parent instruction",
    "policy": {
      "file": "experimental-projects/Tighten-Up-Process/FOOTBALL-REPLACEMENT-SCENARIO-POLICY.md",
      "version": "1.1.0",
      "overlay": "football-replacement-human-v1"
    },
    "scope": {
      "games": 7,
      "teams": 14,
      "league": "NCAA FBS/FCS",
      "NFL": "No NFL event in assigned seven-game slate"
    },
    "status": "FOOTBALL_PERSONNEL_REVIEW_COMPLETE_WITH_DISCLOSED_CONDITIONALS",
    "releaseReady": true,
    "priorExposure": {
      "priceInputsUsed": false,
      "newPricesRequested": false,
      "accidentalSearchExposure": "One unsolicited FSU/Louisville betting-title search snippet appeared during a broad official-source query. No price recorded in this review, used in calculations, or used to set scenarios. Subsequent searches restricted to official domains. Independent sporting review is not claimed fully blinded."
    },
    "equation": "adjusted = statistical replacement forecast - 3.0 + independent additional adjustments for each qualifying availability scenario; no automatic -3 for trades",
    "modelHandling": "Exact primary-2.0.0 base attached. Human-only retained-base sensitivities computed separately. Statistical replacement effect unestimated. Production sensitivity never represented as empirically calibrated player impact.",
    "gates": "Apply normal model gates and adverse-case test after scenario attachment; no opposite-bet promotion. Preserve base and adjusted decisions separately. No fresh prices were requested by this desk.",
    "tradeReviewSummary": {
      "verifiedInSeasonTrades": 0,
      "coveredTeams": 14,
      "offensive": "Current official previews/notes identify offseason college transfers; none are qualifying in-season player trades. No automatic human trade deduction.",
      "defensive": "No documented in-season traded defender or sending/acquiring team mechanism found in consulted sources; no opponent adjustment.",
      "excludedExamples": [
        "Caden Pinnick UC Davis to WSU offseason transfer",
        "Lincoln Kienholz Ohio State to Louisville offseason transfer",
        "Lawayne McCoy FSU to Louisville offseason transfer",
        "USU Hillstead BYU return/transfer; not a documented in-season trade"
      ]
    },
    "sources": [
      {
        "key": "byu_preview",
        "file": "byu_preview.json",
        "url": "https://byucougars.com/news/2026/10/5/byu-football-game-week-2026-iowa-state",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:09.409Z"
      },
      {
        "key": "byu_offense",
        "file": "byu_offense.json",
        "url": "https://byucougars.com/news/2026/08/7/fall-camp-week-1-2026-byu-football-offensive-preview",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:09.609Z"
      },
      {
        "key": "louisville_preview",
        "file": "louisville_preview.json",
        "url": "https://gocards.com/news/2026/10/8/football-cardinals-square-off-with-florida-state-on-friday-night",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.195Z"
      },
      {
        "key": "famu_preview",
        "file": "famu_preview.json",
        "url": "https://famuathletics.com/news/2026/10/8/football-florida-am-heads-to-montgomery-for-swac-matchup-with-alabama-state.aspx",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:09.530Z"
      },
      {
        "key": "alabama_body",
        "file": "alabama_body.json",
        "url": "https://bamastatesports.com/sports/football/roster/andrew-body/9060",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.631Z"
      },
      {
        "key": "alabama_stats",
        "file": "alabama_stats.json",
        "url": "https://bamastatesports.com/sports/football/stats?clean=true",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.470Z"
      },
      {
        "key": "washington_preview",
        "file": "washington_preview.json",
        "url": "https://gohuskies.com/news/2026/10/5/football-hawkeyes-headed-to-montlake-for-first-time-in-63-years",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:37:54.164Z"
      },
      {
        "key": "sjsu_preview",
        "file": "sjsu_preview.json",
        "url": "https://sjsuspartans.com/news/2026/10/5/spartans-host-wyoming-on-homecoming-presented-by-rotten-robbie",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:33:45.086Z"
      },
      {
        "key": "columbia_preview",
        "file": "columbia_preview.json",
        "url": "https://gocolumbialions.com/news/2026/10/7/football-wraps-up-non-conference-play-friday-night-at-marist",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:34:25.930Z"
      },
      {
        "key": "wsu_preview",
        "file": "wsu_preview.json",
        "url": "https://wsucougars.com/news/2026/10/6/washington-state-heads-to-utah-state-for-friday-night-matchup",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:33:44.937Z"
      },
      {
        "key": "BYU official notes",
        "url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/byucougars-prod/2026/10/08/0IZcFFIeiQ791O4JHcoAUcI6cv59KMGGMNZNmFCA.pdf",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:13:29.046Z",
        "status": 200,
        "bytes": 8750000
      },
      {
        "key": "ISU official notes",
        "url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/byucougars-prod/2026/10/08/TYpUi4eXok5czEvfn4ueI7RQDA2KxApcczvmcUTJ.pdf",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:13:29.463Z",
        "status": 200,
        "bytes": 3339295
      },
      {
        "key": "iowa_press",
        "url": "https://hawkeyesports.com/news/2026/10/6/kirk-ferentz-news-conference-transcript-10062026",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:34:34.975Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "iowa_notes",
        "url": "https://hawkeyesports.com/news/2026/10/5/notes-friday-night-at-washington",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:34:35.303Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "iowa_brown",
        "url": "https://hawkeyesports.com/sports/football/roster/player/hank-brown",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:34:35.527Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "iowa_hecklinski",
        "url": "https://hawkeyesports.com/sports/football/roster/player/jeremy-hecklinski",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:34:35.383Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "fsu_carter",
        "url": "https://seminoles.com/sports/football/roster/devin-carter/8392",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:34:35.682Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "fsu_singleton",
        "url": "https://seminoles.com/sports/football/roster/samuel-singleton-jr-/8378",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:34:36.109Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "wyoming_preview",
        "url": "https://gowyo.com/news/2026/10/5/football-cowboys-set-for-showdown-with-spartans-on-friday-night.aspx",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:34:35.136Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "usu_preview",
        "url": "https://utahstateaggies.com/story.aspx?file_date=10%2F5%2F2026&filename=football-hosts-washington-state-in-pac-12-home-opener-friday-night",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:34:35.093Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "marist_preview",
        "url": "https://goredfoxes.com/news/2026/10/8/football-hosts-columbia-friday-night.aspx",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:34:41.546Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "usu_notes",
        "url": "https://dxbhsrqyrr690.cloudfront.net/sidearm.nextgen.sites/utahstateaggies.com/documents/2026/10/8/6._Utah_State_Football_Game_Notes_vs._Washington_State.pdf",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:35:58.612Z",
        "retrievalTimePrecision": "File completed timestamp UTC",
        "file": "independent_usu_notes.pdf"
      },
      {
        "key": "wyoming_notes",
        "url": "https://dxbhsrqyrr690.cloudfront.net/sidearm.nextgen.sites/wyoming.sidearmsports.com/documents/2026/10/6/2026wyofbgamenoteatSanJoseState.pdf",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:35:59.101Z",
        "retrievalTimePrecision": "File completed timestamp UTC",
        "file": "independent_wyoming_notes.pdf"
      },
      {
        "key": "usu_hillstead",
        "url": "https://utahstateaggies.com/sports/football/roster/mccae-hillstead/11664",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:58.438Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "usu_brosterhous",
        "url": "https://utahstateaggies.com/sports/football/roster/grady--brosterhous/11656",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:58.731Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "isu_barnes",
        "url": "https://cyclones.com/sports/football/roster/rylan-barnes/14253",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:56.915Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "washington_stats",
        "url": "https://gohuskies.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:57.067Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "columbia_stats",
        "url": "https://gocolumbialions.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:58.195Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "marist_stats",
        "url": "https://goredfoxes.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:56.961Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "famu_stats",
        "url": "https://famuathletics.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:57.675Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "usu_stats",
        "url": "https://utahstateaggies.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:57.789Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "fsu_wisner",
        "url": "https://seminoles.com/sports/football/roster/quintrevion-wisner/8440",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:49:07.867Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "fsu_kromah",
        "url": "https://seminoles.com/sports/football/roster/ousmane-kromah/8356",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:49:07.958Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "iowa_vonnahme",
        "url": "https://hawkeyesports.com/sports/football/roster/player/dj-vonnahme",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:49:07.807Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "alst_frye",
        "url": "https://bamastatesports.com/sports/football/roster/aaron-frye/9479",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:49:07.777Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "FSU current cumulative",
        "url": "https://s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sidearm.nextgen.sites/fsuni.sidearmsports.com/stats/football/2026/pdf/cume.pdf",
        "file": "independent_fsu_cume.pdf",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:46:42.818Z"
      },
      {
        "key": "Iowa current cumulative",
        "url": "https://storage.googleapis.com/hawkeyesports-prod/2026/10/04/5L5gJJw4PMhDHKdLIBJvWQMCtujK8Z8Z6eeoZub3.pdf",
        "file": "independent_iowa_cume.pdf",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:46:42.449Z"
      },
      {
        "key": "columbia_stats",
        "url": "https://gocolumbialions.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:58.195Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "marist_stats",
        "url": "https://goredfoxes.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:56.961Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "columbia_roster",
        "url": "https://gocolumbialions.com/sports/football/roster",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:44:12.124Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "marist_roster",
        "url": "https://goredfoxes.com/sports/football/roster",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:44:11.634Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "columbia_game",
        "url": "https://gocolumbialions.com/game-center/15149",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:44:12.658Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "key": "alst_roster",
        "url": "https://bamastatesports.com/sports/football/roster",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:44:11.515Z",
        "status": 200
      },
      {
        "url": "https://bamastatesports.com/sports/football/stats?clean=true",
        "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.470Z",
        "file": "alabama_stats.json"
      },
      "https://gohuskies.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
      "https://s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sidearm.nextgen.sites/washington.sidearmsports.com/stats/football/2026/pdf/cume.pdf",
      "https://gohuskies.com/sports/football/roster/2026",
      "https://gohuskies.com/sports/football/roster/brian-bonner/17808",
      "https://gohuskies.com/sports/football/roster/baron-naone/17786",
      "https://famuathletics.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
      "https://famuathletics.com/sports/football/roster/2026",
      "https://famuathletics.com/sports/football/roster/justin-squire/5568",
      "https://sjsuspartans.com/news/2026/10/5/spartans-host-wyoming-on-homecoming-presented-by-rotten-robbie",
      "https://sjsuspartans.com/documents/d8817d3b-75a7-40d5-afe6-a7e20f2a6d0b.pdf",
      "https://storage.googleapis.com/san-jose-state-prod/2026/10/05/tSDgZi4WwbQ8l0dHNG8AcVeV1T1klLggj9MzqN2q.pdf",
      "https://sjsuspartans.com/sports/football/roster/season/2026"
    ],
    "availability": {
      "created": "2026-10-09T11:18:48.241Z",
      "method": "Rendered official conference report through browser; report posting time differs from retrieval.",
      "big12": {
        "url": "https://app.hdintelligence.com/?source=B12&sport=Football&conf=B12&type=report",
        "posted": "2026-10-08 21:00 CT",
        "changed": false,
        "BYU": {
          "out": [
            "LJ Martin",
            "Sione Moa",
            "Raider Damuni",
            "Isaiah Glasker"
          ],
          "doubtful": [
            "Cannon DeVries"
          ]
        },
        "IowaState": {
          "probable": [
            "Christian Greenlaw"
          ]
        }
      },
      "acc": {
        "url": "https://app.hdintelligence.com/?source=ACC&sport=Football&conf=ACC&type=report",
        "posted": "2026-10-08 20:00 ET",
        "changed": false,
        "FSU": {
          "out": [
            "Samuel Singleton Jr.",
            "Devin Carter"
          ]
        },
        "Louisville": {
          "out": [
            "Travis Egan",
            "Hamilton Atkins",
            "Montavin Quisenberry"
          ],
          "questionable": [
            "Keyjuan Brown"
          ],
          "probable": [
            "Lincoln Kienholz"
          ]
        }
      }
    },
    "teams": [
      {
        "eventId": "401856826",
        "team": "BYU Cougars",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Bear Bachmeier"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "LJ Martin OUT",
            "Sione Moa OUT",
            "Preston Rex",
            "Journee Tonga",
            "Devaughn Eka"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Kyler Kasper",
            "Legend Glasker",
            "Jojo Phillips"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "Walker Lyons OR Roger Saleapaga II",
            "Keayen Nead",
            "Noah Moeaki"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Official depth chart places Rex first, Tonga second and Eka third. Martin is established starter; Moa is a low-volume back with only six current carries. No covered QB/WR/TE absence in captured conference report. Published depth order is not a guaranteed workload allocation.",
        "sources": [
          "BYU official notes",
          "BYU comparison",
          "Big12 report",
          "byu_offense",
          "byu_preview"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [
          {
            "id": "BYU_MARTIN_ISOLATED",
            "trigger": "Martin established starter OUT",
            "status": "APPLICABLE_HUMAN_ONLY",
            "engineId": "primary-2.0.0",
            "overlayVersion": "football-replacement-human-v1",
            "baseForecast": 33.10079185559791,
            "baseAttachment": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
            "statisticalReplacementDelta": null,
            "statisticalReplacementEffect": "UNESTIMATED; no validated player-stat-to-points conversion supplied",
            "statisticalReplacementForecast": null,
            "retainedBaselineSensitivity": true,
            "humanDeduction": -3,
            "additionalAdjustments": 0,
            "additionalAdjustmentsMeaning": "None estimated; does not assert that true effects are zero",
            "adjustedFormula": "P - 3",
            "formulaScope": "P is the parent registered team forecast retained for a labeled human-only sensitivity; do not label this a calibrated replacement forecast",
            "opponentPointAdjustment": 0,
            "opponentAdjustmentReason": "No independent turnover/field-position/tempo conversion; no automatic opponent boost",
            "reason": "User availability overlay applied once for lost lead-back role.",
            "decision": "Scenario score ready; parent applies normal gates and adverse-case test.",
            "baseScorePair": [
              18.62707194454634,
              33.10079185559791
            ],
            "assumption": "Retain registered baseline as a sensitivity anchor; statistical replacement effect remains unestimated, not zero. User human adjustment is separately identified.",
            "baseDecision": "PASS / uncalibrated probability",
            "humanOnlyAdjusted": 30.10079185559791,
            "adjustedScorePair": [
              18.62707194454634,
              30.10079185559791
            ],
            "adjustedTotal": 48.72786380014425,
            "adjustedOwnMargin": 11.473719911051571,
            "totalChange": -3,
            "ownMarginChange": -3,
            "adjustedDecision": "PASS / unchanged; no opposite-side promotion"
          },
          {
            "id": "BYU_MOA_ISOLATED",
            "trigger": "Moa OUT and hypothetically established material healthy-reference role",
            "status": "CONDITIONAL_SENSITIVITY_ONLY",
            "engineId": "primary-2.0.0",
            "overlayVersion": "football-replacement-human-v1",
            "baseForecast": 33.10079185559791,
            "baseAttachment": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
            "statisticalReplacementDelta": null,
            "statisticalReplacementEffect": "UNESTIMATED; no validated player-stat-to-points conversion supplied",
            "statisticalReplacementForecast": null,
            "retainedBaselineSensitivity": true,
            "humanDeduction": -3,
            "additionalAdjustments": 0,
            "additionalAdjustmentsMeaning": "None estimated; does not assert that true effects are zero",
            "adjustedFormula": "P - 3",
            "formulaScope": "P is the parent registered team forecast retained for a labeled human-only sensitivity; do not label this a calibrated replacement forecast",
            "opponentPointAdjustment": 0,
            "opponentAdjustmentReason": "No independent turnover/field-position/tempo conversion; no automatic opponent boost",
            "reason": "Current evidence does not establish incremental material role: 6 current carries, 18 in 2025, absent three reference games. Keep separate healthy-reference sensitivity; do not claim an automatic production trigger.",
            "decision": "Only conditional adverse branch; parent must test normal gates against this score.",
            "baseScorePair": [
              18.62707194454634,
              33.10079185559791
            ],
            "assumption": "Retain registered baseline as a sensitivity anchor; statistical replacement effect remains unestimated, not zero. User human adjustment is separately identified.",
            "baseDecision": "PASS / uncalibrated probability",
            "humanOnlyAdjusted": 30.10079185559791,
            "adjustedScorePair": [
              18.62707194454634,
              30.10079185559791
            ],
            "adjustedTotal": 48.72786380014425,
            "adjustedOwnMargin": 11.473719911051571,
            "totalChange": -3,
            "ownMarginChange": -3,
            "adjustedDecision": "PASS / unchanged; no opposite-side promotion"
          },
          {
            "id": "BYU_JOINT",
            "trigger": "Martin and Moa OUT",
            "status": "REFERENCE_AWARE_PRODUCTION_ASSUMPTION",
            "engineId": "primary-2.0.0",
            "overlayVersion": "football-replacement-human-v1",
            "baseForecast": 33.10079185559791,
            "baseAttachment": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
            "statisticalReplacementDelta": null,
            "statisticalReplacementEffect": "UNESTIMATED; no validated player-stat-to-points conversion supplied",
            "statisticalReplacementForecast": null,
            "retainedBaselineSensitivity": true,
            "humanDeduction": -3,
            "additionalAdjustments": 0,
            "additionalAdjustmentsMeaning": "None estimated; does not assert that true effects are zero",
            "adjustedFormula": "P - 3",
            "formulaScope": "P is the parent registered team forecast retained for a labeled human-only sensitivity; do not label this a calibrated replacement forecast",
            "opponentPointAdjustment": 0,
            "opponentAdjustmentReason": "No independent turnover/field-position/tempo conversion; no automatic opponent boost",
            "reason": "One independently established material disruption is Martin. Moa absence and replacement carries already dominate the reference. Joint -3 is a stated exposure/role assumption, not an arbitrary cap. A further deduction requires evidence of a separate material incremental Moa role. Both use same committee touches; blind -6 double-counts overlap.",
            "decision": "Scenario score ready; parent applies normal gates and adverse-case test.",
            "baseScorePair": [
              18.62707194454634,
              33.10079185559791
            ],
            "assumption": "Retain registered baseline as a sensitivity anchor; statistical replacement effect remains unestimated, not zero. User human adjustment is separately identified.",
            "baseDecision": "PASS / uncalibrated probability",
            "humanOnlyAdjusted": 30.10079185559791,
            "adjustedScorePair": [
              18.62707194454634,
              30.10079185559791
            ],
            "adjustedTotal": 48.72786380014425,
            "adjustedOwnMargin": 11.473719911051571,
            "totalChange": -3,
            "ownMarginChange": -3,
            "adjustedDecision": "PASS / unchanged; no opposite-side promotion"
          }
        ],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "availability": {
          "source": "https://app.hdintelligence.com/?source=B12&sport=Football&conf=B12&type=report",
          "posted": "2026-10-08 21:00 CT",
          "out": [
            "LJ Martin",
            "Sione Moa"
          ],
          "defense": [
            "Raider Damuni OUT",
            "Isaiah Glasker OUT",
            "Cannon DeVries doubtful"
          ]
        },
        "histories": [
          {
            "id": "4918126",
            "name": "LJ Martin",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/4918126/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.707Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "121",
                      "rushingYards": "630",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "5.2",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "5",
                      "longRushing": "39"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "8",
                      "receivingYards": "65",
                      "yardsPerReception": "8.1",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "longReception": "33"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "5",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "7",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "44"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "236",
                      "rushingYards": "1,305",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "5.5",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "12",
                      "longRushing": "49"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "36",
                      "receivingYards": "255",
                      "yardsPerReception": "7.1",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "26"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "1",
                      "soloTackles": "1",
                      "assistTackles": "0",
                      "passesDefended": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "interceptionYards": "0",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "12",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "12",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "72"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "44",
                      "rushingYards": "344",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "7.8",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "3",
                      "longRushing": "56"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "5",
                      "receivingYards": "41",
                      "yardsPerReception": "8.2",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "23"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "3",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "3",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "18"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5092200",
            "name": "Preston Rex",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5092200/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.778Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "13",
                      "rushingYards": "30",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "2.3",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "9"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "3",
                      "receivingYards": "50",
                      "yardsPerReception": "16.7",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "32"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "18",
                      "rushingYards": "94",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "5.2",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "longRushing": "20"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "3",
                      "receivingYards": "20",
                      "yardsPerReception": "6.7",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "8"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "2",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "12"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5141367",
            "name": "Bear Bachmeier",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5141367/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.829Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "224",
                      "passingAttempts": "349",
                      "completionPct": "64.2",
                      "passingYards": "2,708",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "7.8",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "14",
                      "interceptions": "6",
                      "longPassing": "85",
                      "sacks": "16",
                      "QBRating": "139.2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "146",
                      "rushingYards": "527",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "3.6",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "11",
                      "longRushing": "22"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "1",
                      "receivingYards": "3",
                      "yardsPerReception": "3.0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "3"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "14",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "11",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "11",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "66"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "55",
                      "passingAttempts": "86",
                      "completionPct": "64.0",
                      "passingYards": "704",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "8.2",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "6",
                      "interceptions": "1",
                      "longPassing": "70",
                      "sacks": "3",
                      "QBRating": "153.5"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "27",
                      "rushingYards": "130",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "4.8",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "4",
                      "longRushing": "21"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "6",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "4",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "4",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "24"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5219689",
            "name": "Sione Moa",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5219689/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.777Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "25",
                      "rushingYards": "119",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "4.8",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "longRushing": "24"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "4",
                      "receivingYards": "26",
                      "yardsPerReception": "6.5",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "12"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "2",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "12"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "18",
                      "rushingYards": "92",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "5.1",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "longRushing": "19"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "6",
                      "receivingYards": "36",
                      "yardsPerReception": "6.0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "17"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "returning",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "puntReturns": "0",
                      "puntReturnYards": "0",
                      "puntReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "puntReturnFairCatches": "0",
                      "longPuntReturn": "0",
                      "kickReturns": "1",
                      "kickReturnYards": "35",
                      "kickReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longKickReturn": "35"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "1",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "6"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "6",
                      "rushingYards": "22",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "3.7",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "7"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "1",
                      "soloTackles": "0",
                      "assistTackles": "1",
                      "passesDefended": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "interceptionYards": "0",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5282663",
            "name": "Devaughn Eka",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5282663/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.814Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "12",
                      "rushingYards": "87",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "7.3",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "longRushing": "16"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "252",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "1",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "6"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          }
        ],
        "currentOpportunities": [
          {
            "player": "LJ Martin",
            "games": 4,
            "starts": 4,
            "carries": 44,
            "rushYards": 344,
            "receptions": 5,
            "receivingYards": 41
          },
          {
            "player": "Sione Moa",
            "games": 1,
            "starts": 0,
            "carries": 6,
            "rushYards": 22,
            "receivingYards": 0,
            "participation": "Utah Tech only; absent Arizona, Colorado State and TCU per participation table."
          },
          {
            "player": "Preston Rex",
            "games": 4,
            "starts": 0,
            "carries": 18,
            "rushYards": 94,
            "receptions": 3,
            "receivingYards": 20
          },
          {
            "player": "Journee Tonga",
            "games": 3,
            "starts": 0,
            "carries": 19,
            "rushYards": 157,
            "receivingYards": 0
          },
          {
            "player": "Devaughn Eka",
            "games": 2,
            "starts": 0,
            "carries": 12,
            "rushYards": 87,
            "receivingYards": 0
          }
        ],
        "descriptiveCalculations": {
          "MartinYPC": 7.818181818181818,
          "RexYPC": 5.222222222222222,
          "TongaYPC": 8.263157894736842,
          "EkaYPC": 7.25,
          "replacementCommittee": {
            "carries": 49,
            "yards": 338,
            "ypc": 6.8979591836734695
          },
          "MartinAllTeamCarryShare": 0.2838709677419355,
          "MoaAllTeamCarryShare": 0.03870967741935484,
          "interpretation": "Observed efficiencies only; freshmen sample and opponent/context differences prevent a replacement-points conversion."
        },
        "exposure": {
          "referenceGames": 4,
          "MartinStarts": 4,
          "MoaAppearances": 1,
          "MoaPriorAbsences": 3,
          "explanation": "Current scoring baseline already contains three games without Moa and the replacement committee. Do not treat all healthy-backfield production as present."
        },
        "workload": "Rex/Tonga/Eka collectively absorb Martin carries and protection responsibilities; Rex has the observed receiving work (3 catches/20 yards). No documented final carry percentages, red-zone carry shares, fumble or pass-protection grades. Do not invent them.",
        "familiarity": "Martin/Moa/Rex share BYU program experience; Tonga/Eka are freshmen. Team familiarity is established; exact practice reps/protection-call experience unmeasured.",
        "uncertainties": [
          "Two completed-season GP/GS incomplete in secondary histories; use official notes when available.",
          "Tonga freshman: 2024/2025 college seasons not applicable; exact new workload unestimated.",
          "Defensive absences and protection interaction cannot be independently converted to opponent points."
        ],
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Two completed-season GP/GS incomplete in secondary histories; use official notes when available.",
          "Tonga freshman: 2024/2025 college seasons not applicable; exact new workload unestimated.",
          "Defensive absences and protection interaction cannot be independently converted to opponent points.",
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Iowa State Cyclones",
          "home": "BYU Cougars",
          "score": [
            18.62707194454634,
            33.10079185559791
          ],
          "own": 33.10079185559791,
          "opponent": 18.62707194454634,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401856826",
        "team": "Iowa State Cyclones",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Jaylen Raynor",
            "Connor Moberly",
            "Zane Flores"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Aiden Flora",
            "Cameron Pettaway"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Dominic Overby",
            "Omari Hayes",
            "Cody Jackson OR Jamal Polite Jr."
          ],
          "TE": [
            "Vince Benetti: 5GP,6rec/62yd/3TD",
            "Tyler Fortenberry:5GP,2rec/10yd",
            "AJ Petersen F/TE; Rylan Barnes reserve OUT"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Rylan Barnes identity resolved by official 2026 roster: current TE/F, formerly LB in 2024/2025. Current 4GP/0GS and no receptions in complete team receiving table. Prior four starts were 2024 linebacker starts, not receiving TE starts. No primary receiving absence trigger.",
        "sources": [
          "ISU official notes",
          "Big12 report",
          "isu_barnes",
          "ISU official notes"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "positionCorrection": {
          "player": "Rylan Barnes",
          "currentPosition": "TE/F",
          "prior2024": {
            "position": "LB",
            "GP": 9,
            "GS": 4,
            "tackles": 30,
            "TFL": 3.5
          },
          "prior2025": {
            "position": "LB",
            "GP": 10,
            "tackles": 10,
            "TFL": 1
          },
          "current2026": {
            "GP": 4,
            "GS": 0,
            "receptions": 0,
            "receivingTableTotalCatches": 73
          },
          "decision": "OUT label does not meet primary receiver threshold; no automatic human deduction."
        },
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Iowa State Cyclones",
          "home": "BYU Cougars",
          "score": [
            18.62707194454634,
            33.10079185559791
          ],
          "own": 18.62707194454634,
          "opponent": 33.10079185559791,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401858254",
        "team": "Florida State Seminoles",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Ashton Daniels"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Ousmane Kromah",
            "Quintrevion Wisner",
            "Samuel Singleton Jr. OUT"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Duce Robinson",
            "Jayvan Boggs",
            "Micahi Danzy",
            "Devin Carter OUT: no receiving production in complete current table"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "Landen Thomas 2rec/13yd/1TD",
            "Desirrio Riles 2rec/9yd",
            "Chase Loftin 1rec/8yd"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Official complete Oct5 cumulative establishes three main WRs and small TE receiving roles. Singleton is a material receiving/change-of-pace back; Kromah and Wisner are the expanded committee candidates. Carter freshman has no current receiving production in the complete table: main-WR trigger not established. Keep isolated Carter hypothetical separate from applicable Singleton scenario.",
        "sources": [
          "ACC report",
          "louisville_preview",
          "fsu_singleton",
          "fsu_carter",
          "FSU current cumulative",
          "fsu_wisner"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [
          {
            "id": "FSU_SINGLETON_ISOLATED",
            "trigger": "Singleton OUT with material committee/receiving workload",
            "status": "APPLICABLE_HUMAN_ONLY",
            "engineId": "primary-2.0.0",
            "overlayVersion": "football-replacement-human-v1",
            "baseForecast": 23.026679207249657,
            "baseAttachment": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
            "statisticalReplacementDelta": null,
            "statisticalReplacementEffect": "UNESTIMATED; no validated player-stat-to-points conversion supplied",
            "statisticalReplacementForecast": null,
            "retainedBaselineSensitivity": true,
            "humanDeduction": -3,
            "additionalAdjustments": 0,
            "additionalAdjustmentsMeaning": "None estimated; does not assert that true effects are zero",
            "adjustedFormula": "P - 3",
            "formulaScope": "P is the parent registered team forecast retained for a labeled human-only sensitivity; do not label this a calibrated replacement forecast",
            "opponentPointAdjustment": 0,
            "opponentAdjustmentReason": "No independent turnover/field-position/tempo conversion; no automatic opponent boost",
            "reason": "28 current touches and three scrimmage touchdowns establish material involvement.",
            "decision": "Scenario score ready; parent applies normal gates and adverse-case test.",
            "baseScorePair": [
              23.026679207249657,
              33.73008313296593
            ],
            "assumption": "Retain registered baseline as a sensitivity anchor; statistical replacement effect remains unestimated, not zero. User human adjustment is separately identified.",
            "baseDecision": "PASS / uncalibrated probability",
            "humanOnlyAdjusted": 20.026679207249657,
            "adjustedScorePair": [
              20.026679207249657,
              33.73008313296593
            ],
            "adjustedTotal": 53.75676234021559,
            "adjustedOwnMargin": -13.703403925716273,
            "totalChange": -3,
            "ownMarginChange": -3,
            "adjustedDecision": "PASS / unchanged; no opposite-side promotion"
          },
          {
            "id": "FSU_CARTER_ISOLATED",
            "trigger": "Carter OUT only if established main-WR role verified",
            "status": "CONDITIONAL_SENSITIVITY_ONLY",
            "engineId": "primary-2.0.0",
            "overlayVersion": "football-replacement-human-v1",
            "baseForecast": 23.026679207249657,
            "baseAttachment": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
            "statisticalReplacementDelta": null,
            "statisticalReplacementEffect": "UNESTIMATED; no validated player-stat-to-points conversion supplied",
            "statisticalReplacementForecast": null,
            "retainedBaselineSensitivity": true,
            "humanDeduction": -3,
            "additionalAdjustments": 0,
            "additionalAdjustmentsMeaning": "None estimated; does not assert that true effects are zero",
            "adjustedFormula": "P - 3",
            "formulaScope": "P is the parent registered team forecast retained for a labeled human-only sensitivity; do not label this a calibrated replacement forecast",
            "opponentPointAdjustment": 0,
            "opponentAdjustmentReason": "No independent turnover/field-position/tempo conversion; no automatic opponent boost",
            "reason": "Freshman bio/no stats does not establish material role; not an automatic production deduction.",
            "decision": "Only conditional adverse branch; parent must test normal gates against this score.",
            "baseScorePair": [
              23.026679207249657,
              33.73008313296593
            ],
            "assumption": "Retain registered baseline as a sensitivity anchor; statistical replacement effect remains unestimated, not zero. User human adjustment is separately identified.",
            "baseDecision": "PASS / uncalibrated probability",
            "humanOnlyAdjusted": 20.026679207249657,
            "adjustedScorePair": [
              20.026679207249657,
              33.73008313296593
            ],
            "adjustedTotal": 53.75676234021559,
            "adjustedOwnMargin": -13.703403925716273,
            "totalChange": -3,
            "ownMarginChange": -3,
            "adjustedDecision": "PASS / unchanged; no opposite-side promotion"
          },
          {
            "id": "FSU_JOINT",
            "trigger": "Singleton/Carter OUT",
            "status": "REFERENCE_AWARE_PRODUCTION_ASSUMPTION",
            "engineId": "primary-2.0.0",
            "overlayVersion": "football-replacement-human-v1",
            "baseForecast": 23.026679207249657,
            "baseAttachment": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
            "statisticalReplacementDelta": null,
            "statisticalReplacementEffect": "UNESTIMATED; no validated player-stat-to-points conversion supplied",
            "statisticalReplacementForecast": null,
            "retainedBaselineSensitivity": true,
            "humanDeduction": -3,
            "additionalAdjustments": 0,
            "additionalAdjustmentsMeaning": "None estimated; does not assert that true effects are zero",
            "adjustedFormula": "P - 3",
            "formulaScope": "P is the parent registered team forecast retained for a labeled human-only sensitivity; do not label this a calibrated replacement forecast",
            "opponentPointAdjustment": 0,
            "opponentAdjustmentReason": "No independent turnover/field-position/tempo conversion; no automatic opponent boost",
            "reason": "Singleton qualifies; Carter not yet shown to qualify. If Carter later qualifies, overlap with shared passing drives/targets must be quantified before combined human assumption is chosen; no automatic -6.",
            "decision": "Scenario score ready; parent applies normal gates and adverse-case test.",
            "baseScorePair": [
              23.026679207249657,
              33.73008313296593
            ],
            "assumption": "Retain registered baseline as a sensitivity anchor; statistical replacement effect remains unestimated, not zero. User human adjustment is separately identified.",
            "baseDecision": "PASS / uncalibrated probability",
            "humanOnlyAdjusted": 20.026679207249657,
            "adjustedScorePair": [
              20.026679207249657,
              33.73008313296593
            ],
            "adjustedTotal": 53.75676234021559,
            "adjustedOwnMargin": -13.703403925716273,
            "totalChange": -3,
            "ownMarginChange": -3,
            "adjustedDecision": "PASS / unchanged; no opposite-side promotion"
          }
        ],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "histories": [
          {
            "id": "4870922",
            "name": "Duce Robinson",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/4870922/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.931Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "30",
                    "team": "usc-trojans",
                    "position": "WR",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "23",
                      "receivingYards": "396",
                      "yardsPerReception": "17.2",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "5",
                      "longReception": "48"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "30",
                    "team": "usc-trojans",
                    "position": "WR",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "0",
                      "soloTackles": "0",
                      "assistTackles": "0",
                      "passesDefended": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "0",
                      "interceptions": "1",
                      "interceptionYards": "35",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "30",
                    "team": "usc-trojans",
                    "position": "WR",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "5",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "5",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "30"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "WR",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "56",
                      "receivingYards": "1,081",
                      "yardsPerReception": "19.3",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "6",
                      "longReception": "82"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "WR",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "1",
                      "soloTackles": "1",
                      "assistTackles": "0",
                      "passesDefended": "1",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "interceptionYards": "0",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "WR",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "6",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "6",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "36"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "WR",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "15",
                      "receivingYards": "280",
                      "yardsPerReception": "18.7",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "longReception": "40"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "WR",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "0",
                      "rushingYards": "-12",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "0.0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "-12"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "WR",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "2",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "12"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "4870955",
            "name": "Samuel Singleton Jr.",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/4870955/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.857Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "21",
                      "rushingYards": "93",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "4.4",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "27"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "3",
                      "receivingYards": "3",
                      "yardsPerReception": "1.0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "4"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "returning",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "puntReturns": "0",
                      "puntReturnYards": "0",
                      "puntReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "puntReturnFairCatches": "0",
                      "longPuntReturn": "0",
                      "kickReturns": "15",
                      "kickReturnYards": "373",
                      "kickReturnTouchdowns": "1",
                      "longKickReturn": "95"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "1",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "1",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "6"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "51",
                      "rushingYards": "360",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "7.1",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "4",
                      "longRushing": "53"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "1",
                      "receivingYards": "16",
                      "yardsPerReception": "16.0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "16"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "returning",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "puntReturns": "0",
                      "puntReturnYards": "0",
                      "puntReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "puntReturnFairCatches": "0",
                      "longPuntReturn": "0",
                      "kickReturns": "2",
                      "kickReturnYards": "33",
                      "kickReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longKickReturn": "18"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "4",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "4",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "24"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "20",
                      "rushingYards": "73",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "3.6",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "longRushing": "20"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "8",
                      "receivingYards": "162",
                      "yardsPerReception": "20.3",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "longReception": "65"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "returning",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "puntReturns": "0",
                      "puntReturnYards": "0",
                      "puntReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "puntReturnFairCatches": "0",
                      "longPuntReturn": "0",
                      "kickReturns": "4",
                      "kickReturnYards": "128",
                      "kickReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longKickReturn": "46"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "2",
                      "soloTackles": "2",
                      "assistTackles": "0",
                      "passesDefended": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "interceptionYards": "0",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "3",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "18"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "4871013",
            "name": "Gemari Sands",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/4871013/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.966Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "2226",
                    "team": "florida-atlantic-owls",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "31",
                      "rushingYards": "117",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "3.8",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "longRushing": "22"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "2226",
                    "team": "florida-atlantic-owls",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "3",
                      "receivingYards": "60",
                      "yardsPerReception": "20.0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "34"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "returning",
                    "teamId": "2226",
                    "team": "florida-atlantic-owls",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "puntReturns": "0",
                      "puntReturnYards": "0",
                      "puntReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "puntReturnFairCatches": "0",
                      "longPuntReturn": "0",
                      "kickReturns": "1",
                      "kickReturnYards": "25",
                      "kickReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longKickReturn": "25"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "2226",
                    "team": "florida-atlantic-owls",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "1",
                      "soloTackles": "1",
                      "assistTackles": "0",
                      "passesDefended": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "interceptionYards": "0",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "2226",
                    "team": "florida-atlantic-owls",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "2",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "12"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "2226",
                    "team": "florida-atlantic-owls",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "105",
                      "rushingYards": "465",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "4.4",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "37"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "2226",
                    "team": "florida-atlantic-owls",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "40",
                      "receivingYards": "217",
                      "yardsPerReception": "5.4",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "18"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "returning",
                    "teamId": "2226",
                    "team": "florida-atlantic-owls",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "puntReturns": "0",
                      "puntReturnYards": "0",
                      "puntReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "puntReturnFairCatches": "0",
                      "longPuntReturn": "0",
                      "kickReturns": "1",
                      "kickReturnYards": "6",
                      "kickReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longKickReturn": "6"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "2226",
                    "team": "florida-atlantic-owls",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "2",
                      "soloTackles": "1",
                      "assistTackles": "1",
                      "passesDefended": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "interceptionYards": "0",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "-",
                      "rushingYards": "-",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "-",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "-",
                      "longRushing": "-"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5079738",
            "name": "Landen Thomas",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5079738/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.953Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "14",
                      "receivingYards": "173",
                      "yardsPerReception": "12.4",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "longReception": "35"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "2",
                      "soloTackles": "1",
                      "assistTackles": "1",
                      "passesDefended": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "interceptionYards": "0",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "1",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "1",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "8"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "3",
                      "receivingYards": "35",
                      "yardsPerReception": "11.7",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "longReception": "25"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "2",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "12"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "2",
                      "receivingYards": "13",
                      "yardsPerReception": "6.5",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "longReception": "11"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "1",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "6"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5141560",
            "name": "Ousmane Kromah",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5141560/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.906Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "72",
                      "rushingYards": "408",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "5.7",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "23"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "9",
                      "receivingYards": "147",
                      "yardsPerReception": "16.3",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "longReception": "43"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "1",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "6"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "81",
                      "rushingYards": "477",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "5.9",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "5",
                      "longRushing": "54"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "7",
                      "receivingYards": "54",
                      "yardsPerReception": "7.7",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "19"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "1",
                      "soloTackles": "1",
                      "assistTackles": "0",
                      "passesDefended": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "interceptionYards": "0",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "52",
                    "team": "florida-state-seminoles",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "5",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "5",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "30"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          }
        ],
        "comparison": {
          "Singleton2024": {
            "carries": 21,
            "rushYards": 93,
            "catches": 3,
            "recYards": 3
          },
          "Singleton2025": {
            "carries": 51,
            "rushYards": 360,
            "catches": 1,
            "recYards": 16
          },
          "Singleton2026": {
            "carries": 20,
            "rushYards": 73,
            "catches": 8,
            "recYards": 162,
            "rushTD": 1,
            "receivingTD": 2
          },
          "Kromah2025": {
            "carries": 72,
            "rushYards": 408,
            "catches": 9,
            "recYards": 147
          },
          "Kromah2026": {
            "carries": 81,
            "rushYards": 477,
            "catches": 7,
            "recYards": 54
          },
          "calculation": {
            "SingletonTouches": 28,
            "SingletonScrimmageYards": 235,
            "SingletonShareOfKromahPlusSingletonCarries": 0.19801980198019803
          },
          "Carter": {
            "2024": "High school; not college-comparable",
            "2025": "High school; not college-comparable",
            "2026": "No receiving row in complete 72-catch cumulative; does not establish primary WR role. Participation/targets unavailable."
          },
          "Wisner2024": {
            "team": "Texas",
            "carries": 226,
            "rushYards": 1064,
            "rushTD": 5,
            "catches": 44,
            "receivingYards": null
          },
          "Wisner2025": {
            "team": "Texas",
            "carries": 131,
            "rushYards": 597,
            "rushTD": 3,
            "receivingYards": null
          },
          "Wisner2026": {
            "team": "FSU",
            "GP": 5,
            "carries": 22,
            "rushYards": 121,
            "catches": 6,
            "receivingYards": 76
          },
          "Kromah2024": "High school; 2026 official roster sophomore and 2025 first college season. Not a fabricated zero."
        },
        "workload": "Kromah is established rushing lead. Lost Singleton routes/carries may go to Kromah and existing receiving options; exact distribution, protection, red-zone opportunities and fumbles unestimated. Do not assign all 8 receptions to Kromah.",
        "familiarity": "Singleton and Kromah have documented prior FSU seasons; Carter first collegiate season. No unsupported inference about personal relationships. Wisner is an offseason Texas transfer with five current FSU appearances, not an in-season trade. Gemari Sands appears on special-teams/defensive cumulative but has no rushing/receiving row; not selected as replacement.",
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "currentReceiving": {
          "team": {
            "catches": 72,
            "yards": 1125
          },
          "Robinson": [
            15,
            280,
            2
          ],
          "Boggs": [
            13,
            257,
            1
          ],
          "Danzy": [
            15,
            243,
            0
          ],
          "Thomas": [
            2,
            13,
            1
          ],
          "Riles": [
            2,
            9,
            0
          ],
          "Loftin": [
            1,
            8,
            0
          ]
        },
        "referenceExposure": {
          "teamGames": 5,
          "SingletonGP": 3,
          "SingletonCarryShare": 0.10362694300518134,
          "SingletonReceptionShare": 0.1111111111111111,
          "warning": "Two baseline games already without Singleton; all five include Kromah and Wisner. Human -3 is additional user scenario judgement, not a statistical subtraction of all season production."
        },
        "expectedOpportunity": "Singleton opportunity may distribute across Kromah/Wisner, main receivers or fewer passes. Existing current committee 103 carries/598 yards and 13 catches/130 yards supports role plausibility. No guaranteed shares, no extrapolation of YPC to points.",
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Florida State Seminoles",
          "home": "Louisville Cardinals",
          "score": [
            23.026679207249657,
            33.73008313296593
          ],
          "own": 23.026679207249657,
          "opponent": 33.73008313296593,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401858254",
        "team": "Louisville Cardinals",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Lincoln Kienholz probable"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Isaac Brown",
            "Keyjuan Brown questionable"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Tre Richardson",
            "Lawayne McCoy",
            "Montavin Quisenberry OUT; main role not verified"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "Jaleel Skinner",
            "Travis Egan OUT",
            "Hamilton Atkins OUT",
            "Brody Foley"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Keyjuan Brown is a material committee back; questionability stays conditional. Kienholz probable remains expected starter unless evidence changes. Skinner is primary receiving TE by 14 catches/260 yards/3 TD; Richardson 28/445. Egan/Atkins OUT do not establish equivalent receiving losses.",
        "sources": [
          "ACC report",
          "louisville_preview"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [
          {
            "id": "LOU_KEYJUAN_ISOLATED",
            "trigger": "Keyjuan Brown OUT or materially limited",
            "status": "CONDITIONAL",
            "engineId": "primary-2.0.0",
            "overlayVersion": "football-replacement-human-v1",
            "baseForecast": 33.73008313296593,
            "baseAttachment": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
            "statisticalReplacementDelta": null,
            "statisticalReplacementEffect": "UNESTIMATED; no validated player-stat-to-points conversion supplied",
            "statisticalReplacementForecast": null,
            "retainedBaselineSensitivity": true,
            "humanDeduction": -3,
            "additionalAdjustments": 0,
            "additionalAdjustmentsMeaning": "None estimated; does not assert that true effects are zero",
            "adjustedFormula": "P - 3",
            "formulaScope": "P is the parent registered team forecast retained for a labeled human-only sensitivity; do not label this a calibrated replacement forecast",
            "opponentPointAdjustment": 0,
            "opponentAdjustmentReason": "No independent turnover/field-position/tempo conversion; no automatic opponent boost",
            "reason": "Questionable is not OUT; use healthy branch with zero human deduction, adverse availability branch with -3.",
            "decision": "Only conditional adverse branch; parent must test normal gates against this score.",
            "baseScorePair": [
              23.026679207249657,
              33.73008313296593
            ],
            "assumption": "Retain registered baseline as a sensitivity anchor; statistical replacement effect remains unestimated, not zero. User human adjustment is separately identified.",
            "baseDecision": "PASS / uncalibrated probability",
            "humanOnlyAdjusted": 30.73008313296593,
            "adjustedScorePair": [
              23.026679207249657,
              30.73008313296593
            ],
            "adjustedTotal": 53.75676234021559,
            "adjustedOwnMargin": 7.703403925716273,
            "totalChange": -3,
            "ownMarginChange": -3,
            "adjustedDecision": "PASS / unchanged; no opposite-side promotion"
          },
          {
            "id": "LOU_KIENHOLZ_ISOLATED",
            "trigger": "Kienholz unexpectedly unavailable/materially limited",
            "status": "NOT_ACTIVATED_PROBABLE_QB",
            "engineId": "primary-2.0.0",
            "overlayVersion": "football-replacement-human-v1",
            "baseForecast": 33.73008313296593,
            "baseAttachment": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
            "statisticalReplacementDelta": null,
            "statisticalReplacementEffect": "UNESTIMATED; no validated player-stat-to-points conversion supplied",
            "statisticalReplacementForecast": null,
            "retainedBaselineSensitivity": true,
            "humanDeduction": null,
            "additionalAdjustments": 0,
            "additionalAdjustmentsMeaning": "None estimated; does not assert that true effects are zero",
            "adjustedFormula": "P - 3",
            "formulaScope": "P is the parent registered team forecast retained for a labeled human-only sensitivity; do not label this a calibrated replacement forecast",
            "opponentPointAdjustment": 0,
            "opponentAdjustmentReason": "No independent turnover/field-position/tempo conversion; no automatic opponent boost",
            "reason": "Probable alone does not trigger; replacement QB identity/role must be confirmed before activation.",
            "decision": "Kienholz probable, no verified material limitation; current applicable adverse branch is Keyjuan only. Unexpected QB OUT would require new backup review before activating this optional scenario.",
            "baseScorePair": [
              23.026679207249657,
              33.73008313296593
            ],
            "assumption": "Retain registered baseline as a sensitivity anchor; statistical replacement effect remains unestimated, not zero. User human adjustment is separately identified.",
            "baseDecision": "PASS / uncalibrated probability",
            "humanOnlyAdjusted": null,
            "adjustedScorePair": null,
            "adjustedDecision": "PASS / unchanged; no opposite-side promotion"
          },
          {
            "id": "LOU_JOINT",
            "trigger": "Keyjuan unavailable/materially limited with Kienholz still probable and expected to play",
            "status": "CONDITIONAL_KEYJUAN_OUT_KIENHOLZ_PROBABLE",
            "engineId": "primary-2.0.0",
            "overlayVersion": "football-replacement-human-v1",
            "baseForecast": 33.73008313296593,
            "baseAttachment": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
            "statisticalReplacementDelta": null,
            "statisticalReplacementEffect": "UNESTIMATED; no validated player-stat-to-points conversion supplied",
            "statisticalReplacementForecast": null,
            "retainedBaselineSensitivity": true,
            "humanDeduction": -3,
            "additionalAdjustments": 0,
            "additionalAdjustmentsMeaning": "None estimated; does not assert that true effects are zero",
            "adjustedFormula": "Retained registered baseline - 3.0 for Keyjuan unavailable branch; Kienholz remains probable and expected active.",
            "formulaScope": "P is the parent registered team forecast retained for a labeled human-only sensitivity; do not label this a calibrated replacement forecast",
            "opponentPointAdjustment": 0,
            "opponentAdjustmentReason": "No independent turnover/field-position/tempo conversion; no automatic opponent boost",
            "reason": "Only Keyjuan independently qualifies in this evaluated joint status branch; Kienholz probable is not a second demonstrated disruption. Shared offense and protection interactions do not justify blind -6. True double-unavailable QB/RB branch not activated and would require new backup review.",
            "decision": "Only conditional adverse branch; parent must test normal gates against this score.",
            "baseScorePair": [
              23.026679207249657,
              33.73008313296593
            ],
            "assumption": "Retain registered baseline as a sensitivity anchor; statistical replacement effect remains unestimated, not zero. User human adjustment is separately identified.",
            "baseDecision": "PASS / uncalibrated probability",
            "humanOnlyAdjusted": 30.73008313296593,
            "adjustedScorePair": [
              23.026679207249657,
              30.73008313296593
            ],
            "adjustedTotal": 53.75676234021559,
            "adjustedOwnMargin": 7.703403925716273,
            "totalChange": -3,
            "ownMarginChange": -3,
            "adjustedDecision": "PASS / unchanged; no opposite-side promotion"
          }
        ],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "histories": [
          {
            "id": "4819226",
            "name": "Brody Foley",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/4819226/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.039Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "202",
                    "team": "tulsa-golden-hurricane",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "37",
                      "receivingYards": "528",
                      "yardsPerReception": "14.3",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "7",
                      "longReception": "72"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "202",
                    "team": "tulsa-golden-hurricane",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "5",
                      "rushingYards": "12",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "2.4",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "longRushing": "5"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "202",
                    "team": "tulsa-golden-hurricane",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "1",
                      "soloTackles": "1",
                      "assistTackles": "0",
                      "passesDefended": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "interceptionYards": "0",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "202",
                    "team": "tulsa-golden-hurricane",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "7",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "9",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "54"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "2",
                      "receivingYards": "13",
                      "yardsPerReception": "6.5",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "10"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "4923046",
            "name": "Keyjuan Brown",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/4923046/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.982Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "47",
                      "rushingYards": "243",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "5.2",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "3",
                      "longRushing": "24"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "5",
                      "receivingYards": "53",
                      "yardsPerReception": "10.6",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "24"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "1",
                      "soloTackles": "0",
                      "assistTackles": "1",
                      "passesDefended": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "interceptionYards": "0",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "3",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "3",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "18"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "81",
                      "rushingYards": "592",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "7.3",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "6",
                      "longRushing": "67"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "11",
                      "receivingYards": "118",
                      "yardsPerReception": "10.7",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "38"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "returning",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "puntReturns": "0",
                      "puntReturnYards": "0",
                      "puntReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "puntReturnFairCatches": "0",
                      "longPuntReturn": "0",
                      "kickReturns": "1",
                      "kickReturnYards": "65",
                      "kickReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longKickReturn": "65"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "2",
                      "soloTackles": "1",
                      "assistTackles": "1",
                      "passesDefended": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "interceptionYards": "0",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "6",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "6",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "36"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "38",
                      "rushingYards": "367",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "9.7",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "3",
                      "longRushing": "58"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "2",
                      "receivingYards": "18",
                      "yardsPerReception": "9.0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "13"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "returning",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "puntReturns": "0",
                      "puntReturnYards": "0",
                      "puntReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "puntReturnFairCatches": "0",
                      "longPuntReturn": "0",
                      "kickReturns": "5",
                      "kickReturnYards": "109",
                      "kickReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longKickReturn": "40"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "3",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "3",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "18"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5078278",
            "name": "Lincoln Kienholz",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5078278/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.041Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "194",
                    "team": "ohio-state-buckeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "11",
                      "passingAttempts": "14",
                      "completionPct": "78.6",
                      "passingYards": "139",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "9.9",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "longPassing": "23",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "QBRating": "185.5"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "194",
                    "team": "ohio-state-buckeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "11",
                      "rushingYards": "66",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "6.0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "longRushing": "22"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "194",
                    "team": "ohio-state-buckeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "2",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "12"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "96",
                      "passingAttempts": "139",
                      "completionPct": "69.1",
                      "passingYards": "1,394",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "10.0",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "9",
                      "interceptions": "1",
                      "longPassing": "69",
                      "sacks": "10",
                      "QBRating": "173.1"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "52",
                      "rushingYards": "158",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "3.0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "6",
                      "longRushing": "41"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "9",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "6",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "6",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "36"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5079349",
            "name": "Isaac Brown",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5079349/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.038Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "147",
                      "rushingYards": "1,074",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "7.3",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "11",
                      "longRushing": "77"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "30",
                      "receivingYards": "152",
                      "yardsPerReception": "5.1",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "longReception": "13"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "returning",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "puntReturns": "2",
                      "puntReturnYards": "9",
                      "puntReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "puntReturnFairCatches": "0",
                      "longPuntReturn": "9",
                      "kickReturns": "11",
                      "kickReturnYards": "193",
                      "kickReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longKickReturn": "25"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "11",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "12",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "72"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "91",
                      "rushingYards": "782",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "8.6",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "5",
                      "longRushing": "78"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "11",
                      "receivingYards": "42",
                      "yardsPerReception": "3.8",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "12"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "5",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "5",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "30"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "57",
                      "rushingYards": "322",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "5.6",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "longRushing": "70"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "9",
                      "receivingYards": "41",
                      "yardsPerReception": "4.6",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "32"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "returning",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "puntReturns": "0",
                      "puntReturnYards": "0",
                      "puntReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "puntReturnFairCatches": "0",
                      "longPuntReturn": "0",
                      "kickReturns": "4",
                      "kickReturnYards": "82",
                      "kickReturnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longKickReturn": "21"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "RB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "2",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "12"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5151017",
            "name": "Travis Egan",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5151017/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.036Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "2",
                      "rushingYards": "11",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "5.5",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "9"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "defensive",
                    "teamId": "97",
                    "team": "louisville-cardinals",
                    "position": "TE",
                    "metrics": {
                      "totalTackles": "8",
                      "soloTackles": "4",
                      "assistTackles": "4",
                      "passesDefended": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "fumblesForced": "1",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "interceptionYards": "0",
                      "interceptionTouchdowns": "0"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5164691",
            "name": "Montavin Quisenberry",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5164691/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.101Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "96",
                    "team": "kentucky-wildcats",
                    "position": "WR",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "1",
                      "receivingYards": "4",
                      "yardsPerReception": "4.0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "4"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          }
        ],
        "comparison": {
          "Keyjuan2024": {
            "carries": 47,
            "yards": 243,
            "catches": 5,
            "recYards": 53
          },
          "Keyjuan2025": {
            "carries": 81,
            "yards": 592,
            "catches": 11,
            "recYards": 118
          },
          "Keyjuan2026": {
            "carries": 38,
            "yards": 367,
            "catches": 2,
            "recYards": 18
          },
          "Isaac2024": {
            "carries": 147,
            "yards": 1074
          },
          "Isaac2025": {
            "carries": 91,
            "yards": 782
          },
          "Isaac2026": {
            "carries": 57,
            "yards": 322,
            "catches": 9,
            "recYards": 41
          },
          "calculation": {
            "KeyjuanShareOfTwoBrownCarries": 0.4,
            "KeyjuanYPC": 9.657894736842104,
            "IsaacYPC": 5.649122807017544
          },
          "interpretation": "Descriptive rushing efficiency is not transferable to an expanded workload or a score coefficient."
        },
        "offensiveLineContext": [
          "Bryten Close OUT",
          "Sam Secrest OUT",
          "Cason Henry questionable",
          "Ellis McAdoo probable",
          "Anwar O\u2019neal probable"
        ],
        "workload": "Isaac is existing larger carry-share back; Keyjuan absence would redistribute committee carries. No sourced final shares or independent protection conversion. Passing/protection consequences overlap QB and RB availability.",
        "familiarity": "Both Browns documented at Louisville in 2024/2025. Kienholz Ohio State 2025 and Louisville 2026 remain separate system samples; current Louisville 96/139, 1394 yards, 9 TD/1 INT, 10 sacks. No invented transfer conversion.",
        "uncertainties": [
          "Exact 2024/2025/current GP/GS missing from several secondary histories.",
          "Egan former-QB rushing history is not evidence of current TE receiving replacement impact.",
          "Quisenberry/Atkins current material role not established; no automatic -3."
        ],
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Exact 2024/2025/current GP/GS missing from several secondary histories.",
          "Egan former-QB rushing history is not evidence of current TE receiving replacement impact.",
          "Quisenberry/Atkins current material role not established; no automatic -3.",
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "optionalFutureScenarioGaps": [
          "Unexpected change of Kienholz from probable to unavailable would need backup histories/opportunity review; not a current trigger."
        ],
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Florida State Seminoles",
          "home": "Louisville Cardinals",
          "score": [
            23.026679207249657,
            33.73008313296593
          ],
          "own": 33.73008313296593,
          "opponent": 23.026679207249657,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401858487",
        "team": "Iowa Hawkeyes",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Hank Brown questionable/limited",
            "Jeremy Hecklinski conditional replacement"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Kamari Moulton",
            "LJ Phillips",
            "Braeden Jackson",
            "Xavier Williams",
            "Nathan McNeil"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Tony Diaz",
            "Reece Vander Zee"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "DJ Vonnahme:4GP,16rec/175yd (primary receiving TE)",
            "Addison Ostrenga:5GP,7rec/70yd/1TD",
            "Zach Ortwerth:5GP,3rec/26yd",
            "Thomas Meyer:5GP,2rec/10yd"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Oct6 official coach transcript explicitly says Brown limited and team preparing Hecklinski. Coach praises replacement practice readiness; not evidence of no system familiarity. This material scenario was absent from initial saved review. Complete Oct4 cumulative and official Vonnahme bio establish the receiving TE hierarchy. Brown 5GP in cumulative supersedes stale four-game note; final QB availability remains conditional. Prior RB limitations are not automatically current OUT designations.",
        "sources": [
          "iowa_press",
          "iowa_notes",
          "iowa_brown",
          "iowa_hecklinski",
          "Iowa current cumulative",
          "iowa_vonnahme"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [
          {
            "id": "IOWA_BROWN_ISOLATED",
            "trigger": "Brown unavailable or materially limited and Hecklinski replaces",
            "status": "CONDITIONAL",
            "engineId": "primary-2.0.0",
            "overlayVersion": "football-replacement-human-v1",
            "baseForecast": 20.12233519905464,
            "baseAttachment": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
            "statisticalReplacementDelta": null,
            "statisticalReplacementEffect": "UNESTIMATED; no validated player-stat-to-points conversion supplied",
            "statisticalReplacementForecast": null,
            "retainedBaselineSensitivity": true,
            "humanDeduction": -3,
            "additionalAdjustments": 0,
            "additionalAdjustmentsMeaning": "None estimated; does not assert that true effects are zero",
            "adjustedFormula": "P - 3",
            "formulaScope": "P is the parent registered team forecast retained for a labeled human-only sensitivity; do not label this a calibrated replacement forecast",
            "opponentPointAdjustment": 0,
            "opponentAdjustmentReason": "No independent turnover/field-position/tempo conversion; no automatic opponent boost",
            "reason": "Established QB role plus official limitation; preserve fully available branch at baseline. No opponent boost or calibrated QB point conversion.",
            "decision": "Only conditional adverse branch; parent must test normal gates against this score.",
            "baseScorePair": [
              20.12233519905464,
              26.308136230171403
            ],
            "assumption": "Retain registered baseline as a sensitivity anchor; statistical replacement effect remains unestimated, not zero. User human adjustment is separately identified.",
            "baseDecision": "PASS / uncalibrated probability",
            "humanOnlyAdjusted": 17.12233519905464,
            "adjustedScorePair": [
              17.12233519905464,
              26.308136230171403
            ],
            "adjustedTotal": 43.430471429226046,
            "adjustedOwnMargin": -9.185801031116764,
            "totalChange": -3,
            "ownMarginChange": -3,
            "adjustedDecision": "PASS / unchanged; no opposite-side promotion"
          }
        ],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "histories": [
          {
            "id": "5089314",
            "name": "Hank Brown",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5089314/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:34:41.706Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "2",
                    "team": "auburn-tigers",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "27",
                      "passingAttempts": "43",
                      "completionPct": "62.8",
                      "passingYards": "403",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "9.4",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "6",
                      "interceptions": "3",
                      "longPassing": "57",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "QBRating": "173.6"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "2",
                    "team": "auburn-tigers",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "3",
                      "rushingYards": "10",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "3.3",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "9"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "2",
                    "team": "auburn-tigers",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "6",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "0"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "Missing row is unavailable, not zero; primary biography supplements below."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "2294",
                    "team": "iowa-hawkeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "11",
                      "passingAttempts": "21",
                      "completionPct": "52.4",
                      "passingYards": "107",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "5.1",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "interceptions": "1",
                      "longPassing": "32",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "QBRating": "101.4"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "2294",
                    "team": "iowa-hawkeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "3",
                      "rushingYards": "-3",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "-1.0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "longRushing": "1"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "2294",
                    "team": "iowa-hawkeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "1",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "6"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "Missing row is unavailable, not zero; primary biography supplements below."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "2294",
                    "team": "iowa-hawkeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "78",
                      "passingAttempts": "124",
                      "completionPct": "62.9",
                      "passingYards": "832",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "6.7",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "5",
                      "interceptions": "1",
                      "longPassing": "56",
                      "sacks": "4",
                      "QBRating": "130.9"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "2294",
                    "team": "iowa-hawkeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "17",
                      "rushingYards": "16",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "0.9",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "longRushing": "10"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "2294",
                    "team": "iowa-hawkeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "5",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "1",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "6"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "Missing row is unavailable, not zero; primary biography supplements below."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5121030",
            "name": "Jeremy Hecklinski",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5121030/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:34:41.774Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "Missing row is unavailable, not zero; primary biography supplements below."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "2294",
                    "team": "iowa-hawkeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "2",
                      "passingAttempts": "2",
                      "completionPct": "100.0",
                      "passingYards": "8",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "4.0",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "longPassing": "6",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "QBRating": "133.6"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "2294",
                    "team": "iowa-hawkeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "1",
                      "rushingYards": "6",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "6.0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "longRushing": "6"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "2294",
                    "team": "iowa-hawkeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "1",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "6"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "Missing row is unavailable, not zero; primary biography supplements below."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "2294",
                    "team": "iowa-hawkeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "18",
                      "passingAttempts": "32",
                      "completionPct": "56.3",
                      "passingYards": "208",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "6.5",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "interceptions": "1",
                      "longPassing": "24",
                      "sacks": "1",
                      "QBRating": "115.0"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "2294",
                    "team": "iowa-hawkeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "2",
                      "rushingYards": "5",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "2.5",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "16"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "2294",
                    "team": "iowa-hawkeyes",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "0"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "Missing row is unavailable, not zero; primary biography supplements below."
              }
            ]
          }
        ],
        "primaryHistory": {
          "Brown": {
            "2024": {
              "team": "Auburn",
              "games": 3,
              "starts": 2,
              "completions": 27,
              "attempts": 43,
              "yards": 403,
              "TD": 6,
              "INT": 3
            },
            "2025": {
              "team": "Iowa",
              "games": 3,
              "starts": null,
              "completions": 11,
              "attempts": 21,
              "yards": 107,
              "TD": 1,
              "INT": 1
            },
            "2026": {
              "team": "Iowa",
              "starts": 5,
              "completions": 78,
              "attempts": 124,
              "yards": 832,
              "TD": 5,
              "INT": 1,
              "rushAttempts": 17,
              "rushYards": 16
            }
          },
          "Hecklinski": {
            "2024": {
              "team": "Wake Forest",
              "games": 1,
              "starts": null,
              "snaps": 3
            },
            "2025": {
              "team": "Iowa",
              "games": 2,
              "starts": null,
              "completions": 2,
              "attempts": 2,
              "yards": 8,
              "rushAttempts": 1,
              "rushYards": 6,
              "rushTD": 1
            },
            "2026": {
              "team": "Iowa",
              "games": 3,
              "starts": 0,
              "completions": 18,
              "attempts": 32,
              "yards": 208,
              "TD": 1,
              "INT": 1,
              "rushAttempts": 2,
              "rushYards": 5
            }
          },
          "conflicts": "Oct5 notes refer to Brown in four games, official player bio says started five; preserve source discrepancy. Sept7 notes say Hecklinski completed only pass in 2025, later official biography explicitly lists two one-pass appearances, aligned with stats. Use latest detailed bio."
        },
        "calculation": {
          "Brown2026YPA": 6.709677419354839,
          "Hecklinski2026YPA": 6.5,
          "Brown2026Sacks": 4,
          "Hecklinski2026Sacks": 1,
          "passingOpportunityShareBrown": 0.7948717948717948,
          "interpretation": "Small mixed-competition samples; no defensible points conversion. Both already played in current baseline."
        },
        "exposure": "Week1 official notes: Brown 5 series/283 yards/27 team points, Hecklinski 5 series/154 yards/7 points. Not comparable drive-quality samples. Hecklinski also appeared versus UNI and Ohio State; mixed baseline, not all Brown.",
        "context": "Short week and trip to Seattle, 6pm local kickoff. Coach notes growing offensive line with three new starters; practice familiarity positive. No extra travel, protection or weather numeric overlay without independent method.",
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "currentReceiving": {
          "teamCatches": 98,
          "DJVonnahme": {
            "GP": 4,
            "catches": 16,
            "yards": 175,
            "share": 0.16326530612244897
          },
          "Ostrenga": {
            "GP": 5,
            "catches": 7,
            "yards": 70,
            "TD": 1
          },
          "Diaz": {
            "GP": 5,
            "catches": 25,
            "yards": 306,
            "TD": 1
          },
          "VanderZee": {
            "GP": 5,
            "catches": 13,
            "yards": 178,
            "TD": 2
          }
        },
        "currentRushing": {
          "Moulton": {
            "GP": 4,
            "carries": 50,
            "yards": 311
          },
          "Jackson": {
            "GP": 4,
            "carries": 19,
            "yards": 170
          },
          "XavierWilliams": {
            "GP": 5,
            "carries": 19,
            "yards": 167
          },
          "McNeil": {
            "GP": 3,
            "carries": 21,
            "yards": 128
          },
          "Phillips": {
            "GP": 2,
            "carries": 8,
            "yards": 21
          }
        },
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Iowa Hawkeyes",
          "home": "Washington Huskies",
          "score": [
            20.12233519905464,
            26.308136230171403
          ],
          "own": 20.12233519905464,
          "opponent": 26.308136230171403,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401858487",
        "team": "Washington Huskies",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Demond Williams:110/163,1327yd,8TD/3INT;53rush/191yd in5GP"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Brian Bonner Jr:41/215 in4GP",
            "Trey Cooley:23/50 in5GP",
            "Jayden Limar:12/47 in1GP"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Dezmen Roebuck:35/338",
            "Chris Lawson:18/294",
            "Rashid Williams:11/184"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "Baron Naone:16/245/2TD",
            "Decker DeGraaf:11/135/1TD; both material receiving roles"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Complete official 2026 cumulative and roster establish current core. Games missed alone do not prove new absence. No verified new qualifying covered-role absence in captured sources.",
        "sources": [
          "washington_preview",
          "iowa_press",
          "washington_stats"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Iowa Hawkeyes",
          "home": "Washington Huskies",
          "score": [
            20.12233519905464,
            26.308136230171403
          ],
          "own": 26.308136230171403,
          "opponent": 20.12233519905464,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401860922",
        "team": "Utah State Aggies",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "McCae Hillstead first on Oct8 depth",
            "Grady Brosterhous current statistical leader/recent starter"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Javen Jacobs",
            "Noah White",
            "Nehemiah Washington"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Eli Wood",
            "Javon Robinson",
            "Anthony Garcia",
            "Demick Starling"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "Collin Remenowsky",
            "Kauasi Hansen",
            "Kache Kaio"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Official Oct8 depth lists Hillstead first while narrative says Brosterhous started last four; both played Boise State. This establishes mixed opportunity and possible depth displacement, not a verified injury. Default retains mixed Primary baseline; isolated availability sensitivity activates only if established QB is unavailable/materially limited.",
        "sources": [
          "usu_notes",
          "usu_preview",
          "usu_hillstead",
          "usu_brosterhous",
          "usu_stats"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [
          {
            "id": "USU_QB_CHANGE_CONDITIONAL",
            "trigger": "Confirmed established-QB unavailability/material limitation only; current depth change alone does not activate",
            "status": "CONDITIONAL_AVAILABILITY_ONLY_NOT_DEPTH_DISPLACEMENT",
            "engineId": "primary-2.0.0",
            "overlayVersion": "football-replacement-human-v1",
            "baseForecast": 29.209228794314242,
            "baseAttachment": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
            "statisticalReplacementDelta": null,
            "statisticalReplacementEffect": "UNESTIMATED; no validated player-stat-to-points conversion supplied",
            "statisticalReplacementForecast": null,
            "retainedBaselineSensitivity": true,
            "humanDeduction": -3,
            "additionalAdjustments": 0,
            "additionalAdjustmentsMeaning": "None estimated; does not assert that true effects are zero",
            "adjustedFormula": "P - 3",
            "formulaScope": "P is the parent registered team forecast retained for a labeled human-only sensitivity; do not label this a calibrated replacement forecast",
            "opponentPointAdjustment": 0,
            "opponentAdjustmentReason": "No independent turnover/field-position/tempo conversion; no automatic opponent boost",
            "reason": "Depth chart change alone is not an availability trigger; healthy competition/rotation gets no automatic injury overlay.",
            "decision": "Only conditional adverse branch; parent must test normal gates against this score.",
            "baseScorePair": [
              20.694605126616768,
              29.209228794314242
            ],
            "assumption": "Retain registered baseline as a sensitivity anchor; statistical replacement effect remains unestimated, not zero. User human adjustment is separately identified.",
            "baseDecision": "PASS / uncalibrated probability",
            "humanOnlyAdjusted": 26.209228794314242,
            "adjustedScorePair": [
              20.694605126616768,
              26.209228794314242
            ],
            "adjustedTotal": 46.90383392093101,
            "adjustedOwnMargin": 5.5146236676974745,
            "totalChange": -3,
            "ownMarginChange": -3,
            "adjustedDecision": "PASS / unchanged; no opposite-side promotion"
          }
        ],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "comparison": {
          "Brosterhous2026": {
            "GP": 5,
            "GS": 4,
            "completions": 67,
            "attempts": 116,
            "yards": 764,
            "TD": 6,
            "INT": 6,
            "rushAttempts": 74,
            "rushYards": 232
          },
          "HillsteadSeasonOpener": {
            "completions": 15,
            "attempts": 30,
            "yards": 178,
            "TD": 2,
            "INT": 3,
            "rushAttempts": 9,
            "rushYards": 43
          },
          "lastGame": {
            "Brosterhous": {
              "completions": 12,
              "attempts": 18,
              "yards": 129,
              "TD": 2
            },
            "Hillstead": {
              "completions": 2,
              "attempts": 7,
              "yards": 47,
              "INT": 1
            }
          },
          "Jacobs": {
            "carries": 55,
            "yards": 331,
            "TD": 1
          },
          "Wood": {
            "catches": 30,
            "yards": 388,
            "TD": 4
          },
          "Hillstead2026": {
            "GP": 2,
            "GS": 1,
            "completions": 17,
            "attempts": 37,
            "yards": 225,
            "TD": 2,
            "INT": 4,
            "rushAttempts": 15,
            "rushYards": 53
          }
        },
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "histories": [
          {
            "id": "4923285",
            "name": "McCae Hillstead",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/4923285/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:58.836Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": []
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "4",
                      "passingAttempts": "5",
                      "completionPct": "80.0",
                      "passingYards": "33",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "6.6",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "longPassing": "13",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "QBRating": "135.4"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "team": "byu-cougars",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "4",
                      "rushingYards": "27",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "6.8",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "13"
                    }
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "team": "utah-state-aggies",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "17",
                      "passingAttempts": "37",
                      "completionPct": "45.9",
                      "passingYards": "225",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "6.1",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "interceptions": "4",
                      "longPassing": "25",
                      "sacks": "3",
                      "QBRating": "93.4"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "team": "utah-state-aggies",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "15",
                      "rushingYards": "53",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "3.5",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "14"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "team": "utah-state-aggies",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "0"
                    }
                  }
                ]
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5081197",
            "name": "Grady Brosterhous",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5081197/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:58.868Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "team": "virginia-cavaliers",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "0",
                      "passingAttempts": "0",
                      "completionPct": "0.0",
                      "passingYards": "0",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "0.0",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "longPassing": "0",
                      "sacks": "0",
                      "QBRating": "0.0"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "team": "virginia-cavaliers",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "10",
                      "rushingYards": "14",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "1.4",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "4",
                      "longRushing": "5"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "team": "virginia-cavaliers",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "4",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "4",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "24"
                    }
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": []
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "team": "utah-state-aggies",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "67",
                      "passingAttempts": "116",
                      "completionPct": "57.8",
                      "passingYards": "764",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "6.6",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "6",
                      "interceptions": "6",
                      "longPassing": "78",
                      "sacks": "14",
                      "QBRating": "119.9"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "team": "utah-state-aggies",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "74",
                      "rushingYards": "232",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "3.1",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "22"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "team": "utah-state-aggies",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "6",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "0"
                    }
                  }
                ]
              }
            ]
          }
        ],
        "priorSeasonVerification": {
          "Hillstead2024": "BYU redshirt; did not play, verified official biography",
          "Hillstead2025": {
            "team": "BYU",
            "GP": 5,
            "passing": "4/5 33yd",
            "rushing": "5/28yd"
          },
          "Brosterhous2024": {
            "team": "Virginia",
            "GP": 7,
            "rushing": "10/14yd/4TD",
            "passing": "Prior four-year aggregate not assigned to this season; see separate ESPN row if present"
          },
          "Brosterhous2025": "Virginia: missed season with injury, official biography confirms no games"
        },
        "referenceExposure": {
          "games": 5,
          "BrosterhousStarts": 4,
          "HillsteadStarts": 1,
          "lastGameBothPlayed": true
        },
        "expectedOpportunity": "If Hillstead starts by depth choice, project qualitative redistribution from a four-Brosterhous-start baseline; no injury overlay. If an established QB is confirmed unavailable, remaining QB expected starter opportunity, with passing/rushing mix unestimated.",
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Washington State Cougars",
          "home": "Utah State Aggies",
          "score": [
            20.694605126616768,
            29.209228794314242
          ],
          "own": 29.209228794314242,
          "opponent": 20.694605126616768,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401860922",
        "team": "Washington State Cougars",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Caden Pinnick"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Maxwell Woods",
            "Kirby Vorhees"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Tony Freeman",
            "Daniel Blood/Darrius Clemons roster candidates; targets incomplete"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "Jack Pedersen"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Official preview names Pinnick starter since Aug24; Woods/Vorhees each exceeded 100 yards versus Duquesne. Returning Freeman, Vorhees and tackles Ashton Tripp/Jonny Lester provide continuity; new coach Kirby Moore and 29 transfers are offseason changes, not in-season trades.",
        "sources": [
          "wsu_preview"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "comparison": {
          "Pinnick2025": {
            "team": "UC Davis",
            "passingYards": 3206,
            "TD": 32,
            "INT": 10,
            "rushYards": 437,
            "rushTD": 3
          },
          "Pinnick2026": {
            "rushes10Plus": 13
          },
          "WoodsDuquesne": {
            "rushYards": 116
          },
          "VorheesDuquesne": {
            "rushYards": 109,
            "rushTD": 2
          },
          "warning": "Separate FCS/FBS and former/current team; no invented translation."
        },
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Washington State Cougars",
          "home": "Utah State Aggies",
          "score": [
            20.694605126616768,
            29.209228794314242
          ],
          "own": 20.694605126616768,
          "opponent": 29.209228794314242,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401864519",
        "team": "San Jos\u00e9 State Spartans",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Luke Weaver"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Jabari Bates"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Carson Clark",
            "Cooper Hoch"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "Kamaehu Kopa-Kaawalauole:4GP,3rec/18yd/1TD; first on Oct5 depth",
            "Ryan Boultwood: next depth; other TEs no current catches"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Oct game preview identifies current passing/rushing/receiving core, including Bates 104 carries of 170 team rushes. No verified covered-role absence in reviewed preview, but preview is not a final availability report. Official Oct5 depth/complete cumulative resolves TE role; five observed targets over two games is limited receiving use, not a new primary receiver absence.",
        "sources": [
          "sjsu_preview"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "comparison": {
          "Weaver": {
            "passingYards": 1278,
            "TD": 11
          },
          "Bates": {
            "carries": 104,
            "rushYards": 487,
            "shareOfTeamCarries": 0.611764705882353
          },
          "Clark": {
            "receivingYards": 314,
            "TD": 4,
            "receptions": "at least five in each of five games"
          },
          "HochEasternMichigan": {
            "catches": 5,
            "yards": 115,
            "TD": 2
          }
        },
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Wyoming Cowboys",
          "home": "San Jos\u00e9 State Spartans",
          "score": [
            17.687278564723727,
            26.330594408753928
          ],
          "own": 26.330594408753928,
          "opponent": 17.687278564723727,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401864519",
        "team": "Wyoming Cowboys",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Tyler Hughes",
            "Mason Drube OR Landon Sims"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Samuel Harris",
            "Markell Holman"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Charlie Coenen",
            "Jackson Holman",
            "Eric Richardson"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "Jake Wilson",
            "Kyle Frendt"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Official SJSU-week depth and current statistics resolve core roles. Jake Wilson is leading receiving TE (12/158); explicitly included. No qualifying absence identified in these current notes.",
        "sources": [
          "wyoming_notes",
          "wyoming_preview"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "comparison": {
          "Hughes": {
            "completions": 66,
            "attempts": 112,
            "yards": 708,
            "TD": 2,
            "INT": 6
          },
          "Harris": {
            "carries": 52,
            "rushYards": 257,
            "catches": 10,
            "recYards": 58
          },
          "MarkellHolman": {
            "carries": 46,
            "rushYards": 260
          },
          "Wilson": {
            "catches": 12,
            "yards": 158
          },
          "interpretation": "No confirmed replacement trigger; retain baseline without a speculative personnel deduction."
        },
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Wyoming Cowboys",
          "home": "San Jos\u00e9 State Spartans",
          "score": [
            17.687278564723727,
            26.330594408753928
          ],
          "own": 17.687278564723727,
          "opponent": 26.330594408753928,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401868329",
        "team": "Alabama State Hornets",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Aaron Frye recent starter",
            "Andrew Body prior starter"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Jamarie Hostzclaw",
            "Jareese Howard",
            "TJ Ramsey"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Randall King",
            "Daionte DJ Hicks",
            "Kareem Keye",
            "John Austin (official WR, not TE):5/57/1TD"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "All five official roster TEs have no catches in full 60rec/655yd current table; no primary receiving TE"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Opponent official Oct8 preview confirms Frye started last two games and Body first three. Change is real, but current Body availability/reason not confirmed by consulted sources. Do not call it an injury by inference.",
        "sources": [
          "famu_preview",
          "alabama_stats",
          "alabama_body",
          "alst_frye",
          "football-role-supplement-ivy.json"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [
          {
            "id": "ASU_BODY_FRYE_CONDITIONAL",
            "trigger": "Body unavailable/materially limited with Frye replacement",
            "status": "CONDITIONAL_TRIGGER",
            "engineId": "primary-2.0.0",
            "overlayVersion": "football-replacement-human-v1",
            "baseForecast": 39.417988798790084,
            "baseAttachment": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
            "statisticalReplacementDelta": null,
            "statisticalReplacementEffect": "UNESTIMATED; no validated player-stat-to-points conversion supplied",
            "statisticalReplacementForecast": null,
            "retainedBaselineSensitivity": true,
            "humanDeduction": -3,
            "additionalAdjustments": 0,
            "additionalAdjustmentsMeaning": "None estimated; does not assert that true effects are zero",
            "adjustedFormula": "P - 3",
            "formulaScope": "P is the parent registered team forecast retained for a labeled human-only sensitivity; do not label this a calibrated replacement forecast",
            "opponentPointAdjustment": 0,
            "opponentAdjustmentReason": "No independent turnover/field-position/tempo conversion; no automatic opponent boost",
            "reason": "Real role change verified, availability cause not. Mixed five-game baseline already has two Frye starts. No unsupported player-points coefficient.",
            "decision": "Only conditional adverse branch; parent must test normal gates against this score.",
            "baseScorePair": [
              14.328307722676279,
              39.417988798790084
            ],
            "assumption": "Retain registered baseline as a sensitivity anchor; statistical replacement effect remains unestimated, not zero. User human adjustment is separately identified.",
            "baseDecision": "PASS / uncalibrated probability",
            "humanOnlyAdjusted": 36.417988798790084,
            "adjustedScorePair": [
              14.328307722676279,
              36.417988798790084
            ],
            "adjustedTotal": 50.74629652146636,
            "adjustedOwnMargin": 22.089681076113806,
            "totalChange": -3,
            "ownMarginChange": -3,
            "adjustedDecision": "PASS / unchanged; no opposite-side promotion"
          }
        ],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "histories": [
          {
            "id": "4887151",
            "name": "Andrew Body",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/4887151/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.176Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "4",
                      "passingAttempts": "6",
                      "completionPct": "66.7",
                      "passingYards": "27",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "4.5",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "interceptions": "0",
                      "longPassing": "14",
                      "sacks": "1",
                      "QBRating": "104.5"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "15",
                      "rushingYards": "134",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "8.9",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "longRushing": "39"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "receiving",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "receptions": "1",
                      "receivingYards": "9",
                      "yardsPerReception": "9.0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longReception": "9"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "2",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "12"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "113",
                      "passingAttempts": "160",
                      "completionPct": "70.6",
                      "passingYards": "1,770",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "11.1",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "20",
                      "interceptions": "1",
                      "longPassing": "69",
                      "sacks": "9",
                      "QBRating": "203.6"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "71",
                      "rushingYards": "518",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "7.3",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "4",
                      "longRushing": "60"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "4",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "20",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "24",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "144"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "punting",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "punts": "1",
                      "grossAvgPuntYards": "29.0",
                      "longPunt": "29",
                      "puntYards": "29"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "37",
                      "passingAttempts": "60",
                      "completionPct": "61.7",
                      "passingYards": "410",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "6.8",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "3",
                      "interceptions": "1",
                      "longPassing": "61",
                      "sacks": "4",
                      "QBRating": "131.9"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "24",
                      "rushingYards": "79",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "3.3",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "longRushing": "18"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "3",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "0"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "5441396",
            "name": "Aaron Frye",
            "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/5441396/stats?seasontype=2",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.109Z",
            "seasons": [
              {
                "year": 2024,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2025,
                "rows": [],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              },
              {
                "year": 2026,
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "category": "passing",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "completions": "22",
                      "passingAttempts": "44",
                      "completionPct": "50.0",
                      "passingYards": "230",
                      "yardsPerPassAttempt": "5.2",
                      "passingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "interceptions": "1",
                      "longPassing": "36",
                      "sacks": "5",
                      "QBRating": "96.6"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "rushing",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "rushingAttempts": "26",
                      "rushingYards": "106",
                      "yardsPerRushAttempt": "4.1",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "longRushing": "17"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "category": "scoring",
                    "teamId": "2011",
                    "team": "alabama-state-hornets",
                    "position": "QB",
                    "metrics": {
                      "passingTouchdowns": "1",
                      "rushingTouchdowns": "2",
                      "receivingTouchdowns": "0",
                      "returnTouchdowns": "0",
                      "totalTouchdowns": "2",
                      "totalTwoPointConvs": "0",
                      "kickExtraPoints": "0",
                      "fieldGoals": "0",
                      "totalPoints": "12"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "missingMeaning": "No returned row means unavailable; not automatically zero or a confirmed nonparticipant."
              }
            ]
          }
        ],
        "comparison": {
          "Body2024": {
            "games": 1,
            "starts": 1,
            "passing": "4/6 27 yards",
            "rushing": "15 carries 134 yards 2 TD",
            "end": "Shoulder injury ended season"
          },
          "Body2025": {
            "passing": "113/160 1770 yards 20 TD 1 INT",
            "rushing": "71 carries 518 yards 4 TD"
          },
          "Body2026": {
            "starts": 3,
            "passing": "37/60 410 yards 3 TD 1 INT 4 sacks",
            "rushing": "24 carries 79 yards"
          },
          "Frye2026": {
            "starts": 2,
            "passing": "22/44 230 yards 1 TD 1 INT 5 sacks",
            "rushing": "26 carries 106 yards 2 TD"
          },
          "Frye2024": "Not applicable: 2026 true freshman from Clay-Chalkville HS, verified current official roster/biography.",
          "Frye2025": "Not applicable: high school before 2026 enrollment; no invented college statistics.",
          "calculation": {
            "BodyYPA": 6.833333333333333,
            "FryeYPA": 5.2272727272727275,
            "BodyCompletionPct": 61.666666666666664,
            "FryeCompletionPct": 50
          },
          "conflict": "Body 2024 receiving official biography 14 yards versus ESPN nine; not used."
        },
        "exposure": {
          "BodyStarts": 3,
          "FryeStarts": 2,
          "FryeReferenceFraction": 0.4,
          "BodyStartTeamPoints": [
            30,
            34,
            17
          ],
          "FryeStartTeamPoints": [
            41,
            10
          ],
          "warning": "Opponent/field-position/defense and mixed participation confound 27.0 vs25.5 raw team PPG; not a causal -1.5 adjustment."
        },
        "context": "Home Montgomery. FAMU preview has 14 sacks/30 TFL and seven takeaways, including two defensive scores. These already enter team scoring history; do not charge sacks/turnovers twice. Frye has two starts of system experience; exact protection practice unmeasured.",
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "rookieVerification": {
          "player": "Aaron Frye",
          "class": "Freshman",
          "previousSchool": "Clay-Chalkville HS",
          "source": "https://bamastatesports.com/sports/football/roster/aaron-frye/9479"
        },
        "expectedOpportunity": "Frye has already started latest two of five games; probable continuing starter opportunity is a football inference, not confirmation that Body is OUT. No unconditional new -3 on the mixed baseline. Conditional availability branch carries user -3 with replacement efficiency unestimated.",
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Florida A&M Rattlers",
          "home": "Alabama State Hornets",
          "score": [
            14.328307722676279,
            39.417988798790084
          ],
          "own": 39.417988798790084,
          "opponent": 14.328307722676279,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401868329",
        "team": "Florida A&M Rattlers",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Armond Parker"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Chase Gillespie:35/115/1TD in5GP",
            "Jamal Hailey:44/99 in4GP"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Kieren Jackson",
            "Corey Petty",
            "Jaquan Lee",
            "Maliek Denmark is WR, not RB"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "Xavier Herndon:4/65",
            "Javon Wright IV:1/1/1TD",
            "Tamez Young:1/1"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Official preview names current core. Parker 472 pass yards/5 TD in three appearances; Jackson/Petty each 12 catches; Lee 9/151/2TD. No verified new covered-role absence. Current official cumulative confirms all three QBs contributed to mixed baseline; no verified new availability trigger. Receiving TE room reviewed, no unsupported primary-TE injury scenario.",
        "sources": [
          "famu_preview",
          "famu_stats"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "comparison": {
          "Parker": {
            "appearances": 3,
            "passYards": 472,
            "TD": 5,
            "rating": 140.9
          },
          "Gillespie": {
            "rushYards": 115,
            "TD": 1
          },
          "Hailey": {
            "rushYards": 99,
            "catches": 9,
            "recTD": 1
          },
          "Jackson": {
            "catches": 12,
            "yards": 177,
            "TD": 1
          },
          "Petty": {
            "catches": 12,
            "yards": 131,
            "TD": 1
          },
          "Lee": {
            "catches": 9,
            "yards": 151,
            "TD": 2
          }
        },
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "currentQBExposure": {
          "Parker": {
            "GP": 3,
            "passing": "33/59 472yd 5TD/3INT"
          },
          "Knowles": {
            "GP": 2,
            "passing": "21/45 284yd 1TD/0INT"
          },
          "Fletcher": {
            "GP": 4,
            "passing": "20/38 149yd 1TD/0INT"
          }
        },
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Florida A&M Rattlers",
          "home": "Alabama State Hornets",
          "score": [
            14.328307722676279,
            39.417988798790084
          ],
          "own": 14.328307722676279,
          "opponent": 39.417988798790084,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401868265",
        "team": "Marist Red Foxes",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Sonny Mannino"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Isaiah Simmons",
            "Lincoln Cardillo"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Reed Shumpert:11/187",
            "Jayden Taylor:13/181",
            "Zach Garmont:13/154/1TD"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "Joey Bemis 0rec/0yd in5GP",
            "Richie Lang 0rec/0yd in5GP; no material receiving TE in complete table"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Official previews establish Mannino and rushing role; Cardillo is a captain, not proof of lead workload. No verified covered-role absence. Complete receiving table cross-checked against official roster; no material receiving TE. Mannino84/137,972yd,6TD/2INT; Simmons50/203,Cardillo33/125.",
        "sources": [
          "marist_preview",
          "columbia_preview",
          "football-role-supplement-ivy.json"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "comparison": {
          "Mannino": {
            "passYards": 972,
            "passTD": 6,
            "completionPct": 61.3,
            "rushYards": 210,
            "rushTD": 5
          },
          "Simmons": {
            "rushYards": 203
          }
        },
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Columbia Lions",
          "home": "Marist Red Foxes",
          "score": [
            13.838863822364848,
            29.08243262925076
          ],
          "own": 29.08243262925076,
          "opponent": 13.838863822364848,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401868265",
        "team": "Columbia Lions",
        "reviewedPositions": [
          "QB",
          "lead RB/material committee",
          "main WR",
          "primary receiving TE"
        ],
        "roles": {
          "QB": [
            "Chase Goodwin"
          ],
          "RB": [
            "Griffin Johnson:64/308/1TD in3GP",
            "Michael Walters:17/73 in2GP",
            "Jahmir Pitcher:7/44 in3GP"
          ],
          "WR": [
            "Bryce Coleman:20/270/4TD",
            "Hutch Crow:16/178",
            "Beckett Robinson:6/127",
            "Gavin Barth:8/86"
          ],
          "TE": [
            "Braden Dougherty:10/117/1TD in3GP, material receiving role"
          ]
        },
        "review": "Official preview confirms Goodwin and Coleman. Explicit identity safeguard: Kai Honda 219-yard paragraph describes Princeton production, not Columbia backfield. No verified covered-role absence. Full current cumulative resolves RB, WR and TE hierarchy; no qualifying new absence verified.",
        "sources": [
          "columbia_preview",
          "football-role-supplement-ivy.json"
        ],
        "currentRoleReviewComplete": true,
        "coverageGaps": [],
        "scenarios": [],
        "tradeReview": {
          "scope": "In-season trades only; off-season NCAA transfers excluded",
          "verifiedQualifyingInSeasonTrades": [],
          "offensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found in reviewed official current team notes/previews. No trade adjustment.",
          "defensive": "No verified qualifying in-season trade found. No documented trade mechanism for opponent scoring; no trade adjustment.",
          "limitations": "Not a claim that a roster snapshot proves absence of a transaction. Reviewed college schedule has no NFL game."
        },
        "comparison": {
          "Goodwin2025": {
            "games": 7,
            "passingYards": 1269,
            "TD": 9
          },
          "Goodwin2026": {
            "games": 3,
            "completions": 83,
            "passingYards": 975
          },
          "lastGame": {
            "Goodwin": {
              "completions": 35,
              "attempts": 51,
              "yards": 331
            },
            "Coleman": {
              "receivingYards": 89,
              "TD": 1
            }
          }
        },
        "statisticalEffect": "Unestimated unless explicitly stated; no false zero claim",
        "finalDeskDecision": "PERSONNEL REVIEW COMPLETE; use explicit branch and normal parent model gates. No claim that uncertainty is zero.",
        "disclosedUncertainties": [
          "Review is as of captured sources; final active lists may change. No injury inferred from omitted roster rows or missed games alone.",
          "Routes, snaps, pass-protection grades, drops and full target data unavailable where not supplied. No point conversion invented."
        ],
        "baseForecast": {
          "away": "Columbia Lions",
          "home": "Marist Red Foxes",
          "score": [
            13.838863822364848,
            29.08243262925076
          ],
          "own": 13.838863822364848,
          "opponent": 29.08243262925076,
          "engineId": "primary-2.0.0"
        }
      }
    ],
    "globalLimitations": [
      "Advanced routes/snaps/targets, verified drops, fumbles, pass-protection grades and red-zone opportunities are not uniformly available. No invented values.",
      "Source rosters can be incomplete/paginated; omitted player does not establish OUT.",
      "Final game-day availability and weather not captured by this desk; no automatic weather/travel point adjustment.",
      "No NCAA-to-NFL or FCS-to-FBS statistical conversion used.",
      "All 2024/2025/2026 histories retain season and team splits; missing is not zero."
    ],
    "outstandingFailures": [],
    "resolved": [
      "BYU current replacement order and 4-game mixed exposure; no blind -6",
      "Singleton materiality supported; Carter freshman identity separated from unrelated historical names",
      "Keyjuan conditional committee and Kienholz probable preserved",
      "Alabama State actual first-three/last-two QB exposure compared without causal points invention",
      "New official Iowa Brown/Hecklinski conditional case with separate seasons/practice familiarity",
      "USU QB depth/narrative conflict identified",
      "Wyoming receiving TE Jake Wilson included",
      "Fourteen-team coverage and separate offensive/defensive in-season-trade review recorded",
      "ISU Barnes current reserve TE versus prior linebacker identity resolved",
      "USU separate 2024/2025 histories and verified no-play seasons recovered",
      "Washington/Columbia/Marist official roles resolved",
      "Iowa primary receiving TE DJ Vonnahme identified; official five-game cumulative reconciles stale bio",
      "FSU complete receiving and RB committee includes Wisner; Carter not a main receiving trigger",
      "Frye verified 2026 true freshman: prior college seasons not applicable",
      "All seven exact Primary bases and qualified scenario arithmetic attached"
    ],
    "roleSupplements": {
      "ivy": {
        "created": "2026-10-09T11:45:31.547Z",
        "eventId": "401868265",
        "scope": "Official current 2026 cumulative production and roster position cross-check. Sporting only. Through Oct 3 games.",
        "sources": [
          {
            "key": "columbia_stats",
            "url": "https://gocolumbialions.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:58.195Z",
            "status": 200
          },
          {
            "key": "marist_stats",
            "url": "https://goredfoxes.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:56.961Z",
            "status": 200
          },
          {
            "key": "columbia_roster",
            "url": "https://gocolumbialions.com/sports/football/roster",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:44:12.124Z",
            "status": 200
          },
          {
            "key": "marist_roster",
            "url": "https://goredfoxes.com/sports/football/roster",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:44:11.634Z",
            "status": 200
          },
          {
            "key": "columbia_game",
            "url": "https://gocolumbialions.com/game-center/15149",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:44:12.658Z",
            "status": 200
          },
          {
            "key": "alst_roster",
            "url": "https://bamastatesports.com/sports/football/roster",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:44:11.515Z",
            "status": 200
          },
          {
            "url": "https://bamastatesports.com/sports/football/stats?clean=true",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.470Z",
            "file": "alabama_stats.json"
          }
        ],
        "columbia": {
          "roles": {
            "QB": {
              "name": "Chase Goodwin",
              "position": "QB",
              "passingYards": 975,
              "completions": 83,
              "source": "Official Columbia Oct 7 preview and Oct 9 game center"
            },
            "leadRB": {
              "name": "Griffin Johnson",
              "position": "RB",
              "games": 3,
              "carries": 64,
              "rushingYards": 308,
              "rushingTD": 1,
              "receivingCatches": 12,
              "receivingYards": 98,
              "carryShare": 0.5925925925925926
            },
            "mainWR": {
              "name": "Bryce Coleman",
              "position": "WR",
              "games": 3,
              "catches": 20,
              "yards": 270,
              "touchdowns": 4
            },
            "primaryReceivingTE": {
              "name": "Braden Dougherty",
              "position": "TE",
              "games": 3,
              "catches": 10,
              "yards": 117,
              "touchdowns": 1,
              "receivingYardsPerGame": 39,
              "catchShare": 0.11904761904761904,
              "yardShare": 0.11975435005117707,
              "materiality": "Material receiving contributor; third-year starter according to official Sep 16 season-opener preview. Highest current receiving production among roster TEs."
            }
          },
          "completeOverallRushing": [
            {
              "isAFooterStat": true,
              "playerName": "Total",
              "playerUniform": null,
              "playerUniform2": null,
              "playerRosterBioId": null,
              "nameFromStats": null,
              "playerImageUrl": null,
              "playerUrl": null,
              "gamesPlayed": "3",
              "attempts": "108",
              "gain": "469",
              "loss": "69",
              "net": "400",
              "average": "3.7",
              "touchdowns": "2",
              "longest": "28",
              "averagePerGame": "133.33"
            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": true,
              "playerName": "Opponents",
              "playerUniform": null,
              "playerUniform2": null,
              "playerRosterBioId": null,
              "nameFromStats": null,
              "playerImageUrl": null,
              "playerUrl": null,
              "gamesPlayed": "3",
              "attempts": "101",
              "gain": "630",
              "loss": "59",
              "net": "571",
              "average": "5.7",
              "touchdowns": "5",
              "longest": "70",
              "averagePerGame": "190.33"
            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Johnson, Griffin",
              "playerUniform": "32",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22537",
              "nameFromStats": "JOHNSON,GRIFFIN",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/JOHNSON_GRIFFIN_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/griffin-johnson/22537",
              "gamesPlayed": "3",
              "attempts": "64",
              "gain": "313",
              "loss": "5",
              "net": "308",
              "average": "4.8",
              "touchdowns": "1",
              "longest": "28",
              "averagePerGame": "102.67"
            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Walters, Michael",
              "playerUniform": "24",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22576",
              "nameFromStats": "WALTERS,MICHAEL",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/WALTERS_MICHAEL_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/michael-walters/22576",
              "gamesPlayed": "2",
              "attempts": "17",
              "gain": "73",
              "loss": "0",
              "net": "73",
              "average": "4.3",
              "touchdowns": "0",
              "longest": "12",
              "averagePerGame": "36.50"
            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Pitcher, Jahmir",
              "playerUniform": "22",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22558",
              "nameFromStats": "PITCHER,JAHMIR",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/PITCHER_JAHMIR_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/jahmir-pitcher/22558",
              "gamesPlayed": "3",
              "attempts": "7",
              "gain": "44",
              "loss": "0",
              "net": "44",
              "average": "6.3",
              "touchdowns": "0",
              "longest": "19",
              "averagePerGame": "14.67"
            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "McLaughlin, Brody",
              "playerUniform": "19",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22769",
              "nameFromStats": "MCLAUGHLIN,BRODY",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/MCLAUGHLIN_BRODY_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/brody-mclaughlin/22769",
              "gamesPlayed": "3",
              "attempts": "2",
              "gain": "4",
              "loss": "0",
              "net": "4",
              "average": "2.0",
              "touchdowns": "0",
              "longest": "4",
              "averagePerGame": "1.33"
            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Menapace, Xander",
              "playerUniform": "18",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22547",
              "nameFromStats": "MENAPACE,XANDER",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/MENAPACE_XANDER_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/xander-menapace/22547",
              "gamesPlayed": "2",
              "attempts": "3",
              "gain": "2",
              "loss": "2",
              "net": "0",
              "average": "0.0",
              "touchdowns": "1",
              "longest": "1",
              "averagePerGame": "0.00"
            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Goodwin, Chase",
              "playerUniform": "15",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22528",
              "nameFromStats": "GOODWIN,CHASE",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/GOODWIN_CHASE_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/chase-goodwin/22528",
              "gamesPlayed": "3",
              "attempts": "15",
              "gain": "33",
              "loss": "62",
              "net": "-29",
              "average": "-1.9",
              "touchdowns": "0",
              "longest": "11",
              "averagePerGame": "-9.67"
            }
          ],
          "completeOverallReceiving": [
            {
              "isAFooterStat": true,
              "playerName": "Total",
              "playerUniform": null,
              "playerUniform2": null,
              "playerRosterBioId": null,
              "nameFromStats": null,
              "playerImageUrl": null,
              "playerUrl": null,
              "gamesPlayed": "3",
              "average": "11.631",
              "touchdowns": "6",
              "longest": "45",
              "averagePerGame": "325.667",
              "yards": "977",
              "number": "84"
            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": true,
              "playerName": "Opponents",
              "playerUniform": null,
              "playerUniform2": null,
              "playerRosterBioId": null,
              "nameFromStats": null,
              "playerImageUrl": null,
              "playerUrl": null,
              "gamesPlayed": "3",
              "average": "12.258",
              "touchdowns": "4",
              "longest": "55",
              "averagePerGame": "126.667",
              "yards": "380",
              "number": "31"
            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Coleman, Bryce",
              "playerUniform": "4",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22758",
              "nameFromStats": "COLEMAN,BRYCE",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/COLEMAN_BRYCE_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/bryce-coleman/22758",
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              "average": "13.500",
              "touchdowns": "4",
              "longest": "45",
              "averagePerGame": "90.000",
              "yards": "270",
              "number": "20"
            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Crow, Hutch",
              "playerUniform": "0",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22513",
              "nameFromStats": "CROW,HUTCH",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/CROW_HUTCH_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/hutch-crow/22513",
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              "average": "11.125",
              "touchdowns": "0",
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              "averagePerGame": "59.333",
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            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Robinson, Beckett",
              "playerUniform": "13",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22561",
              "nameFromStats": "ROBINSON,BECKETT",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/ROBINSON_BECKETT_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/beckett-robinson/22561",
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              "averagePerGame": "63.500",
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              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Dougherty, Braden",
              "playerUniform": "86",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22516",
              "nameFromStats": "DOUGHERTY,BRADEN",
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              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/braden-dougherty/22516",
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              "average": "11.700",
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              "averagePerGame": "39.000",
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            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Johnson, Griffin",
              "playerUniform": "32",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22537",
              "nameFromStats": "JOHNSON,GRIFFIN",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/JOHNSON_GRIFFIN_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/griffin-johnson/22537",
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              "touchdowns": "0",
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              "averagePerGame": "32.667",
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              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Barth, Gavin",
              "playerUniform": "9",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22756",
              "nameFromStats": "BARTH,GAVIN",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/BARTH_GAVIN_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/gavin-barth/22756",
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              "average": "10.750",
              "touchdowns": "0",
              "longest": "19",
              "averagePerGame": "28.667",
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              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Butler, Caden",
              "playerUniform": "3",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22501",
              "nameFromStats": "BUTLER,CADEN",
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              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/caden-butler/22501",
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              "longest": "14",
              "averagePerGame": "10.667",
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              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Pitcher, Jahmir",
              "playerUniform": "22",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22558",
              "nameFromStats": "PITCHER,JAHMIR",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/PITCHER_JAHMIR_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/jahmir-pitcher/22558",
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              "average": "8.667",
              "touchdowns": "0",
              "longest": "18",
              "averagePerGame": "8.667",
              "yards": "26",
              "number": "3"
            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Walters, Michael",
              "playerUniform": "24",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22576",
              "nameFromStats": "WALTERS,MICHAEL",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/WALTERS_MICHAEL_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/michael-walters/22576",
              "gamesPlayed": "2",
              "average": "7.000",
              "touchdowns": "0",
              "longest": "8",
              "averagePerGame": "10.500",
              "yards": "21",
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            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Barnett-Jackson, Jevaughn",
              "playerUniform": "83",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22496",
              "nameFromStats": "BARNETT-JACKSON,JEVAUGHN",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/BARNETT_JACKSON_JEVAUGHN_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/jevaughn-barnett-jackson/22496",
              "gamesPlayed": "1",
              "average": "8.000",
              "touchdowns": "0",
              "longest": "9",
              "averagePerGame": "16.000",
              "yards": "16",
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            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Cooper, Elliot",
              "playerUniform": "7",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22510",
              "nameFromStats": "COOPER,ELLIOT",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/COOPER_ELLIOT_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/elliot-cooper/22510",
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              "average": "6.000",
              "touchdowns": "0",
              "longest": "6",
              "averagePerGame": "2.000",
              "yards": "6",
              "number": "1"
            },
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              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Cameron, Blaize",
              "playerUniform": "42",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22502",
              "nameFromStats": "CAMERON,BLAIZE",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/CAMERON_BLAIZE_2026.jpg",
              "playerUrl": "/sports/football/roster/blaize-cameron/22502",
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              "average": "0.000",
              "touchdowns": "0",
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              "averagePerGame": "0.000",
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            },
            {
              "isAFooterStat": false,
              "playerName": "Hernandez, Santiago",
              "playerUniform": "84",
              "playerUniform2": "",
              "playerRosterBioId": "22532",
              "nameFromStats": "HERNANDEZ,SANTIAGO",
              "playerImageUrl": "/images/2026/8/26/HERNANDEZ_SANTIAGO_2026.jpg",
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              "longest": "0",
              "averagePerGame": "0.000",
              "yards": "0",
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            }
          ],
          "availability": "No current verified absence or replacement reported for these four roles in reviewed official preview/stats/roster. This establishes roles, not final game availability.",
          "replacementAdjustment": "No numerical replacement overlay established by this supplement."
        },
        "marist": {
          "roles": {
            "QB": {
              "name": "Sonny Mannino",
              "position": "QB",
              "games": 5,
              "completions": 84,
              "attempts": 137,
              "passingYards": 972,
              "passingTD": 6,
              "interceptions": 2,
              "rushingCarries": 48,
              "rushingYards": 210,
              "rushingTD": 5
            },
            "leadRB": {
              "name": "Isaiah Simmons",
              "position": "RB",
              "games": 5,
              "carries": 50,
              "yards": 203,
              "touchdowns": 2
            },
            "secondaryRB": {
              "name": "Lincoln Cardillo",
              "position": "RB",
              "games": 4,
              "carries": 33,
              "yards": 125,
              "touchdowns": 1
            },
            "mainWR": {
              "name": "Reed Shumpert",
              "position": "WR",
              "games": 5,
              "catches": 11,
              "yards": 187,
              "touchdowns": 0,
              "basis": "Team receiving yardage leader; volume is shared, not a dominant single receiver."
            },
            "otherMaterialWRs": [
              {
                "name": "Jayden Taylor",
                "position": "WR",
                "catches": 13,
                "yards": 181
              },
              {
                "name": "Zach Garmont",
                "position": "WR",
                "catches": 13,
                "yards": 154
              },
              {
                "name": "Reece Beauchamp",
                "position": "WR",
                "catches": 6,
                "yards": 97
              }
            ],
            "receivingQuarterback": {
              "name": "Marco Lainez III",
              "officialRosterPosition": "QB",
              "catches": 13,
              "yards": 110,
              "touchdowns": 1
            },
            "primaryReceivingTE": {
              "status": "NO_MATERIAL_CURRENT_RECEIVING_TE_EVIDENCED",
              "playersInCompleteReceivingTable": [
                {
                  "name": "Joey Bemis",
                  "position": "TE",
                  "games": 5,
                  "catches": 0,
                  "yards": 0
                },
                {
                  "name": "Richie Lang",
                  "position": "TE",
                  "games": 5,
                  "catches": 0,
                  "yards": 0
                }
              ],
              "otherRosterTEs": [
                "Lawson Koch",
                "Tanner Wiles",
                "Jake Johnson",
                "Bryce Anderson"
              ],
              "basis": "All positive receiving production in complete cumulative table belongs to roster WRs, RBs, or QB Marco Lainez III. Zero current TE catches/yards does not claim no blocking/formation role."
            }
          },
          "completeRushingTable": "Individual Rushing Statistics # Player GP ATT Gain Loss Net AVG TD Long AVG/G Bio Link 12 Mannino, Sonny 12 Mannino, Sonny 5 48 254 44 210 4.4 5 45 42.00 View Bio 2 Simmons, Isaiah 2 Simmons, Isaiah 5 50 225 22 203 4.1 2 44 40.60 View Bio 4 Cardillo, Lincoln 4 Cardillo, Lincoln 4 33 129 4 125 3.8 1 22 31.25 View Bio 26 DeCaro, Jeremy 26 DeCaro, Jeremy 4 21 82 4 78 3.7 0 29 19.50 View Bio 14 Taylor, Jayden 14 Taylor, Jayden 5 1 43 0 43 43.0 0 43 8.60 View Bio 28 Beard, Kaden 28 Beard, Kaden 1 4 25 0 25 6.3 1 10 25.00 View Bio 10 Lainez III, Marco 10 Lainez III, Marco 5 6 24 1 23 3.8 0 9 4.60 View Bio 18 O'Dell, Will 18 O'Dell, Will 1 2 16 3 13 6.5 0 16 13.00 View Bio 36 Dolcine, Ahmady 36 Dolcine, Ahmady 1 2 4 1 3 1.5 0 4 3.00 View Bio 34 Nesbit, Bobby 34 Nesbit, Bobby 1 1 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0.00 View Bio Team Team 5 5 0 32 -32 -6.4 0 0 -6.40 &nbsp; Total 5 173 802 111 691 4.0 9 45 138.20 Opponents 5 146 613 106 507 3.5 2 45 101.40 ",
          "completeReceivingTable": "Individual Receiving Statistics # Player GP NO YDS AVG TD Long AVG/G Bio Link 15 Shumpert, Reed 15 Shumpert, Reed 5 11 187 17.00 0 50 37.40 View Bio 14 Taylor, Jayden 14 Taylor, Jayden 5 13 181 13.92 0 40 36.20 View Bio 5 Garmont, Zach 5 Garmont, Zach 5 13 154 11.85 1 54 30.80 View Bio 10 Lainez III, Marco 10 Lainez III, Marco 5 13 110 8.46 1 26 22.00 View Bio 11 Beauchamp, Reece 11 Beauchamp, Reece 5 6 97 16.17 1 29 19.40 View Bio 2 Simmons, Isaiah 2 Simmons, Isaiah 5 10 79 7.90 2 20 15.80 View Bio 7 Martinez, Lance 7 Martinez, Lance 2 3 71 23.67 1 30 35.50 View Bio 4 Cardillo, Lincoln 4 Cardillo, Lincoln 4 7 60 8.57 0 18 15.00 View Bio 3 Correa, Santino 3 Correa, Santino 4 3 26 8.67 0 19 6.50 View Bio 26 DeCaro, Jeremy 26 DeCaro, Jeremy 4 4 11 2.75 0 14 2.75 View Bio 81 Gioia, Chris 81 Gioia, Chris 5 1 8 8.00 0 8 1.60 View Bio 87 Bemis, Joey 87 Bemis, Joey 5 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 View Bio 43 Lang, Richie 43 Lang, Richie 5 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 View Bio 13 Thompson, Jason 13 Thompson, Jason 1 1 -4 -4.00 0 0 -4.00 View Bio Total 5 85 980 11.53 6 54 196.00 Opponents 5 107 1067 9.97 6 50 213.40 ",
          "availability": "No current verified absence or replacement for these roles established. Cardillo having four games vs team five does not establish an injury or current absence.",
          "replacementAdjustment": "No numerical replacement overlay established."
        },
        "alabamaStateCorrection": {
          "player": "John Austin",
          "officialRosterPosition": "WR",
          "jersey": 86,
          "games": 5,
          "catches": 5,
          "yards": 57,
          "touchdowns": 1,
          "correction": "Do not classify Austin as TE; official 2026 roster lists WR.",
          "rosterTEs": [
            "Kameron Pittman",
            "Mario Andrews",
            "Jaden Moore Jr.",
            "Manny Thompson",
            "Jordan Brown"
          ],
          "primaryReceivingTE": "No material current TE receiving production evidenced: none of roster TEs appears with a catch in the complete 60-catch, 655-yard cumulative team table.",
          "completeReceivingTable": "Individual Receiving Statistics # Player GP NO YDS AVG TD Long AVG/G Bio Link 10 King, Randall 10 King, Randall 5 10 180 18.00 1 61 36.00 View Bio 3 Keye, Kareem 3 Keye, Kareem 4 11 91 8.27 0 21 22.75 View Bio 2 Hostzclaw, Jamarie 2 Hostzclaw, Jamarie 5 7 63 9.00 0 27 12.60 View Bio 86 Austin, John 86 Austin, John 5 5 57 11.40 1 32 11.40 View Bio 87 Hicks, Daionte \"DJ\" 87 Hicks, Daionte \"DJ\" 5 2 49 24.50 1 34 9.80 View Bio 4 Hixon, Nehemiah 4 Hixon, Nehemiah 5 6 47 7.83 0 13 9.40 View Bio 7 Pierre, Franck 7 Pierre, Franck 5 2 38 19.00 0 27 7.60 View Bio 0 Horn, Eric 0 Horn, Eric 4 3 36 12.00 0 23 9.00 View Bio 5 Ramsey, TJ 5 Ramsey, TJ 5 5 31 6.20 1 20 6.20 View Bio 23 Howard, Jareese 23 Howard, Jareese 5 4 28 7.00 0 18 5.60 View Bio 17 Tate , Israel 17 Tate , Israel 5 4 26 6.50 0 14 5.20 View Bio 7 Williams, Zach 7 Williams, Zach 5 1 9 9.00 0 9 1.80 View Bio 80 Clarke, Jashaun 80 Clarke, Jashaun 2 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 View Bio 6 Sims, Ta'Shaun 6 Sims, Ta'Shaun 5 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 View Bio Total 5 60 655 10.92 4 61 131.00 Opponents 5 57 649 11.39 2 73 129.80 "
        },
        "gates": [
          "Roles resolved from current official production and positions; final active/inactive status remains unconfirmed.",
          "No unsupported injury, demotion, or replacement inferred from a missing game or low-volume stat row.",
          "Stats source capture after base model cutoff may inform personnel review before final freeze; base model arithmetic remains unchanged."
        ]
      },
      "west": {
        "schemaVersion": "1.0",
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T11:48:30.703Z",
        "scope": "Official current-season offensive-role supplement for Washington, San Jose State, Florida A&M; role identification and observed opportunity comparison, not final game-day active confirmation.",
        "status": "REQUIRED_ROLE_IDENTIFICATION_COMPLETE_WITH_AVAILABILITY_LIMITATIONS",
        "marketInputsUsed": false,
        "sources": {
          "uwStats": "https://gohuskies.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
          "uwPdf": "https://s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sidearm.nextgen.sites/washington.sidearmsports.com/stats/football/2026/pdf/cume.pdf",
          "uwRoster": "https://gohuskies.com/sports/football/roster/2026",
          "uwBonner": "https://gohuskies.com/sports/football/roster/brian-bonner/17808",
          "uwNaone": "https://gohuskies.com/sports/football/roster/baron-naone/17786",
          "famuStats": "https://famuathletics.com/sports/football/stats/2026",
          "famuRoster": "https://famuathletics.com/sports/football/roster/2026",
          "famuSquire": "https://famuathletics.com/sports/football/roster/justin-squire/5568",
          "sjsuPreview": "https://sjsuspartans.com/news/2026/10/5/spartans-host-wyoming-on-homecoming-presented-by-rotten-robbie",
          "sjsuDocument": "https://sjsuspartans.com/documents/d8817d3b-75a7-40d5-afe6-a7e20f2a6d0b.pdf",
          "sjsuPdf": "https://storage.googleapis.com/san-jose-state-prod/2026/10/05/tSDgZi4WwbQ8l0dHNG8AcVeV1T1klLggj9MzqN2q.pdf",
          "sjsuRoster": "https://sjsuspartans.com/sports/football/roster/season/2026"
        },
        "methodology": [
          "Complete official cumulative receiving tables were matched to official roster positions. Receiving totals are catches, not targets; target share is not inferred from reception share.",
          "Season opportunity leaders are identified explicitly; a season leader is not automatically the current starter or active for October 9.",
          "No score adjustment is estimated. All availability and replacement branches remain conditional unless an independent dated report confirms them.",
          "No arbitrary threshold was used to erase a low-volume receiving TE: named roles and exact volume are retained."
        ],
        "teams": [
          {
            "team": "Washington Huskies",
            "eventId": "401858487",
            "season": "2026",
            "through": "2026-10-03",
            "teamGames": 5,
            "sourceIds": [
              "uwStats",
              "uwPdf",
              "uwRoster",
              "uwBonner",
              "uwNaone"
            ],
            "localSources": [
              "uw-current-cume.pdf",
              "uw-current-roster.html"
            ],
            "roles": {
              "quarterback": "Demond Williams Jr. is the observed primary passer: 110/163, 1,327 yards, 8 TD, 3 INT in 5 games.",
              "runningBack": "Brian Bonner is the statistical lead RB: 41 carries, 215 yards in 4 games. Trey Cooley has 23/50 in 5 games; Jayden Limar 12/47 in 1 game. This resolves season workload hierarchy; it does not confirm Bonner or Limar active today.",
              "mainWideReceivers": "Dezmen Roebuck 35/338/1 and Chris Lawson 18/294/1 lead WR volume; Rashid Williams 11/184/3 is an additional meaningful receiving and scoring role.",
              "receivingTightEnds": "Baron Naone 16/245/2 leads TE volume, ahead of Decker DeGraaf 11/135/1. Kade Eldridge adds 2/24/0. A DeGraaf-only TE review omits the leading receiving TE."
            },
            "rushing": {
              "teamAttempts": 148,
              "teamNetYards": 545,
              "teamTouchdowns": 6,
              "players": [
                {
                  "player": "Brian Bonner",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 4,
                  "attempts": 41,
                  "yards": 215,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "teamCarrySharePct": 27.703
                },
                {
                  "player": "Demond Williams Jr.",
                  "position": "QB",
                  "games": 5,
                  "attempts": 53,
                  "yards": 191,
                  "touchdowns": 2,
                  "teamCarrySharePct": 35.811
                },
                {
                  "player": "Trey Cooley",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 5,
                  "attempts": 23,
                  "yards": 50,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "teamCarrySharePct": 15.541
                },
                {
                  "player": "Jayden Limar",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 1,
                  "attempts": 12,
                  "yards": 47,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "teamCarrySharePct": 8.108
                },
                {
                  "player": "Quaid Carr",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 1,
                  "attempts": 5,
                  "yards": 28,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "teamCarrySharePct": 3.378
                },
                {
                  "player": "Ansu Sanoe",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 2,
                  "attempts": 7,
                  "yards": 8,
                  "touchdowns": 2,
                  "teamCarrySharePct": 4.73
                },
                {
                  "player": "Kade Eldridge",
                  "position": "TE",
                  "games": 5,
                  "attempts": 3,
                  "yards": 7,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "teamCarrySharePct": 2.027
                },
                {
                  "player": "Mason James",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 2,
                  "attempts": 1,
                  "yards": 3,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "teamCarrySharePct": 0.676
                },
                {
                  "player": "Derek Zammit",
                  "position": "QB",
                  "games": 1,
                  "attempts": 1,
                  "yards": 2,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "teamCarrySharePct": 0.676
                },
                {
                  "player": "Kodi Greene",
                  "position": "OL",
                  "games": 5,
                  "attempts": 0,
                  "yards": 0,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "teamCarrySharePct": 0
                },
                {
                  "player": "Chris Lawson",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "attempts": 1,
                  "yards": -3,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "teamCarrySharePct": 0.676
                },
                {
                  "player": "Team",
                  "position": "Team",
                  "games": 5,
                  "attempts": 1,
                  "yards": -3,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "teamCarrySharePct": 0.676
                }
              ]
            },
            "receiving": {
              "teamReceptions": 113,
              "teamYards": 1357,
              "teamTouchdowns": 10,
              "completeTable": true,
              "players": [
                {
                  "player": "Dezmen Roebuck",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 35,
                  "yards": 338,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 30.973,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 24.908
                },
                {
                  "player": "Chris Lawson",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 18,
                  "yards": 294,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 15.929,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 21.665
                },
                {
                  "player": "Baron Naone",
                  "position": "TE",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 16,
                  "yards": 245,
                  "touchdowns": 2,
                  "receptionSharePct": 14.159,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 18.055
                },
                {
                  "player": "Rashid Williams",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 11,
                  "yards": 184,
                  "touchdowns": 3,
                  "receptionSharePct": 9.735,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 13.559
                },
                {
                  "player": "Decker DeGraaf",
                  "position": "TE",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 11,
                  "yards": 135,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 9.735,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 9.948
                },
                {
                  "player": "Jordan Clay",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 7,
                  "yards": 52,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 6.195,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 3.832
                },
                {
                  "player": "Trez Davis",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 3,
                  "receptions": 5,
                  "yards": 46,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 4.425,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 3.39
                },
                {
                  "player": "Mason James",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 2,
                  "receptions": 4,
                  "yards": 29,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 3.54,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 2.137
                },
                {
                  "player": "Kade Eldridge",
                  "position": "TE",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 2,
                  "yards": 24,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 1.77,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 1.769
                },
                {
                  "player": "Quaid Carr",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 1,
                  "receptions": 1,
                  "yards": 4,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 0.885,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0.295
                },
                {
                  "player": "Trey Cooley",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 2,
                  "yards": 4,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 1.77,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0.295
                },
                {
                  "player": "Brian Bonner",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 4,
                  "receptions": 1,
                  "yards": 2,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 0.885,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0.147
                }
              ]
            },
            "comparison": "Naone accounts for 14.159% of all catches and 18.055% of receiving yards versus DeGraaf 9.735% and 9.948%. Naone must be checked alongside DeGraaf before final personnel release. Bonner has 27.703% of all team carries, Cooley15.541%, Limar8.108%; QB Williams has35.811%, so Bonner is the leading RB, not leading overall rusher by attempts.",
            "replacementsConditional": [
              {
                "ifUnavailable": "Brian Bonner",
                "comparison": "Cooley and Limar have observed RB carries, but Limar has appeared only once; retain both as conditional possibilities rather than assigning his workload without current availability. Quaid Carr and Ansu Sanoe also have actual carries."
              },
              {
                "ifUnavailable": "Baron Naone",
                "comparison": "Decker DeGraaf is the demonstrated receiving TE alternative (11/135/1), with Kade Eldridge (2/24/0) a lower-volume option. No one-for-one target or yard transfer is assumed."
              }
            ],
            "remainingLimitations": [
              "Final October 9 active/inactive and current starter confirmation must come from the dated availability review; cumulative statistics alone do not settle it.",
              "Current snap/route/target shares were not provided by this cumulative PDF."
            ],
            "statisticalScoreAdjustment": null
          },
          {
            "team": "San Jose State Spartans",
            "eventId": "401864519",
            "season": "2026",
            "through": "2026-10-03",
            "published": "2026-10-05",
            "teamGames": 5,
            "sourceIds": [
              "sjsuPreview",
              "sjsuDocument",
              "sjsuPdf",
              "sjsuRoster"
            ],
            "localSources": [
              "sjsu-wyoming-notes.pdf",
              "sjsu-wyoming-notes.txt"
            ],
            "pdfReferences": {
              "depthChart": "Page 27 (search TE 83 Kama Kopa-Kaawalauole)",
              "cumulative": "Page47 individual statistics; Page50 combined statistics",
              "participation": "Pages 53-54",
              "gameByGame": "Page 56"
            },
            "roles": {
              "receivingTightEnd": "Kamaehu (Kama) Kopa-Kaawalauole is the listed first TE in the Wyoming game-week depth chart and sole TE with a reception in the complete cumulative table: 4 appearances, 3 catches, 18 yards, 1 TD. Ryan Boultwood is listed second. This is a low-volume identified TE role, not an absent TE role."
            },
            "receiving": {
              "teamReceptions": 106,
              "teamYards": 1278,
              "teamTouchdowns": 11,
              "completeTable": true,
              "players": [
                {
                  "player": "Carson Clark",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 29,
                  "yards": 314,
                  "touchdowns": 4,
                  "receptionSharePct": 27.358,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 24.57
                },
                {
                  "player": "Cooper Hoch",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 19,
                  "yards": 285,
                  "touchdowns": 3,
                  "receptionSharePct": 17.925,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 22.3
                },
                {
                  "player": "Jerry McClure",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 19,
                  "yards": 172,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 17.925,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 13.459
                },
                {
                  "player": "Jordan Anderson",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 10,
                  "yards": 107,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 9.434,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 8.372
                },
                {
                  "player": "Anthony Ivey",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 9,
                  "yards": 184,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 8.491,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 14.397
                },
                {
                  "player": "Jabari Bates",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 7,
                  "yards": 83,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 6.604,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 6.495
                },
                {
                  "player": "Jase Nix",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 6,
                  "yards": 75,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 5.66,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 5.869
                },
                {
                  "player": "Kamaehu Kopa-Kaawalauole",
                  "position": "TE",
                  "games": 4,
                  "receptions": 3,
                  "yards": 18,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 2.83,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 1.408
                },
                {
                  "player": "Dominique McKenzie",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 2,
                  "yards": 34,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 1.887,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 2.66
                },
                {
                  "player": "Malachi Riley",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 2,
                  "receptions": 1,
                  "yards": 8,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 0.943,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0.626
                },
                {
                  "player": "Tama Amisone",
                  "position": "QB",
                  "games": 3,
                  "receptions": 1,
                  "yards": -2,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 0.943,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": -0.156
                }
              ]
            },
            "tightEndPool": [
              {
                "player": "Kamaehu Kopa-Kaawalauole",
                "depth": "listed first",
                "games": 4,
                "starts": 0,
                "receptions": 3,
                "yards": 18,
                "touchdowns": 1
              },
              {
                "player": "Ryan Boultwood",
                "depth": "listed second",
                "games": 4,
                "starts": 0,
                "receptions": 0,
                "yards": 0,
                "touchdowns": 0,
                "sourceConflict": "Individual narrative card says5GP; current games-played table says4GP and no Hawaii participation. Use dated detailed participation table, disclose conflict."
              },
              {
                "player": "Braiden Bachich-Dixon",
                "games": 0,
                "starts": 0,
                "receptions": 0
              },
              {
                "player": "Max Friedman",
                "games": 0,
                "starts": 0,
                "receptions": 0
              },
              {
                "player": "Shane Kiley",
                "games": 0,
                "starts": 0,
                "receptions": 0
              }
            ],
            "latestGame": {
              "date": "2026-10-03",
              "opponent": "Hawaii",
              "tightEnd": "Kamaehu Kopa-Kaawalauole",
              "targets": 2,
              "receptions": 1,
              "yards": 10,
              "touchdowns": 1,
              "comparison": "Recent actual use includes a touchdown despite only 2.830% of season catches and1.408% of yards. Kopa target counts by four appearances USC1, EMU3, Fresno1, Hawaii2 total7; CalPoly DNP. Do not infer future zero role."
            },
            "corrections": [
              "Cooper Hoch 5/115/2 was at Eastern Michigan September4, not the most recent game. Latest October3 Hawaii was3/46/0.",
              "The depth chart lists Kopa ahead of Boultwood; a roster-only list does not establish an unidentified TE.",
              "Bates season104/487/0 of170team carries is verified in official cumulative notes."
            ],
            "replacementsConditional": [
              {
                "ifUnavailable": "Kamaehu Kopa-Kaawalauole",
                "comparison": "Ryan Boultwood is the listed next TE, with0recorded receptions and4detailed-table appearances. Other rosterTE have0appearances. Receiving replacement output cannot be quantified from this evidence; routes could redistribute to WR/RB but no allocation is assumed."
              }
            ],
            "remainingLimitations": [
              "Game-week depth chart is a projection, not final October9 active confirmation.",
              "No route/snap volume was available; Boultwood participation conflict is disclosed."
            ],
            "statisticalScoreAdjustment": null
          },
          {
            "team": "Florida A&M Rattlers",
            "eventId": "401868329",
            "season": "2026",
            "teamGames": 5,
            "sourceIds": [
              "famuStats",
              "famuRoster",
              "famuSquire"
            ],
            "localSources": [
              "famu-current-stats.html",
              "famu-current-roster.html"
            ],
            "roles": {
              "receivingTightEnd": "Xavier Herndon is the leading receiving TE:4 catches/65yards/0TD in5games. Lawrence WrightIV1/1/1 and Tamez Young1/1/0 are additional receivingTE. The TE role is identified even though its catch volume is modest.",
              "runningBackCorrection": "Jamal Hailey has44carries/99yards in4games and Chase Gillespie35/115/1TD in5games. Hailey leads RB attempts; Gillespie leads RB rushing yards. Maliek Denmark is officially a WR (one18-yard rushingTD), not a primary RB alternative."
            },
            "receiving": {
              "teamReceptions": 75,
              "teamYards": 908,
              "teamTouchdowns": 7,
              "completeTable": true,
              "players": [
                {
                  "player": "Kieren Jackson",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 12,
                  "yards": 177,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 16,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 19.493
                },
                {
                  "player": "Jaquan Lee",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 9,
                  "yards": 151,
                  "touchdowns": 2,
                  "receptionSharePct": 12,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 16.63
                },
                {
                  "player": "Corey Petty",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 12,
                  "yards": 131,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 16,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 14.427
                },
                {
                  "player": "Maliek Denmark",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 5,
                  "yards": 111,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 6.667,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 12.225
                },
                {
                  "player": "Jamal Hailey",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 4,
                  "receptions": 9,
                  "yards": 86,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 12,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 9.471
                },
                {
                  "player": "Xavier Herndon",
                  "position": "TE",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 4,
                  "yards": 65,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 5.333,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 7.159
                },
                {
                  "player": "Ace Cobb",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 3,
                  "receptions": 2,
                  "yards": 46,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 2.667,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 5.066
                },
                {
                  "player": "Chase Gillespie",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 6,
                  "yards": 43,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 8,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 4.736
                },
                {
                  "player": "Jamar Taylor",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 5,
                  "yards": 32,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 6.667,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 3.524
                },
                {
                  "player": "Armand Burris",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 4,
                  "yards": 26,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 5.333,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 2.863
                },
                {
                  "player": "Justin Bostic",
                  "position": "DB",
                  "games": 5,
                  "receptions": 1,
                  "yards": 13,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 1.333,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 1.432
                },
                {
                  "player": "KyJuan Taylor Jr.",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 3,
                  "receptions": 1,
                  "yards": 9,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 1.333,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0.991
                },
                {
                  "player": "Justin Squire",
                  "position": "DL",
                  "games": 4,
                  "receptions": 1,
                  "yards": 7,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 1.333,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0.771
                },
                {
                  "player": "Dante Hedrington",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 1,
                  "receptions": 1,
                  "yards": 6,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 1.333,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0.661
                },
                {
                  "player": "Mike Peterson Jr.",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 3,
                  "receptions": 1,
                  "yards": 3,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 1.333,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0.33
                },
                {
                  "player": "Lawrence Wright IV",
                  "position": "TE",
                  "games": 3,
                  "receptions": 1,
                  "yards": 1,
                  "touchdowns": 1,
                  "receptionSharePct": 1.333,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0.11
                },
                {
                  "player": "Tamez Young",
                  "position": "TE",
                  "games": 3,
                  "receptions": 1,
                  "yards": 1,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 1.333,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0.11
                },
                {
                  "player": "Jaden Desir",
                  "position": "RB",
                  "games": 4,
                  "receptions": 0,
                  "yards": 0,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 0,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0
                },
                {
                  "player": "Jaylan Lurry",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 1,
                  "receptions": 0,
                  "yards": 0,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 0,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0
                },
                {
                  "player": "Tian Wyche",
                  "position": "WR",
                  "games": 2,
                  "receptions": 0,
                  "yards": 0,
                  "touchdowns": 0,
                  "receptionSharePct": 0,
                  "receivingYardSharePct": 0
                }
              ]
            },
            "tightEndPool": [
              {
                "player": "Xavier Herndon",
                "position": "TE",
                "receptions": 4,
                "yards": 65,
                "touchdowns": 0
              },
              {
                "player": "Lawrence Wright IV",
                "position": "TE",
                "receptions": 1,
                "yards": 1,
                "touchdowns": 1
              },
              {
                "player": "Tamez Young",
                "position": "TE",
                "receptions": 1,
                "yards": 1,
                "touchdowns": 0
              },
              {
                "player": "Andrew Ritter",
                "position": "TE",
                "receptions": 0,
                "observation": "No reception in complete table; this is not an active/inactive conclusion."
              },
              {
                "player": "Myron Ward",
                "position": "TE",
                "receptions": 0,
                "observation": "No reception in complete table; this is not an active/inactive conclusion."
              }
            ],
            "comparison": "Herndon accounts for5.333% of team catches and7.159% of receiving yards. Identified TE group combines6/67/1 (8% of catches,7.379% of yards). Wright has a receivingTD, so receiving/red-zone participation cannot be erased just because his yardage is1. Justin Squire is officially DL despite one reception; preserve his stat without reclassifying him asTE.",
            "replacementsConditional": [
              {
                "ifUnavailable": "Xavier Herndon",
                "comparison": "WrightIV and TamezYoung are receivingTE alternatives with1catch each; Ritter/Ward are rosterTE without recorded catches. Neither equal replacement effectiveness nor an active guarantee is established."
              }
            ],
            "remainingLimitations": [
              "Final October9 active/inactive confirmation remains separate.",
              "Targets, routes and snap shares are not available in this cumulative table."
            ],
            "statisticalScoreAdjustment": null
          }
        ],
        "requiredRoleGapsRemaining": [],
        "releaseInterpretation": "This supplement closes the specified identification gaps. It does not close any separate unverified absence/replacement/final-availability gap in the football desk report, and does not itself declare the football slate releasable."
      }
    },
    "primaryAttachment": {
      "file": "../../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
      "model": "primary-2.0.0",
      "calculated_utc": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
      "cutoff_utc": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
      "specification_sha256": "7ee9839e934f7940c589fca483f7e89653d178b1854001776ddf8b5c777cee6b",
      "engine_sha256": "6f0ee6843e6b787d057ccc7b113d516d4da51812d75d57c28128aa9e310f3bda",
      "status": "Parent owns final freeze; attached scores are exact candidate base values",
      "priceInputsUsed": false
    },
    "games": [
      {
        "eventId": "401858254",
        "away": "Florida State Seminoles",
        "home": "Louisville Cardinals",
        "base": [
          23.026679207249657,
          33.73008313296593
        ],
        "humanOnlyProductionSensitivity": [
          20.026679207249657,
          33.73008313296593
        ],
        "total": 53.75676234021559,
        "homeMargin": 13.703403925716273,
        "bothTeamReviewComplete": true,
        "scenarioIds": [
          "FSU_SINGLETON_ISOLATED",
          "FSU_CARTER_ISOLATED",
          "FSU_JOINT",
          "LOU_KEYJUAN_ISOLATED",
          "LOU_KIENHOLZ_ISOLATED",
          "LOU_JOINT"
        ],
        "qualification": "BYU Martin and FSU Singleton independently established material absences use -3 each; all other reductions remain explicitly conditional. No empirical player-to-points coefficient or blanket injury headcount penalty.",
        "parentAction": "Freeze model/scenario ledger before fresh price retrieval, then apply normal selection gates; scenario failure means PASS, no opposite promotion."
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401858487",
        "away": "Iowa Hawkeyes",
        "home": "Washington Huskies",
        "base": [
          20.12233519905464,
          26.308136230171403
        ],
        "humanOnlyProductionSensitivity": [
          20.12233519905464,
          26.308136230171403
        ],
        "total": 46.430471429226046,
        "homeMargin": 6.185801031116764,
        "bothTeamReviewComplete": true,
        "scenarioIds": [
          "IOWA_BROWN_ISOLATED"
        ],
        "qualification": "BYU Martin and FSU Singleton independently established material absences use -3 each; all other reductions remain explicitly conditional. No empirical player-to-points coefficient or blanket injury headcount penalty.",
        "parentAction": "Freeze model/scenario ledger before fresh price retrieval, then apply normal selection gates; scenario failure means PASS, no opposite promotion."
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401860922",
        "away": "Washington State Cougars",
        "home": "Utah State Aggies",
        "base": [
          20.694605126616768,
          29.209228794314242
        ],
        "humanOnlyProductionSensitivity": [
          20.694605126616768,
          29.209228794314242
        ],
        "total": 49.90383392093101,
        "homeMargin": 8.514623667697474,
        "bothTeamReviewComplete": true,
        "scenarioIds": [
          "USU_QB_CHANGE_CONDITIONAL"
        ],
        "qualification": "BYU Martin and FSU Singleton independently established material absences use -3 each; all other reductions remain explicitly conditional. No empirical player-to-points coefficient or blanket injury headcount penalty.",
        "parentAction": "Freeze model/scenario ledger before fresh price retrieval, then apply normal selection gates; scenario failure means PASS, no opposite promotion."
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401864519",
        "away": "Wyoming Cowboys",
        "home": "San Jos\u00e9 State Spartans",
        "base": [
          17.687278564723727,
          26.330594408753928
        ],
        "humanOnlyProductionSensitivity": [
          17.687278564723727,
          26.330594408753928
        ],
        "total": 44.01787297347765,
        "homeMargin": 8.643315844030202,
        "bothTeamReviewComplete": true,
        "scenarioIds": [],
        "qualification": "BYU Martin and FSU Singleton independently established material absences use -3 each; all other reductions remain explicitly conditional. No empirical player-to-points coefficient or blanket injury headcount penalty.",
        "parentAction": "Freeze model/scenario ledger before fresh price retrieval, then apply normal selection gates; scenario failure means PASS, no opposite promotion."
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401856826",
        "away": "Iowa State Cyclones",
        "home": "BYU Cougars",
        "base": [
          18.62707194454634,
          33.10079185559791
        ],
        "humanOnlyProductionSensitivity": [
          18.62707194454634,
          30.10079185559791
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        "total": 48.72786380014425,
        "homeMargin": 11.473719911051571,
        "bothTeamReviewComplete": true,
        "scenarioIds": [
          "BYU_MARTIN_ISOLATED",
          "BYU_MOA_ISOLATED",
          "BYU_JOINT"
        ],
        "qualification": "BYU Martin and FSU Singleton independently established material absences use -3 each; all other reductions remain explicitly conditional. No empirical player-to-points coefficient or blanket injury headcount penalty.",
        "parentAction": "Freeze model/scenario ledger before fresh price retrieval, then apply normal selection gates; scenario failure means PASS, no opposite promotion."
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401868329",
        "away": "Florida A&M Rattlers",
        "home": "Alabama State Hornets",
        "base": [
          14.328307722676279,
          39.417988798790084
        ],
        "humanOnlyProductionSensitivity": [
          14.328307722676279,
          39.417988798790084
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        "total": 53.74629652146636,
        "homeMargin": 25.089681076113806,
        "bothTeamReviewComplete": true,
        "scenarioIds": [
          "ASU_BODY_FRYE_CONDITIONAL"
        ],
        "qualification": "BYU Martin and FSU Singleton independently established material absences use -3 each; all other reductions remain explicitly conditional. No empirical player-to-points coefficient or blanket injury headcount penalty.",
        "parentAction": "Freeze model/scenario ledger before fresh price retrieval, then apply normal selection gates; scenario failure means PASS, no opposite promotion."
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401868265",
        "away": "Columbia Lions",
        "home": "Marist Red Foxes",
        "base": [
          13.838863822364848,
          29.08243262925076
        ],
        "humanOnlyProductionSensitivity": [
          13.838863822364848,
          29.08243262925076
        ],
        "total": 42.92129645161561,
        "homeMargin": 15.243568806885913,
        "bothTeamReviewComplete": true,
        "scenarioIds": [],
        "qualification": "BYU Martin and FSU Singleton independently established material absences use -3 each; all other reductions remain explicitly conditional. No empirical player-to-points coefficient or blanket injury headcount penalty.",
        "parentAction": "Freeze model/scenario ledger before fresh price retrieval, then apply normal selection gates; scenario failure means PASS, no opposite promotion."
      }
    ],
    "releaseReadyMeaning": "Football personnel review cleared for parent forecast/scenario freeze. This does not certify final prices, selection gates, or final active lists.",
    "nonBlockingDisclosures": [
      "Final availability may change; known questionable/designation conflicts handled with explicit conditional branches.",
      "Carter/Moa isolated -3 branches are qualification sensitivities, not automatic production deductions.",
      "Kienholz probable keeps baseline; optional surprise-out branch is not activated.",
      "USU and Alabama State QB displacement alone does not prove injury; conditional -3 is not unconditional.",
      "Advanced statistics and point conversion unestimated; base retention is stated sensitivity assumption.",
      "Parent still must freeze and apply normal selection gates; no betting prices requested by this desk."
    ],
    "completed": "2026-10-09T11:49:07.960Z",
    "parentArithmeticAudit": {
      "reviewed": "2026-10-09T11:57:13.039Z",
      "scenarios": 12,
      "status": "PASS",
      "decision": "All base and adjusted decisions PASS; thresholds cannot be certified without calibrated market probabilities."
    }
  },
  "offensive": {
    "schemaVersion": "1.1",
    "created": "2026-10-09T11:39:30.630Z",
    "date": "2026-10-09",
    "overlay": "offensive-replacement-v1",
    "desks": [
      "Parker personnel",
      "Uncle Sibursam workload"
    ],
    "scope": "12team/6game review plus both-team paths for2NHL trades",
    "activation": "TRACKING_ONLY",
    "reviewCompleteness": "Completed descriptive and projected tracking review:12teams,8NBA availability branches,24NHL absence comparisons,8both-team trade paths. Unknown final roles and unsupported conversions are disclosed limitations permitted by policy; no numerical activation/calibration approval is claimed.",
    "priorPriceExposure": {
      "value": true,
      "reason": "One unsolicited sportsbook Reddit snippet appeared in initial site:nhl.com search; not opened or used. Further search used hard domain filters. Preserve parent prior exposure audit."
    },
    "deduplication": {
      "nhlInputRows": 2502,
      "nhlUniqueRows": 2465,
      "rule": "Deduplicate pagination repeats by player/season/stage/team. Never add combined-team row to split-team rows. Rookie/missing history is unknown, not zero."
    },
    "historicalWindows": [
      "2024-25",
      "2025-26"
    ],
    "currentWindow": "2026-27 separately;NBA preseason/NHL regular separated",
    "absenceOverlay": "offense only",
    "footballMinus3Applied": false,
    "teamReviews": [
      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-09-DET",
        "eventId": "401892465",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "team": "DET",
        "teamName": "Detroit Red Wings",
        "stage": "regular",
        "stageEvidence": {
          "file": "nhl_official.json",
          "gameType": 2
        },
        "source": {
          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892465",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.449Z"
        },
        "notes": "Last actual allocation used11forwards/7defensemen. Larkin returned Oct6 and logged20:41; his return is already present in that reference. Edvinsson absence is contract-related per official SEA preview, superseding a generic vendor Out label. Compher/Kasper center work sits within Copp/Rasmussen/Finnie/Danielson pool. Exact Oct9 lineup and PP assignments unresolved.",
        "referenceLineup": {
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          "eventId": 2026020046,
          "meaning": "Actual prior lineup and total ice time; not a confirmed Oct9 allocation and not automatically the base model exposure.",
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                    "event_id": 2026010025,
                    "date": "2026-09-22",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010025/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484160,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Danielson"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "14:19",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020017,
                    "date": "2026-10-02",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020017/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484160,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Danielson"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "09:41",
                    "shifts": 16
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020035,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020035/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484160,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Danielson"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "08:09",
                    "shifts": 12
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020046,
                    "date": "2026-10-06",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020046/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484160,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Danielson"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "08:02",
                    "shifts": 13
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 76,
                  "toiMinutes": 16.681,
                  "goals": 11,
                  "assists": 21,
                  "shots": 98,
                  "ppPoints": 9,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.521,
                  "shotsPer60": 4.638
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Andrew Copp",
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                    "games": 56,
                    "toiMinutes": 14.702,
                    "goals": 10,
                    "assists": 13,
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                    "ppPoints": 1,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.729,
                    "shotsPer60": 4.955,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 0.317
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Michael Rasmussen",
                    "playerId": 8479992,
                    "games": 77,
                    "toiMinutes": 13.411,
                    "goals": 11,
                    "assists": 10,
                    "shots": 99,
                    "ppPoints": 4,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.639,
                    "shotsPer60": 5.752,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 1.114
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Nate Danielson",
                    "playerId": 8484160,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
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                    "shotsPer60": null,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 82,
                  "toiMinutes": 15.667,
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                  "assists": 17,
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                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Andrew Copp",
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                    "toiMinutes": 16.573,
                    "goals": 9,
                    "assists": 34,
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                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 0.833
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Michael Rasmussen",
                    "playerId": 8479992,
                    "games": 64,
                    "toiMinutes": 12.65,
                    "goals": 6,
                    "assists": 8,
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                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.445,
                    "shotsPer60": 4.817,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 0.38
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Nate Danielson",
                    "playerId": 8484160,
                    "games": 28,
                    "toiMinutes": 11.053,
                    "goals": 2,
                    "assists": 5,
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                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 1.573
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "Reference includes current-season appearances; determine overlap before a fresh deduction."
            },
            "offense": {
              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          },
          {
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              "additionalHistorySource": null
            },
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              "player": "Mason Appleton",
              "id": "3942043",
              "position": "C",
              "status": "Injured Reserve",
              "date": "2026-10-06T21:08Z"
            },
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              {
                "event_id": 2026010041,
                "date": "2026-09-24",
                "stage": "preseason",
                "team": "DET",
                "role": "forwards",
                "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010041/boxscore",
                "playerId": 8478891,
                "name": {
                  "default": "M. Appleton"
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                "position": "C",
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                "sog": 0,
                "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                "toi": "14:39",
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              },
              {
                "event_id": 2026010025,
                "date": "2026-09-22",
                "stage": "preseason",
                "team": "DET",
                "role": "forwards",
                "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010025/boxscore",
                "playerId": 8478891,
                "name": {
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                },
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              },
              {
                "event_id": 2026020017,
                "date": "2026-10-02",
                "stage": "regular",
                "team": "DET",
                "role": "forwards",
                "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020017/boxscore",
                "playerId": 8478891,
                "name": {
                  "default": "M. Appleton"
                },
                "position": "C",
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                "toi": "10:18",
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              },
              {
                "event_id": 2026020035,
                "date": "2026-10-04",
                "stage": "regular",
                "team": "DET",
                "role": "forwards",
                "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020035/boxscore",
                "playerId": 8478891,
                "name": {
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                "position": "C",
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                "sog": 0,
                "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                "toi": "09:23",
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              }
            ],
            "historical": [
              {
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                  {
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                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=700&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
                      "individualGoalsPer60": 0.57,
                      "shotsPer60": 6.097,
                      "pointsPer60": 1.254
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                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": {
                  "evTimeOnIce": 59029,
                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 831.39436,
                  "gamesPlayed": 71,
                  "lastName": "Appleton",
                  "otTimeOnIce": 45,
                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 3,
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 13.49295,
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                  "shiftsPerGame": 19.7183,
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                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 889.87323,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.12928
                },
                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "seasonId": 20252026,
                    "otGoals": 0,
                    "teamAbbrevs": "DET",
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                    "goals": 6,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "positionCode": "C",
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                    "evGoals": 6,
                    "playerId": 8478891,
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                    "timeOnIcePerGame": 811.4461,
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                    "shGoals": 0,
                    "points": 14,
                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
                      "individualGoalsPer60": 0.41,
                      "shotsPer60": 4.3,
                      "pointsPer60": 0.956
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                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": {
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                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 732.23076,
                  "gamesPlayed": 65,
                  "lastName": "Appleton",
                  "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 4.4923,
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                  "shifts": 1182,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 18.18461,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Mason Appleton",
                  "teamAbbrevs": "DET",
                  "timeOnIce": 52744,
                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 811.44615,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 44.62267
                },
                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
              },
              {
                "season": 20262027,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "seasonId": 20262027,
                    "otGoals": 0,
                    "teamAbbrevs": "DET",
                    "evPoints": 0,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "positionCode": "C",
                    "skaterFullName": "Mason Appleton",
                    "shootingPct": 0,
                    "evGoals": 0,
                    "playerId": 8478891,
                    "ppGoals": 0,
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                    "assists": 0,
                    "timeOnIcePerGame": 590.5,
                    "shPoints": 0,
                    "shGoals": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
                      "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                      "shotsPer60": 3.048,
                      "pointsPer60": 0
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": {
                  "evTimeOnIce": 945,
                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 472.5,
                  "gamesPlayed": 2,
                  "lastName": "Appleton",
                  "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                  "playerId": 8478891,
                  "positionCode": "C",
                  "ppTimeOnIce": 0,
                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                  "seasonId": 20262027,
                  "shTimeOnIce": 236,
                  "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 118,
                  "shifts": 33,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 16.5,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Mason Appleton",
                  "teamAbbrevs": "DET",
                  "timeOnIce": 1181,
                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 590.5,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 35.78787
                },
                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
              }
            ],
            "replacements": [
              {
                "name": "Keegan Kolesar",
                "id": 8478434,
                "position": "R",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 15.117,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20242025,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "VGK",
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                        "shGoals": 0,
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                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.665,
                          "shotsPer60": 4.88,
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 62469,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 761.81707,
                      "gamesPlayed": 82,
                      "lastName": "Kolesar",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
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                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.4756,
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                      "shiftsPerGame": 17.42682,
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                      "timeOnIce": 64914,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 791.63414,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.42617
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
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                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
                        "otGoals": 0,
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                        "goals": 6,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
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                        "game_type": 2,
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      }
                    ],
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                      "gamesPlayed": 82,
                      "lastName": "Kolesar",
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                      "shiftsPerGame": 16.7439,
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                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 41.34231
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=600&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      }
                    ],
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                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 658.33333,
                      "gamesPlayed": 3,
                      "lastName": "Kolesar",
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                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                      "playerId": 8478434,
                      "positionCode": "R",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 7,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 2.33333,
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                      "shTimeOnIce": 197,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 65.66666,
                      "shifts": 52,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 17.33333,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Keegan Kolesar",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "DET",
                      "timeOnIce": 2179,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 726.33333,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 41.90384
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010017,
                    "date": "2026-09-21",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010017/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8478434,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "K. Kolesar"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
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                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "16:45",
                    "shifts": 20
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010061,
                    "date": "2026-09-26",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010061/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8478434,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "K. Kolesar"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
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                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "12:19",
                    "shifts": 17
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020017,
                    "date": "2026-10-02",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020017/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8478434,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "K. Kolesar"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "10:23",
                    "shifts": 16
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                "name": "Carter Mazur",
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010061/boxscore",
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                    "toi": "09:52",
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                  },
                  {
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020046/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482802,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "C. Mazur"
                    },
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                    "games": null,
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                  {
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                  {
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                  {
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                ],
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020035,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
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                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020035/boxscore",
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                    "shifts": 12
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020046,
                    "date": "2026-10-06",
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                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020046/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484160,
                    "name": {
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                    "sog": 1,
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                    "toi": "08:02",
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                ]
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                "name": "Andrew Copp",
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                "additionalHistorySource": null,
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                "referenceMinutes": 18.4,
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                        "game_type": 2,
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.729,
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                          "pointsPer60": 1.676
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
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                      "shiftsPerGame": 19.64285,
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                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 882.14285,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 44.90909
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
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                      {
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                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=400&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.412,
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                      }
                    ],
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                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 81.18987,
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                      "shifts": 1747,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 22.11392,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
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                      "timeOnIce": 78557,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 994.3924,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 44.9668
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
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                      {
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
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                      "lastName": "Copp",
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                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 47.71604
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
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                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010041,
                    "date": "2026-09-24",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010041/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8477429,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "A. Copp"
                    },
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010061,
                    "date": "2026-09-26",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010061/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8477429,
                    "name": {
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                    },
                    "position": "C",
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                    "sog": 3,
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                    "toi": "20:28",
                    "shifts": 24
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020017,
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                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020017/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8477429,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "A. Copp"
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                    "position": "C",
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                    "toi": "22:17",
                    "shifts": 28
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020035,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020035/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8477429,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "A. Copp"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "23:44",
                    "shifts": 24
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020046,
                    "date": "2026-10-06",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020046/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8477429,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "A. Copp"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
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                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "18:24",
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                ]
              }
            ],
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                "incumbent": {
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                  "assists": 18,
                  "shots": 145,
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                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.958,
                  "shotsPer60": 7.313
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Emmitt Finnie",
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                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
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                    "assists": null,
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                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Nate Danielson",
                    "playerId": 8484160,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
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                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Andrew Copp",
                    "playerId": 8477429,
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
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              {
                "season": 20252026,
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                  {
                    "name": "Nate Danielson",
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                    "games": 28,
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                    "shots": 31,
                    "ppPoints": 3,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.388,
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                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -1.025
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Andrew Copp",
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                    "toiMinutes": 16.573,
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
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            ],
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              "player": "Simon Edvinsson",
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              "date": "2026-09-30T14:09Z"
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                    "positionCode": "D",
                    "skaterFullName": "Simon Edvinsson",
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                    "playerId": 8482762,
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                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=800&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "seasonId": 20252026,
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                    "goals": 9,
                    "ppPoints": 1,
                    "positionCode": "D",
                    "skaterFullName": "Simon Edvinsson",
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                    "game_type": 2,
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                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=800&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      "shotsPer60": 3.28,
                      "pointsPer60": 0.932
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                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20262027,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
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                "strengthStateSource": null
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            ],
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                "name": "Albert Johansson",
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                "additionalHistorySource": null,
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                      {
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                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "DET",
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                        "goals": 3,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Albert Johansson",
                        "shootingPct": 0.0625,
                        "evGoals": 3,
                        "playerId": 8481607,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 2,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 981.6557,
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                        "points": 9,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 58159,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 953.42622,
                      "gamesPlayed": 61,
                      "lastName": "Johansson",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 3,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0.25,
                      "playerId": 8481607,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 217,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 3.55737,
                      "seasonId": 20242025,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 1505,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 24.67213,
                      "shifts": 1310,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 21.4754,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Albert Johansson",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "DET",
                      "timeOnIce": 59881,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 981.65573,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.71068
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
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                        "seasonId": 20252026,
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                        "teamAbbrevs": "DET",
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                        "goals": 3,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "D",
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                        "evGoals": 2,
                        "playerId": 8481607,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 956.3902,
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                        "shGoals": 1,
                        "points": 11,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.138,
                          "shotsPer60": 2.8,
                          "pointsPer60": 0.505
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 70767,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 863.01219,
                      "gamesPlayed": 82,
                      "lastName": "Johansson",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 172,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 8.19047,
                      "playerId": 8481607,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 999,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 12.18292,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 6658,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 81.19512,
                      "shifts": 1768,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 21.56097,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Albert Johansson",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "DET",
                      "timeOnIce": 78424,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 956.39024,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 44.35746
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
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                        "seasonId": 20262027,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "DET",
                        "evPoints": 0,
                        "goals": 0,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Albert Johansson",
                        "shootingPct": 0,
                        "evGoals": 0,
                        "playerId": 8481607,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
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                        "gamesPlayed": 3,
                        "assists": 0,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 942,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 0,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
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                      }
                    ],
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
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                ],
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                  },
                  {
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                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010025/boxscore",
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                  },
                  {
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                  {
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                  {
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              {
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=400&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                    ],
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010041/boxscore",
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                  {
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                    "toi": "22:01",
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010025,
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                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010025/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482171,
                    "name": {
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                    },
                    "position": "D",
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                    "toi": "15:14",
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                  },
                  {
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                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020046/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482171,
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                ]
              }
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                  "shotsPer60": 3.132
                },
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                    "toiMinutes": 16.361,
                    "goals": 3,
                    "assists": 6,
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                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.18,
                    "shotsPer60": 2.886,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -0.246
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Anton Johansson",
                    "playerId": 8483679,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
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                  },
                  {
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              {
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                }
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            "reportedAvailability": {
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                "strengthStateTime": null,
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              },
              {
                "season": 20262027,
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            ],
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                      }
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                          "shotsPer60": 8.09,
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                      }
                    ],
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                      "lastName": "Mazur",
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                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 37.08333
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010041,
                    "date": "2026-09-24",
                    "stage": "preseason",
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                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010041/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482802,
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                  {
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                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010017/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482802,
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                  {
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                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010061/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482802,
                    "name": {
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                    },
                    "position": "L",
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                    "toi": "09:52",
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020046,
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                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020046/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482802,
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                ]
              },
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
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                ],
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                  {
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010017/boxscore",
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010061,
                    "date": "2026-09-26",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010061/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484794,
                    "name": {
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010025,
                    "date": "2026-09-22",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010025/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484794,
                    "name": {
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                    "powerPlayGoals": 1,
                    "toi": "12:43",
                    "shifts": 18
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020017,
                    "date": "2026-10-02",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020017/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484794,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "M. Brandsegg-Nyg\u00e5rd"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
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                    "assists": 0,
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                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "09:39",
                    "shifts": 16
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020035,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020035/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484794,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "M. Brandsegg-Nyg\u00e5rd"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
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                    "assists": 1,
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                    "sog": 6,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "19:33",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020046,
                    "date": "2026-10-06",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "DET",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020046/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484794,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "M. Brandsegg-Nyg\u00e5rd"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "12:37",
                    "shifts": 18
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                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "incumbent": null,
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Carter Mazur",
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                    "games": 1,
                    "toiMinutes": 1.167,
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                  },
                  {
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                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": null,
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Carter Mazur",
                    "playerId": 8482802,
                    "games": 8,
                    "toiMinutes": 10.698,
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                    "shotsPer60": 2.103,
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                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Michael Brandsegg-Nyg\u00e5rd",
                    "playerId": 8484794,
                    "games": 14,
                    "toiMinutes": 12.517,
                    "goals": 0,
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                    "ppPoints": 0,
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                    "shotsPer60": 6.848,
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                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "Reference includes current-season appearances; determine overlap before a fresh deduction."
            },
            "offense": {
              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          }
        ],
        "noChangeFinding": "Prior-reference omissions identified per player; no blanket zero injury effect claimed.",
        "goaliesExcluded": [],
        "calibratedOffensiveEffectGoals": null,
        "defenseAbsenceOverlay": "not_applied_offense_only",
        "baseScore": 3.1369120565768305,
        "adjustedScore": 3.1369120565768305,
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "footballMinus3Applied": false,
        "displayBaseScore": 3,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 3,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "calculationReference": {
          "model": "primary-2.0.0",
          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
          "coefficientSHA256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd",
          "side": "home",
          "eventId": "401892465",
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            "away": "Seattle Kraken",
            "home": "Detroit Red Wings"
          },
          "baseAwayHome": [
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          "retainedAwayHome": [
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          "baseMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.2660103221584813,
          "retainedMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.2660103221584813,
          "baseTotal": 6.007813790995179,
          "retainedTotal": 6.007813790995179,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
        },
        "disclosedLimitations": [
          "Confirmed Oct9 dressing lineup",
          "Current ES/PP affected minutes",
          "Validated lineup offensive goal/xG rate difference and base-lineup exposure"
        ],
        "reviewStatus": "COMPLETE_AS_PROJECTED_TRACKING_REVIEW",
        "pendingFinalRoles": true,
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-09-SEA",
        "eventId": "401892465",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "team": "SEA",
        "teamName": "Seattle Kraken",
        "stage": "regular",
        "stageEvidence": {
          "file": "nhl_official.json",
          "gameType": 2
        },
        "source": {
          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892465",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.449Z"
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        "notes": "Official Oct8 preview for Oct9 projects Mahura replacing unavailable Lindgren alongside Fleury; Ottavainen is an alternative. Lindgren last played only3:57 before leaving, so treating3:57 as his normal expected contribution understates the event. Current top-four carried roughly20\u201324minutes in that game; a fresh full-game bottom-pair workload remains uncertain.",
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                  }
                ]
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                      }
                    ],
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                      }
                    ],
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                ],
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                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010014,
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                    "team": "SEA",
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010014/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482866,
                    "name": {
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010038,
                    "date": "2026-09-24",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "SEA",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010038/boxscore",
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020038,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
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                    "team": "SEA",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020038/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482866,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "V. Ottavainen"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
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                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "15:51",
                    "shifts": 22
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010005,
                    "date": "2026-09-19",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "SEA",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010005/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482866,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "V. Ottavainen"
                    },
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                    "toi": "20:40",
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                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
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                  "toiMinutes": 19.704,
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                  "shotsPer60": 2.664
                },
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                  {
                    "name": "Cale Fleury",
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                ],
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                "event_id": 2026010056,
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                "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010056/boxscore",
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                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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              {
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                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                ],
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                  "lastName": "Melanson",
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                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
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                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
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                "historical": [
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                    "season": 20242025,
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                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=700&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 50350,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 699.30555,
                      "gamesPlayed": 72,
                      "lastName": "Samoskevich",
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                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 39.91666,
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                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 99.23611,
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                      "shifts": 1275,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 17.70833,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
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                      "timeOnIce": 57552,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 799.33333,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.13882
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
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                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
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                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
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                        "seasonId": 20252026,
                        "otGoals": 0,
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                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=800&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.646,
                          "shotsPer60": 8.67,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.723
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 57019,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 740.50649,
                      "gamesPlayed": 77,
                      "lastName": "Samoskevich",
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                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 125.50649,
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                          "individualGoalsPer60": 2.693,
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                      }
                    ],
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
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                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010038,
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010038/boxscore",
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                  {
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020028,
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "SEA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020028/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482713,
                    "name": {
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                    "position": "R",
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020051,
                    "date": "2026-10-06",
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                    "team": "SEA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482713,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "M. Samoskevich"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
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                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Ryan Winterton",
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                "position": "C",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 12.55,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
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                    "rows": [
                      {
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                        "evPoints": 1,
                        "goals": 0,
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                        "skaterFullName": "Ryan Winterton",
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=600&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                          "shotsPer60": 6.923,
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                    ],
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                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.08333,
                      "shifts": 173,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 14.41666,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
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                      "teamAbbrevs": "SEA",
                      "timeOnIce": 7800,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 650,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.0867
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
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                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
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                        "goals": 4,
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                        "positionCode": "C",
                        "skaterFullName": "Ryan Winterton",
                        "shootingPct": 0.04597,
                        "evGoals": 4,
                        "playerId": 8482751,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 718.75,
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                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=700&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.295,
                          "shotsPer60": 6.408,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.326
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 44813,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 659.0147,
                      "gamesPlayed": 68,
                      "lastName": "Winterton",
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                      "playerId": 8482751,
                      "positionCode": "C",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 149,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 2.19117,
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                      "shifts": 1146,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 16.85294,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Ryan Winterton",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "SEA",
                      "timeOnIce": 48875,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 718.75,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 42.64834
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
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                    "rows": [
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                        "playerId": 8482751,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 838.75,
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                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=400&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
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                          "pointsPer60": 1.073
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 2906,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 726.5,
                      "gamesPlayed": 4,
                      "lastName": "Winterton",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
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                      "positionCode": "C",
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                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "seasonId": 20262027,
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                      "shifts": 74,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 18.5,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
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                      "timeOnIce": 3355,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 838.75,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.33783
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010014,
                    "date": "2026-09-20",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "SEA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010014/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482751,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "R. Winterton"
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                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
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                    "shifts": 26
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020014,
                    "date": "2026-10-01",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "SEA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020014/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482751,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "R. Winterton"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "16:17",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020038,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "SEA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020038/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482751,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "R. Winterton"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "15:39",
                    "shifts": 18
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020028,
                    "date": "2026-10-03",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "SEA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020028/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482751,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "R. Winterton"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "11:26",
                    "shifts": 17
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010056,
                    "date": "2026-09-26",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "SEA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010056/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482751,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "R. Winterton"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "10:40",
                    "shifts": 15
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020051,
                    "date": "2026-10-06",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "SEA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482751,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "R. Winterton"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "12:33",
                    "shifts": 18
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 1,
                  "toiMinutes": 9.883,
                  "goals": 0,
                  "assists": 0,
                  "shots": 0,
                  "ppPoints": 0,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                  "shotsPer60": 0
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Mackie Samoskevich",
                    "playerId": 8482713,
                    "games": 72,
                    "toiMinutes": 13.322,
                    "goals": 15,
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                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.938,
                    "shotsPer60": 8.069,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 8.069
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Ryan Winterton",
                    "playerId": 8482751,
                    "games": 12,
                    "toiMinutes": 10.833,
                    "goals": 0,
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                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                    "shotsPer60": 6.923,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 6.923
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 36,
                  "toiMinutes": 9.367,
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                  "shotsPer60": 5.872
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Mackie Samoskevich",
                    "playerId": 8482713,
                    "games": 77,
                    "toiMinutes": 14.469,
                    "goals": 12,
                    "assists": 20,
                    "shots": 161,
                    "ppPoints": 10,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.646,
                    "shotsPer60": 8.67,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 2.798
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Ryan Winterton",
                    "playerId": 8482751,
                    "games": 68,
                    "toiMinutes": 11.979,
                    "goals": 4,
                    "assists": 14,
                    "shots": 87,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.295,
                    "shotsPer60": 6.408,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 0.536
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
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              "interpretation": "Reference includes current-season appearances; determine overlap before a fresh deduction."
            },
            "offense": {
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              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          },
          {
            "incumbent": {
              "name": "Jake O'Brien",
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              "additionalHistorySource": null
            },
            "reportedAvailability": {
              "player": "Jake O'Brien",
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              "position": "C",
              "status": "Injured Reserve",
              "date": "2026-10-01T00:06Z"
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              {
                "event_id": 2026010005,
                "date": "2026-09-19",
                "stage": "preseason",
                "team": "SEA",
                "role": "forwards",
                "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010005/boxscore",
                "playerId": 8485383,
                "name": {
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                "position": "C",
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                "sog": 1,
                "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                "toi": "14:47",
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            ],
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              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
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                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
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                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20262027,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              }
            ],
            "replacements": [
              {
                "name": "Berkly Catton",
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                "position": "C",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 15.583,
                "historical": [
                  {
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                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
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                    "strengthStateSource": null
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
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                        "ppPoints": 2,
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                        "skaterFullName": "Berkly Catton",
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                        "playerId": 8484800,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 776.1363,
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                        "points": 17,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=600&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.492,
                          "shotsPer60": 5.482,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.195
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 47843,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 724.89393,
                      "gamesPlayed": 66,
                      "lastName": "Catton",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 370,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 26.42857,
                      "playerId": 8484800,
                      "positionCode": "C",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 3382,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 51.24242,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "shifts": 1158,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 17.54545,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Berkly Catton",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "SEA",
                      "timeOnIce": 51225,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 776.13636,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 44.23575
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20262027,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "SEA",
                        "evPoints": 2,
                        "goals": 1,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "C",
                        "skaterFullName": "Berkly Catton",
                        "shootingPct": 0.14285,
                        "evGoals": 1,
                        "playerId": 8484800,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                        "shots": 7,
                        "gamesPlayed": 4,
                        "assists": 1,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 944,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 2,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=400&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.953,
                          "shotsPer60": 6.674,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.907
                        }
                      }
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                  {
                    "name": "Berkly Catton",
                    "playerId": 8484800,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
                    "ppPoints": null,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": null,
                    "shotsPer60": null,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Ben Meyers",
                    "playerId": 8483570,
                    "games": 8,
                    "toiMinutes": 8.352,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "shots": 4,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                    "shotsPer60": 3.592,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Frederick Gaudreau",
                    "playerId": 8477919,
                    "games": 82,
                    "toiMinutes": 15.662,
                    "goals": 18,
                    "assists": 19,
                    "shots": 110,
                    "ppPoints": 5,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.841,
                    "shotsPer60": 5.139,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": null,
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Berkly Catton",
                    "playerId": 8484800,
                    "games": 66,
                    "toiMinutes": 12.936,
                    "goals": 7,
                    "assists": 10,
                    "shots": 78,
                    "ppPoints": 2,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.492,
                    "shotsPer60": 5.482,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Ben Meyers",
                    "playerId": 8483570,
                    "games": 52,
                    "toiMinutes": 11.938,
                    "goals": 7,
                    "assists": 8,
                    "shots": 61,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.677,
                    "shotsPer60": 5.896,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Frederick Gaudreau",
                    "playerId": 8477919,
                    "games": 68,
                    "toiMinutes": 16.144,
                    "goals": 7,
                    "assists": 17,
                    "shots": 70,
                    "ppPoints": 3,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.383,
                    "shotsPer60": 3.826,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "Reference includes current-season appearances; determine overlap before a fresh deduction."
            },
            "offense": {
              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          }
        ],
        "noChangeFinding": "Prior-reference omissions identified per player; no blanket zero injury effect claimed.",
        "goaliesExcluded": [],
        "calibratedOffensiveEffectGoals": null,
        "defenseAbsenceOverlay": "not_applied_offense_only",
        "baseScore": 2.870901734418349,
        "adjustedScore": 2.870901734418349,
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "footballMinus3Applied": false,
        "displayBaseScore": 3,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 3,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "calculationReference": {
          "model": "primary-2.0.0",
          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
          "coefficientSHA256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd",
          "side": "away",
          "eventId": "401892465",
          "matchup": {
            "away": "Seattle Kraken",
            "home": "Detroit Red Wings"
          },
          "baseAwayHome": [
            2.870901734418349,
            3.1369120565768305
          ],
          "retainedAwayHome": [
            2.870901734418349,
            3.1369120565768305
          ],
          "baseMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.2660103221584813,
          "retainedMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.2660103221584813,
          "baseTotal": 6.007813790995179,
          "retainedTotal": 6.007813790995179,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
        },
        "disclosedLimitations": [
          "Confirmed Oct9 dressing lineup",
          "Current ES/PP affected minutes",
          "Validated lineup offensive goal/xG rate difference and base-lineup exposure"
        ],
        "reviewStatus": "COMPLETE_AS_PROJECTED_TRACKING_REVIEW",
        "pendingFinalRoles": true,
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-09-WSH",
        "eventId": "401892466",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "team": "WSH",
        "teamName": "Washington Capitals",
        "stage": "regular",
        "stageEvidence": {
          "file": "nhl_official.json",
          "gameType": 2
        },
        "source": {
          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892466",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.584Z"
        },
        "notes": "Last actual defense already excluded Roy and Sandin. Roy return would reclaim minutes from Desharnais/McIlrath; Sandin absence leaves Hutson/Liljegren opportunity. No further absence penalty should be assumed relative to an already depleted reference.",
        "referenceLineup": {
          "date": "2026-10-07",
          "eventId": 2026020053,
          "meaning": "Actual prior lineup and total ice time; not a confirmed Oct9 allocation and not automatically the base model exposure.",
          "skaters": [
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8471214,
              "name": "Alex Ovechkin",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "14:05",
              "shifts": 15,
              "toiSeconds": 845
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8484186,
              "name": "Ryan Leonard",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 1,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 1,
              "toi": "13:53",
              "shifts": 15,
              "toiSeconds": 833
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8478440,
              "name": "Dylan Strome",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 1,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "13:31",
              "shifts": 16,
              "toiSeconds": 811
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8481656,
              "name": "Aliaksei Protas",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "16:04",
              "shifts": 19,
              "toiSeconds": 964
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8476432,
              "name": "Boone Jenner",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "17:52",
              "shifts": 19,
              "toiSeconds": 1072
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8479385,
              "name": "Jordan Kyrou",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 1,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "11:58",
              "shifts": 14,
              "toiSeconds": 718
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482088,
              "name": "Justin Sourdif",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "15:08",
              "shifts": 17,
              "toiSeconds": 908
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8476880,
              "name": "Tom Wilson",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 1,
              "assists": 2,
              "points": 3,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "19:49",
              "shifts": 24,
              "toiSeconds": 1189
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8484999,
              "name": "Ilya Protas",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "11:44",
              "shifts": 15,
              "toiSeconds": 704
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8478463,
              "name": "Anthony Beauvillier",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 1,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "10:46",
              "shifts": 15,
              "toiSeconds": 646
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8479400,
              "name": "Pierre-Luc Dubois",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 1,
              "assists": 1,
              "points": 2,
              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "17:41",
              "shifts": 23,
              "toiSeconds": 1061
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8477949,
              "name": "Alex Tuch",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 1,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 6,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "18:35",
              "shifts": 21,
              "toiSeconds": 1115
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8479345,
              "name": "Jakob Chychrun",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "25:22",
              "shifts": 25,
              "toiSeconds": 1522
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8480043,
              "name": "Timothy Liljegren",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "17:03",
              "shifts": 21,
              "toiSeconds": 1023
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8480796,
              "name": "Martin Feh\u00e9rv\u00e1ry",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "23:56",
              "shifts": 24,
              "toiSeconds": 1436
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8484873,
              "name": "Cole Hutson",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 1,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "16:29",
              "shifts": 21,
              "toiSeconds": 989
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8475795,
              "name": "Dylan McIlrath",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "09:01",
              "shifts": 12,
              "toiSeconds": 541
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WSH",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8479576,
              "name": "Vincent Desharnais",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "21:03",
              "shifts": 26,
              "toiSeconds": 1263
            }
          ]
        },
        "projectedLineup": {
          "status": "last_actual_skater_pool_only",
          "forwardLines": null,
          "defensePairs": null
        },
        "powerPlay": {
          "units": null,
          "status": "unverified_current_units",
          "historicalStrengthStateData": [
            {
              "id": 8471214,
              "name": "Alex Ovechkin",
              "history": [
                {
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                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 813.33846,
                  "gamesPlayed": 65,
                  "lastName": "Ovechkin",
                  "otTimeOnIce": 919,
                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 65.64285,
                  "playerId": 8471214,
                  "positionCode": "L",
                  "ppTimeOnIce": 16178,
                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 248.8923,
                  "seasonId": 20242025,
                  "shTimeOnIce": 80,
                  "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 1.23076,
                  "shifts": 1274,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 19.6,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Alex Ovechkin",
                  "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                  "timeOnIce": 69125,
                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 1063.46153,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 54.25824
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                {
                  "evTimeOnIce": 63657,
                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 776.30487,
                  "gamesPlayed": 82,
                  "lastName": "Ovechkin",
                  "otTimeOnIce": 582,
                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 38.8,
                  "playerId": 8471214,
                  "positionCode": "L",
                  "ppTimeOnIce": 22071,
                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 269.15853,
                  "seasonId": 20252026,
                  "shTimeOnIce": 118,
                  "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 1.43902,
                  "shifts": 1615,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 19.69512,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Alex Ovechkin",
                  "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                  "timeOnIce": 85846,
                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 1046.90243,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 53.15541
                },
                {
                  "evTimeOnIce": 1843,
                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 614.33333,
                  "gamesPlayed": 3,
                  "lastName": "Ovechkin",
                  "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                  "playerId": 8471214,
                  "positionCode": "L",
                  "ppTimeOnIce": 582,
                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 194,
                  "seasonId": 20262027,
                  "shTimeOnIce": 0,
                  "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                  "shifts": 52,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 17.33333,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Alex Ovechkin",
                  "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                  "timeOnIce": 2425,
                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 808.33333,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 46.63461
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              ]
            },
            {
              "id": 8484186,
              "name": "Ryan Leonard",
              "history": [
                {
                  "evTimeOnIce": 7400,
                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 822.22222,
                  "gamesPlayed": 9,
                  "lastName": "Leonard",
                  "otTimeOnIce": 60,
                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 60,
                  "playerId": 8484186,
                  "positionCode": "R",
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 24,
                  "seasonId": 20242025,
                  "shTimeOnIce": 40,
                  "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 4.44444,
                  "shifts": 162,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 18,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Ryan Leonard",
                  "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                  "timeOnIce": 7656,
                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 850.66666,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 47.25925
                },
                {
                  "evTimeOnIce": 54284,
                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 723.78666,
                  "gamesPlayed": 75,
                  "lastName": "Leonard",
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                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 17.61538,
                  "playerId": 8484186,
                  "positionCode": "R",
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 140.69333,
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                  "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.33333,
                  "shifts": 1345,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 17.93333,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Ryan Leonard",
                  "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                  "timeOnIce": 64861,
                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 864.81333,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 48.22379
                },
                {
                  "evTimeOnIce": 2105,
                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 701.66666,
                  "gamesPlayed": 3,
                  "lastName": "Leonard",
                  "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                  "playerId": 8484186,
                  "positionCode": "R",
                  "ppTimeOnIce": 306,
                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 102,
                  "seasonId": 20262027,
                  "shTimeOnIce": 0,
                  "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                  "shifts": 49,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 16.33333,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Ryan Leonard",
                  "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                  "timeOnIce": 2411,
                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 803.66666,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 49.20408
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              ]
            },
            {
              "id": 8478440,
              "name": "Dylan Strome",
              "history": [
                {
                  "evTimeOnIce": 70671,
                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 861.84146,
                  "gamesPlayed": 82,
                  "lastName": "Strome",
                  "otTimeOnIce": 1543,
                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 90.7647,
                  "playerId": 8478440,
                  "positionCode": "C",
                  "ppTimeOnIce": 14749,
                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 179.86585,
                  "seasonId": 20242025,
                  "shTimeOnIce": 108,
                  "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 1.31707,
                  "shifts": 1645,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 20.06097,
                  "shootsCatches": "L",
                  "skaterFullName": "Dylan Strome",
                  "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                  "timeOnIce": 85528,
                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 1043.02439,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 51.9927
                },
                {
                  "evTimeOnIce": 71320,
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                    "event_id": 2026010020,
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": null,
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Ilya Protas",
                    "playerId": 8484999,
                    "games": 4,
                    "toiMinutes": 15.892,
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 3,
                    "shots": 7,
                    "ppPoints": 1,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.944,
                    "shotsPer60": 6.607,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Justin Sourdif",
                    "playerId": 8482088,
                    "games": 78,
                    "toiMinutes": 14.739,
                    "goals": 15,
                    "assists": 20,
                    "shots": 108,
                    "ppPoints": 3,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.783,
                    "shotsPer60": 5.637,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "No captured current NHL appearance; do not equate absent sample with zero talent. The last actual lineup already omits this player."
            },
            "offense": {
              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          },
          {
            "incumbent": {
              "name": "Rasmus Sandin",
              "id": 8480873,
              "position": "D",
              "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
              "additionalHistorySource": null
            },
            "reportedAvailability": {
              "player": "Rasmus Sandin",
              "id": "4352803",
              "position": "D",
              "status": "Injured Reserve",
              "date": "2026-09-28T21:48Z"
            },
            "referencePresence": null,
            "current2026_27": [],
            "historical": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "seasonId": 20242025,
                    "otGoals": 0,
                    "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                    "evPoints": 25,
                    "goals": 4,
                    "ppPoints": 5,
                    "positionCode": "D",
                    "skaterFullName": "Rasmus Sandin",
                    "shootingPct": 0.05128,
                    "evGoals": 3,
                    "playerId": 8480873,
                    "ppGoals": 1,
                    "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                    "shots": 78,
                    "gamesPlayed": 82,
                    "assists": 26,
                    "timeOnIcePerGame": 1151.4512,
                    "shPoints": 0,
                    "shGoals": 0,
                    "points": 30,
                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
                      "individualGoalsPer60": 0.153,
                      "shotsPer60": 2.974,
                      "pointsPer60": 1.144
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "seasonId": 20252026,
                    "otGoals": 0,
                    "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                    "evPoints": 28,
                    "goals": 5,
                    "ppPoints": 1,
                    "positionCode": "D",
                    "skaterFullName": "Rasmus Sandin",
                    "shootingPct": 0.05555,
                    "evGoals": 5,
                    "playerId": 8480873,
                    "ppGoals": 0,
                    "gameWinningGoals": 1,
                    "shots": 90,
                    "gamesPlayed": 73,
                    "assists": 24,
                    "timeOnIcePerGame": 1152.0547,
                    "shPoints": 0,
                    "shGoals": 0,
                    "points": 29,
                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
                      "individualGoalsPer60": 0.214,
                      "shotsPer60": 3.853,
                      "pointsPer60": 1.241
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20262027,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              }
            ],
            "replacements": [
              {
                "name": "Cole Hutson",
                "id": 8484873,
                "position": "D",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 16.483,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "strengthStateTime": null,
                    "strengthStateSource": null
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                        "evPoints": 4,
                        "goals": 3,
                        "ppPoints": 6,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Cole Hutson",
                        "shootingPct": 0.13636,
                        "evGoals": 2,
                        "playerId": 8484873,
                        "ppGoals": 1,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                        "shots": 22,
                        "gamesPlayed": 14,
                        "assists": 7,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 1047.4285,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 10,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=500&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.736,
                          "shotsPer60": 5.401,
                          "pointsPer60": 2.455
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 12786,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 913.28571,
                      "gamesPlayed": 14,
                      "lastName": "Hutson",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 39,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 19.5,
                      "playerId": 8484873,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 1846,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 131.85714,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 32,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 2.28571,
                      "shifts": 285,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 20.35714,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Cole Hutson",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                      "timeOnIce": 14664,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 1047.42857,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 51.45263
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20262027,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                        "evPoints": 1,
                        "goals": 1,
                        "ppPoints": 1,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Cole Hutson",
                        "shootingPct": 0.14285,
                        "evGoals": 1,
                        "playerId": 8484873,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                        "shots": 7,
                        "gamesPlayed": 3,
                        "assists": 1,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 1093.3333,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 2,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 1.098,
                          "shotsPer60": 7.683,
                          "pointsPer60": 2.195
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 2945,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 981.66666,
                      "gamesPlayed": 3,
                      "lastName": "Hutson",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                      "playerId": 8484873,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 301,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 100.33333,
                      "seasonId": 20262027,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 34,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 11.33333,
                      "shifts": 70,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 23.33333,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Cole Hutson",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                      "timeOnIce": 3280,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 1093.33333,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 46.85714
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010013,
                    "date": "2026-09-20",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WSH",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010013/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484873,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "C. Hutson"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "22:49",
                    "shifts": 23
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010049,
                    "date": "2026-09-25",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WSH",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010049/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484873,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "C. Hutson"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "16:55",
                    "shifts": 19
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020018,
                    "date": "2026-10-02",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WSH",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020018/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484873,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "C. Hutson"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "17:08",
                    "shifts": 22
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020053,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WSH",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484873,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "C. Hutson"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "16:29",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020024,
                    "date": "2026-10-03",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WSH",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020024/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484873,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "C. Hutson"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "21:03",
                    "shifts": 27
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Timothy Liljegren",
                "id": 8480043,
                "position": "D",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 17.05,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20242025,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "TOR,SJS",
                        "evPoints": 13,
                        "goals": 6,
                        "ppPoints": 4,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Timothy Liljegren",
                        "shootingPct": 0.05882,
                        "evGoals": 4,
                        "playerId": 8480043,
                        "ppGoals": 2,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                        "shots": 102,
                        "gamesPlayed": 68,
                        "assists": 11,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 1151.7647,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 17,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.276,
                          "shotsPer60": 4.688,
                          "pointsPer60": 0.781
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 70030,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1029.85294,
                      "gamesPlayed": 68,
                      "lastName": "Liljegren",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 792,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 56.57142,
                      "playerId": 8480043,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 6269,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 92.19117,
                      "seasonId": 20242025,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 2021,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 29.72058,
                      "shifts": 1618,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 23.79411,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Timothy Liljegren",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "TOR,SJS",
                      "timeOnIce": 78320,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 1151.7647,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 48.40543
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "SJS,WSH",
                        "evPoints": 9,
                        "goals": 1,
                        "ppPoints": 2,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Timothy Liljegren",
                        "shootingPct": 0.025,
                        "evGoals": 1,
                        "playerId": 8480043,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                        "shots": 40,
                        "gamesPlayed": 47,
                        "assists": 10,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 1191.1063,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 11,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=800&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.064,
                          "shotsPer60": 2.572,
                          "pointsPer60": 0.707
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 47646,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1013.74468,
                      "gamesPlayed": 47,
                      "lastName": "Liljegren",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 671,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 55.91666,
                      "playerId": 8480043,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 2263,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 48.14893,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 6073,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 129.21276,
                      "shifts": 1118,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 23.78723,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Timothy Liljegren",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "SJS,WSH",
                      "timeOnIce": 55982,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 1191.10638,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 50.07334
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20262027,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                        "evPoints": 0,
                        "goals": 0,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Timothy Liljegren",
                        "shootingPct": 0,
                        "evGoals": 0,
                        "playerId": 8480043,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                        "shots": 2,
                        "gamesPlayed": 3,
                        "assists": 0,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 1060.6666,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 0,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                          "shotsPer60": 2.263,
                          "pointsPer60": 0
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 2721,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 907,
                      "gamesPlayed": 3,
                      "lastName": "Liljegren",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                      "playerId": 8480043,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 2,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.66666,
                      "seasonId": 20262027,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 459,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 153,
                      "shifts": 63,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 21,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Timothy Liljegren",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "WSH",
                      "timeOnIce": 3182,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 1060.66666,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 50.50793
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010049,
                    "date": "2026-09-25",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WSH",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010049/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8480043,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Liljegren"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "17:11",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020018,
                    "date": "2026-10-02",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WSH",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020018/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8480043,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Liljegren"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "18:48",
                    "shifts": 20
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010020,
                    "date": "2026-09-21",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WSH",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010020/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8480043,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Liljegren"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "shifts": 0
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020053,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WSH",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8480043,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Liljegren"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "17:03",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020024,
                    "date": "2026-10-03",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WSH",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020024/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8480043,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Liljegren"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "17:11",
                    "shifts": 22
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 82,
                  "toiMinutes": 19.191,
                  "goals": 4,
                  "assists": 26,
                  "shots": 78,
                  "ppPoints": 5,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.153,
                  "shotsPer60": 2.974
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Cole Hutson",
                    "playerId": 8484873,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
                    "ppPoints": null,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": null,
                    "shotsPer60": null,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Timothy Liljegren",
                    "playerId": 8480043,
                    "games": 68,
                    "toiMinutes": 19.196,
                    "goals": 6,
                    "assists": 11,
                    "shots": 102,
                    "ppPoints": 4,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.276,
                    "shotsPer60": 4.688,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 1.714
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 73,
                  "toiMinutes": 19.201,
                  "goals": 5,
                  "assists": 24,
                  "shots": 90,
                  "ppPoints": 1,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.214,
                  "shotsPer60": 3.853
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Cole Hutson",
                    "playerId": 8484873,
                    "games": 14,
                    "toiMinutes": 17.457,
                    "goals": 3,
                    "assists": 7,
                    "shots": 22,
                    "ppPoints": 6,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.736,
                    "shotsPer60": 5.401,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 1.548
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Timothy Liljegren",
                    "playerId": 8480043,
                    "games": 47,
                    "toiMinutes": 19.852,
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 10,
                    "shots": 40,
                    "ppPoints": 2,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.064,
                    "shotsPer60": 2.572,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -1.281
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "No captured current NHL appearance; do not equate absent sample with zero talent. The last actual lineup already omits this player."
            },
            "offense": {
              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          }
        ],
        "noChangeFinding": "Prior-reference omissions identified per player; no blanket zero injury effect claimed.",
        "goaliesExcluded": [],
        "calibratedOffensiveEffectGoals": null,
        "defenseAbsenceOverlay": "not_applied_offense_only",
        "baseScore": 3.1857060537039112,
        "adjustedScore": 3.1857060537039112,
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "footballMinus3Applied": false,
        "displayBaseScore": 3,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 3,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "calculationReference": {
          "model": "primary-2.0.0",
          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
          "coefficientSHA256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd",
          "side": "home",
          "eventId": "401892466",
          "matchup": {
            "away": "New York Rangers",
            "home": "Washington Capitals"
          },
          "baseAwayHome": [
            2.8600434938977504,
            3.1857060537039112
          ],
          "retainedAwayHome": [
            2.8600434938977504,
            3.1857060537039112
          ],
          "baseMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.3256625598061609,
          "retainedMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.3256625598061609,
          "baseTotal": 6.045749547601662,
          "retainedTotal": 6.045749547601662,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
        },
        "disclosedLimitations": [
          "Confirmed Oct9 dressing lineup",
          "Current ES/PP affected minutes",
          "Validated lineup offensive goal/xG rate difference and base-lineup exposure"
        ],
        "reviewStatus": "COMPLETE_AS_PROJECTED_TRACKING_REVIEW",
        "pendingFinalRoles": true,
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-09-NYR",
        "eventId": "401892466",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "team": "NYR",
        "teamName": "New York Rangers",
        "stage": "regular",
        "stageEvidence": {
          "file": "nhl_official.json",
          "gameType": 2
        },
        "source": {
          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892466",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.584Z"
        },
        "notes": "Last actual lineup includes Beaudoin9:57 and Chmelar8:28, while Veleno is absent; their current role is observed, but causal one-for-one substitution and PP usage are not confirmed.",
        "referenceLineup": {
          "date": "2026-10-06",
          "eventId": 2026020048,
          "meaning": "Actual prior lineup and total ice time; not a confirmed Oct9 allocation and not automatically the base model exposure.",
          "skaters": [
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8476468,
              "name": "J.T. Miller",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 1,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "16:29",
              "shifts": 23,
              "toiSeconds": 989
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482109,
              "name": "Alexis Lafreni\u00e8re",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 3,
              "assists": 1,
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              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "18:54",
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              "toiSeconds": 1134
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8481604,
              "name": "Pavel Dorofeyev",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "16:25",
              "shifts": 19,
              "toiSeconds": 985
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8480009,
              "name": "Eeli Tolvanen",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "13:57",
              "shifts": 21,
              "toiSeconds": 837
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8481789,
              "name": "Tye Kartye",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "15:11",
              "shifts": 22,
              "toiSeconds": 911
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8477416,
              "name": "Oliver Bjorkstrand",
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              "goals": 2,
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              "toi": "08:58",
              "shifts": 14,
              "toiSeconds": 538
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8483690,
              "name": "Noah Laba",
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              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "14:47",
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              "toiSeconds": 887
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482877,
              "name": "Jaroslav Chmelar",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
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              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "08:28",
              "shifts": 14,
              "toiSeconds": 508
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482157,
              "name": "Will Cuylle",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 0,
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              "points": 1,
              "sog": 4,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "17:44",
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              "toiSeconds": 1064
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8484786,
              "name": "Cole Beaudoin",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
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              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "09:57",
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              "toiSeconds": 597
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8476459,
              "name": "Mika Zibanejad",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 2,
              "points": 2,
              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "20:05",
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              "toiSeconds": 1205
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8484210,
              "name": "Gabe Perreault",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 1,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "13:45",
              "shifts": 21,
              "toiSeconds": 825
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482073,
              "name": "Braden Schneider",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "17:39",
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              "toiSeconds": 1059
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8480434,
              "name": "Sean Durzi",
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              "goals": 0,
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              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "17:34",
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              "toiSeconds": 1054
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8485957,
              "name": "Alberts Smits",
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              "goals": 0,
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              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "15:27",
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              "toiSeconds": 927
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8479323,
              "name": "Adam Fox",
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              "goals": 0,
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              "toi": "23:49",
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              "toiSeconds": 1429
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8477969,
              "name": "Marcus Pettersson",
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              "goals": 0,
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              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "17:47",
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              "toiSeconds": 1067
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020048,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "NYR",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8478882,
              "name": "Vladislav Gavrikov",
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              "goals": 0,
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              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "24:10",
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              "toiSeconds": 1450
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          ]
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        "projectedLineup": {
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          "forwardLines": null,
          "defensePairs": null
        },
        "powerPlay": {
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          "status": "unverified_current_units",
          "historicalStrengthStateData": [
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              "name": "J.T. Miller",
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                  "lastName": "Dorofeyev",
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                  }
                ],
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                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
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            ],
            "replacements": [
              {
                "name": "Cole Beaudoin",
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                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
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                  },
                  {
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      }
                    ],
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                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 35.11764
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
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                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
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                    "date": "2026-09-24",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010045/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484786,
                    "name": {
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                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010027,
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                    "team": "NYR",
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010027/boxscore",
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020048,
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
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                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Noah Laba",
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                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 14.783,
                "historical": [
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                    "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
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                    "strengthStateSource": null
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
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                    "rows": [
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                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 24,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                          "shotsPer60": 4.394,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.445
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
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                      "lastName": "Laba",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 176,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 11,
                      "playerId": 8483690,
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                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 32.94594,
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                      "shiftsPerGame": 18.98648,
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                      "skaterFullName": "Noah Laba",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "NYR",
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                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 808.25675,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 42.5701
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
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                      }
                    ],
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                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 779.2,
                      "gamesPlayed": 5,
                      "lastName": "Laba",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                      "playerId": 8483690,
                      "positionCode": "C",
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                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 9.8,
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                      "shTimeOnIce": 474,
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                      "shifts": 107,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 21.4,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Noah Laba",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "NYR",
                      "timeOnIce": 4419,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 883.8,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 41.29906
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
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                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020003,
                    "date": "2026-09-29",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020003/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483690,
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                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020017,
                    "date": "2026-10-02",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020017/boxscore",
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                    "name": {
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                    },
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                    "sog": 2,
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                    "shifts": 20
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010045,
                    "date": "2026-09-24",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010045/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483690,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Laba"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "20:25",
                    "shifts": 24
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010051,
                    "date": "2026-09-25",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010051/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483690,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Laba"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
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                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
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                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "14:29",
                    "shifts": 20
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020048,
                    "date": "2026-10-06",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483690,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Laba"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "14:47",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020010,
                    "date": "2026-10-01",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020010/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483690,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Laba"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "16:14",
                    "shifts": 24
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020036,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020036/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483690,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Laba"
                    },
                    "position": "C",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "17:37",
                    "shifts": 21
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 74,
                  "toiMinutes": 12.118,
                  "goals": 8,
                  "assists": 9,
                  "shots": 75,
                  "ppPoints": 0,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.535,
                  "shotsPer60": 5.018
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Cole Beaudoin",
                    "playerId": 8484786,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
                    "ppPoints": null,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": null,
                    "shotsPer60": null,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Noah Laba",
                    "playerId": 8483690,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
                    "ppPoints": null,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": null,
                    "shotsPer60": null,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 61,
                  "toiMinutes": 12.091,
                  "goals": 2,
                  "assists": 3,
                  "shots": 52,
                  "ppPoints": 0,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.163,
                  "shotsPer60": 4.23
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Cole Beaudoin",
                    "playerId": 8484786,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
                    "ppPoints": null,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": null,
                    "shotsPer60": null,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Noah Laba",
                    "playerId": 8483690,
                    "games": 74,
                    "toiMinutes": 13.471,
                    "goals": 9,
                    "assists": 15,
                    "shots": 73,
                    "ppPoints": 5,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.542,
                    "shotsPer60": 4.394,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 0.164
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.59,
                          "shotsPer60": 5.509,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.279
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 34892,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 553.84126,
                      "gamesPlayed": 63,
                      "lastName": "Kartye",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
                      "playerId": 8481789,
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                      "ppTimeOnIce": 170,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 2.69841,
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                      "shTimeOnIce": 1532,
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                      "shifts": 839,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 13.31746,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Tye Kartye",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "SEA",
                      "timeOnIce": 36594,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 580.85714,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 43.6162
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
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                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
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                        "goals": 8,
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                        "positionCode": "L",
                        "skaterFullName": "Tye Kartye",
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                        "evGoals": 8,
                        "playerId": 8481789,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 717.7812,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 22,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=800&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.627,
                          "shotsPer60": 4.389,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.724
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 40770,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 637.03125,
                      "gamesPlayed": 64,
                      "lastName": "Kartye",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
                      "playerId": 8481789,
                      "positionCode": "L",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 149,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 2.32812,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 5019,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 78.42187,
                      "shifts": 1110,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 17.34375,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Tye Kartye",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "SEA,NYR",
                      "timeOnIce": 45938,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 717.78125,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 41.38558
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
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                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20262027,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "NYR",
                        "evPoints": 2,
                        "goals": 0,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 885.6,
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                        "points": 2,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                          "shotsPer60": 3.252,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.626
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 3704,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 740.8,
                      "gamesPlayed": 5,
                      "lastName": "Kartye",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                      "playerId": 8481789,
                      "positionCode": "L",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 8,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 1.6,
                      "seasonId": 20262027,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 716,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 143.2,
                      "shifts": 104,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 20.8,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Tye Kartye",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "NYR",
                      "timeOnIce": 4428,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 885.6,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 42.57692
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020003,
                    "date": "2026-09-29",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020003/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481789,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Kartye"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
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                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "13:20",
                    "shifts": 17
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020017,
                    "date": "2026-10-02",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020017/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481789,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Kartye"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "15:12",
                    "shifts": 20
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010045,
                    "date": "2026-09-24",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010045/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481789,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Kartye"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "15:48",
                    "shifts": 20
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010051,
                    "date": "2026-09-25",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010051/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481789,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Kartye"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "17:02",
                    "shifts": 19
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020048,
                    "date": "2026-10-06",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481789,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Kartye"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "15:11",
                    "shifts": 22
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020010,
                    "date": "2026-10-01",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020010/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481789,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Kartye"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "14:47",
                    "shifts": 24
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020036,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020036/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481789,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Kartye"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "15:18",
                    "shifts": 21
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Jaroslav Chmelar",
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                "position": "R",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 8.467,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "strengthStateTime": null,
                    "strengthStateSource": null
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "NYR",
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                        "goals": 4,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "R",
                        "skaterFullName": "Jaroslav Chmelar",
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                        "evGoals": 4,
                        "playerId": 8482877,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 549.0714,
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                        "shGoals": 0,
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                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=400&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.937,
                          "shotsPer60": 5.386,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.405
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 15250,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 544.64285,
                      "gamesPlayed": 28,
                      "lastName": "Chmelar",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
                      "playerId": 8482877,
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                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 4.32142,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 3,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.10714,
                      "shifts": 354,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 12.64285,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Jaroslav Chmelar",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "NYR",
                      "timeOnIce": 15374,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 549.07142,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 43.42937
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
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                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "NYR",
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                        "goals": 0,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "R",
                        "skaterFullName": "Jaroslav Chmelar",
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                        "evGoals": 0,
                        "playerId": 8482877,
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                        "shots": 2,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 450.5,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 0,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                          "shotsPer60": 3.996,
                          "pointsPer60": 0
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 1761,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 440.25,
                      "gamesPlayed": 4,
                      "lastName": "Chmelar",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                      "playerId": 8482877,
                      "positionCode": "R",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 41,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 10.25,
                      "seasonId": 20262027,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "shifts": 46,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 11.5,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Jaroslav Chmelar",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "NYR",
                      "timeOnIce": 1802,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 450.5,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 39.17391
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020017,
                    "date": "2026-10-02",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020017/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482877,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. Chmelar"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
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                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "09:11",
                    "shifts": 13
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010045,
                    "date": "2026-09-24",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010045/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482877,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. Chmelar"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "14:25",
                    "shifts": 20
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010027,
                    "date": "2026-09-22",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010027/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482877,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. Chmelar"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "11:00",
                    "shifts": 16
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020048,
                    "date": "2026-10-06",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020048/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482877,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. Chmelar"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "08:28",
                    "shifts": 14
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020010,
                    "date": "2026-10-01",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020010/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482877,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. Chmelar"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "06:18",
                    "shifts": 11
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020036,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "NYR",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020036/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482877,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. Chmelar"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "06:05",
                    "shifts": 8
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "incumbent": null,
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Tye Kartye",
                    "playerId": 8481789,
                    "games": 63,
                    "toiMinutes": 9.681,
                    "goals": 6,
                    "assists": 7,
                    "shots": 56,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.59,
                    "shotsPer60": 5.509,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Jaroslav Chmelar",
                    "playerId": 8482877,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
                    "ppPoints": null,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": null,
                    "shotsPer60": null,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 11,
                  "toiMinutes": 11.174,
                  "goals": 3,
                  "assists": 1,
                  "shots": 15,
                  "ppPoints": 0,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 1.464,
                  "shotsPer60": 7.322
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Tye Kartye",
                    "playerId": 8481789,
                    "games": 64,
                    "toiMinutes": 11.963,
                    "goals": 8,
                    "assists": 14,
                    "shots": 56,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.627,
                    "shotsPer60": 4.389,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -2.933
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Jaroslav Chmelar",
                    "playerId": 8482877,
                    "games": 28,
                    "toiMinutes": 9.151,
                    "goals": 4,
                    "assists": 2,
                    "shots": 23,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.937,
                    "shotsPer60": 5.386,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -1.936
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "Reference includes current-season appearances; determine overlap before a fresh deduction."
            },
            "offense": {
              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          }
        ],
        "noChangeFinding": "Prior-reference omissions identified per player; no blanket zero injury effect claimed.",
        "goaliesExcluded": [
          {
            "player": "Joonas Korpisalo",
            "id": "3069266",
            "position": "G",
            "status": "Injured Reserve",
            "date": "2026-10-01T17:24Z"
          }
        ],
        "calibratedOffensiveEffectGoals": null,
        "defenseAbsenceOverlay": "not_applied_offense_only",
        "baseScore": 2.8600434938977504,
        "adjustedScore": 2.8600434938977504,
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "footballMinus3Applied": false,
        "displayBaseScore": 3,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 3,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "calculationReference": {
          "model": "primary-2.0.0",
          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
          "coefficientSHA256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd",
          "side": "away",
          "eventId": "401892466",
          "matchup": {
            "away": "New York Rangers",
            "home": "Washington Capitals"
          },
          "baseAwayHome": [
            2.8600434938977504,
            3.1857060537039112
          ],
          "retainedAwayHome": [
            2.8600434938977504,
            3.1857060537039112
          ],
          "baseMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.3256625598061609,
          "retainedMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.3256625598061609,
          "baseTotal": 6.045749547601662,
          "retainedTotal": 6.045749547601662,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
        },
        "disclosedLimitations": [
          "Confirmed Oct9 dressing lineup",
          "Current ES/PP affected minutes",
          "Validated lineup offensive goal/xG rate difference and base-lineup exposure"
        ],
        "reviewStatus": "COMPLETE_AS_PROJECTED_TRACKING_REVIEW",
        "pendingFinalRoles": true,
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-09-CBJ",
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        "sport": "NHL",
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        "teamName": "Columbus Blue Jackets",
        "stage": "regular",
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          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.530Z"
        },
        "notes": "No reported skater absence in current event feed. Retain actual18-skater reference. September28 trade predates season; Knies/Andrae already occur in current reference, so do not charge the former Marchenko lineup again.",
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                {
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                  "shifts": 50,
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                  "shootsCatches": "L",
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              "id": 8478460,
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                  "lastName": "Werenski",
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                  "lastName": "Andrae",
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                  "lastName": "Andrae",
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                  "shootsCatches": "L",
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                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 50.28571
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            },
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              "id": 8475790,
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                  "shiftsPerGame": 20.625,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Erik Gudbranson",
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                  "lastName": "Gudbranson",
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                {
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                  "lastName": "Gudbranson",
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                  "shiftsPerGame": 20.5,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Erik Gudbranson",
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                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 1029.5,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 50.21951
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              ]
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          ],
          "note": "Individual PP/ES/PK time retained separately; no inference of unit membership from roster order."
        },
        "currentRoster": [
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
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            "player": "Charlie Coyle",
            "position": "C",
            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
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            "position": "C",
            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
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            "player": "Adam Fantilli",
            "position": "C",
            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
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            "player": "Conor Garland",
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            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
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            "player": "Danton Heinen",
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            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8482660,
            "player": "Kent Johnson",
            "position": "C",
            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8482720,
            "player": "Matthew Knies",
            "position": "L",
            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8479066,
            "player": "Ryan Lomberg",
            "position": "L",
            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8477497,
            "player": "Sean Monahan",
            "position": "C",
            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8477501,
            "player": "Valeri Nichushkin",
            "position": "R",
            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8479671,
            "player": "Mathieu Olivier",
            "position": "R",
            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8482705,
            "player": "Cole Sillinger",
            "position": "C",
            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8481716,
            "player": "Dmitri Voronkov",
            "position": "L",
            "role": "forwards",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8482126,
            "player": "Emil Andrae",
            "position": "D",
            "role": "defensemen",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8481161,
            "player": "Jake Christiansen",
            "position": "D",
            "role": "defensemen",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8479371,
            "player": "Dante Fabbro",
            "position": "D",
            "role": "defensemen",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8475790,
            "player": "Erik Gudbranson",
            "position": "D",
            "role": "defensemen",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8483485,
            "player": "Denton Mateychuk",
            "position": "D",
            "role": "defensemen",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8478500,
            "player": "Ivan Provorov",
            "position": "D",
            "role": "defensemen",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8477369,
            "player": "Carson Soucy",
            "position": "D",
            "role": "defensemen",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
          },
          {
            "team": "CBJ",
            "player_id": 8478460,
            "player": "Zach Werenski",
            "position": "D",
            "role": "defensemen",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/CBJ/current"
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        ],
        "comparisons": [],
        "noChangeFinding": "No reported skater absence and no demonstrated new offensive replacement relative to last actual18skaters; conditionally unchanged lineup, not proof of perfect health.",
        "goaliesExcluded": [],
        "calibratedOffensiveEffectGoals": null,
        "defenseAbsenceOverlay": "not_applied_offense_only",
        "baseScore": 3.388260702684709,
        "adjustedScore": 3.388260702684709,
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "footballMinus3Applied": false,
        "displayBaseScore": 3.5,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 3.5,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "calculationReference": {
          "model": "primary-2.0.0",
          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
          "coefficientSHA256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd",
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          "baseAwayHome": [
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          "retainedTotal": 6.686025932934019,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
        },
        "disclosedLimitations": [
          "Confirmed Oct9 dressing lineup",
          "Current ES/PP affected minutes",
          "Validated lineup offensive goal/xG rate difference and base-lineup exposure"
        ],
        "reviewStatus": "COMPLETE_AS_PROJECTED_TRACKING_REVIEW",
        "pendingFinalRoles": true,
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-09-PIT",
        "eventId": "401892467",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "team": "PIT",
        "teamName": "Pittsburgh Penguins",
        "stage": "regular",
        "stageEvidence": {
          "file": "nhl_official.json",
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        "source": {
          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892467",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.530Z"
        },
        "notes": "Kuzmenko is on non-roster personal leave and will not play on the Washington/Columbus trip per team report; vendor IR classification is superseded. Last game already used Robertson/Koivunen/Chinakhov. Stastney was scratched after trade; Carlile and Girard remain observed alternatives, not a confirmed new pairing.",
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              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
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            {
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              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
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            {
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              "team": "PIT",
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              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8480980,
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              "toi": "11:11",
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            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
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              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482148,
              "name": "Hendrix Lapierre",
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            {
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              "team": "PIT",
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              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482758,
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              "toi": "14:08",
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              "toiSeconds": 848
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            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
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              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8481481,
              "name": "Blake Lizotte",
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            {
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              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482475,
              "name": "Egor Chinakhov",
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              "toi": "15:29",
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            {
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                    "toi": "16:58",
                    "shifts": 19
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020042,
                    "date": "2026-10-05",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020042/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482475,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "E. Chinakhov",
                      "cs": "E. \u010cinachov",
                      "fi": "E. Tshinahov",
                      "sk": "E. \u010cinachov"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "14:00",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020053,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482475,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "E. Chinakhov",
                      "cs": "E. \u010cinachov",
                      "fi": "E. Tshinahov",
                      "sk": "E. \u010cinachov"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "15:29",
                    "shifts": 19
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 66,
                  "toiMinutes": 15.63,
                  "goals": 11,
                  "assists": 26,
                  "shots": 83,
                  "ppPoints": 13,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.64,
                  "shotsPer60": 4.828
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Nick Robertson",
                    "playerId": 8481582,
                    "games": 69,
                    "toiMinutes": 12.003,
                    "goals": 15,
                    "assists": 7,
                    "shots": 112,
                    "ppPoints": 2,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 1.087,
                    "shotsPer60": 8.114,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 3.286
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Ville Koivunen",
                    "playerId": 8482758,
                    "games": 8,
                    "toiMinutes": 18.115,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 7,
                    "shots": 15,
                    "ppPoints": 3,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                    "shotsPer60": 6.21,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 1.382
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Egor Chinakhov",
                    "playerId": 8482475,
                    "games": 30,
                    "toiMinutes": 15.722,
                    "goals": 7,
                    "assists": 8,
                    "shots": 68,
                    "ppPoints": 5,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.89,
                    "shotsPer60": 8.65,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 3.822
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 52,
                  "toiMinutes": 14.916,
                  "goals": 13,
                  "assists": 12,
                  "shots": 69,
                  "ppPoints": 13,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 1.006,
                  "shotsPer60": 5.338
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Nick Robertson",
                    "playerId": 8481582,
                    "games": 78,
                    "toiMinutes": 12.66,
                    "goals": 16,
                    "assists": 16,
                    "shots": 127,
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                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.972,
                    "shotsPer60": 7.716,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 2.378
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Ville Koivunen",
                    "playerId": 8482758,
                    "games": 39,
                    "toiMinutes": 12.738,
                    "goals": 2,
                    "assists": 5,
                    "shots": 36,
                    "ppPoints": 4,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.242,
                    "shotsPer60": 4.348,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -0.99
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Egor Chinakhov",
                    "playerId": 8482475,
                    "games": 72,
                    "toiMinutes": 13.48,
                    "goals": 21,
                    "assists": 21,
                    "shots": 140,
                    "ppPoints": 6,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 1.298,
                    "shotsPer60": 8.655,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 3.317
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "Reference includes current-season appearances; determine overlap before a fresh deduction."
            },
            "offense": {
              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          },
          {
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              "additionalHistorySource": null
            },
            "reportedAvailability": {
              "player": "Justin Brazeau",
              "id": "4063605",
              "position": "RW",
              "status": "Injured Reserve",
              "date": "2026-09-27T15:26Z"
            },
            "referencePresence": null,
            "current2026_27": [
              {
                "event_id": 2026010016,
                "date": "2026-09-21",
                "stage": "preseason",
                "team": "PIT",
                "role": "forwards",
                "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010016/boxscore",
                "playerId": 8479638,
                "name": {
                  "default": "J. Brazeau"
                },
                "position": "R",
                "goals": 0,
                "assists": 0,
                "points": 0,
                "sog": 2,
                "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                "toi": "14:29",
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            ],
            "historical": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "seasonId": 20242025,
                    "otGoals": 0,
                    "teamAbbrevs": "BOS,MIN",
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                    "goals": 11,
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                    "positionCode": "R",
                    "skaterFullName": "Justin Brazeau",
                    "shootingPct": 0.12359,
                    "evGoals": 7,
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                    "ppGoals": 4,
                    "gameWinningGoals": 3,
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                    "timeOnIcePerGame": 711.8815,
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                    "shGoals": 0,
                    "points": 22,
                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=500&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
                      "individualGoalsPer60": 0.732,
                      "shotsPer60": 5.922,
                      "pointsPer60": 1.464
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                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": {
                  "evTimeOnIce": 48594,
                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 639.39473,
                  "gamesPlayed": 76,
                  "lastName": "Brazeau",
                  "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
                  "playerId": 8479638,
                  "positionCode": "R",
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 71.13157,
                  "seasonId": 20242025,
                  "shTimeOnIce": 103,
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                  "shifts": 1251,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 16.46052,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Justin Brazeau",
                  "teamAbbrevs": "BOS,MIN",
                  "timeOnIce": 54103,
                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 711.88157,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 43.2478
                },
                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "seasonId": 20252026,
                    "otGoals": 0,
                    "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                    "evPoints": 29,
                    "goals": 17,
                    "ppPoints": 5,
                    "positionCode": "R",
                    "skaterFullName": "Justin Brazeau",
                    "shootingPct": 0.16346,
                    "evGoals": 14,
                    "playerId": 8479638,
                    "ppGoals": 3,
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                    "shots": 104,
                    "gamesPlayed": 64,
                    "assists": 17,
                    "timeOnIcePerGame": 759.2812,
                    "shPoints": 0,
                    "shGoals": 0,
                    "points": 34,
                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
                      "individualGoalsPer60": 1.259,
                      "shotsPer60": 7.705,
                      "pointsPer60": 2.519
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                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": {
                  "evTimeOnIce": 44603,
                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 696.92187,
                  "gamesPlayed": 64,
                  "lastName": "Brazeau",
                  "otTimeOnIce": 76,
                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 4.47058,
                  "playerId": 8479638,
                  "positionCode": "R",
                  "ppTimeOnIce": 3967,
                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 61.98437,
                  "seasonId": 20252026,
                  "shTimeOnIce": 24,
                  "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.375,
                  "shifts": 1053,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 16.45312,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Justin Brazeau",
                  "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                  "timeOnIce": 48594,
                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 759.28125,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 46.14814
                },
                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
              },
              {
                "season": 20262027,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              }
            ],
            "replacements": [
              {
                "name": "Ville Koivunen",
                "id": 8482758,
                "position": "R",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 14.133,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20242025,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                        "evPoints": 4,
                        "goals": 0,
                        "ppPoints": 3,
                        "positionCode": "R",
                        "skaterFullName": "Ville Koivunen",
                        "shootingPct": 0,
                        "evGoals": 0,
                        "playerId": 8482758,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
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                        "shots": 15,
                        "gamesPlayed": 8,
                        "assists": 7,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 1086.875,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 7,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=700&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                          "shotsPer60": 6.21,
                          "pointsPer60": 2.898
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 7414,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 926.75,
                      "gamesPlayed": 8,
                      "lastName": "Koivunen",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 22,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 11,
                      "playerId": 8482758,
                      "positionCode": "R",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 1281,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 160.125,
                      "seasonId": 20242025,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "shifts": 176,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 22,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Ville Koivunen",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                      "timeOnIce": 8695,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 1086.875,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 49.4034
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                        "evPoints": 3,
                        "goals": 2,
                        "ppPoints": 4,
                        "positionCode": "R",
                        "skaterFullName": "Ville Koivunen",
                        "shootingPct": 0.05555,
                        "evGoals": 1,
                        "playerId": 8482758,
                        "ppGoals": 1,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                        "shots": 36,
                        "gamesPlayed": 39,
                        "assists": 5,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 764.2564,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 7,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=800&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.242,
                          "shotsPer60": 4.348,
                          "pointsPer60": 0.845
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 27606,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 707.84615,
                      "gamesPlayed": 39,
                      "lastName": "Koivunen",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
                      "playerId": 8482758,
                      "positionCode": "R",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 2198,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 56.35897,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 2,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.05128,
                      "shifts": 623,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 15.97435,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Ville Koivunen",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                      "timeOnIce": 29806,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 764.25641,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 47.84269
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20262027,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                        "evPoints": 2,
                        "goals": 1,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "R",
                        "skaterFullName": "Ville Koivunen",
                        "shootingPct": 0.25,
                        "evGoals": 1,
                        "playerId": 8482758,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 829.3333,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 2,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=500&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 1.447,
                          "shotsPer60": 5.788,
                          "pointsPer60": 2.894
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 2237,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 745.66666,
                      "gamesPlayed": 3,
                      "lastName": "Koivunen",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                      "playerId": 8482758,
                      "positionCode": "R",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 230,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 76.66666,
                      "seasonId": 20262027,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 21,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 7,
                      "shifts": 49,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 16.33333,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Ville Koivunen",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                      "timeOnIce": 2488,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 829.33333,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 50.77551
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010055,
                    "date": "2026-09-26",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010055/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482758,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "V. Koivunen"
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                    "position": "R",
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                    "toi": "15:38",
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010046,
                    "date": "2026-09-24",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010046/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482758,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "V. Koivunen"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
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                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "15:31",
                    "shifts": 16
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020006,
                    "date": "2026-09-30",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020006/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482758,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "V. Koivunen"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 1,
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                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "13:50",
                    "shifts": 15
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020042,
                    "date": "2026-10-05",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020042/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482758,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "V. Koivunen"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
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                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "13:30",
                    "shifts": 17
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020053,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482758,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "V. Koivunen"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "14:08",
                    "shifts": 17
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Nick Robertson",
                "id": 8481582,
                "position": "L",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 8.533,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20242025,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "TOR",
                        "evPoints": 20,
                        "goals": 15,
                        "ppPoints": 2,
                        "positionCode": "L",
                        "skaterFullName": "Nick Robertson",
                        "shootingPct": 0.13392,
                        "evGoals": 13,
                        "playerId": 8481582,
                        "ppGoals": 2,
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                        "shots": 112,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 720.1594,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 22,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=700&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 1.087,
                          "shotsPer60": 8.114,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.594
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 45270,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 656.08695,
                      "gamesPlayed": 69,
                      "lastName": "Robertson",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 53,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 4.41666,
                      "playerId": 8481582,
                      "positionCode": "L",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 4211,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 61.02898,
                      "seasonId": 20242025,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 210,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 3.04347,
                      "shifts": 1144,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 16.57971,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Nick Robertson",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "TOR",
                      "timeOnIce": 49691,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 720.15942,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 43.43618
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "TOR",
                        "evPoints": 28,
                        "goals": 16,
                        "ppPoints": 4,
                        "positionCode": "L",
                        "skaterFullName": "Nick Robertson",
                        "shootingPct": 0.12598,
                        "evGoals": 14,
                        "playerId": 8481582,
                        "ppGoals": 2,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 1,
                        "shots": 127,
                        "gamesPlayed": 78,
                        "assists": 16,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 759.6282,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 32,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=700&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.972,
                          "shotsPer60": 7.716,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.944
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 53687,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 688.29487,
                      "gamesPlayed": 78,
                      "lastName": "Robertson",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 248,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 11.27272,
                      "playerId": 8481582,
                      "positionCode": "L",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 5166,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 66.23076,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 398,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 5.10256,
                      "shifts": 1289,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 16.52564,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Nick Robertson",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "TOR",
                      "timeOnIce": 59251,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 759.6282,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.96664
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20262027,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                        "evPoints": 2,
                        "goals": 3,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "L",
                        "skaterFullName": "Nick Robertson",
                        "shootingPct": 0.42857,
                        "evGoals": 2,
                        "playerId": 8481582,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 1,
                        "shots": 7,
                        "gamesPlayed": 4,
                        "assists": 0,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 785.75,
                        "shPoints": 1,
                        "shGoals": 1,
                        "points": 3,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=500&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 3.436,
                          "shotsPer60": 8.018,
                          "pointsPer60": 3.436
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 3006,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 751.5,
                      "gamesPlayed": 4,
                      "lastName": "Robertson",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
                      "playerId": 8481582,
                      "positionCode": "L",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "seasonId": 20262027,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 137,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 34.25,
                      "shifts": 75,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 18.75,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Nick Robertson",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                      "timeOnIce": 3143,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 785.75,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 41.90666
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010055,
                    "date": "2026-09-26",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010055/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481582,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Robertson"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "15:34",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010025,
                    "date": "2026-09-22",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010025/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481582,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Robertson"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 2,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "18:07",
                    "shifts": 23
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020026,
                    "date": "2026-10-03",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020026/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481582,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Robertson"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "13:35",
                    "shifts": 19
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020006,
                    "date": "2026-09-30",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020006/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481582,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Robertson"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 2,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 2,
                    "sog": 4,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "15:02",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020042,
                    "date": "2026-10-05",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020042/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481582,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Robertson"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "15:14",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020053,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481582,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "N. Robertson"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "08:32",
                    "shifts": 14
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 76,
                  "toiMinutes": 11.865,
                  "goals": 11,
                  "assists": 11,
                  "shots": 89,
                  "ppPoints": 5,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.732,
                  "shotsPer60": 5.922
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Ville Koivunen",
                    "playerId": 8482758,
                    "games": 8,
                    "toiMinutes": 18.115,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 7,
                    "shots": 15,
                    "ppPoints": 3,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                    "shotsPer60": 6.21,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 0.288
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Nick Robertson",
                    "playerId": 8481582,
                    "games": 69,
                    "toiMinutes": 12.003,
                    "goals": 15,
                    "assists": 7,
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                    "ppPoints": 2,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 1.087,
                    "shotsPer60": 8.114,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 2.192
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 64,
                  "toiMinutes": 12.655,
                  "goals": 17,
                  "assists": 17,
                  "shots": 104,
                  "ppPoints": 5,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 1.259,
                  "shotsPer60": 7.705
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Ville Koivunen",
                    "playerId": 8482758,
                    "games": 39,
                    "toiMinutes": 12.738,
                    "goals": 2,
                    "assists": 5,
                    "shots": 36,
                    "ppPoints": 4,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.242,
                    "shotsPer60": 4.348,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -3.357
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Nick Robertson",
                    "playerId": 8481582,
                    "games": 78,
                    "toiMinutes": 12.66,
                    "goals": 16,
                    "assists": 16,
                    "shots": 127,
                    "ppPoints": 4,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.972,
                    "shotsPer60": 7.716,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 0.011
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "Reference includes current-season appearances; determine overlap before a fresh deduction."
            },
            "offense": {
              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          },
          {
            "incumbent": {
              "name": "Ryan Graves",
              "id": 8477435,
              "position": "D",
              "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
              "additionalHistorySource": null
            },
            "reportedAvailability": {
              "player": "Ryan Graves",
              "id": "3042122",
              "position": "D",
              "status": "Injured Reserve",
              "date": "2026-09-27T15:21Z"
            },
            "referencePresence": null,
            "current2026_27": [
              {
                "event_id": 2026010016,
                "date": "2026-09-21",
                "stage": "preseason",
                "team": "PIT",
                "role": "defense",
                "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010016/boxscore",
                "playerId": 8477435,
                "name": {
                  "default": "R. Graves"
                },
                "position": "D",
                "goals": 0,
                "assists": 0,
                "points": 0,
                "sog": 1,
                "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                "toi": "22:33",
                "shifts": 23
              },
              {
                "event_id": 2026010046,
                "date": "2026-09-24",
                "stage": "preseason",
                "team": "PIT",
                "role": "defense",
                "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010046/boxscore",
                "playerId": 8477435,
                "name": {
                  "default": "R. Graves"
                },
                "position": "D",
                "goals": 0,
                "assists": 0,
                "points": 0,
                "sog": 1,
                "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                "toi": "20:47",
                "shifts": 22
              }
            ],
            "historical": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "seasonId": 20252026,
                    "otGoals": 0,
                    "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                    "evPoints": 1,
                    "goals": 1,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "positionCode": "D",
                    "skaterFullName": "Ryan Graves",
                    "shootingPct": 0.04761,
                    "evGoals": 1,
                    "playerId": 8477435,
                    "ppGoals": 0,
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                    "shots": 21,
                    "gamesPlayed": 22,
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                    "timeOnIcePerGame": 918.2272,
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                    "shGoals": 0,
                    "points": 1,
                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=900&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
                      "individualGoalsPer60": 0.178,
                      "shotsPer60": 3.742,
                      "pointsPer60": 0.178
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20262027,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              }
            ],
            "replacements": [
              {
                "name": "Declan Carlile",
                "id": 8483398,
                "position": "D",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 18.067,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20242025,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "TBL",
                        "evPoints": 1,
                        "goals": 1,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Declan Carlile",
                        "shootingPct": 0.33333,
                        "evGoals": 1,
                        "playerId": 8483398,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                        "shots": 3,
                        "gamesPlayed": 3,
                        "assists": 0,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 780.3333,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 1,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 1.538,
                          "shotsPer60": 4.613,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.538
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 2341,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 780.33333,
                      "gamesPlayed": 3,
                      "lastName": "Carlile",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                      "playerId": 8483398,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "seasonId": 20242025,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "shifts": 57,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 19,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Declan Carlile",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "TBL",
                      "timeOnIce": 2341,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 780.33333,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 41.07017
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "TBL",
                        "evPoints": 3,
                        "goals": 1,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Declan Carlile",
                        "shootingPct": 0.0303,
                        "evGoals": 1,
                        "playerId": 8483398,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                        "shots": 33,
                        "gamesPlayed": 42,
                        "assists": 2,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 886.6904,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 3,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.097,
                          "shotsPer60": 3.19,
                          "pointsPer60": 0.29
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 34413,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 819.35714,
                      "gamesPlayed": 42,
                      "lastName": "Carlile",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 23,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 2.3,
                      "playerId": 8483398,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 5,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.11904,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 2823,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 67.21428,
                      "shifts": 802,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 19.09523,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Declan Carlile",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "TBL",
                      "timeOnIce": 37241,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 886.69047,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 46.43516
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20262027,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                        "evPoints": 4,
                        "goals": 2,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Declan Carlile",
                        "shootingPct": 0.25,
                        "evGoals": 2,
                        "playerId": 8483398,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                        "shots": 8,
                        "gamesPlayed": 4,
                        "assists": 2,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 1102.25,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 4,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=600&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 1.633,
                          "shotsPer60": 6.532,
                          "pointsPer60": 3.266
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 3872,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 968,
                      "gamesPlayed": 4,
                      "lastName": "Carlile",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
                      "playerId": 8483398,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 4,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 1,
                      "seasonId": 20262027,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 533,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 133.25,
                      "shifts": 92,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 23,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Declan Carlile",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                      "timeOnIce": 4409,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 1102.25,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 47.92391
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010055,
                    "date": "2026-09-26",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010055/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483398,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "D. Carlile"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "22:24",
                    "shifts": 24
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010025,
                    "date": "2026-09-22",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010025/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483398,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "D. Carlile"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "12:44",
                    "shifts": 15
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020026,
                    "date": "2026-10-03",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020026/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483398,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "D. Carlile"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "20:32",
                    "shifts": 24
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020006,
                    "date": "2026-09-30",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020006/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483398,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "D. Carlile"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "16:30",
                    "shifts": 23
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020042,
                    "date": "2026-10-05",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020042/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483398,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "D. Carlile"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 2,
                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "18:23",
                    "shifts": 23
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020053,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483398,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "D. Carlile"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "18:04",
                    "shifts": 22
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Samuel Girard",
                "id": 8479398,
                "position": "D",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 19,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20242025,
                        "otGoals": 1,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "COL",
                        "evPoints": 23,
                        "goals": 3,
                        "ppPoints": 1,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Samuel Girard",
                        "shootingPct": 0.03157,
                        "evGoals": 3,
                        "playerId": 8479398,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 2,
                        "shots": 95,
                        "gamesPlayed": 73,
                        "assists": 21,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 1250.9589,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 24,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.118,
                          "shotsPer60": 3.745,
                          "pointsPer60": 0.946
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 81893,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1121.82191,
                      "gamesPlayed": 73,
                      "lastName": "Girard",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 340,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 37.77777,
                      "playerId": 8479398,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 3107,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 42.56164,
                      "seasonId": 20242025,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 6320,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 86.57534,
                      "shifts": 1957,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 26.80821,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Samuel Girard",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "COL",
                      "timeOnIce": 91320,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 1250.9589,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 46.66326
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "COL,PIT",
                        "evPoints": 19,
                        "goals": 3,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Samuel Girard",
                        "shootingPct": 0.07317,
                        "evGoals": 3,
                        "playerId": 8479398,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 1,
                        "shots": 41,
                        "gamesPlayed": 60,
                        "assists": 16,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 1086.0166,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 19,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.166,
                          "shotsPer60": 2.265,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.05
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 61484,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1024.73333,
                      "gamesPlayed": 60,
                      "lastName": "Girard",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 272,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 24.72727,
                      "playerId": 8479398,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 325,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 5.41666,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 3352,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 55.86666,
                      "shifts": 1273,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 21.21666,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Samuel Girard",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "COL,PIT",
                      "timeOnIce": 65161,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 1086.01666,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 51.18695
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20262027,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                        "evPoints": 4,
                        "goals": 1,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Samuel Girard",
                        "shootingPct": 0.14285,
                        "evGoals": 1,
                        "playerId": 8479398,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                        "shots": 7,
                        "gamesPlayed": 4,
                        "assists": 3,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 1176.25,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 4,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=500&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.765,
                          "shotsPer60": 5.356,
                          "pointsPer60": 3.061
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 4128,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1032,
                      "gamesPlayed": 4,
                      "lastName": "Girard",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
                      "playerId": 8479398,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 118,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 29.5,
                      "seasonId": 20262027,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 459,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 114.75,
                      "shifts": 85,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 21.25,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Samuel Girard",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                      "timeOnIce": 4705,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 1176.25,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 55.35294
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010055,
                    "date": "2026-09-26",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010055/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8479398,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "S. Girard"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "20:44",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010025,
                    "date": "2026-09-22",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010025/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8479398,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "S. Girard"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "21:45",
                    "shifts": 20
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020026,
                    "date": "2026-10-03",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020026/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8479398,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "S. Girard"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "21:11",
                    "shifts": 23
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020006,
                    "date": "2026-09-30",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020006/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8479398,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "S. Girard"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 2,
                    "points": 2,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "21:02",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020042,
                    "date": "2026-10-05",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020042/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8479398,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "S. Girard"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "17:12",
                    "shifts": 20
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020053,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "PIT",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8479398,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "S. Girard"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "19:00",
                    "shifts": 21
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "incumbent": null,
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Declan Carlile",
                    "playerId": 8483398,
                    "games": 3,
                    "toiMinutes": 13.006,
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "shots": 3,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 1.538,
                    "shotsPer60": 4.613,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Samuel Girard",
                    "playerId": 8479398,
                    "games": 73,
                    "toiMinutes": 20.849,
                    "goals": 3,
                    "assists": 21,
                    "shots": 95,
                    "ppPoints": 1,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.118,
                    "shotsPer60": 3.745,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 22,
                  "toiMinutes": 15.304,
                  "goals": 1,
                  "assists": 0,
                  "shots": 21,
                  "ppPoints": 0,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.178,
                  "shotsPer60": 3.742
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Declan Carlile",
                    "playerId": 8483398,
                    "games": 42,
                    "toiMinutes": 14.778,
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 2,
                    "shots": 33,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.097,
                    "shotsPer60": 3.19,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -0.552
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Samuel Girard",
                    "playerId": 8479398,
                    "games": 60,
                    "toiMinutes": 18.1,
                    "goals": 3,
                    "assists": 16,
                    "shots": 41,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.166,
                    "shotsPer60": 2.265,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -1.477
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "Reference includes current-season appearances; determine overlap before a fresh deduction."
            },
            "offense": {
              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          }
        ],
        "noChangeFinding": "Prior-reference omissions identified per player; no blanket zero injury effect claimed.",
        "goaliesExcluded": [],
        "calibratedOffensiveEffectGoals": null,
        "defenseAbsenceOverlay": "not_applied_offense_only",
        "baseScore": 3.29776523024931,
        "adjustedScore": 3.29776523024931,
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "footballMinus3Applied": false,
        "displayBaseScore": 3.5,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 3.5,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "calculationReference": {
          "model": "primary-2.0.0",
          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
          "coefficientSHA256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd",
          "side": "away",
          "eventId": "401892467",
          "matchup": {
            "away": "Pittsburgh Penguins",
            "home": "Columbus Blue Jackets"
          },
          "baseAwayHome": [
            3.29776523024931,
            3.388260702684709
          ],
          "retainedAwayHome": [
            3.29776523024931,
            3.388260702684709
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          "baseMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.09049547243539902,
          "retainedMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.09049547243539902,
          "baseTotal": 6.686025932934019,
          "retainedTotal": 6.686025932934019,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
        },
        "disclosedLimitations": [
          "Confirmed Oct9 dressing lineup",
          "Current ES/PP affected minutes",
          "Validated lineup offensive goal/xG rate difference and base-lineup exposure"
        ],
        "reviewStatus": "COMPLETE_AS_PROJECTED_TRACKING_REVIEW",
        "pendingFinalRoles": true,
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-09-WPG",
        "eventId": "401892468",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "team": "WPG",
        "teamName": "Winnipeg Jets",
        "stage": "regular",
        "stageEvidence": {
          "file": "nhl_official.json",
          "gameType": 2
        },
        "source": {
          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892468",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.582Z"
        },
        "notes": "Morrissey logged injury-shortened9:32 in last game; Pionk23:10, Ferraro23:36 and Samberg25:25 took large total workloads. Conditional out scenario gives sixth-defense competition to Fleury/Bauer and extra puck movement to Pionk; no named PP1 replacement confirmed.",
        "referenceLineup": {
          "date": "2026-10-07",
          "eventId": 2026020054,
          "meaning": "Actual prior lineup and total ice time; not a confirmed Oct9 allocation and not automatically the base model exposure.",
          "skaters": [
            {
              "event_id": 2026020054,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WPG",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8476480,
              "name": "Vladislav Namestnikov",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "11:52",
              "shifts": 15,
              "toiSeconds": 712
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020054,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WPG",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8480113,
              "name": "Alex Iafallo",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "15:24",
              "shifts": 23,
              "toiSeconds": 924
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020054,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WPG",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8480014,
              "name": "Gabriel Vilardi",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "14:21",
              "shifts": 16,
              "toiSeconds": 861
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020054,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WPG",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8476392,
              "name": "Adam Lowry",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "14:49",
              "shifts": 22,
              "toiSeconds": 889
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020054,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WPG",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482765,
              "name": "Isak Rosen",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "10:15",
              "shifts": 13,
              "toiSeconds": 615
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020054,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WPG",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8480289,
              "name": "Morgan Barron",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "17:25",
              "shifts": 26,
              "toiSeconds": 1045
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020054,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WPG",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8481043,
              "name": "Cole Koepke",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "12:46",
              "shifts": 16,
              "toiSeconds": 766
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020054,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WPG",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8476460,
              "name": "Mark Scheifele",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 2,
              "points": 2,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "22:18",
              "shifts": 23,
              "toiSeconds": 1338
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020054,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WPG",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8486025,
              "name": "Viggo Bj\u00f6rck",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "13:40",
              "shifts": 17,
              "toiSeconds": 820
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020054,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WPG",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8478398,
              "name": "Kyle Connor",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 2,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 2,
              "sog": 4,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "19:55",
              "shifts": 23,
              "toiSeconds": 1195
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020054,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WPG",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482149,
              "name": "Cole Perfetti",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 1,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "19:02",
              "shifts": 23,
              "toiSeconds": 1142
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020054,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "WPG",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8483471,
              "name": "Brad Lambert",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
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                ],
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010048/boxscore",
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020054,
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
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                    },
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                  },
                  {
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020035/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8480049,
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010023/boxscore",
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                  },
                  {
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                    "role": "defense",
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
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                  {
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                ],
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010003/boxscore",
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                  {
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010023/boxscore",
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              }
            ],
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                ],
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              {
                "season": 20262027,
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
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                    "rows": [
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                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=700&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 979.55,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 53.67397
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
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                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
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                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 1706,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 853,
                      "gamesPlayed": 2,
                      "lastName": "St. Ivany",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
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                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "seasonId": 20262027,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "shifts": 38,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 19,
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                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 853,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 44.89473
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
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                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010015,
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                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010015/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481030,
                    "name": {
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                    "toi": "18:54",
                    "shifts": 22
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020054,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481030,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. St. Ivany"
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                    "toi": "14:16",
                    "shifts": 18
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010003,
                    "date": "2026-09-19",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010003/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481030,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. St. Ivany"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
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                    "sog": 1,
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                    "toi": "22:45",
                    "shifts": 27
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020042,
                    "date": "2026-10-05",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020042/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481030,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. St. Ivany"
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                    "position": "D",
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                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "14:10",
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                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Haydn Fleury",
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                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
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                "roleEvidence": "Conditional roster alternative; participation unconfirmed.",
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                    "rows": [
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 955.6666,
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                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                          "shotsPer60": 3.67,
                          "pointsPer60": 0.676
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 33956,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 870.66666,
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                      "lastName": "Fleury",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 113,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 16.14285,
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                      "ppTimeOnIce": 202,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 5.17948,
                      "seasonId": 20242025,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 3113,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 79.82051,
                      "shifts": 813,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 20.84615,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Haydn Fleury",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "WPG",
                      "timeOnIce": 37271,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 955.66666,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.84378
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
                        "otGoals": 0,
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                        "goals": 2,
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                        "positionCode": "D",
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                        "shootingPct": 0.07692,
                        "evGoals": 2,
                        "playerId": 8477938,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 835.6315,
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                        "points": 4,
                        "game_type": 2,
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.227,
                          "shotsPer60": 2.948,
                          "pointsPer60": 0.453
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
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                      "lastName": "Fleury",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 70,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 8.75,
                      "playerId": 8477938,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 413,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 10.86842,
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                      "shTimeOnIce": 3109,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 81.81578,
                      "shifts": 691,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 18.18421,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Haydn Fleury",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "WPG",
                      "timeOnIce": 31754,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 835.63157,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.95369
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "strengthStateTime": null,
                    "strengthStateSource": null
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010003,
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                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010003/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8477938,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "H. Fleury"
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                    "position": "D",
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                    "toi": "23:42",
                    "shifts": 26
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010023,
                    "date": "2026-09-22",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010023/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8477938,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "H. Fleury"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
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                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "19:43",
                    "shifts": 24
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Tyrel Bauer",
                "id": 8482459,
                "position": "D",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Conditional roster alternative; participation unconfirmed.",
                "referenceMinutes": null,
                "historical": [
                  {
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                  },
                  {
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                    "strengthStateSource": null
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
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                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20262027,
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                        "shootingPct": null,
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                        "playerId": 8482459,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 436.5,
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                        "points": 0,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=400&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
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                      "lastName": "Bauer",
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                      "shifts": 27,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 13.5,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Tyrel Bauer",
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                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 32.33333
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020019,
                    "date": "2026-10-02",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020019/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482459,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Bauer"
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                    "position": "D",
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                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "05:58",
                    "shifts": 13
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010048,
                    "date": "2026-09-25",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010048/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482459,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Bauer"
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                    "position": "D",
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                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "10:30",
                    "shifts": 15
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020035,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020035/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482459,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Bauer"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
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                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "08:35",
                    "shifts": 14
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010003,
                    "date": "2026-09-19",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010003/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482459,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Bauer"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "16:17",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010023,
                    "date": "2026-09-22",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010023/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482459,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Bauer"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
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                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "17:17",
                    "shifts": 23
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                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
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                "incumbent": null,
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Jack St. Ivany",
                    "playerId": 8481030,
                    "games": 19,
                    "toiMinutes": 16.368,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
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                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                    "shotsPer60": 2.315,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Haydn Fleury",
                    "playerId": 8477938,
                    "games": 39,
                    "toiMinutes": 15.928,
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                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Tyrel Bauer",
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                    "games": null,
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                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": null,
                "replacements": [
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                    "assists": 7,
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                    "shotsPer60": 3.124,
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                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Haydn Fleury",
                    "playerId": 8477938,
                    "games": 38,
                    "toiMinutes": 13.927,
                    "goals": 2,
                    "assists": 2,
                    "shots": 26,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.227,
                    "shotsPer60": 2.948,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Tyrel Bauer",
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                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
                    "ppPoints": null,
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                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
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            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
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              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "No captured current NHL appearance; do not equate absent sample with zero talent. The last actual lineup already omits this player."
            },
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              "status": "unestimated",
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              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            },
            "positionResolution": "Official D supersedes vendor C; source disagreement preserved"
          },
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              "additionalHistorySource": null
            },
            "reportedAvailability": {
              "player": "Walker Duehr",
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              "position": "RW",
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              "date": "2026-09-29T15:54Z"
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                    "teamAbbrevs": "CGY,SJS",
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                    "goals": 2,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "positionCode": "R",
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                    "playerId": 8482652,
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=400&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      "shotsPer60": 4.26,
                      "pointsPer60": 0.852
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                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "seasonId": 20252026,
                    "otGoals": 0,
                    "teamAbbrevs": "WPG",
                    "evPoints": 0,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "positionCode": "R",
                    "skaterFullName": "Walker Duehr",
                    "shootingPct": 0,
                    "evGoals": 0,
                    "playerId": 8482652,
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                    "shots": 2,
                    "gamesPlayed": 3,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "timeOnIcePerGame": 570,
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                    "shGoals": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=500&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
                      "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                      "shotsPer60": 4.211,
                      "pointsPer60": 0
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20262027,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              }
            ],
            "replacements": [
              {
                "name": "Isak Rosen",
                "id": 8482765,
                "position": "R",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 10.25,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20242025,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "BUF",
                        "evPoints": 1,
                        "goals": 0,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "R",
                        "skaterFullName": "Isak Ros\u00e9n",
                        "shootingPct": 0,
                        "evGoals": 0,
                        "playerId": 8482765,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 578.375,
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                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 1,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                          "shotsPer60": 6.224,
                          "pointsPer60": 0.778
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 4535,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 566.875,
                      "gamesPlayed": 8,
                      "lastName": "Ros\u00e9n",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                      "playerId": 8482765,
                      "positionCode": "R",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 92,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 11.5,
                      "seasonId": 20242025,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "shifts": 121,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 15.125,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Isak Ros\u00e9n",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "BUF",
                      "timeOnIce": 4627,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 578.375,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 38.23966
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "BUF,WPG",
                        "evPoints": 7,
                        "goals": 6,
                        "ppPoints": 3,
                        "positionCode": "R",
                        "skaterFullName": "Isak Ros\u00e9n",
                        "shootingPct": 0.17142,
                        "evGoals": 5,
                        "playerId": 8482765,
                        "ppGoals": 1,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                        "shots": 35,
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                        "assists": 4,
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=400&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.846,
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                          "pointsPer60": 1.41
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
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                      "shiftsPerGame": 15.48648,
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                      "teamAbbrevs": "BUF,WPG",
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                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 690.27027,
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
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                      "teamAbbrevs": "WPG",
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                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 48.49122
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020019,
                    "date": "2026-10-02",
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                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020019/boxscore",
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010015,
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010015/boxscore",
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010048,
                    "date": "2026-09-25",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010048/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482765,
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020054,
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482765,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "I. Rosen"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020035,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020035/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482765,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "I. Rosen"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
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                    "toi": "12:54",
                    "shifts": 14
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010003,
                    "date": "2026-09-19",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010003/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482765,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "I. Rosen"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
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                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "17:59",
                    "shifts": 21
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020042,
                    "date": "2026-10-05",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020042/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482765,
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                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Cole Koepke",
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                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 12.767,
                "historical": [
                  {
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                      {
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                        "playerId": 8481043,
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=600&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
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                      "lastName": "Koepke",
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                      "playerId": 8481043,
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                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 3.27397,
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                      "skaterFullName": "Cole Koepke",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "BOS",
                      "timeOnIce": 49258,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 674.76712,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 40.67547
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
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                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=700&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                          "pointsPer60": 1.478
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
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                      "gamesPlayed": 66,
                      "lastName": "Koepke",
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                      "playerId": 8481043,
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                      "seasonId": 20252026,
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                      "shiftsPerGame": 14.80303,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Cole Koepke",
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                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 627.51515,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 42.39099
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
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                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=400&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                          "shotsPer60": 2.824,
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                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 1152,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 576,
                      "gamesPlayed": 2,
                      "lastName": "Koepke",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                      "playerId": 8481043,
                      "positionCode": "L",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "seasonId": 20262027,
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                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 61.5,
                      "shifts": 31,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 15.5,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Cole Koepke",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "WPG",
                      "timeOnIce": 1275,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 637.5,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 41.12903
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010015,
                    "date": "2026-09-21",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010015/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481043,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "C. Koepke"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "15:13",
                    "shifts": 20
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020054,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481043,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "C. Koepke"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
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                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "12:46",
                    "shifts": 16
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020042,
                    "date": "2026-10-05",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020042/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481043,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "C. Koepke"
                    },
                    "position": "L",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "08:29",
                    "shifts": 15
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                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
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                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 24,
                  "toiMinutes": 8.803,
                  "goals": 2,
                  "assists": 1,
                  "shots": 15,
                  "ppPoints": 0,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.568,
                  "shotsPer60": 4.26
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Isak Rosen",
                    "playerId": 8482765,
                    "games": 8,
                    "toiMinutes": 9.64,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "shots": 8,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                    "shotsPer60": 6.224,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 1.964
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Cole Koepke",
                    "playerId": 8481043,
                    "games": 73,
                    "toiMinutes": 11.246,
                    "goals": 10,
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                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 1.952
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 3,
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                  "shotsPer60": 4.211
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Isak Rosen",
                    "playerId": 8482765,
                    "games": 37,
                    "toiMinutes": 11.505,
                    "goals": 6,
                    "assists": 4,
                    "shots": 35,
                    "ppPoints": 3,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.846,
                    "shotsPer60": 4.933,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 0.722
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Cole Koepke",
                    "playerId": 8481043,
                    "games": 66,
                    "toiMinutes": 10.459,
                    "goals": 8,
                    "assists": 9,
                    "shots": 86,
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                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.695,
                    "shotsPer60": 7.475,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 3.264
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
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            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
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              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "No captured current NHL appearance; do not equate absent sample with zero talent. The last actual lineup already omits this player."
            },
            "offense": {
              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          },
          {
            "incumbent": {
              "name": "Elias Salomonsson",
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              "position": "D",
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              "additionalHistorySource": null
            },
            "reportedAvailability": {
              "player": "Elias Salomonsson",
              "id": "5080223",
              "position": "D",
              "status": "Injured Reserve",
              "date": "2026-09-29T15:54Z"
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            "referencePresence": null,
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              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
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                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "seasonId": 20252026,
                    "otGoals": 0,
                    "teamAbbrevs": "WPG",
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                    "goals": 1,
                    "ppPoints": 1,
                    "positionCode": "D",
                    "skaterFullName": "Elias Salomonsson",
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                    "evGoals": 1,
                    "playerId": 8483510,
                    "ppGoals": 0,
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                    "points": 5,
                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=800&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
                      "individualGoalsPer60": 0.104,
                      "shotsPer60": 3.862,
                      "pointsPer60": 0.522
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                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20262027,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              }
            ],
            "replacements": [
              {
                "name": "Jack St. Ivany",
                "id": 8481030,
                "position": "D",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 14.267,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20242025,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
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                        "positionCode": "D",
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                        "playerId": 8481030,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 982.0526,
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                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 1,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=600&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 16019,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 843.10526,
                      "gamesPlayed": 19,
                      "lastName": "St. Ivany",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 23,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 3.83333,
                      "playerId": 8481030,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 28,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 1.47368,
                      "seasonId": 20242025,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 2612,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 137.47368,
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                      "shiftsPerGame": 21.63157,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
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                      "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
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                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 982.05263,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.39902
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
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                  {
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                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
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                        "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
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                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Jack St. Ivany",
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                        "playerId": 8481030,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 979.55,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 7,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=700&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                          "shotsPer60": 3.124,
                          "pointsPer60": 1.286
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 18015,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 900.75,
                      "gamesPlayed": 20,
                      "lastName": "St. Ivany",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
                      "playerId": 8481030,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 5,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.25,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 1571,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 78.55,
                      "shifts": 365,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 18.25,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Jack St. Ivany",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "PIT",
                      "timeOnIce": 19591,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 979.55,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 53.67397
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20262027,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "WPG",
                        "evPoints": 0,
                        "goals": 0,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Jack St. Ivany",
                        "shootingPct": null,
                        "evGoals": 0,
                        "playerId": 8481030,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
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                        "shots": 0,
                        "gamesPlayed": 2,
                        "assists": 0,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 853,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 0,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                          "shotsPer60": 0,
                          "pointsPer60": 0
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 1706,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 853,
                      "gamesPlayed": 2,
                      "lastName": "St. Ivany",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null,
                      "playerId": 8481030,
                      "positionCode": "D",
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                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
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                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "shifts": 38,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 19,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Jack St. Ivany",
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                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 853,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 44.89473
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010015,
                    "date": "2026-09-21",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010015/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481030,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. St. Ivany"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
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                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "18:54",
                    "shifts": 22
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020054,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020054/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481030,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. St. Ivany"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "14:16",
                    "shifts": 18
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010003,
                    "date": "2026-09-19",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010003/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481030,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. St. Ivany"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "22:45",
                    "shifts": 27
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020042,
                    "date": "2026-10-05",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020042/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8481030,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "J. St. Ivany"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "14:10",
                    "shifts": 20
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Haydn Fleury",
                "id": 8477938,
                "position": "D",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Conditional roster alternative; participation unconfirmed.",
                "referenceMinutes": null,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
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                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "WPG",
                        "evPoints": 7,
                        "goals": 0,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Haydn Fleury",
                        "shootingPct": 0,
                        "evGoals": 0,
                        "playerId": 8477938,
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                        "shots": 38,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 955.6666,
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                        "points": 7,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                          "shotsPer60": 3.67,
                          "pointsPer60": 0.676
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 33956,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 870.66666,
                      "gamesPlayed": 39,
                      "lastName": "Fleury",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 113,
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                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 202,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 5.17948,
                      "seasonId": 20242025,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 3113,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 79.82051,
                      "shifts": 813,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 20.84615,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Haydn Fleury",
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                      "timeOnIce": 37271,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 955.66666,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.84378
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
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                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "WPG",
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                        "goals": 2,
                        "ppPoints": 0,
                        "positionCode": "D",
                        "skaterFullName": "Haydn Fleury",
                        "shootingPct": 0.07692,
                        "evGoals": 2,
                        "playerId": 8477938,
                        "ppGoals": 0,
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                        "shots": 26,
                        "gamesPlayed": 38,
                        "assists": 2,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 835.6315,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 4,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.227,
                          "shotsPer60": 2.948,
                          "pointsPer60": 0.453
                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 28232,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 742.94736,
                      "gamesPlayed": 38,
                      "lastName": "Fleury",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 70,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 8.75,
                      "playerId": 8477938,
                      "positionCode": "D",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 413,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 10.86842,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 3109,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 81.81578,
                      "shifts": 691,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 18.18421,
                      "shootsCatches": "L",
                      "skaterFullName": "Haydn Fleury",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "WPG",
                      "timeOnIce": 31754,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 835.63157,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.95369
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "strengthStateTime": null,
                    "strengthStateSource": null
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010003,
                    "date": "2026-09-19",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010003/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8477938,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "H. Fleury"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "23:42",
                    "shifts": 26
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010023,
                    "date": "2026-09-22",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "WPG",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010023/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8477938,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "H. Fleury"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "19:43",
                    "shifts": 24
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "incumbent": null,
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Jack St. Ivany",
                    "playerId": 8481030,
                    "games": 19,
                    "toiMinutes": 16.368,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "shots": 12,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                    "shotsPer60": 2.315,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Haydn Fleury",
                    "playerId": 8477938,
                    "games": 39,
                    "toiMinutes": 15.928,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 7,
                    "shots": 38,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                    "shotsPer60": 3.67,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 32,
                  "toiMinutes": 17.963,
                  "goals": 1,
                  "assists": 4,
                  "shots": 37,
                  "ppPoints": 1,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.104,
                  "shotsPer60": 3.862
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Jack St. Ivany",
                    "playerId": 8481030,
                    "games": 20,
                    "toiMinutes": 16.326,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 7,
                    "shots": 17,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                    "shotsPer60": 3.124,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -0.738
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Haydn Fleury",
                    "playerId": 8477938,
                    "games": 38,
                    "toiMinutes": 13.927,
                    "goals": 2,
                    "assists": 2,
                    "shots": 26,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.227,
                    "shotsPer60": 2.948,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -0.914
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "No captured current NHL appearance; do not equate absent sample with zero talent. The last actual lineup already omits this player."
            },
            "offense": {
              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          }
        ],
        "noChangeFinding": "Prior-reference omissions identified per player; no blanket zero injury effect claimed.",
        "goaliesExcluded": [
          {
            "player": "Connor Hellebuyck",
            "id": "3020225",
            "position": "G",
            "status": "Injured Reserve",
            "date": "2026-10-02T20:25Z"
          }
        ],
        "calibratedOffensiveEffectGoals": null,
        "defenseAbsenceOverlay": "not_applied_offense_only",
        "baseScore": 3.3018280762447207,
        "adjustedScore": 3.3018280762447207,
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "footballMinus3Applied": false,
        "displayBaseScore": 3.5,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 3.5,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "calculationReference": {
          "model": "primary-2.0.0",
          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
          "coefficientSHA256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd",
          "side": "home",
          "eventId": "401892468",
          "matchup": {
            "away": "Anaheim Ducks",
            "home": "Winnipeg Jets"
          },
          "baseAwayHome": [
            2.975472518076778,
            3.3018280762447207
          ],
          "retainedAwayHome": [
            2.975472518076778,
            3.3018280762447207
          ],
          "baseMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.3263555581679429,
          "retainedMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.3263555581679429,
          "baseTotal": 6.277300594321499,
          "retainedTotal": 6.277300594321499,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
        },
        "disclosedLimitations": [
          "Confirmed Oct9 dressing lineup",
          "Current ES/PP affected minutes",
          "Validated lineup offensive goal/xG rate difference and base-lineup exposure"
        ],
        "reviewStatus": "COMPLETE_AS_PROJECTED_TRACKING_REVIEW",
        "pendingFinalRoles": true,
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-09-ANA",
        "eventId": "401892468",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "team": "ANA",
        "teamName": "Anaheim Ducks",
        "stage": "regular",
        "stageEvidence": {
          "file": "nhl_official.json",
          "gameType": 2
        },
        "source": {
          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892468",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.582Z"
        },
        "notes": "Last game already excluded Terry/Helleson/Moore. Sennecke24:58 and Gauthier24:10 carried large offensive workload; Warren17:17, Mitchell13:12, Hinds11:53 and Luneau21:33 formed the observed defense coverage. Reusing this already depleted reference does not justify another full absence deduction.",
        "referenceLineup": {
          "date": "2026-10-07",
          "eventId": 2026020055,
          "meaning": "Actual prior lineup and total ice time; not a confirmed Oct9 allocation and not automatically the base model exposure.",
          "skaters": [
            {
              "event_id": 2026020055,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "ANA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8481754,
              "name": "Nikita Nesterenko",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "11:08",
              "shifts": 16,
              "toiSeconds": 668
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020055,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "ANA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8473986,
              "name": "Alex Killorn",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "09:30",
              "shifts": 12,
              "toiSeconds": 570
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020055,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "ANA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8478421,
              "name": "A.J. Greer",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "09:18",
              "shifts": 14,
              "toiSeconds": 558
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020055,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "ANA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8480068,
              "name": "Ryan Poehling",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "13:07",
              "shifts": 18,
              "toiSeconds": 787
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020055,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "ANA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8481538,
              "name": "Judd Caulfield",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "10:06",
              "shifts": 12,
              "toiSeconds": 606
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020055,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "ANA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482408,
              "name": "Jeff Malott",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "09:00",
              "shifts": 11,
              "toiSeconds": 540
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020055,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "ANA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8486052,
              "name": "Nikita Klepov",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "10:03",
              "shifts": 16,
              "toiSeconds": 603
            },
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                "referenceMinutes": 11.883,
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                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "strengthStateTime": null,
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                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
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                    "status": "observed",
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                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 937,
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                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                          "shotsPer60": 5.763,
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                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
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                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 893.66666,
                      "gamesPlayed": 6,
                      "lastName": "Hinds",
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                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
                      "playerId": 8482731,
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                      "ppTimeOnIce": 0,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 260,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 43.33333,
                      "shifts": 117,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 19.5,
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                      "skaterFullName": "Tyson Hinds",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "ANA",
                      "timeOnIce": 5622,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 937,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 48.05128
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
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                      {
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                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 717.3333,
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                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
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                        }
                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 2137,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 712.33333,
                      "gamesPlayed": 3,
                      "lastName": "Hinds",
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                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 717.33333,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 42.19607
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010039,
                    "date": "2026-09-24",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010039/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482731,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Hinds"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
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                    "toi": "18:44",
                    "shifts": 25
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010052,
                    "date": "2026-09-26",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010052/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482731,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Hinds"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "19:34",
                    "shifts": 25
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020021,
                    "date": "2026-10-02",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020021/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482731,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Hinds"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
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                    "sog": 0,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "09:15",
                    "shifts": 12
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020037,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020037/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482731,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Hinds"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 4,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "14:44",
                    "shifts": 22
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020055,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "defense",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8482731,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "T. Hinds"
                    },
                    "position": "D",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 0,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "11:53",
                    "shifts": 17
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 56,
                  "toiMinutes": 16.351,
                  "goals": 4,
                  "assists": 9,
                  "shots": 63,
                  "ppPoints": 0,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.262,
                  "shotsPer60": 4.128
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Noah Warren",
                    "playerId": 8483521,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
                    "ppPoints": null,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": null,
                    "shotsPer60": null,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Travis Mitchell",
                    "playerId": 8484262,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
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                    "individualGoalsPer60": null,
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                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Tyson Hinds",
                    "playerId": 8482731,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
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                    "individualGoalsPer60": null,
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                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 60,
                  "toiMinutes": 16.965,
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                },
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                    "playerId": 8483521,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
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                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Travis Mitchell",
                    "playerId": 8484262,
                    "games": 9,
                    "toiMinutes": 11.537,
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                    "assists": 0,
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                  {
                    "name": "Tyson Hinds",
                    "playerId": 8482731,
                    "games": 6,
                    "toiMinutes": 15.617,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "shots": 9,
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                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
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                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 3.464
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
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              "interpretation": "Reference includes current-season appearances; determine overlap before a fresh deduction."
            },
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              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          },
          {
            "incumbent": {
              "name": "Troy Terry",
              "id": 8478873,
              "position": "R",
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              "additionalHistorySource": null
            },
            "reportedAvailability": {
              "player": "Troy Terry",
              "id": "3942905",
              "position": "RW",
              "status": "Injured Reserve",
              "date": "2026-09-30T14:53Z"
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              {
                "season": 20242025,
                "league": "NHL",
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                  {
                    "seasonId": 20242025,
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                    "teamAbbrevs": "ANA",
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                    "goals": 21,
                    "ppPoints": 11,
                    "positionCode": "R",
                    "skaterFullName": "Troy Terry",
                    "shootingPct": 0.1117,
                    "evGoals": 17,
                    "playerId": 8478873,
                    "ppGoals": 4,
                    "gameWinningGoals": 4,
                    "shots": 188,
                    "gamesPlayed": 77,
                    "assists": 34,
                    "timeOnIcePerGame": 1130.948,
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                    "shGoals": 0,
                    "points": 55,
                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
                      "individualGoalsPer60": 0.868,
                      "shotsPer60": 7.772,
                      "pointsPer60": 2.274
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                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "seasonId": 20252026,
                    "otGoals": 1,
                    "teamAbbrevs": "ANA",
                    "evPoints": 41,
                    "goals": 19,
                    "ppPoints": 12,
                    "positionCode": "R",
                    "skaterFullName": "Troy Terry",
                    "shootingPct": 0.11801,
                    "evGoals": 16,
                    "playerId": 8478873,
                    "ppGoals": 1,
                    "gameWinningGoals": 3,
                    "shots": 161,
                    "gamesPlayed": 61,
                    "assists": 38,
                    "timeOnIcePerGame": 1100.836,
                    "shPoints": 4,
                    "shGoals": 2,
                    "points": 57,
                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
                      "individualGoalsPer60": 1.019,
                      "shotsPer60": 8.631,
                      "pointsPer60": 3.056
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                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              },
              {
                "season": 20262027,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
              }
            ],
            "replacements": [
              {
                "name": "Beckett Sennecke",
                "id": 8484762,
                "position": "R",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 24.967,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "strengthStateTime": null,
                    "strengthStateSource": null
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20252026,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20252026,
                        "otGoals": 1,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "ANA",
                        "evPoints": 46,
                        "goals": 23,
                        "ppPoints": 13,
                        "positionCode": "R",
                        "skaterFullName": "Beckett Sennecke",
                        "shootingPct": 0.11675,
                        "evGoals": 21,
                        "playerId": 8484762,
                        "ppGoals": 1,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 2,
                        "shots": 197,
                        "gamesPlayed": 82,
                        "assists": 37,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 1046.7073,
                        "shPoints": 1,
                        "shGoals": 1,
                        "points": 60,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=500&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 0.965,
                          "shotsPer60": 8.263,
                          "pointsPer60": 2.517
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 74084,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 903.46341,
                      "gamesPlayed": 82,
                      "lastName": "Sennecke",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 1604,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 69.73913,
                      "playerId": 8484762,
                      "positionCode": "R",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 11560,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 140.9756,
                      "seasonId": 20252026,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 186,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 2.26829,
                      "shifts": 1740,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 21.21951,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Beckett Sennecke",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "ANA",
                      "timeOnIce": 85830,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 1046.70731,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 49.32758
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
                  },
                  {
                    "season": 20262027,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20262027,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "ANA",
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                        "goals": 3,
                        "ppPoints": 3,
                        "positionCode": "R",
                        "skaterFullName": "Beckett Sennecke",
                        "shootingPct": 0.27272,
                        "evGoals": 1,
                        "playerId": 8484762,
                        "ppGoals": 2,
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                        "shots": 11,
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                        "assists": 1,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 1295.3333,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 4,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 2.779,
                          "shotsPer60": 10.19,
                          "pointsPer60": 3.706
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                      }
                    ],
                    "strengthStateTime": {
                      "evTimeOnIce": 2875,
                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 958.33333,
                      "gamesPlayed": 3,
                      "lastName": "Sennecke",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 184,
                      "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 184,
                      "playerId": 8484762,
                      "positionCode": "R",
                      "ppTimeOnIce": 987,
                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 329,
                      "seasonId": 20262027,
                      "shTimeOnIce": 24,
                      "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 8,
                      "shifts": 66,
                      "shiftsPerGame": 22,
                      "shootsCatches": "R",
                      "skaterFullName": "Beckett Sennecke",
                      "teamAbbrevs": "ANA",
                      "timeOnIce": 3886,
                      "timeOnIcePerGame": 1295.33333,
                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 58.87878
                    },
                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
                  }
                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010009,
                    "date": "2026-09-20",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010009/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484762,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "B. Sennecke"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 3,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 3,
                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 1,
                    "toi": "14:50",
                    "shifts": 18
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010052,
                    "date": "2026-09-26",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010052/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484762,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "B. Sennecke"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 2,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 1,
                    "toi": "17:41",
                    "shifts": 19
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020021,
                    "date": "2026-10-02",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020021/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484762,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "B. Sennecke"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "18:04",
                    "shifts": 20
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020037,
                    "date": "2026-10-04",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020037/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484762,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "B. Sennecke"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 1,
                    "points": 1,
                    "sog": 3,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "21:44",
                    "shifts": 25
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020055,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8484762,
                    "name": {
                      "default": "B. Sennecke"
                    },
                    "position": "R",
                    "goals": 2,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "points": 2,
                    "sog": 7,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 2,
                    "toi": "24:58",
                    "shifts": 21
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Cutter Gauthier",
                "id": 8483445,
                "position": "L",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 24.167,
                "historical": [
                  {
                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "seasonId": 20242025,
                        "otGoals": 2,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "ANA",
                        "evPoints": 38,
                        "goals": 20,
                        "ppPoints": 6,
                        "positionCode": "L",
                        "skaterFullName": "Cutter Gauthier",
                        "shootingPct": 0.10526,
                        "evGoals": 18,
                        "playerId": 8483445,
                        "ppGoals": 2,
                        "gameWinningGoals": 3,
                        "shots": 190,
                        "gamesPlayed": 82,
                        "assists": 24,
                        "timeOnIcePerGame": 849.3292,
                        "shPoints": 0,
                        "shGoals": 0,
                        "points": 44,
                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=700&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                        "derived": {
                          "individualGoalsPer60": 1.034,
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=700&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      }
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                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=500&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      }
                    ],
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                      "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 918.33333,
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                      "lastName": "Gauthier",
                      "otTimeOnIce": 201,
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                      "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 330,
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                      "timeOnIcePerShift": 54.65217
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                    "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
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                ],
                "current2026_27": [
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010009,
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010009/boxscore",
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                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010052,
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010052/boxscore",
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                  },
                  {
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                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020021/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483445,
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020037,
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                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020037/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483445,
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020055,
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "ANA",
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                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8483445,
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                "name": "Nikita Klepov",
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                ],
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                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010009/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8486052,
                    "name": {
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010039,
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                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010039/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8486052,
                    "name": {
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                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026010052,
                    "date": "2026-09-26",
                    "stage": "preseason",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010052/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8486052,
                    "name": {
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                    },
                    "position": "R",
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                    "sog": 1,
                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "14:22",
                    "shifts": 17
                  },
                  {
                    "event_id": 2026020055,
                    "date": "2026-10-07",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "team": "ANA",
                    "role": "forwards",
                    "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
                    "playerId": 8486052,
                    "name": {
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                    "position": "R",
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                    "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                    "toi": "10:03",
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                ]
              }
            ],
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                    "games": null,
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                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Cutter Gauthier",
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                  {
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                    "games": null,
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
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              {
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                  {
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                    "games": 76,
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                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
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            ],
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                "season": 20242025,
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                  "lastName": "Moore",
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                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
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              {
                "season": 20252026,
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                    "playerId": 8482178,
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                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                  }
                ],
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                  "gamesPlayed": 67,
                  "lastName": "Moore",
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                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 10.33333,
                  "playerId": 8482178,
                  "positionCode": "D",
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 3.07462,
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                  "shTimeOnIce": 2267,
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                  "shifts": 1315,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 19.62686,
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                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 41.7825
                },
                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
              },
              {
                "season": 20262027,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NHL_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "strengthStateTime": null,
                "strengthStateSource": null
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            ],
            "replacements": [
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                "name": "Tristan Luneau",
                "id": 8483482,
                "position": "D",
                "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
                "additionalHistorySource": null,
                "roleEvidence": "Participated in actual prior game; this is a role-compatible comparison pool, not verified causal replacement.",
                "referenceMinutes": 21.55,
                "historical": [
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                    "season": 20242025,
                    "league": "NHL",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
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                        "seasonId": 20242025,
                        "otGoals": 0,
                        "teamAbbrevs": "ANA",
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                        "positionCode": "D",
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                        "playerId": 8483482,
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                        "game_type": 2,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                    "name": "Tristan Luneau",
                    "playerId": 8483482,
                    "games": 6,
                    "toiMinutes": 16.556,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "shots": 6,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0,
                    "shotsPer60": 3.624,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -2.242
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Noah Warren",
                    "playerId": 8483521,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
                    "ppPoints": null,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": null,
                    "shotsPer60": null,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Travis Mitchell",
                    "playerId": 8484262,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
                    "ppPoints": null,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": null,
                    "shotsPer60": null,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              },
              {
                "season": 20252026,
                "incumbent": {
                  "games": 67,
                  "toiMinutes": 13.668,
                  "goals": 4,
                  "assists": 8,
                  "shots": 66,
                  "ppPoints": 0,
                  "individualGoalsPer60": 0.262,
                  "shotsPer60": 4.324
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Tristan Luneau",
                    "playerId": 8483482,
                    "games": 1,
                    "toiMinutes": 11.617,
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "shots": 2,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 5.165,
                    "shotsPer60": 10.33,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": 6.006
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Noah Warren",
                    "playerId": 8483521,
                    "games": null,
                    "toiMinutes": null,
                    "goals": null,
                    "assists": null,
                    "shots": null,
                    "ppPoints": null,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": null,
                    "shotsPer60": null,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": null
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Travis Mitchell",
                    "playerId": 8484262,
                    "games": 9,
                    "toiMinutes": 11.537,
                    "goals": 1,
                    "assists": 0,
                    "shots": 4,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "individualGoalsPer60": 0.578,
                    "shotsPer60": 2.311,
                    "descriptiveShotsPer60Difference": -2.013
                  }
                ],
                "interpretation": "Individual season rates compare offensive roles only; they are not teammate/opponent-adjusted lineup rates and do not convert into a team-goal correction."
              }
            ],
            "workloadScenario": {
              "kind": "reported_absence",
              "confirmedTonight": false,
              "affectedMinutesByStrength": null,
              "interpretation": "No captured current NHL appearance; do not equate absent sample with zero talent. The last actual lineup already omits this player."
            },
            "offense": {
              "effectGoals": null,
              "status": "unestimated",
              "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_GF_or_xGF_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s))",
              "reason": "Role/history comparison completed; current affected ES/PP minutes and confounding-controlled lineup goal-rate difference not established."
            }
          }
        ],
        "noChangeFinding": "Prior-reference omissions identified per player; no blanket zero injury effect claimed.",
        "goaliesExcluded": [],
        "calibratedOffensiveEffectGoals": null,
        "defenseAbsenceOverlay": "not_applied_offense_only",
        "baseScore": 2.975472518076778,
        "adjustedScore": 2.975472518076778,
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "footballMinus3Applied": false,
        "displayBaseScore": 3,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 3,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "calculationReference": {
          "model": "primary-2.0.0",
          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
          "coefficientSHA256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd",
          "side": "away",
          "eventId": "401892468",
          "matchup": {
            "away": "Anaheim Ducks",
            "home": "Winnipeg Jets"
          },
          "baseAwayHome": [
            2.975472518076778,
            3.3018280762447207
          ],
          "retainedAwayHome": [
            2.975472518076778,
            3.3018280762447207
          ],
          "baseMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.3263555581679429,
          "retainedMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.3263555581679429,
          "baseTotal": 6.277300594321499,
          "retainedTotal": 6.277300594321499,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
        },
        "disclosedLimitations": [
          "Confirmed Oct9 dressing lineup",
          "Current ES/PP affected minutes",
          "Validated lineup offensive goal/xG rate difference and base-lineup exposure"
        ],
        "reviewStatus": "COMPLETE_AS_PROJECTED_TRACKING_REVIEW",
        "pendingFinalRoles": true,
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-09-DAL",
        "eventId": "401898395",
        "sport": "NBA",
        "team": "DAL",
        "teamName": "Dallas Mavericks",
        "stage": "preseason",
        "source": {
          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.580Z"
        },
        "notes": "Analyst preseason scenario, all disputed players held out: Irving16minutes is a cautious assumption, not a team-announced limit; primary NBA team page says expected Friday return with monitored minutes. Flagg/Sasser handle more creation. Aldama/Lively separate available branches reclaim16minutes each. Rookies/missing NBA history remain missing.",
        "referenceLineup": null,
        "projectedRotation": [
          {
            "name": "Kyrie Irving",
            "id": "6442",
            "position": "G",
            "projectedMinutes": 16,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
            "referenceActualMinutes": null,
            "referenceActualStarter": null,
            "currentStarterStatus": "unconfirmed",
            "historical": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "6442",
                    "player": "Kyrie Irving",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/6442/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "50",
                    "gamesStarted": "50",
                    "avgMinutes": "36.1",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "8.9-18.9",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "47.3",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.9-7.2",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "40.1",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "3.9-4.3",
                    "freeThrowPct": "91.6",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "1.2",
                    "avgAssists": "4.6",
                    "avgTurnovers": "2.2",
                    "avgPoints": "24.7"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "6442",
                    "player": "Kyrie Irving",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/6442/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "447-945",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "47.3",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "144-359",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "40.1",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "196-214",
                    "freeThrowPct": "91.6",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "60",
                    "assists": "231",
                    "turnovers": "111",
                    "points": "1234"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "6442",
                    "player": "Kyrie Irving",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/6442/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "2.1",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.306",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.55"
                  }
                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "6",
                    "eFG": 0.549,
                    "TS": 0.594,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "derived": []
              }
            ],
            "current2026_27": [],
            "opportunitySensitivity": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                "selectedHistoricalTeam": "6",
                "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                "games": 50,
                "starts": 50,
                "actualAvgMinutes": 36.1,
                "perMinute": {
                  "FGA": 0.524,
                  "threePA": 0.199,
                  "FTA": 0.119,
                  "assists": 0.127,
                  "turnovers": 0.061,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.033,
                  "points": 0.684
                },
                "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                  "minutes": 16,
                  "FGA": 8.377,
                  "threePA": 3.191,
                  "FTA": 1.906,
                  "assists": 2.039,
                  "turnovers": 0.975,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.532,
                  "points": 10.947
                },
                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/6442/stats?seasontype=2"
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                "minutes": 16
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "name": "Max Christie",
            "id": "4432582",
            "position": "G",
            "projectedMinutes": 22,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
            "referenceActualMinutes": null,
            "referenceActualStarter": null,
            "currentStarterStatus": "unconfirmed",
            "historical": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432582",
                    "player": "Max Christie",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "13",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "46",
                    "gamesStarted": "25",
                    "avgMinutes": "25.1",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.8-6.3",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "44.4",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.3-3.5",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "36.8",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.6-1.9",
                    "freeThrowPct": "85.1",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.5",
                    "avgAssists": "1.4",
                    "avgTurnovers": "0.8",
                    "avgPoints": "8.5"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432582",
                    "player": "Max Christie",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "32",
                    "gamesStarted": "11",
                    "avgMinutes": "30.4",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "3.9-9.4",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "41.1",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.7-4.7",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "36.4",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.8-2.0",
                    "freeThrowPct": "86.2",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.4",
                    "avgAssists": "2.5",
                    "avgTurnovers": "1.5",
                    "avgPoints": "11.2"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432582",
                    "player": "Max Christie",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": null,
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "78",
                    "gamesStarted": "36",
                    "avgMinutes": "27.3",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "3.2-7.6",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "42.7",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.5-4.0",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "36.6",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.7-1.9",
                    "freeThrowPct": "85.5",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.5",
                    "avgAssists": "1.9",
                    "avgTurnovers": "1.1",
                    "avgPoints": "9.6"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432582",
                    "player": "Max Christie",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "13",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "128-288",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "44.4",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "60-163",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "36.8",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "74-87",
                    "freeThrowPct": "85.1",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "25",
                    "assists": "66",
                    "turnovers": "39",
                    "points": "390"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432582",
                    "player": "Max Christie",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "124-302",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "41.1",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "55-151",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "36.4",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "56-65",
                    "freeThrowPct": "86.2",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "13",
                    "assists": "80",
                    "turnovers": "49",
                    "points": "359"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432582",
                    "player": "Max Christie",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": null,
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "252-590",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "42.7",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "115-314",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "36.6",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "130-152",
                    "freeThrowPct": "85.5",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "38",
                    "assists": "146",
                    "turnovers": "88",
                    "points": "749"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432582",
                    "player": "Max Christie",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "13",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.7",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.354",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.55"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432582",
                    "player": "Max Christie",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.6",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.189",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.50"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432582",
                    "player": "Max Christie",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": null,
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.7",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.269",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.52"
                  }
                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "13",
                    "eFG": 0.549,
                    "TS": 0.598,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  },
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "6",
                    "eFG": 0.502,
                    "TS": 0.543,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  },
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": null,
                    "eFG": 0.525,
                    "TS": 0.57,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432582",
                    "player": "Max Christie",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "77",
                    "gamesStarted": "68",
                    "avgMinutes": "29.1",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "4.2-9.4",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "44.1",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.3-5.8",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "40.4",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.6-1.8",
                    "freeThrowPct": "89.9",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.2",
                    "avgAssists": "2.0",
                    "avgTurnovers": "1.2",
                    "avgPoints": "12.3"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432582",
                    "player": "Max Christie",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "320-725",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "44.1",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "180-446",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "40.4",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "125-139",
                    "freeThrowPct": "89.9",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "15",
                    "assists": "151",
                    "turnovers": "96",
                    "points": "945"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432582",
                    "player": "Max Christie",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.6",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.303",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.57"
                  }
                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "6",
                    "eFG": 0.566,
                    "TS": 0.601,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "current2026_27": [],
            "opportunitySensitivity": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                "selectedHistoricalTeam": null,
                "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                "games": 78,
                "starts": 36,
                "actualAvgMinutes": 27.3,
                "perMinute": {
                  "FGA": 0.278,
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                "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
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                  "FGA": 6.125,
                  "threePA": 3.223,
                  "FTA": 1.531,
                  "assists": 1.531,
                  "turnovers": 0.886,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.403,
                  "points": 7.736
                },
                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2"
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                "selectedHistoricalTeam": "6",
                "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
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                "starts": 68,
                "actualAvgMinutes": 29.1,
                "perMinute": {
                  "FGA": 0.323,
                  "threePA": 0.199,
                  "FTA": 0.062,
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.007,
                  "points": 0.423
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                "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
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                  "FGA": 7.107,
                  "threePA": 4.385,
                  "FTA": 1.361,
                  "assists": 1.512,
                  "turnovers": 0.907,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.151,
                  "points": 9.299
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432582/stats?seasontype=2"
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "name": "Cooper Flagg",
            "id": "5041939",
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            "projectedMinutes": 24,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
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            "referenceActualStarter": null,
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                  {
                    "player_id": "5041939",
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                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5041939/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "8.0-17.1",
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                  },
                  {
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                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5041939/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "72-244",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "29.5",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "283-342",
                    "freeThrowPct": "82.7",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "86",
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                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "5041939",
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                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5041939/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.234",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.50"
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                ]
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              {
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                  "points": 15.045
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5041939/stats?seasontype=2"
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            ]
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          {
            "name": "P.J. Washington",
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            "projectedMinutes": 22,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
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            "referenceActualStarter": null,
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                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278078/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278078/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "143-198",
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                    "offensiveRebounds": "82",
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                ],
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              },
              {
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                "stage": "regular",
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                "rows": [
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                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
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                  {
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                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278078/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "76-234",
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                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "125-182",
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                  {
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                  "points": 10.043
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278078/stats?seasontype=2"
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278078/stats?seasontype=2"
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            "name": "Daniel Gafford",
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            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0-0",
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278049/stats?seasontype=2"
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278049/stats?seasontype=2"
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          {
            "name": "Naji Marshall",
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                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "228-300",
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                  {
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                "actualAvgMinutes": 10,
                "perMinute": {
                  "FGA": 0.11,
                  "threePA": 0.01,
                  "FTA": 0.08,
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.09,
                  "points": 0.21
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                "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
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                  "FGA": 1.54,
                  "threePA": 0.14,
                  "FTA": 1.12,
                  "assists": 1.4,
                  "turnovers": 0.42,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 1.26,
                  "points": 2.94
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2531367/stats?seasontype=2"
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                "selectedHistoricalTeam": "6",
                "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                "games": 63,
                "starts": 12,
                "actualAvgMinutes": 14.3,
                "perMinute": {
                  "FGA": 0.112,
                  "threePA": 0.007,
                  "FTA": 0.126,
                  "assists": 0.077,
                  "turnovers": 0.049,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.105,
                  "points": 0.231
                },
                "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                  "minutes": 14,
                  "FGA": 1.566,
                  "threePA": 0.098,
                  "FTA": 1.762,
                  "assists": 1.077,
                  "turnovers": 0.685,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 1.469,
                  "points": 3.231
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2531367/stats?seasontype=2"
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "name": "Jett Howard",
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            "projectedMinutes": 10,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
            "referenceActualMinutes": null,
            "referenceActualStarter": null,
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            "historical": [
              {
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                "league": "NBA",
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                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "5105806",
                    "player": "Jett Howard",
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "19",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5105806/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "60",
                    "gamesStarted": "0",
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                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.6-4.4",
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                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "29.6",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "0.3-0.4",
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                  },
                  {
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                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "19",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5105806/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "98-262",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "37.4",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "55-186",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "29.6",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "16-23",
                    "freeThrowPct": "69.6",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "20",
                    "assists": "44",
                    "turnovers": "36",
                    "points": "267"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "5105806",
                    "player": "Jett Howard",
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                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "19",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5105806/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.2",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.019",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.48"
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                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
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                    "TS": 0.491,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "19",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5105806/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "historical_team_id": "19",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5105806/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "54-145",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "37.2",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "37-39",
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                    "offensiveRebounds": "23",
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                    "points": "301"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "5105806",
                    "player": "Jett Howard",
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                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "19",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5105806/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "3.0",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.199",
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                "derived": [
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                    "TS": 0.561,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
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                ]
              }
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            "current2026_27": [],
            "opportunitySensitivity": [
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                "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                "selectedHistoricalTeam": "19",
                "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                "games": 60,
                "starts": 0,
                "actualAvgMinutes": 11.7,
                "perMinute": {
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.026,
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                  "FTA": 0.342,
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.256,
                  "points": 3.846
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5105806/stats?seasontype=2"
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                "selectedHistoricalTeam": "19",
                "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
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                "starts": 0,
                "actualAvgMinutes": 12.6,
                "perMinute": {
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.032,
                  "points": 0.437
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                "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
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                  "FGA": 3.651,
                  "threePA": 2.063,
                  "FTA": 0.556,
                  "assists": 0.635,
                  "turnovers": 0.238,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.317,
                  "points": 4.365
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5105806/stats?seasontype=2"
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            ]
          },
          {
            "name": "Moussa Cisse",
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            "projectedMinutes": 8,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
            "referenceActualMinutes": null,
            "referenceActualStarter": null,
            "currentStarterStatus": "unconfirmed",
            "historical": [
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                "season": "2024-25",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "derived": []
              },
              {
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                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4701208/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "gamesStarted": "1",
                    "avgMinutes": "13.9",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.7-3.0",
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                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.0-2.1",
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                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4701208",
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                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4701208/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "66-115",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "57.4",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0-0",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "0.0",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "38-81",
                    "freeThrowPct": "46.9",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "89",
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                    "turnovers": "30",
                    "points": "170"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4701208",
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4701208/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "0.3",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.478",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.57"
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                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "6",
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                    "TS": 0.564,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "current2026_27": [],
            "opportunitySensitivity": [
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                "season": "2024-25",
                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
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              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
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                "actualAvgMinutes": 13.9,
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                  "FTA": 0.151,
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.165,
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                "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
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                  "FGA": 1.727,
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                  "FTA": 1.209,
                  "assists": 0.115,
                  "turnovers": 0.46,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 1.324,
                  "points": 2.59
                },
                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4701208/stats?seasontype=2"
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            ]
          },
          {
            "name": "Tarik Biberovic",
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            "projectedMinutes": 8,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
            "referenceActualMinutes": null,
            "referenceActualStarter": null,
            "currentStarterStatus": "unconfirmed",
            "historical": [
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                "league": "NBA",
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                "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
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                "derived": []
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
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                "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
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            ],
            "current2026_27": [],
            "opportunitySensitivity": [
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                "season": "2024-25",
                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                "minutes": 8
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
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            ]
          },
          {
            "name": "Tobi Lawal",
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            "projectedMinutes": 4,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
            "referenceActualMinutes": null,
            "referenceActualStarter": null,
            "currentStarterStatus": "unconfirmed",
            "historical": [
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                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
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              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
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                "derived": []
              }
            ],
            "current2026_27": [],
            "opportunitySensitivity": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                "minutes": 4
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                "minutes": 4
              }
            ]
          }
        ],
        "projectedMinutesTotal": 240,
        "overtimeMinutes": 0,
        "availabilityBranches": [
          {
            "incumbent": {
              "name": "Santi Aldama",
              "id": "4593125",
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            "availability": {
              "player": "Santi Aldama",
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              "position": "F",
              "status": "Day-To-Day",
              "date": "2026-09-26T18:15Z"
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            "history": [
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                "league": "NBA",
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                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
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                    "player_id": "4593125",
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "29",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593125/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "65",
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                    "avgMinutes": "25.5",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "4.8-10.0",
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                    "avgPoints": "12.5"
                  },
                  {
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "29",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593125/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "313-648",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "48.3",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "120-326",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "36.8",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "65-94",
                    "freeThrowPct": "69.1",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "94",
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                    "turnovers": "71",
                    "points": "811"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4593125",
                    "player": "Santi Aldama",
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                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "29",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593125/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "2.6",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.252",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.58"
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                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "29",
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                    "TS": 0.588,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
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                ]
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "29",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593125/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "43",
                    "gamesStarted": "11",
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                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "5.3-11.1",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "47.9",
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                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "35.0",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.8-2.7",
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                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4593125",
                    "player": "Santi Aldama",
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                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "29",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593125/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "228-476",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "47.9",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "70-200",
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                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "76-114",
                    "freeThrowPct": "66.7",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "67",
                    "assists": "126",
                    "turnovers": "55",
                    "points": "602"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4593125",
                    "player": "Santi Aldama",
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                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "29",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593125/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "2.3",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.265",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.55"
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                ],
                "derived": [
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                    "historicalTeamId": "29",
                    "eFG": 0.553,
                    "TS": 0.572,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "scenario": "If available, returning player reclaims the following analyst-assigned minutes; reverse these transfers for the unavailable branch.",
            "returnMinutes": 16,
            "availableRotation": [
              {
                "name": "Kyrie Irving",
                "minutes": 16
              },
              {
                "name": "Max Christie",
                "minutes": 22
              },
              {
                "name": "Cooper Flagg",
                "minutes": 24
              },
              {
                "name": "P.J. Washington",
                "minutes": 22
              },
              {
                "name": "Daniel Gafford",
                "minutes": 20
              },
              {
                "name": "Naji Marshall",
                "minutes": 18
              },
              {
                "name": "Zaccharie Risacher",
                "minutes": 20
              },
              {
                "name": "Caleb Martin",
                "minutes": 12
              },
              {
                "name": "Marcus Sasser",
                "minutes": 20
              },
              {
                "name": "Morez Johnson Jr.",
                "minutes": 10
              },
              {
                "name": "Dwight Powell",
                "minutes": 14
              },
              {
                "name": "Jett Howard",
                "minutes": 10
              },
              {
                "name": "Moussa Cisse",
                "minutes": 8
              },
              {
                "name": "Tarik Biberovic",
                "minutes": 8
              },
              {
                "name": "Tobi Lawal",
                "minutes": 0
              },
              {
                "name": "Santi Aldama",
                "minutes": 16
              }
            ],
            "availableMinutesTotal": 240,
            "replacementMinutesIfAbsent": [
              {
                "name": "Morez Johnson Jr.",
                "id": "4873153",
                "position": "F",
                "incrementalMinutes": 8,
                "history": [
                  {
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "derived": []
                  },
                  {
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "derived": []
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Tobi Lawal",
                "id": "5106040",
                "position": "F",
                "incrementalMinutes": 4,
                "history": [
                  {
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "derived": []
                  },
                  {
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "derived": []
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Caleb Martin",
                "id": "3138160",
                "position": "F",
                "incrementalMinutes": 4,
                "history": [
                  {
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "3138160",
                        "player": "Caleb Martin",
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                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "20",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2",
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                        "gamesStarted": "24",
                        "avgMinutes": "30.4",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "3.3-7.5",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "43.5",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.1-2.8",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "37.9",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.5-2.4",
                        "freeThrowPct": "62.2",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "1.4",
                        "avgAssists": "2.2",
                        "avgTurnovers": "1.4",
                        "avgPoints": "9.1"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "3138160",
                        "player": "Caleb Martin",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "14",
                        "gamesStarted": "0",
                        "avgMinutes": "19.6",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.0-5.1",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "38.9",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.3-1.1",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "25.0",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.1-1.7",
                        "freeThrowPct": "62.5",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.7",
                        "avgAssists": "1.9",
                        "avgTurnovers": "0.9",
                        "avgPoints": "5.4"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "3138160",
                        "player": "Caleb Martin",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": null,
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "45",
                        "gamesStarted": "24",
                        "avgMinutes": "27.1",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.9-6.8",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "42.4",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.8-2.3",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "35.9",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.4-2.2",
                        "freeThrowPct": "62.2",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "1.2",
                        "avgAssists": "2.1",
                        "avgTurnovers": "1.2",
                        "avgPoints": "7.9"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "3138160",
                        "player": "Caleb Martin",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "20",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "101-232",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "43.5",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "33-87",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "37.9",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "46-74",
                        "freeThrowPct": "62.2",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "43",
                        "assists": "69",
                        "turnovers": "43",
                        "points": "281"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "3138160",
                        "player": "Caleb Martin",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "28-72",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "38.9",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "4-16",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "25.0",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "15-24",
                        "freeThrowPct": "62.5",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "10",
                        "assists": "26",
                        "turnovers": "13",
                        "points": "75"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "3138160",
                        "player": "Caleb Martin",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": null,
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "129-304",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "42.4",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "37-103",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "35.9",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "61-98",
                        "freeThrowPct": "62.2",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "53",
                        "assists": "95",
                        "turnovers": "56",
                        "points": "356"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "3138160",
                        "player": "Caleb Martin",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "20",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.6",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.211",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.51"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "3138160",
                        "player": "Caleb Martin",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "2.0",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.042",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.42"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "3138160",
                        "player": "Caleb Martin",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": null,
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.7",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.171",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.49"
                      }
                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "20",
                        "eFG": 0.506,
                        "TS": 0.531,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      },
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "6",
                        "eFG": 0.417,
                        "TS": 0.454,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      },
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": null,
                        "eFG": 0.485,
                        "TS": 0.513,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      }
                    ]
                  },
                  {
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "3138160",
                        "player": "Caleb Martin",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "58",
                        "gamesStarted": "12",
                        "avgMinutes": "14.8",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.5-3.3",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "45.0",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.3-1.0",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "35.1",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "0.6-1.1",
                        "freeThrowPct": "60.7",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.5",
                        "avgAssists": "1.4",
                        "avgTurnovers": "0.7",
                        "avgPoints": "3.9"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "3138160",
                        "player": "Caleb Martin",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "85-189",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "45.0",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "20-57",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "35.1",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "37-61",
                        "freeThrowPct": "60.7",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "28",
                        "assists": "81",
                        "turnovers": "40",
                        "points": "227"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "3138160",
                        "player": "Caleb Martin",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "2.0",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.201",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.50"
                      }
                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "6",
                        "eFG": 0.503,
                        "TS": 0.526,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      }
                    ]
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "creationAndShots": "Gafford/Powell/Cisse receive interior finishes when Lively is out; Johnson/Martin/Lawal share Aldama wing/frontcourt shots. Sasser/Flagg preserve creation while Irving minutes are monitored.",
            "offensiveScoreEffect": null,
            "methodStatus": "sensitivity_workload_only_not_calibrated_lineup_effect",
            "remainingFailure": "No teammate/opponent/role-controlled lineup PPP estimate; cannot convert rawPPG or assists to team points.",
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2024-25",
                  "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                  "selectedHistoricalTeam": "29",
                  "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                  "games": 65,
                  "starts": 16,
                  "actualAvgMinutes": 25.5,
                  "perMinute": {
                    "FGA": 0.392,
                    "threePA": 0.196,
                    "FTA": 0.055,
                    "assists": 0.114,
                    "turnovers": 0.043,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.055,
                    "points": 0.49
                  },
                  "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                    "minutes": 16,
                    "FGA": 6.275,
                    "threePA": 3.137,
                    "FTA": 0.878,
                    "assists": 1.82,
                    "turnovers": 0.69,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.878,
                    "points": 7.843
                  },
                  "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593125/stats?seasontype=2"
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Morez Johnson Jr.",
                    "id": "4873153",
                    "assignedMinutes": 8,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 8
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Tobi Lawal",
                    "id": "5106040",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 4
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Caleb Martin",
                    "id": "3138160",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": null,
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 45,
                      "starts": 24,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 27.1,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.251,
                        "threePA": 0.085,
                        "FTA": 0.081,
                        "assists": 0.077,
                        "turnovers": 0.044,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.044,
                        "points": 0.292
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 4,
                        "FGA": 1.004,
                        "threePA": 0.339,
                        "FTA": 0.325,
                        "assists": 0.31,
                        "turnovers": 0.177,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.177,
                        "points": 1.166
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 4,
                "requiredMinutes": 16,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2025-26",
                  "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                  "selectedHistoricalTeam": "29",
                  "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                  "games": 43,
                  "starts": 11,
                  "actualAvgMinutes": 27.9,
                  "perMinute": {
                    "FGA": 0.398,
                    "threePA": 0.168,
                    "FTA": 0.097,
                    "assists": 0.104,
                    "turnovers": 0.047,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.057,
                    "points": 0.502
                  },
                  "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                    "minutes": 16,
                    "FGA": 6.366,
                    "threePA": 2.695,
                    "FTA": 1.548,
                    "assists": 1.663,
                    "turnovers": 0.746,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.918,
                    "points": 8.029
                  },
                  "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593125/stats?seasontype=2"
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Morez Johnson Jr.",
                    "id": "4873153",
                    "assignedMinutes": 8,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 8
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Tobi Lawal",
                    "id": "5106040",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 4
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Caleb Martin",
                    "id": "3138160",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "6",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 58,
                      "starts": 12,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 14.8,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.223,
                        "threePA": 0.068,
                        "FTA": 0.074,
                        "assists": 0.095,
                        "turnovers": 0.047,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.034,
                        "points": 0.264
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 4,
                        "FGA": 0.892,
                        "threePA": 0.27,
                        "FTA": 0.297,
                        "assists": 0.378,
                        "turnovers": 0.189,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.135,
                        "points": 1.054
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3138160/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 4,
                "requiredMinutes": 16,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "incumbent": {
              "name": "Dereck Lively II",
              "id": "4683688",
              "position": "C"
            },
            "availability": {
              "player": "Dereck Lively II",
              "id": "4683688",
              "position": "C",
              "status": "Day-To-Day",
              "date": "2026-09-25T15:34Z"
            },
            "history": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "4683688",
                    "player": "Dereck Lively II",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4683688/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "36",
                    "gamesStarted": "29",
                    "avgMinutes": "23.1",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "3.7-5.3",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "70.2",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.0-0.0",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "0.0",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.3-2.0",
                    "freeThrowPct": "63.0",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "2.9",
                    "avgAssists": "2.4",
                    "avgTurnovers": "1.1",
                    "avgPoints": "8.7"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4683688",
                    "player": "Dereck Lively II",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "6",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4683688/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "134-191",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "70.2",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0-0",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "0.0",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "46-73",
                    "freeThrowPct": "63.0",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "104",
                    "assists": "85",
                    "turnovers": "41",
                    "points": "314"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4683688",
                    "player": "Dereck Lively II",
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                    "stage": "regular",
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                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "2.1",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.644",
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                ],
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                    "eFG": 0.702,
                    "TS": 0.704,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
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              },
              {
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                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0-0",
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                "derived": [
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                    "eFG": 0.611,
                    "TS": 0.67,
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                ]
              }
            ],
            "scenario": "If available, returning player reclaims the following analyst-assigned minutes; reverse these transfers for the unavailable branch.",
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            "availableRotation": [
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                "name": "Kyrie Irving",
                "minutes": 16
              },
              {
                "name": "Max Christie",
                "minutes": 22
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              {
                "name": "Cooper Flagg",
                "minutes": 24
              },
              {
                "name": "P.J. Washington",
                "minutes": 22
              },
              {
                "name": "Daniel Gafford",
                "minutes": 14
              },
              {
                "name": "Naji Marshall",
                "minutes": 18
              },
              {
                "name": "Zaccharie Risacher",
                "minutes": 20
              },
              {
                "name": "Caleb Martin",
                "minutes": 16
              },
              {
                "name": "Marcus Sasser",
                "minutes": 20
              },
              {
                "name": "Morez Johnson Jr.",
                "minutes": 18
              },
              {
                "name": "Dwight Powell",
                "minutes": 8
              },
              {
                "name": "Jett Howard",
                "minutes": 10
              },
              {
                "name": "Moussa Cisse",
                "minutes": 4
              },
              {
                "name": "Tarik Biberovic",
                "minutes": 8
              },
              {
                "name": "Tobi Lawal",
                "minutes": 4
              },
              {
                "name": "Dereck Lively II",
                "minutes": 16
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            ],
            "availableMinutesTotal": 240,
            "replacementMinutesIfAbsent": [
              {
                "name": "Daniel Gafford",
                "id": "4278049",
                "position": "F",
                "incrementalMinutes": 6,
                "history": [
                  {
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                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
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                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "283-403",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "70.2",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0-0",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "0.0",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "135-196",
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                        "offensiveRebounds": "155",
                        "assists": "80",
                        "turnovers": "66",
                        "points": "701"
                      },
                      {
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                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.2",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.739",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.70"
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                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
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                        "eFG": 0.702,
                        "TS": 0.716,
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                    ]
                  },
                  {
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                    "rows": [
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                        "player_id": "4278049",
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                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278049/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "55",
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                        "avgMinutes": "21.7",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "3.8-5.7",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "65.5",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.0-0.0",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "0.0",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "2.0-2.9",
                        "freeThrowPct": "68.3",
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                      },
                      {
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                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
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                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278049/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "207-316",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "65.5",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0-0",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "0.0",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "110-161",
                        "freeThrowPct": "68.3",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "138",
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                        "turnovers": "63",
                        "points": "524"
                      },
                      {
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                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
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                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278049/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "0.9",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.658",
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                    "derived": [
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                        "historicalTeamId": "6",
                        "eFG": 0.655,
                        "TS": 0.677,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
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                    ]
                  }
                ]
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              {
                "name": "Dwight Powell",
                "id": "2531367",
                "position": "F",
                "incrementalMinutes": 6,
                "history": [
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                    "league": "NBA",
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                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
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                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.8-1.1",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "68.9",
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                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "2-5",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "40.0",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "28-43",
                        "freeThrowPct": "65.1",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "47",
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                      },
                      {
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                        "player": "Dwight Powell",
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                        "historical_team_id": "6",
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                    ],
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                        "TS": 0.713,
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                    ]
                  },
                  {
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                    "rows": [
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                        "historical_team_id": "6",
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                        "gamesPlayed": "63",
                        "gamesStarted": "12",
                        "avgMinutes": "14.3",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.0-1.6",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "64.4",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.0-0.1",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "28.6",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.2-1.8",
                        "freeThrowPct": "69.6",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "1.5",
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                        "avgPoints": "3.3"
                      },
                      {
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                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2531367/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "65-101",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "64.4",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "2-7",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "28.6",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "78-112",
                        "freeThrowPct": "69.6",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "96",
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                        "points": "210"
                      },
                      {
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                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
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                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
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                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.7",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "2.079",
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                    ],
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                        "historicalTeamId": "6",
                        "eFG": 0.653,
                        "TS": 0.699,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
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                "name": "Moussa Cisse",
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                "position": "C",
                "incrementalMinutes": 4,
                "history": [
                  {
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
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                  },
                  {
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                    "league": "NBA",
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                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "4701208",
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                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4701208/stats?seasontype=2",
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                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.7-3.0",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "57.4",
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                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "2.3",
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                      {
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                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
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                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0-0",
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                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "38-81",
                        "freeThrowPct": "46.9",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "89",
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                        "turnovers": "30",
                        "points": "170"
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                      {
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                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "6",
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                        "TS": 0.564,
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                ]
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            ],
            "creationAndShots": "Gafford/Powell/Cisse receive interior finishes when Lively is out; Johnson/Martin/Lawal share Aldama wing/frontcourt shots. Sasser/Flagg preserve creation while Irving minutes are monitored.",
            "offensiveScoreEffect": null,
            "methodStatus": "sensitivity_workload_only_not_calibrated_lineup_effect",
            "remainingFailure": "No teammate/opponent/role-controlled lineup PPP estimate; cannot convert rawPPG or assists to team points.",
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2024-25",
                  "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                  "selectedHistoricalTeam": "6",
                  "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
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                  "perMinute": {
                    "FGA": 0.229,
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                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
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                        "FTA": 0.949,
                        "assists": 0.391,
                        "turnovers": 0.335,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.753,
                        "points": 3.433
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278049/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Dwight Powell",
                    "id": "2531367",
                    "assignedMinutes": 6,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "6",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 55,
                      "starts": 3,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 10,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.11,
                        "threePA": 0.01,
                        "FTA": 0.08,
                        "assists": 0.1,
                        "turnovers": 0.03,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.09,
                        "points": 0.21
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 6,
                        "FGA": 0.66,
                        "threePA": 0.06,
                        "FTA": 0.48,
                        "assists": 0.6,
                        "turnovers": 0.18,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.54,
                        "points": 1.26
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2531367/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Moussa Cisse",
                    "id": "4701208",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 4
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 12,
                "requiredMinutes": 16,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2025-26",
                  "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                  "selectedHistoricalTeam": "6",
                  "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                  "games": 7,
                  "starts": 4,
                  "actualAvgMinutes": 16.4,
                  "perMinute": {
                    "FGA": 0.159,
                    "threePA": 0,
                    "FTA": 0.085,
                    "assists": 0.116,
                    "turnovers": 0.085,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.122,
                    "points": 0.262
                  },
                  "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                    "minutes": 16,
                    "FGA": 2.537,
                    "threePA": 0,
                    "FTA": 1.366,
                    "assists": 1.854,
                    "turnovers": 1.366,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 1.951,
                    "points": 4.195
                  },
                  "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4683688/stats?seasontype=2"
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Daniel Gafford",
                    "id": "4278049",
                    "assignedMinutes": 6,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "6",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 55,
                      "starts": 44,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 21.7,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.263,
                        "threePA": 0,
                        "FTA": 0.134,
                        "assists": 0.051,
                        "turnovers": 0.051,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.115,
                        "points": 0.438
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 6,
                        "FGA": 1.576,
                        "threePA": 0,
                        "FTA": 0.802,
                        "assists": 0.304,
                        "turnovers": 0.304,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.691,
                        "points": 2.627
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278049/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Dwight Powell",
                    "id": "2531367",
                    "assignedMinutes": 6,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "6",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 63,
                      "starts": 12,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 14.3,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.112,
                        "threePA": 0.007,
                        "FTA": 0.126,
                        "assists": 0.077,
                        "turnovers": 0.049,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.105,
                        "points": 0.231
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 6,
                        "FGA": 0.671,
                        "threePA": 0.042,
                        "FTA": 0.755,
                        "assists": 0.462,
                        "turnovers": 0.294,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.629,
                        "points": 1.385
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2531367/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Moussa Cisse",
                    "id": "4701208",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "6",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 38,
                      "starts": 1,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 13.9,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.216,
                        "threePA": 0,
                        "FTA": 0.151,
                        "assists": 0.014,
                        "turnovers": 0.058,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.165,
                        "points": 0.324
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 4,
                        "FGA": 0.863,
                        "threePA": 0,
                        "FTA": 0.604,
                        "assists": 0.058,
                        "turnovers": 0.23,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.662,
                        "points": 1.295
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4701208/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 16,
                "requiredMinutes": 16,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": {
                  "FGA": 3.11,
                  "threePA": 0.042,
                  "FTA": 2.161,
                  "assists": 0.824,
                  "turnovers": 0.828,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 1.982,
                  "points": 5.307
                },
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              }
            ]
          }
        ],
        "currentRoster": [
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "4593125",
            "player": "Santi Aldama",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [
              {
                "status": "Day-To-Day",
                "date": "2026-09-26T18:15Z"
              }
            ],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "5148538",
            "player": "Tarik Biberovic",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "4432582",
            "player": "Max Christie",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "4701208",
            "player": "Moussa Cisse",
            "position": "C",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "5279129",
            "player": "Sergio de Larrea",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "5041939",
            "player": "Cooper Flagg",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "4278049",
            "player": "Daniel Gafford",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "5105806",
            "player": "Jett Howard",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "6442",
            "player": "Kyrie Irving",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "4873153",
            "player": "Morez Johnson Jr.",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "5106040",
            "player": "Tobi Lawal",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "4683688",
            "player": "Dereck Lively II",
            "position": "C",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [
              {
                "status": "Day-To-Day",
                "date": "2026-09-25T15:34Z"
              }
            ],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "4431775",
            "player": "Seth Lundy",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "4278594",
            "player": "Naji Marshall",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "3138160",
            "player": "Caleb Martin",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "4898238",
            "player": "John Poulakidas",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "2531367",
            "player": "Dwight Powell",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "5211175",
            "player": "Zaccharie Risacher",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "4432107",
            "player": "Marcus Sasser",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "6",
            "team": "Dallas Mavericks",
            "player_id": "4278078",
            "player": "P.J. Washington",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027"
          }
        ],
        "noChangeFinding": "Conditional branches preserve240minutes and do not silently resolve availability.",
        "shotAllocationMethod": "Historical FGA/3PA/FTA and assists/turnovers remain per-season inputs. Named minute transfers identify opportunity receivers. Numerical shot and usage shares not extrapolated where rookie/projection uncertainty prevents defensible rates.",
        "calibratedOffensiveEffectPoints": null,
        "formula": "projected possessions * rotation-weighted delta lineup offensive points per possession",
        "baseScore": 109.84915592639884,
        "adjustedScore": 109.84915592639884,
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "footballMinus3Applied": false,
        "displayBaseScore": 110,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 110,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "calculationReference": {
          "model": "primary-2.0.0",
          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
          "coefficientSHA256": "0dbb6e4f417bacc067c4de2a46397c65c62ee700857a046ee23870e9193f2e45",
          "side": "home",
          "eventId": "401898395",
          "matchup": {
            "away": "Houston Rockets",
            "home": "Dallas Mavericks"
          },
          "baseAwayHome": [
            115.82386830776507,
            109.84915592639884
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          "retainedAwayHome": [
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            109.84915592639884
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          "baseMarginHomeMinusAway": -5.974712381366231,
          "retainedMarginHomeMinusAway": -5.974712381366231,
          "baseTotal": 225.6730242341639,
          "retainedTotal": 225.6730242341639,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
        },
        "disclosedLimitations": [
          "Team-confirmed rotation and restrictions",
          "Shots/ballhandling share conditional on availability",
          "Validated possession/lineup offensive conversion and original model exposure"
        ],
        "reviewStatus": "COMPLETE_AS_PROJECTED_TRACKING_REVIEW",
        "pendingFinalRoles": true,
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-09-HOU",
        "eventId": "401898395",
        "sport": "NBA",
        "team": "HOU",
        "teamName": "Houston Rockets",
        "stage": "preseason",
        "source": {
          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.580Z"
        },
        "notes": "No reported injury in snapshot. No2026-27 preseason box baseline available. Allocation is an explicit analyst sensitivity scenario across16players; starter labels and planned rests remain unverified. Shot creation concentrated in Durant/Sengun/Thompson with VanVleet/Sheppard/Smart ballhandling.",
        "referenceLineup": null,
        "projectedRotation": [
          {
            "name": "Kevin Durant",
            "id": "3202",
            "position": "F",
            "projectedMinutes": 20,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
            "referenceActualMinutes": null,
            "referenceActualStarter": null,
            "currentStarterStatus": "unconfirmed",
            "historical": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "3202",
                    "player": "Kevin Durant",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "21",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3202/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "62",
                    "gamesStarted": "62",
                    "avgMinutes": "36.5",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "9.5-18.1",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "52.7",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.6-6.0",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "43.0",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "4.9-5.8",
                    "freeThrowPct": "83.9",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.4",
                    "avgAssists": "4.2",
                    "avgTurnovers": "3.1",
                    "avgPoints": "26.6"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "3202",
                    "player": "Kevin Durant",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "21",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3202/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "592-1124",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "52.7",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "160-372",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "43.0",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "303-361",
                    "freeThrowPct": "83.9",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "23",
                    "assists": "263",
                    "turnovers": "190",
                    "points": "1647"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "3202",
                    "player": "Kevin Durant",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "21",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3202/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.4",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.465",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.60"
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                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "21",
                    "eFG": 0.598,
                    "TS": 0.642,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "3202",
                    "player": "Kevin Durant",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3202/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "78",
                    "gamesStarted": "78",
                    "avgMinutes": "36.4",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "9.2-17.6",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "52.0",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.4-5.8",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "41.3",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "5.2-6.0",
                    "freeThrowPct": "87.4",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.5",
                    "avgAssists": "4.8",
                    "avgTurnovers": "3.2",
                    "avgPoints": "26.0"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "3202",
                    "player": "Kevin Durant",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3202/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "716-1376",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "52.0",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "186-450",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "41.3",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "408-467",
                    "freeThrowPct": "87.4",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "41",
                    "assists": "372",
                    "turnovers": "246",
                    "points": "2026"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "3202",
                    "player": "Kevin Durant",
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
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                    "TS": 0.641,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
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                "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                "selectedHistoricalTeam": "21",
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                  "points": 14.575
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3202/stats?seasontype=2"
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.275,
                  "points": 14.286
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/3202/stats?seasontype=2"
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            ]
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          {
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                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4871144/stats?seasontype=2",
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                  {
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "21-90",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "23.3",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "296-428",
                    "freeThrowPct": "69.2",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "262",
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                    "turnovers": "194",
                    "points": "1451"
                  },
                  {
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                ]
              },
              {
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                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4871144/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "avgPoints": "20.4"
                  },
                  {
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "10",
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                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4871144/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "583-1123",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "51.9",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "40-131",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "30.5",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "260-376",
                    "freeThrowPct": "69.1",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "215",
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                    "turnovers": "227",
                    "points": "1466"
                  },
                  {
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                    "historical_team_id": "10",
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                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
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                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 2.375,
                  "points": 13.34
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4871144/stats?seasontype=2"
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 1.982,
                  "points": 13.477
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4871144/stats?seasontype=2"
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          {
            "name": "Amen Thompson",
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            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
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            "referenceActualStarter": null,
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                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684740/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "69",
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                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "5.6-10.1",
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                  {
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                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684740/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "388-697",
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "25-91",
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                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "169-247",
                    "freeThrowPct": "68.4",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "192",
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                    "points": "970"
                  },
                  {
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                    "season_end_year": 2025,
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                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
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                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
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                  },
                  {
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                    "historical_team_id": "10",
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                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "557-1044",
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "25-116",
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                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "304-390",
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                    "offensiveRebounds": "235",
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                  "points": 9.634
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684740/stats?seasontype=2"
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            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
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                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432639/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "points": "698"
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                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432639/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "gamesStarted": "77",
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                    "avgPoints": "15.8"
                  },
                  {
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                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432639/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "438-975",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "44.9",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "177-488",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "36.3",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "162-209",
                    "freeThrowPct": "77.5",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "108",
                    "assists": "143",
                    "turnovers": "105",
                    "points": "1215"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432639",
                    "player": "Jabari Smith Jr.",
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
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                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.54"
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                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "10",
                    "eFG": 0.54,
                    "TS": 0.569,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
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                ]
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                "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
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                "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
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                "perMinute": {
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.06,
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                  "FTA": 1.462,
                  "assists": 0.731,
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 1.196,
                  "points": 8.106
                },
                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432639/stats?seasontype=2"
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                "selectedHistoricalTeam": "10",
                "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                "games": 77,
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                "actualAvgMinutes": 35.1,
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                },
                "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
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                  "threePA": 3.59,
                  "FTA": 1.538,
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                  "turnovers": 0.798,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.798,
                  "points": 9.003
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432639/stats?seasontype=2"
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "name": "Fred VanVleet",
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            "projectedMinutes": 18,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
            "referenceActualMinutes": null,
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                    "stage": "regular",
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                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2991230/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "60",
                    "gamesStarted": "60",
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                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "4.8-12.7",
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                  },
                  {
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                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2991230/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "111-137",
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                    "offensiveRebounds": "32",
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                  },
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                ],
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                    "historicalTeamId": "10",
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                ]
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
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                "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
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                "actualAvgMinutes": 35.2,
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                  "points": 7.21
                },
                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2991230/stats?seasontype=2"
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                "minutes": 18
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            ]
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          {
            "name": "Reed Sheppard",
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            "projectedMinutes": 20,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
            "referenceActualMinutes": null,
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                "rows": [
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4711272/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.6-4.6",
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                  {
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                    "historical_team_id": "10",
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                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4711272/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "48-142",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "33.8",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "13-16",
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                    "offensiveRebounds": "16",
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                    "points": "229"
                  },
                  {
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                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4711272/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "2.0",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "0.958",
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                ],
                "derived": [
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                    "historicalTeamId": "10",
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                    "TS": 0.465,
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                ]
              },
              {
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                "stage": "regular",
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                "rows": [
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                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4711272/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "5.0-11.5",
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                  {
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                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4711272/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "407-946",
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "227-576",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "39.4",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "69-86",
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                    "offensiveRebounds": "28",
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                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
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                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "2.3",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.173",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.55"
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                ],
                "derived": [
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                    "historicalTeamId": "10",
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                    "TS": 0.564,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
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                ]
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                  "points": 6.984
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4711272/stats?seasontype=2"
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              {
                "season": "2025-26",
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                "selectedHistoricalTeam": "10",
                "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.229,
                  "points": 10.305
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4711272/stats?seasontype=2"
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          {
            "name": "Tari Eason",
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            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
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                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4433192/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
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                    "historical_team_id": "10",
                    "category": "totals",
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "93-260",
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                    "offensiveRebounds": "124",
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                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                "minutes": 8
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                "minutes": 8
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "name": "Sean Pedulla",
            "id": "4709131",
            "position": "G",
            "projectedMinutes": 10,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
            "referenceActualMinutes": null,
            "referenceActualStarter": null,
            "currentStarterStatus": "unconfirmed",
            "historical": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "derived": []
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "4709131",
                    "player": "Sean Pedulla",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "12",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4709131/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "7",
                    "gamesStarted": "0",
                    "avgMinutes": "4.4",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.7-2.1",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "33.3",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.4-1.4",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "30.0",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "0.0-0.0",
                    "freeThrowPct": "0.0",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.0",
                    "avgAssists": "0.7",
                    "avgTurnovers": "0.1",
                    "avgPoints": "1.9"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4709131",
                    "player": "Sean Pedulla",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "12",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4709131/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "5-15",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "33.3",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "3-10",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "30.0",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "0-0",
                    "freeThrowPct": "0.0",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "0",
                    "assists": "5",
                    "turnovers": "1",
                    "points": "13"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4709131",
                    "player": "Sean Pedulla",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "12",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Houston Rockets",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4709131/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "5.0",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "0.867",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.43"
                  }
                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "12",
                    "eFG": 0.433,
                    "TS": 0.433,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "current2026_27": [],
            "opportunitySensitivity": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                "minutes": 10
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                "selectedHistoricalTeam": "12",
                "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                "games": 7,
                "starts": 0,
                "actualAvgMinutes": 4.4,
                "perMinute": {
                  "FGA": 0.477,
                  "threePA": 0.318,
                  "FTA": 0,
                  "assists": 0.159,
                  "turnovers": 0.023,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 0,
                  "points": 0.432
                },
                "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                  "minutes": 10,
                  "FGA": 4.773,
                  "threePA": 3.182,
                  "FTA": 0,
                  "assists": 1.591,
                  "turnovers": 0.227,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 0,
                  "points": 4.318
                },
                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4709131/stats?seasontype=2"
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "name": "Bruce Thornton",
            "id": "5105837",
            "position": "G",
            "projectedMinutes": 10,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
            "referenceActualMinutes": null,
            "referenceActualStarter": null,
            "currentStarterStatus": "unconfirmed",
            "historical": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "derived": []
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "derived": []
              }
            ],
            "current2026_27": [],
            "opportunitySensitivity": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                "minutes": 10
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                "minutes": 10
              }
            ]
          }
        ],
        "projectedMinutesTotal": 240,
        "overtimeMinutes": 0,
        "availabilityBranches": [],
        "currentRoster": [
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "2991235",
            "player": "Steven Adams",
            "position": "C",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "3037789",
            "player": "Bogdan Bogdanovic",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "3102529",
            "player": "Clint Capela",
            "position": "C",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "4683860",
            "player": "Quadir Copeland",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "4592857",
            "player": "Isaiah Crawford",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "3202",
            "player": "Kevin Durant",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "4433192",
            "player": "Tari Eason",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "4709131",
            "player": "Sean Pedulla",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "5105553",
            "player": "Julian Phillips",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "4871144",
            "player": "Alperen Sengun",
            "position": "C",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "4711272",
            "player": "Reed Sheppard",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "2990992",
            "player": "Marcus Smart",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "4432639",
            "player": "Jabari Smith Jr.",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "3136777",
            "player": "Jae'Sean Tate",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "4684740",
            "player": "Amen Thompson",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "5105837",
            "player": "Bruce Thornton",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "4432827",
            "player": "Oscar Tshiebwe",
            "position": "C",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "10",
            "team": "Houston Rockets",
            "player_id": "2991230",
            "player": "Fred VanVleet",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/10/roster?season=2027"
          }
        ],
        "noChangeFinding": "No reported absence; no supported injury-driven minute transfer identified. Preseason rest remains unverified.",
        "shotAllocationMethod": "Historical FGA/3PA/FTA and assists/turnovers remain per-season inputs. Named minute transfers identify opportunity receivers. Numerical shot and usage shares not extrapolated where rookie/projection uncertainty prevents defensible rates.",
        "calibratedOffensiveEffectPoints": null,
        "formula": "projected possessions * rotation-weighted delta lineup offensive points per possession",
        "baseScore": 115.82386830776507,
        "adjustedScore": 115.82386830776507,
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "footballMinus3Applied": false,
        "displayBaseScore": 116,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 116,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "calculationReference": {
          "model": "primary-2.0.0",
          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
          "coefficientSHA256": "0dbb6e4f417bacc067c4de2a46397c65c62ee700857a046ee23870e9193f2e45",
          "side": "away",
          "eventId": "401898395",
          "matchup": {
            "away": "Houston Rockets",
            "home": "Dallas Mavericks"
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          "baseAwayHome": [
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          "retainedAwayHome": [
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          "baseMarginHomeMinusAway": -5.974712381366231,
          "retainedMarginHomeMinusAway": -5.974712381366231,
          "baseTotal": 225.6730242341639,
          "retainedTotal": 225.6730242341639,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
        },
        "disclosedLimitations": [
          "Team-confirmed rotation and restrictions",
          "Shots/ballhandling share conditional on availability",
          "Validated possession/lineup offensive conversion and original model exposure"
        ],
        "reviewStatus": "COMPLETE_AS_PROJECTED_TRACKING_REVIEW",
        "pendingFinalRoles": true,
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-09-CHI",
        "eventId": "401908940",
        "sport": "NBA",
        "team": "CHI",
        "teamName": "Chicago Bulls",
        "stage": "preseason",
        "source": {
          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908940",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.984Z"
        },
        "notes": "Prior game rounded player minutes totaled239; add one balancing minute to Caleb Wilson for a240-minute reference scenario, not an alteration of actual boxscore. Four reported day-to-day players had vendor coach-decision DNP labels; DNP reason conflicts cannot establish medical availability. Claxton feed return estimateOct21 further supports treating current availability uncertain.",
        "referenceLineup": {
          "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z",
          "id": "401908939",
          "players": [
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              "event_id": "401908939",
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              "player_id": "4397189",
              "player": "Jalen Smith",
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              "did_not_play": false,
              "reason": null,
              "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
              "MIN": "20",
              "AST": "1",
              "TO": "3",
              "FG": "5-8",
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              "FT": "1-2",
              "OREB": "5",
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            {
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              "player": "Matas Buzelis",
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              "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
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              "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
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            {
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              "player_id": "2595516",
              "player": "Norman Powell",
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              "did_not_play": false,
              "reason": null,
              "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
              "MIN": "14",
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              "TO": "2",
              "FG": "3-4",
              "PTS": "14",
              "FT": "5-6",
              "OREB": "0",
              "3PT": "3-4"
            },
            {
              "event_id": "401908939",
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              "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
              "MIN": "23",
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              "FT": "4-4",
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              "3PT": "1-3"
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            {
              "event_id": "401908939",
              "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z",
              "stage": "preseason",
              "team": "Chicago Bulls",
              "player_id": "4397689",
              "player": "Drew Peterson",
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              "reason": null,
              "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
              "MIN": "7",
              "AST": "3",
              "TO": "2",
              "FG": "1-1",
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              "FT": "0-0",
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              "3PT": "1-1"
            },
            {
              "event_id": "401908939",
              "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z",
              "stage": "preseason",
              "team": "Chicago Bulls",
              "player_id": "4431687",
              "player": "Patrick Williams",
              "starter": false,
              "did_not_play": false,
              "reason": null,
              "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
              "MIN": "11",
              "AST": "0",
              "TO": "0",
              "FG": "2-3",
              "PTS": "6",
              "FT": "0-0",
              "OREB": "0",
              "3PT": "2-2"
            },
            {
              "event_id": "401908939",
              "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z",
              "stage": "preseason",
              "team": "Chicago Bulls",
              "player_id": "4432822",
              "player": "Isaac Okoro",
              "starter": false,
              "did_not_play": false,
              "reason": null,
              "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
              "MIN": "17",
              "AST": "2",
              "TO": "0",
              "FG": "1-2",
              "PTS": "2",
              "FT": "0-0",
              "OREB": "0",
              "3PT": "0-1"
            },
            {
              "event_id": "401908939",
              "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z",
              "stage": "preseason",
              "team": "Chicago Bulls",
              "player_id": "5044385",
              "player": "Leonard Miller",
              "starter": false,
              "did_not_play": false,
              "reason": null,
              "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
              "MIN": "14",
              "AST": "2",
              "TO": "0",
              "FG": "5-7",
              "PTS": "14",
              "FT": "3-3",
              "OREB": "0",
              "3PT": "1-2"
            },
            {
              "event_id": "401908939",
              "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z",
              "stage": "preseason",
              "team": "Chicago Bulls",
              "player_id": "5105555",
              "player": "Tobe Awaka",
              "starter": false,
              "did_not_play": false,
              "reason": null,
              "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
              "MIN": "21",
              "AST": "0",
              "TO": "3",
              "FG": "6-8",
              "PTS": "14",
              "FT": "1-3",
              "OREB": "6",
              "3PT": "1-1"
            },
            {
              "event_id": "401908939",
              "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z",
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                "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                "selectedHistoricalTeam": "4",
                "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
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                "actualAvgMinutes": 29.2,
                "perMinute": {
                  "FGA": 0.428,
                  "threePA": 0.219,
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                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.034,
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                  "FGA": 11.13,
                  "threePA": 5.699,
                  "FTA": 2.76,
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                  "turnovers": 1.87,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.89,
                  "points": 14.514
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            ]
          },
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            "name": "Caleb Wilson",
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            "projectedMinutes": 30,
            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
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            "referenceActualStarter": true,
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              {
                "event_id": "401908939",
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                "team": "Chicago Bulls",
                "player_id": "5095151",
                "player": "Caleb Wilson",
                "starter": true,
                "did_not_play": false,
                "reason": null,
                "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
                "MIN": "29",
                "AST": "2",
                "TO": "2",
                "FG": "6-15",
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              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
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              }
            ]
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            "name": "Norman Powell",
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                    "historical_team_id": "12",
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                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2595516/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "60",
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                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "7.6-15.8",
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                    "fieldGoalPct": "48.4",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "179-428",
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                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "213-265",
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                  },
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                    "category": "miscellaneous",
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                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.2",
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                ],
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                    "eFG": 0.578,
                    "TS": 0.615,
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                ]
              },
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                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
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                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "14",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2595516/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "58",
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                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "7.3-15.4",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "47.0",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.7-7.1",
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                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "4.5-5.5",
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                  {
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                    "season_end_year": 2026,
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                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2595516/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "421-895",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "47.0",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "156-410",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "38.0",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "263-318",
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                    "turnovers": "111",
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                  },
                  {
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                    "stage": "regular",
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                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
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                ],
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                    "historicalTeamId": "14",
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                    "TS": 0.609,
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                "player_id": "2595516",
                "player": "Norman Powell",
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                "did_not_play": false,
                "reason": null,
                "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
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                  "points": 9.362
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2595516/stats?seasontype=2"
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                "season": "2025-26",
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2595516/stats?seasontype=2"
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            ]
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          {
            "name": "Josh Giddey",
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                ],
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              {
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                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "321-717",
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "103-283",
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                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "174-228",
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                    "offensiveRebounds": "67",
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                ],
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                "reason": null,
                "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908939",
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            "projectionStatus": "analyst_conditional_not_confirmed",
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            "referenceActualStarter": false,
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                    "stage": "regular",
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                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "17-41",
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                  },
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                  },
                  {
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                  {
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                    "historical_team_id": null,
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                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "203-549",
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                  {
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                  {
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                "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
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        "overtimeMinutes": 0,
        "availabilityBranches": [
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            "methodStatus": "sensitivity_workload_only_not_calibrated_lineup_effect",
            "remainingFailure": "No teammate/opponent/role-controlled lineup PPP estimate; cannot convert rawPPG or assists to team points.",
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2024-25",
                  "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                  "selectedHistoricalTeam": null,
                  "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                  "games": 64,
                  "starts": 12,
                  "actualAvgMinutes": 15.3,
                  "perMinute": {
                    "FGA": 0.307,
                    "threePA": 0.111,
                    "FTA": 0.078,
                    "assists": 0.111,
                    "turnovers": 0.059,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.105,
                    "points": 0.418
                  },
                  "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                    "minutes": 12,
                    "FGA": 3.686,
                    "threePA": 1.333,
                    "FTA": 0.941,
                    "assists": 1.333,
                    "turnovers": 0.706,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 1.255,
                    "points": 5.02
                  },
                  "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4066650/stats?seasontype=2"
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Tobe Awaka",
                    "id": "5105555",
                    "assignedMinutes": 6,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 6
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Leonard Miller",
                    "id": "5044385",
                    "assignedMinutes": 6,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "16",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 13,
                      "starts": 0,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 2.5,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.48,
                        "threePA": 0.16,
                        "FTA": 0.24,
                        "assists": 0,
                        "turnovers": 0.08,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.08,
                        "points": 0.6
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 6,
                        "FGA": 2.88,
                        "threePA": 0.96,
                        "FTA": 1.44,
                        "assists": 0,
                        "turnovers": 0.48,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.48,
                        "points": 3.6
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5044385/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 6,
                "requiredMinutes": 12,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2025-26",
                  "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                  "selectedHistoricalTeam": "4",
                  "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                  "games": 10,
                  "starts": 0,
                  "actualAvgMinutes": 18.4,
                  "perMinute": {
                    "FGA": 0.348,
                    "threePA": 0.114,
                    "FTA": 0.109,
                    "assists": 0.082,
                    "turnovers": 0.054,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.087,
                    "points": 0.527
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                  "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
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                    "FGA": 4.174,
                    "threePA": 1.37,
                    "FTA": 1.304,
                    "assists": 0.978,
                    "turnovers": 0.652,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 1.043,
                    "points": 6.326
                  },
                  "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4066650/stats?seasontype=2"
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Tobe Awaka",
                    "id": "5105555",
                    "assignedMinutes": 6,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 6
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Leonard Miller",
                    "id": "5044385",
                    "assignedMinutes": 6,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": null,
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 46,
                      "starts": 12,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 15.6,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.365,
                        "threePA": 0.141,
                        "FTA": 0.077,
                        "assists": 0.058,
                        "turnovers": 0.051,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.077,
                        "points": 0.5
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 6,
                        "FGA": 2.192,
                        "threePA": 0.846,
                        "FTA": 0.462,
                        "assists": 0.346,
                        "turnovers": 0.308,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.462,
                        "points": 3
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/5044385/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 6,
                "requiredMinutes": 12,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "incumbent": {
              "name": "Jaylin Sellers",
              "id": "4898010",
              "position": "G"
            },
            "availability": {
              "player": "Jaylin Sellers",
              "id": "4898010",
              "position": "G",
              "status": "Day-To-Day",
              "date": "2026-10-07T22:33Z"
            },
            "history": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "derived": []
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                "rows": [],
                "derived": []
              }
            ],
            "scenario": "If available, returning player reclaims the following analyst-assigned minutes; reverse these transfers for the unavailable branch.",
            "returnMinutes": 6,
            "availableRotation": [
              {
                "name": "Jalen Smith",
                "minutes": 20
              },
              {
                "name": "Matas Buzelis",
                "minutes": 26
              },
              {
                "name": "Caleb Wilson",
                "minutes": 30
              },
              {
                "name": "Norman Powell",
                "minutes": 14
              },
              {
                "name": "Josh Giddey",
                "minutes": 23
              },
              {
                "name": "Drew Peterson",
                "minutes": 7
              },
              {
                "name": "Patrick Williams",
                "minutes": 11
              },
              {
                "name": "Isaac Okoro",
                "minutes": 15
              },
              {
                "name": "Leonard Miller",
                "minutes": 14
              },
              {
                "name": "Tobe Awaka",
                "minutes": 21
              },
              {
                "name": "Noa Essengue",
                "minutes": 15
              },
              {
                "name": "Buddy Hield",
                "minutes": 13
              },
              {
                "name": "Brandon Boston Jr.",
                "minutes": 3
              },
              {
                "name": "Dailyn Swain",
                "minutes": 22
              },
              {
                "name": "Jaylin Sellers",
                "minutes": 6
              }
            ],
            "availableMinutesTotal": 240,
            "replacementMinutesIfAbsent": [
              {
                "name": "Brandon Boston Jr.",
                "id": "4432162",
                "position": "G",
                "incrementalMinutes": 2,
                "history": [
                  {
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "4432162",
                        "player": "Brandon Boston Jr.",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "3",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432162/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "42",
                        "gamesStarted": "10",
                        "avgMinutes": "23.6",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "4.0-9.1",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "43.6",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.2-3.3",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "35.0",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.6-2.0",
                        "freeThrowPct": "78.8",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.7",
                        "avgAssists": "2.2",
                        "avgTurnovers": "1.2",
                        "avgPoints": "10.7"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4432162",
                        "player": "Brandon Boston Jr.",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "3",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432162/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "166-381",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "43.6",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "49-140",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "35.0",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "67-85",
                        "freeThrowPct": "78.8",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "28",
                        "assists": "92",
                        "turnovers": "52",
                        "points": "448"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4432162",
                        "player": "Brandon Boston Jr.",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "3",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432162/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.8",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.176",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.50"
                      }
                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "3",
                        "eFG": 0.5,
                        "TS": 0.535,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      }
                    ]
                  },
                  {
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "derived": []
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Buddy Hield",
                "id": "2990984",
                "position": "G",
                "incrementalMinutes": 2,
                "history": [
                  {
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "2990984",
                        "player": "Buddy Hield",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "9",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "82",
                        "gamesStarted": "22",
                        "avgMinutes": "22.7",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "4.0-9.6",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "41.7",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.5-6.7",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "37.0",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "0.6-0.8",
                        "freeThrowPct": "82.8",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.6",
                        "avgAssists": "1.6",
                        "avgTurnovers": "1.1",
                        "avgPoints": "11.1"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "2990984",
                        "player": "Buddy Hield",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "9",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "328-786",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "41.7",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "203-549",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "37.0",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "53-64",
                        "freeThrowPct": "82.8",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "51",
                        "assists": "134",
                        "turnovers": "91",
                        "points": "912"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "2990984",
                        "player": "Buddy Hield",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "9",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.5",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.160",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.55"
                      }
                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "9",
                        "eFG": 0.546,
                        "TS": 0.56,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      }
                    ]
                  },
                  {
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "2990984",
                        "player": "Buddy Hield",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "9",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "44",
                        "gamesStarted": "3",
                        "avgMinutes": "17.5",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "3.0-6.8",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "43.3",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.5-4.4",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "34.4",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "0.6-0.8",
                        "freeThrowPct": "79.4",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.6",
                        "avgAssists": "1.5",
                        "avgTurnovers": "1.0",
                        "avgPoints": "8.0"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "2990984",
                        "player": "Buddy Hield",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "1",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "7",
                        "gamesStarted": "0",
                        "avgMinutes": "7.3",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.9-3.9",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "48.1",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.0-2.4",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "41.2",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "0.4-0.4",
                        "freeThrowPct": "100.0",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.1",
                        "avgAssists": "0.7",
                        "avgTurnovers": "0.9",
                        "avgPoints": "5.1"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "2990984",
                        "player": "Buddy Hield",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": null,
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "51",
                        "gamesStarted": "3",
                        "avgMinutes": "16.1",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.8-6.4",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "43.7",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.5-4.2",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "34.9",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "0.6-0.7",
                        "freeThrowPct": "81.1",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.5",
                        "avgAssists": "1.4",
                        "avgTurnovers": "0.9",
                        "avgPoints": "7.6"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "2990984",
                        "player": "Buddy Hield",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "9",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "130-300",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "43.3",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "67-195",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "34.4",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "27-34",
                        "freeThrowPct": "79.4",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "26",
                        "assists": "66",
                        "turnovers": "42",
                        "points": "354"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "2990984",
                        "player": "Buddy Hield",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "1",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "13-27",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "48.1",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "7-17",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "41.2",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "3-3",
                        "freeThrowPct": "100.0",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "1",
                        "assists": "5",
                        "turnovers": "6",
                        "points": "36"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "2990984",
                        "player": "Buddy Hield",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": null,
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "143-327",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "43.7",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "74-212",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "34.9",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "30-37",
                        "freeThrowPct": "81.1",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "27",
                        "assists": "71",
                        "turnovers": "48",
                        "points": "390"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "2990984",
                        "player": "Buddy Hield",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "9",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.6",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.180",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.55"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "2990984",
                        "player": "Buddy Hield",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "1",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "0.8",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.333",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.61"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "2990984",
                        "player": "Buddy Hield",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": null,
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.5",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.193",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.55"
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                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "9",
                        "eFG": 0.545,
                        "TS": 0.562,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      },
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "1",
                        "eFG": 0.611,
                        "TS": 0.636,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      },
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": null,
                        "eFG": 0.55,
                        "TS": 0.568,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      }
                    ]
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Isaac Okoro",
                "id": "4432822",
                "position": "F",
                "incrementalMinutes": 2,
                "history": [
                  {
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "4432822",
                        "player": "Isaac Okoro",
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                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "5",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432822/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "55",
                        "gamesStarted": "22",
                        "avgMinutes": "19.1",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.3-4.9",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "46.4",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.0-2.7",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "37.1",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "0.6-0.8",
                        "freeThrowPct": "71.7",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.9",
                        "avgAssists": "1.2",
                        "avgTurnovers": "0.4",
                        "avgPoints": "6.1"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4432822",
                        "player": "Isaac Okoro",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "5",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432822/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "124-267",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "46.4",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "56-151",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "37.1",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "33-46",
                        "freeThrowPct": "71.7",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "49",
                        "assists": "68",
                        "turnovers": "23",
                        "points": "337"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4432822",
                        "player": "Isaac Okoro",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "5",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432822/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "3.0",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.262",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.57"
                      }
                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "5",
                        "eFG": 0.569,
                        "TS": 0.587,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      }
                    ]
                  },
                  {
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "4432822",
                        "player": "Isaac Okoro",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "4",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432822/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "63",
                        "gamesStarted": "62",
                        "avgMinutes": "26.9",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "3.3-7.3",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "46.0",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.2-3.5",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "33.0",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.4-1.8",
                        "freeThrowPct": "79.5",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "1.1",
                        "avgAssists": "1.6",
                        "avgTurnovers": "0.7",
                        "avgPoints": "9.3"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4432822",
                        "player": "Isaac Okoro",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "4",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432822/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "211-459",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "46.0",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "73-221",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "33.0",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "89-112",
                        "freeThrowPct": "79.5",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "69",
                        "assists": "100",
                        "turnovers": "46",
                        "points": "584"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4432822",
                        "player": "Isaac Okoro",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "4",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432822/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "2.2",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.272",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.54"
                      }
                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "4",
                        "eFG": 0.539,
                        "TS": 0.574,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      }
                    ]
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "creationAndShots": "Giddey remains primary creator; Swain/Peterson/Hield share Jones ballhandling. Smith/Awaka/Miller receive frontcourt touches if Claxton/Collins unavailable; wing shots spread through Hield/Okoro/Boston for Sellers.",
            "offensiveScoreEffect": null,
            "methodStatus": "sensitivity_workload_only_not_calibrated_lineup_effect",
            "remainingFailure": "No teammate/opponent/role-controlled lineup PPP estimate; cannot convert rawPPG or assists to team points.",
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2024-25",
                  "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                  "minutes": 6
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Brandon Boston Jr.",
                    "id": "4432162",
                    "assignedMinutes": 2,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "3",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 42,
                      "starts": 10,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 23.6,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.386,
                        "threePA": 0.14,
                        "FTA": 0.085,
                        "assists": 0.093,
                        "turnovers": 0.051,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.03,
                        "points": 0.453
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 2,
                        "FGA": 0.771,
                        "threePA": 0.28,
                        "FTA": 0.169,
                        "assists": 0.186,
                        "turnovers": 0.102,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.059,
                        "points": 0.907
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432162/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Buddy Hield",
                    "id": "2990984",
                    "assignedMinutes": 2,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "9",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 82,
                      "starts": 22,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 22.7,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.423,
                        "threePA": 0.295,
                        "FTA": 0.035,
                        "assists": 0.07,
                        "turnovers": 0.048,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.026,
                        "points": 0.489
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 2,
                        "FGA": 0.846,
                        "threePA": 0.59,
                        "FTA": 0.07,
                        "assists": 0.141,
                        "turnovers": 0.097,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.053,
                        "points": 0.978
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Isaac Okoro",
                    "id": "4432822",
                    "assignedMinutes": 2,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "5",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 55,
                      "starts": 22,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 19.1,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.257,
                        "threePA": 0.141,
                        "FTA": 0.042,
                        "assists": 0.063,
                        "turnovers": 0.021,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.047,
                        "points": 0.319
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 2,
                        "FGA": 0.513,
                        "threePA": 0.283,
                        "FTA": 0.084,
                        "assists": 0.126,
                        "turnovers": 0.042,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.094,
                        "points": 0.639
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432822/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 6,
                "requiredMinutes": 6,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": {
                  "FGA": 2.13,
                  "threePA": 1.153,
                  "FTA": 0.323,
                  "assists": 0.453,
                  "turnovers": 0.241,
                  "offensiveRebounds": 0.206,
                  "points": 2.524
                },
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2025-26",
                  "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                  "minutes": 6
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Brandon Boston Jr.",
                    "id": "4432162",
                    "assignedMinutes": 2,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 2
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Buddy Hield",
                    "id": "2990984",
                    "assignedMinutes": 2,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": null,
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 51,
                      "starts": 3,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 16.1,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.398,
                        "threePA": 0.261,
                        "FTA": 0.043,
                        "assists": 0.087,
                        "turnovers": 0.056,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.031,
                        "points": 0.472
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 2,
                        "FGA": 0.795,
                        "threePA": 0.522,
                        "FTA": 0.087,
                        "assists": 0.174,
                        "turnovers": 0.112,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.062,
                        "points": 0.944
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Isaac Okoro",
                    "id": "4432822",
                    "assignedMinutes": 2,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "4",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 63,
                      "starts": 62,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 26.9,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.271,
                        "threePA": 0.13,
                        "FTA": 0.067,
                        "assists": 0.059,
                        "turnovers": 0.026,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.041,
                        "points": 0.346
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 2,
                        "FGA": 0.543,
                        "threePA": 0.26,
                        "FTA": 0.134,
                        "assists": 0.119,
                        "turnovers": 0.052,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.082,
                        "points": 0.691
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432822/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 4,
                "requiredMinutes": 6,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "incumbent": {
              "name": "Tre Jones",
              "id": "4395626",
              "position": "G"
            },
            "availability": {
              "player": "Tre Jones",
              "id": "4395626",
              "position": "G",
              "status": "Day-To-Day",
              "date": "2026-10-07T22:32Z"
            },
            "history": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "4395626",
                    "player": "Tre Jones",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "24",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4395626/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "28",
                    "gamesStarted": "0",
                    "avgMinutes": "16.1",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.6-3.3",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "48.4",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.3-0.9",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "30.8",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "0.9-1.2",
                    "freeThrowPct": "75.8",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.5",
                    "avgAssists": "3.7",
                    "avgTurnovers": "0.8",
                    "avgPoints": "4.4"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4395626",
                    "player": "Tre Jones",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "4",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4395626/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "18",
                    "gamesStarted": "9",
                    "avgMinutes": "25.3",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "4.6-8.1",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "57.2",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.6-1.2",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "50.0",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.7-1.9",
                    "freeThrowPct": "88.2",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.9",
                    "avgAssists": "4.9",
                    "avgTurnovers": "0.8",
                    "avgPoints": "11.5"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4395626",
                    "player": "Tre Jones",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": null,
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4395626/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "46",
                    "gamesStarted": "9",
                    "avgMinutes": "19.7",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.8-5.2",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "53.8",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.4-1.0",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "39.6",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.2-1.5",
                    "freeThrowPct": "82.1",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.7",
                    "avgAssists": "4.2",
                    "avgTurnovers": "0.8",
                    "avgPoints": "7.2"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4395626",
                    "player": "Tre Jones",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "24",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4395626/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "45-93",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "48.4",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "8-26",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "30.8",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "25-33",
                    "freeThrowPct": "75.8",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "15",
                    "assists": "104",
                    "turnovers": "21",
                    "points": "123"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4395626",
                    "player": "Tre Jones",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "4",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4395626/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "83-145",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "57.2",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "11-22",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "50.0",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "30-34",
                    "freeThrowPct": "88.2",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "16",
                    "assists": "88",
                    "turnovers": "14",
                    "points": "207"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4395626",
                    "player": "Tre Jones",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": null,
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4395626/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "128-238",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "53.8",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "19-48",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "39.6",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "55-67",
                    "freeThrowPct": "82.1",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "31",
                    "assists": "192",
                    "turnovers": "35",
                    "points": "330"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4395626",
                    "player": "Tre Jones",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "24",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4395626/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "5.0",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.323",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.53"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4395626",
                    "player": "Tre Jones",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "4",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4395626/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "6.3",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.428",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.61"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4395626",
                    "player": "Tre Jones",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": null,
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4395626/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "5.5",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.387",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.58"
                  }
                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "24",
                    "eFG": 0.527,
                    "TS": 0.572,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  },
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "4",
                    "eFG": 0.61,
                    "TS": 0.647,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  },
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": null,
                    "eFG": 0.578,
                    "TS": 0.617,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "4395626",
                    "player": "Tre Jones",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "4",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4395626/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "65",
                    "gamesStarted": "41",
                    "avgMinutes": "27.0",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "5.2-9.5",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "55.3",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.6-2.0",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "31.5",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "2.9-3.5",
                    "freeThrowPct": "84.1",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "0.6",
                    "avgAssists": "5.4",
                    "avgTurnovers": "1.4",
                    "avgPoints": "14.1"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4395626",
                    "player": "Tre Jones",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "4",
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                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
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                        "FTA": 0.054,
                        "assists": 0.068,
                        "turnovers": 0.041,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.054,
                        "points": 0.297
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 4,
                        "FGA": 0.865,
                        "threePA": 0.703,
                        "FTA": 0.216,
                        "assists": 0.27,
                        "turnovers": 0.162,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.216,
                        "points": 1.189
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4397689/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Buddy Hield",
                    "id": "2990984",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "9",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 82,
                      "starts": 22,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 22.7,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.423,
                        "threePA": 0.295,
                        "FTA": 0.035,
                        "assists": 0.07,
                        "turnovers": 0.048,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.026,
                        "points": 0.489
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 4,
                        "FGA": 1.692,
                        "threePA": 1.181,
                        "FTA": 0.141,
                        "assists": 0.282,
                        "turnovers": 0.194,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.106,
                        "points": 1.956
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 8,
                "requiredMinutes": 16,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2025-26",
                  "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                  "selectedHistoricalTeam": "4",
                  "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                  "games": 65,
                  "starts": 41,
                  "actualAvgMinutes": 27,
                  "perMinute": {
                    "FGA": 0.352,
                    "threePA": 0.074,
                    "FTA": 0.13,
                    "assists": 0.2,
                    "turnovers": 0.052,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.022,
                    "points": 0.522
                  },
                  "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                    "minutes": 16,
                    "FGA": 5.63,
                    "threePA": 1.185,
                    "FTA": 2.074,
                    "assists": 3.2,
                    "turnovers": 0.83,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.356,
                    "points": 8.356
                  },
                  "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4395626/stats?seasontype=2"
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Dailyn Swain",
                    "id": "4848625",
                    "assignedMinutes": 8,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 8
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Drew Peterson",
                    "id": "4397689",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "30",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 6,
                      "starts": 0,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 10.7,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.252,
                        "threePA": 0.187,
                        "FTA": 0.028,
                        "assists": 0.028,
                        "turnovers": 0,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.047,
                        "points": 0.075
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 4,
                        "FGA": 1.009,
                        "threePA": 0.748,
                        "FTA": 0.112,
                        "assists": 0.112,
                        "turnovers": 0,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.187,
                        "points": 0.299
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4397689/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Buddy Hield",
                    "id": "2990984",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": null,
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 51,
                      "starts": 3,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 16.1,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.398,
                        "threePA": 0.261,
                        "FTA": 0.043,
                        "assists": 0.087,
                        "turnovers": 0.056,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.031,
                        "points": 0.472
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 4,
                        "FGA": 1.59,
                        "threePA": 1.043,
                        "FTA": 0.174,
                        "assists": 0.348,
                        "turnovers": 0.224,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.124,
                        "points": 1.888
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/2990984/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 8,
                "requiredMinutes": 16,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "incumbent": {
              "name": "Nic Claxton",
              "id": "4278067",
              "position": "C"
            },
            "availability": {
              "player": "Nic Claxton",
              "id": "4278067",
              "position": "C",
              "status": "Day-To-Day",
              "date": "2026-10-05T18:00Z"
            },
            "history": [
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                "season": "2024-25",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "4278067",
                    "player": "Nic Claxton",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "17",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278067/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "70",
                    "gamesStarted": "62",
                    "avgMinutes": "26.9",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "4.6-8.1",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "56.3",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.1-0.3",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "23.8",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.1-2.2",
                    "freeThrowPct": "51.3",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "2.2",
                    "avgAssists": "2.2",
                    "avgTurnovers": "1.2",
                    "avgPoints": "10.3"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4278067",
                    "player": "Nic Claxton",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "17",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278067/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "320-568",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "56.3",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "5-21",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "23.8",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "79-154",
                    "freeThrowPct": "51.3",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "157",
                    "assists": "157",
                    "turnovers": "87",
                    "points": "724"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4278067",
                    "player": "Nic Claxton",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "17",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278067/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.8",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.275",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.57"
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                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "17",
                    "eFG": 0.568,
                    "TS": 0.569,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "4278067",
                    "player": "Nic Claxton",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "17",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278067/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "69",
                    "gamesStarted": "68",
                    "avgMinutes": "27.8",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "4.8-8.4",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "57.1",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.0-0.3",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "15.8",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "2.0-3.3",
                    "freeThrowPct": "61.6",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "2.4",
                    "avgAssists": "3.7",
                    "avgTurnovers": "1.4",
                    "avgPoints": "11.7"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4278067",
                    "player": "Nic Claxton",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "17",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278067/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "333-583",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "57.1",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "3-19",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "15.8",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "141-229",
                    "freeThrowPct": "61.6",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "168",
                    "assists": "253",
                    "turnovers": "96",
                    "points": "810"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4278067",
                    "player": "Nic Claxton",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "17",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278067/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "2.6",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.389",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.57"
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                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "17",
                    "eFG": 0.574,
                    "TS": 0.592,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "scenario": "If available, returning player reclaims the following analyst-assigned minutes; reverse these transfers for the unavailable branch.",
            "returnMinutes": 16,
            "availableRotation": [
              {
                "name": "Jalen Smith",
                "minutes": 12
              },
              {
                "name": "Matas Buzelis",
                "minutes": 26
              },
              {
                "name": "Caleb Wilson",
                "minutes": 30
              },
              {
                "name": "Norman Powell",
                "minutes": 14
              },
              {
                "name": "Josh Giddey",
                "minutes": 23
              },
              {
                "name": "Drew Peterson",
                "minutes": 7
              },
              {
                "name": "Patrick Williams",
                "minutes": 11
              },
              {
                "name": "Isaac Okoro",
                "minutes": 17
              },
              {
                "name": "Leonard Miller",
                "minutes": 14
              },
              {
                "name": "Tobe Awaka",
                "minutes": 13
              },
              {
                "name": "Noa Essengue",
                "minutes": 15
              },
              {
                "name": "Buddy Hield",
                "minutes": 15
              },
              {
                "name": "Brandon Boston Jr.",
                "minutes": 5
              },
              {
                "name": "Dailyn Swain",
                "minutes": 22
              },
              {
                "name": "Nic Claxton",
                "minutes": 16
              }
            ],
            "availableMinutesTotal": 240,
            "replacementMinutesIfAbsent": [
              {
                "name": "Jalen Smith",
                "id": "4397189",
                "position": "F",
                "incrementalMinutes": 8,
                "history": [
                  {
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "4397189",
                        "player": "Jalen Smith",
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                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "4",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4397189/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "64",
                        "gamesStarted": "2",
                        "avgMinutes": "15.0",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "3.0-6.4",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "46.6",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.1-3.5",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "32.4",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.1-1.4",
                        "freeThrowPct": "80.9",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "1.4",
                        "avgAssists": "1.0",
                        "avgTurnovers": "0.6",
                        "avgPoints": "8.2"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4397189",
                        "player": "Jalen Smith",
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                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "4",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4397189/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "190-408",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "46.6",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "72-222",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "32.4",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "72-89",
                        "freeThrowPct": "80.9",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "89",
                        "assists": "65",
                        "turnovers": "37",
                        "points": "524"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4397189",
                        "player": "Jalen Smith",
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                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "4",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4397189/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.8",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.284",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.55"
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                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "4",
                        "eFG": 0.554,
                        "TS": 0.586,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      }
                    ]
                  },
                  {
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "4397189",
                        "player": "Jalen Smith",
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                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "4",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4397189/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "53",
                        "gamesStarted": "21",
                        "avgMinutes": "20.7",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "3.7-7.6",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "48.3",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.5-4.2",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "37.3",
                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.3-1.8",
                        "freeThrowPct": "74.2",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "1.8",
                        "avgAssists": "1.2",
                        "avgTurnovers": "1.0",
                        "avgPoints": "10.2"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4397189",
                        "player": "Jalen Smith",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "4",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4397189/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "195-404",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "48.3",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "82-220",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "37.3",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "69-93",
                        "freeThrowPct": "74.2",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "98",
                        "assists": "65",
                        "turnovers": "53",
                        "points": "541"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4397189",
                        "player": "Jalen Smith",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "4",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Chicago Bulls",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4397189/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.2",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.339",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.58"
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                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "4",
                        "eFG": 0.584,
                        "TS": 0.608,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
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                    ]
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Tobe Awaka",
                "id": "5105555",
                "position": "F",
                "incrementalMinutes": 8,
                "history": [
                  {
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "derived": []
                  },
                  {
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "derived": []
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "creationAndShots": "Giddey remains primary creator; Swain/Peterson/Hield share Jones ballhandling. Smith/Awaka/Miller receive frontcourt touches if Claxton/Collins unavailable; wing shots spread through Hield/Okoro/Boston for Sellers.",
            "offensiveScoreEffect": null,
            "methodStatus": "sensitivity_workload_only_not_calibrated_lineup_effect",
            "remainingFailure": "No teammate/opponent/role-controlled lineup PPP estimate; cannot convert rawPPG or assists to team points.",
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2024-25",
                  "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                  "selectedHistoricalTeam": "17",
                  "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                  "games": 70,
                  "starts": 62,
                  "actualAvgMinutes": 26.9,
                  "perMinute": {
                    "FGA": 0.301,
                    "threePA": 0.011,
                    "FTA": 0.082,
                    "assists": 0.082,
                    "turnovers": 0.045,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.082,
                    "points": 0.383
                  },
                  "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                    "minutes": 16,
                    "FGA": 4.818,
                    "threePA": 0.178,
                    "FTA": 1.309,
                    "assists": 1.309,
                    "turnovers": 0.714,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 1.309,
                    "points": 6.126
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                  "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278067/stats?seasontype=2"
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Jalen Smith",
                    "id": "4397189",
                    "assignedMinutes": 8,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "4",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 64,
                      "starts": 2,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 15,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.427,
                        "threePA": 0.233,
                        "FTA": 0.093,
                        "assists": 0.067,
                        "turnovers": 0.04,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.093,
                        "points": 0.547
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 8,
                        "FGA": 3.413,
                        "threePA": 1.867,
                        "FTA": 0.747,
                        "assists": 0.533,
                        "turnovers": 0.32,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.747,
                        "points": 4.373
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4397189/stats?seasontype=2"
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                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Tobe Awaka",
                    "id": "5105555",
                    "assignedMinutes": 8,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 8
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 8,
                "requiredMinutes": 16,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2025-26",
                  "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                  "selectedHistoricalTeam": "17",
                  "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                  "games": 69,
                  "starts": 68,
                  "actualAvgMinutes": 27.8,
                  "perMinute": {
                    "FGA": 0.302,
                    "threePA": 0.011,
                    "FTA": 0.119,
                    "assists": 0.133,
                    "turnovers": 0.05,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.086,
                    "points": 0.421
                  },
                  "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                    "minutes": 16,
                    "FGA": 4.835,
                    "threePA": 0.173,
                    "FTA": 1.899,
                    "assists": 2.129,
                    "turnovers": 0.806,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 1.381,
                    "points": 6.734
                  },
                  "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278067/stats?seasontype=2"
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Jalen Smith",
                    "id": "4397189",
                    "assignedMinutes": 8,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "4",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 53,
                      "starts": 21,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 20.7,
                      "perMinute": {
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                        "threePA": 0.203,
                        "FTA": 0.087,
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                        "turnovers": 0.048,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.087,
                        "points": 0.493
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 8,
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                        "threePA": 1.623,
                        "FTA": 0.696,
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                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.696,
                        "points": 3.942
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4397189/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Tobe Awaka",
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                    "assignedMinutes": 8,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 8
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 8,
                "requiredMinutes": 16,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              }
            ]
          }
        ],
        "currentRoster": [
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            "player": "Tobe Awaka",
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            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/4/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "4",
            "team": "Chicago Bulls",
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            "player": "Brandon Boston Jr.",
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            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/4/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "4",
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            "player": "Jalen Bridges",
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            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/4/roster?season=2027"
          },
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            "player": "Matas Buzelis",
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          },
          {
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              {
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                "date": "2026-10-05T18:00Z"
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            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/4/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
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            "player": "Zach Collins",
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              {
                "status": "Day-To-Day",
                "date": "2026-10-07T22:53Z"
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            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/4/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
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          },
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          },
          {
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            "team": "Chicago Bulls",
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          },
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            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/4/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "4",
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          },
          {
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            "team": "Chicago Bulls",
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            "player": "Isaac Okoro",
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          },
          {
            "team_id": "4",
            "team": "Chicago Bulls",
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            "player": "Drew Peterson",
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          },
          {
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            "team": "Chicago Bulls",
            "player_id": "2595516",
            "player": "Norman Powell",
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          },
          {
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            "team": "Chicago Bulls",
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            "player": "Orlando Robinson",
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          },
          {
            "team_id": "4",
            "team": "Chicago Bulls",
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          },
          {
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            "team": "Chicago Bulls",
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            "player": "Jalen Smith",
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          },
          {
            "team_id": "4",
            "team": "Chicago Bulls",
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            "player": "Isaiah Stevens",
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          },
          {
            "team_id": "4",
            "team": "Chicago Bulls",
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            "player": "Dailyn Swain",
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          },
          {
            "team_id": "4",
            "team": "Chicago Bulls",
            "player_id": "4431687",
            "player": "Patrick Williams",
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            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/4/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "4",
            "team": "Chicago Bulls",
            "player_id": "5095151",
            "player": "Caleb Wilson",
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            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/4/roster?season=2027"
          }
        ],
        "noChangeFinding": "Conditional branches preserve240minutes and do not silently resolve availability.",
        "shotAllocationMethod": "Historical FGA/3PA/FTA and assists/turnovers remain per-season inputs. Named minute transfers identify opportunity receivers. Numerical shot and usage shares not extrapolated where rookie/projection uncertainty prevents defensible rates.",
        "calibratedOffensiveEffectPoints": null,
        "formula": "projected possessions * rotation-weighted delta lineup offensive points per possession",
        "baseScore": 119.74810704743501,
        "adjustedScore": 119.74810704743501,
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "footballMinus3Applied": false,
        "displayBaseScore": 119.5,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 119.5,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "calculationReference": {
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          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
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          "side": "home",
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          "matchup": {
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            "home": "Chicago Bulls"
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          "baseAwayHome": [
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          "retainedMarginHomeMinusAway": 1.9174676158727095,
          "baseTotal": 237.57874647899732,
          "retainedTotal": 237.57874647899732,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
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        "disclosedLimitations": [
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          "Shots/ballhandling share conditional on availability",
          "Validated possession/lineup offensive conversion and original model exposure"
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        "reviewStatus": "COMPLETE_AS_PROJECTED_TRACKING_REVIEW",
        "pendingFinalRoles": true,
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
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      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-09-MEM",
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        "team": "MEM",
        "teamName": "Memphis Grizzlies",
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          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908940",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.984Z"
        },
        "notes": "Prior game rounded minutes totaled239; add one balancing minute to Coward in scenario only. Stewart/Peavy did not play with vendor coach-decision labels while listed day-to-day; no medical inference from DNP labels. Edey actual10minutes is a role observation, not proof of a restriction.",
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                "starter": false,
                "did_not_play": false,
                "reason": null,
                "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898388",
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                  "points": 6.38
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          {
            "name": "Karim Lopez",
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                "reason": null,
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                "TO": "0",
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                "reason": null,
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                "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593016/stats?seasontype=2"
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              {
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                        "freeThrowPct": "75.4",
                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "1.1",
                        "avgAssists": "1.0",
                        "avgTurnovers": "0.9",
                        "avgPoints": "10.0"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4595400",
                        "player": "Olivier-Maxence Prosper",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "29",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4595400/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "192-350",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "54.9",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "60-148",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "40.5",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "86-114",
                        "freeThrowPct": "75.4",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "59",
                        "assists": "51",
                        "turnovers": "47",
                        "points": "530"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4595400",
                        "player": "Olivier-Maxence Prosper",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "29",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4595400/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.1",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.514",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.63"
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                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "29",
                        "eFG": 0.634,
                        "TS": 0.662,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      }
                    ]
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Karim Lopez",
                "id": "5231919",
                "position": "F",
                "incrementalMinutes": 4,
                "history": [
                  {
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "derived": []
                  },
                  {
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "derived": []
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "creationAndShots": "Jerome/Pippen/Spencer retain primary ballhandling; Post/Cooper/Hendricks share Stewart interior/touch minutes; Murray/Prosper/Lopez absorb Peavy wing minutes.",
            "offensiveScoreEffect": null,
            "methodStatus": "sensitivity_workload_only_not_calibrated_lineup_effect",
            "remainingFailure": "No teammate/opponent/role-controlled lineup PPP estimate; cannot convert rawPPG or assists to team points.",
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2024-25",
                  "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                  "minutes": 12
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Kris Murray",
                    "id": "4594326",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "22",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 69,
                      "starts": 6,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 15.1,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.265,
                        "threePA": 0.113,
                        "FTA": 0.053,
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                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.073,
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                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
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                        "FGA": 1.06,
                        "threePA": 0.45,
                        "FTA": 0.212,
                        "assists": 0.265,
                        "turnovers": 0.159,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.291,
                        "points": 1.113
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4594326/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Olivier-Maxence Prosper",
                    "id": "4595400",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "6",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 52,
                      "starts": 4,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 11.2,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.295,
                        "threePA": 0.089,
                        "FTA": 0.134,
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                        "turnovers": 0.027,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.071,
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                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
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                        "FGA": 1.179,
                        "threePA": 0.357,
                        "FTA": 0.536,
                        "assists": 0.286,
                        "turnovers": 0.107,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.286,
                        "points": 1.393
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                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4595400/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Karim Lopez",
                    "id": "5231919",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 4
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                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 8,
                "requiredMinutes": 12,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "incumbent": {
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                  "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                  "selectedHistoricalTeam": "3",
                  "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                  "games": 61,
                  "starts": 4,
                  "actualAvgMinutes": 15,
                  "perMinute": {
                    "FGA": 0.3,
                    "threePA": 0.12,
                    "FTA": 0.033,
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                    "turnovers": 0.02,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.053,
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                  "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
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                    "FGA": 3.6,
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                    "FTA": 0.4,
                    "assists": 0.8,
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                    "points": 3.44
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                  "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432185/stats?seasontype=2"
                },
                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Kris Murray",
                    "id": "4594326",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "22",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
                      "games": 57,
                      "starts": 15,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 23.4,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.205,
                        "threePA": 0.09,
                        "FTA": 0.043,
                        "assists": 0.06,
                        "turnovers": 0.034,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.068,
                        "points": 0.248
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 4,
                        "FGA": 0.821,
                        "threePA": 0.359,
                        "FTA": 0.171,
                        "assists": 0.239,
                        "turnovers": 0.137,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.274,
                        "points": 0.991
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4594326/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Olivier-Maxence Prosper",
                    "id": "4595400",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "29",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
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                      "starts": 24,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 18.6,
                      "perMinute": {
                        "FGA": 0.355,
                        "threePA": 0.151,
                        "FTA": 0.118,
                        "assists": 0.054,
                        "turnovers": 0.048,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.059,
                        "points": 0.538
                      },
                      "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
                        "minutes": 4,
                        "FGA": 1.419,
                        "threePA": 0.602,
                        "FTA": 0.473,
                        "assists": 0.215,
                        "turnovers": 0.194,
                        "offensiveRebounds": 0.237,
                        "points": 2.151
                      },
                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4595400/stats?seasontype=2"
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Karim Lopez",
                    "id": "5231919",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 4
                    }
                  }
                ],
                "replacementMinutesWithHistoricalCoverage": 8,
                "requiredMinutes": 12,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "incumbent": {
              "name": "Isaiah Stewart",
              "id": "4432810",
              "position": "C"
            },
            "availability": {
              "player": "Isaiah Stewart",
              "id": "4432810",
              "position": "C",
              "status": "Day-To-Day",
              "date": "2026-10-07T23:05Z"
            },
            "history": [
              {
                "season": "2024-25",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432810",
                    "player": "Isaiah Stewart",
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                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "8",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432810/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "gamesPlayed": "72",
                    "gamesStarted": "4",
                    "avgMinutes": "19.9",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.4-4.4",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "55.9",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.2-0.7",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "32.1",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "0.9-1.2",
                    "freeThrowPct": "75.9",
                    "avgOffensiveRebounds": "1.8",
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                    "avgPoints": "6.0"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432810",
                    "player": "Isaiah Stewart",
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                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "8",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432810/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "176-315",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "55.9",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "17-53",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "32.1",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "66-87",
                    "freeThrowPct": "75.9",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "130",
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                    "points": "435"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432810",
                    "player": "Isaiah Stewart",
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "season_end_year": 2025,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "8",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432810/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.8",
                    "scoringEfficiency": "1.381",
                    "shootingEfficiency": "0.59"
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                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "8",
                    "eFG": 0.586,
                    "TS": 0.616,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
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                ]
              },
              {
                "season": "2025-26",
                "league": "NBA",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432810",
                    "player": "Isaiah Stewart",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "8",
                    "category": "averages",
                    "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432810/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "gamesStarted": "13",
                    "avgMinutes": "22.7",
                    "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "3.8-6.9",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "55.0",
                    "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "0.7-2.1",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "33.3",
                    "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "1.7-2.3",
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                    "avgTurnovers": "1.2",
                    "avgPoints": "10.0"
                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432810",
                    "player": "Isaiah Stewart",
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "8",
                    "category": "totals",
                    "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432810/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "221-402",
                    "fieldGoalPct": "55.0",
                    "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "40-120",
                    "threePointFieldGoalPct": "33.3",
                    "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "99-131",
                    "freeThrowPct": "75.6",
                    "offensiveRebounds": "96",
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                  },
                  {
                    "player_id": "4432810",
                    "player": "Isaiah Stewart",
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                    "season_end_year": 2026,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "historical_team_id": "8",
                    "category": "miscellaneous",
                    "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                    "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432810/stats?seasontype=2",
                    "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.0",
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                ],
                "derived": [
                  {
                    "historicalTeamId": "8",
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                    "TS": 0.632,
                    "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                  }
                ]
              }
            ],
            "scenario": "If available, returning player reclaims the following analyst-assigned minutes; reverse these transfers for the unavailable branch.",
            "returnMinutes": 14,
            "availableRotation": [
              {
                "name": "Cedric Coward",
                "minutes": 23
              },
              {
                "name": "Cameron Boozer",
                "minutes": 22
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              {
                "name": "Jaylen Wells",
                "minutes": 22
              },
              {
                "name": "Zach Edey",
                "minutes": 10
              },
              {
                "name": "Ty Jerome",
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              },
              {
                "name": "Jerami Grant",
                "minutes": 20
              },
              {
                "name": "Kris Murray",
                "minutes": 10
              },
              {
                "name": "Olivier-Maxence Prosper",
                "minutes": 12
              },
              {
                "name": "Taylor Hendricks",
                "minutes": 7
              },
              {
                "name": "GG Jackson",
                "minutes": 14
              },
              {
                "name": "Karim Lopez",
                "minutes": 6
              },
              {
                "name": "Quinten Post",
                "minutes": 9
              },
              {
                "name": "Carson Cooper",
                "minutes": 1
              },
              {
                "name": "Scotty Pippen Jr.",
                "minutes": 14
              },
              {
                "name": "Cam Spencer",
                "minutes": 16
              },
              {
                "name": "Javon Small",
                "minutes": 8
              },
              {
                "name": "Walter Clayton Jr.",
                "minutes": 13
              },
              {
                "name": "Isaiah Stewart",
                "minutes": 14
              }
            ],
            "availableMinutesTotal": 240,
            "replacementMinutesIfAbsent": [
              {
                "name": "Quinten Post",
                "id": "4593016",
                "position": "C",
                "incrementalMinutes": 6,
                "history": [
                  {
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "4593016",
                        "player": "Quinten Post",
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                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "9",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593016/stats?seasontype=2",
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                        "gamesStarted": "14",
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                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.9-6.5",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "44.9",
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                        "avgFreeThrowsMade-avgFreeThrowsAttempted": "0.5-0.6",
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                        "avgPoints": "8.1"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4593016",
                        "player": "Quinten Post",
                        "season": "2024-25",
                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "9",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593016/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "123-274",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "44.9",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "73-179",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "40.8",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "21-27",
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                        "offensiveRebounds": "35",
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                        "turnovers": "33",
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                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4593016",
                        "player": "Quinten Post",
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                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "9",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593016/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.7",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.241",
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                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "9",
                        "eFG": 0.582,
                        "TS": 0.595,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      }
                    ]
                  },
                  {
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "4593016",
                        "player": "Quinten Post",
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                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "9",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593016/stats?seasontype=2",
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                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.9-6.6",
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                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4593016",
                        "player": "Quinten Post",
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                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "9",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593016/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "193-439",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "44.0",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "93-277",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "33.6",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "34-43",
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                        "offensiveRebounds": "68",
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                        "points": "513"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4593016",
                        "player": "Quinten Post",
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                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
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                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593016/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.7",
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                    ],
                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "9",
                        "eFG": 0.546,
                        "TS": 0.56,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      }
                    ]
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Carson Cooper",
                "id": "5105817",
                "position": "C",
                "incrementalMinutes": 4,
                "history": [
                  {
                    "season": "2024-25",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "derived": []
                  },
                  {
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "no_captured_NBA_history_not_zero",
                    "rows": [],
                    "derived": []
                  }
                ]
              },
              {
                "name": "Taylor Hendricks",
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                "incrementalMinutes": 4,
                "history": [
                  {
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                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
                    "rows": [
                      {
                        "player_id": "4684806",
                        "player": "Taylor Hendricks",
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                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "26",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684806/stats?seasontype=2",
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                        "gamesStarted": "3",
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                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.3-6.0",
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                      },
                      {
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                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "26",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684806/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "4-18",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "22.2",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "3-12",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "25.0",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "3-4",
                        "freeThrowPct": "75.0",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "5",
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                        "points": "14"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4684806",
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                        "season_end_year": 2025,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "26",
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                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684806/stats?seasontype=2",
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                    "derived": [
                      {
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                  },
                  {
                    "season": "2025-26",
                    "league": "NBA",
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "status": "observed",
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                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "26",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684806/stats?seasontype=2",
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                        "gamesStarted": "6",
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                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.8-3.9",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "45.3",
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                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4684806",
                        "player": "Taylor Hendricks",
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                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "29",
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684806/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "26",
                        "gamesStarted": "11",
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                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "4.0-8.7",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "46.3",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.5-4.4",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "34.2",
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                        "avgOffensiveRebounds": "1.4",
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                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4684806",
                        "player": "Taylor Hendricks",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": null,
                        "category": "averages",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684806/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "gamesPlayed": "59",
                        "gamesStarted": "17",
                        "avgMinutes": "18.9",
                        "avgFieldGoalsMade-avgFieldGoalsAttempted": "2.8-6.0",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "45.9",
                        "avgThreePointFieldGoalsMade-avgThreePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "1.1-3.1",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "34.2",
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                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4684806",
                        "player": "Taylor Hendricks",
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                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "26",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684806/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "58-128",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "45.3",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "24-70",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "34.3",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "23-32",
                        "freeThrowPct": "71.9",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "29",
                        "assists": "24",
                        "turnovers": "20",
                        "points": "163"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4684806",
                        "player": "Taylor Hendricks",
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                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "29",
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684806/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "105-227",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "46.3",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "39-114",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "34.2",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "26-40",
                        "freeThrowPct": "65.0",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "36",
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                        "turnovers": "30",
                        "points": "275"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4684806",
                        "player": "Taylor Hendricks",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": null,
                        "category": "totals",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684806/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "163-355",
                        "fieldGoalPct": "45.9",
                        "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "63-184",
                        "threePointFieldGoalPct": "34.2",
                        "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "49-72",
                        "freeThrowPct": "68.1",
                        "offensiveRebounds": "65",
                        "assists": "55",
                        "turnovers": "50",
                        "points": "438"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4684806",
                        "player": "Taylor Hendricks",
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                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "26",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684806/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.2",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.273",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.55"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4684806",
                        "player": "Taylor Hendricks",
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                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": "29",
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684806/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.0",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.211",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.55"
                      },
                      {
                        "player_id": "4684806",
                        "player": "Taylor Hendricks",
                        "season": "2025-26",
                        "season_end_year": 2026,
                        "stage": "regular",
                        "historical_team_id": null,
                        "category": "miscellaneous",
                        "current_team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
                        "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4684806/stats?seasontype=2",
                        "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.1",
                        "scoringEfficiency": "1.234",
                        "shootingEfficiency": "0.55"
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                    "derived": [
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "26",
                        "eFG": 0.547,
                        "TS": 0.574,
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                      },
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": "29",
                        "eFG": 0.548,
                        "TS": 0.562,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
                      },
                      {
                        "historicalTeamId": null,
                        "eFG": 0.548,
                        "TS": 0.566,
                        "method": "eFG=(FGM+0.5*3PM)/FGA; TS=PTS/[2*(FGA+0.44*FTA)]. TS uses conventional free-throw possession approximation, not lineup adjustment."
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                    ]
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                ]
              }
            ],
            "creationAndShots": "Jerome/Pippen/Spencer retain primary ballhandling; Post/Cooper/Hendricks share Stewart interior/touch minutes; Murray/Prosper/Lopez absorb Peavy wing minutes.",
            "offensiveScoreEffect": null,
            "methodStatus": "sensitivity_workload_only_not_calibrated_lineup_effect",
            "remainingFailure": "No teammate/opponent/role-controlled lineup PPP estimate; cannot convert rawPPG or assists to team points.",
            "comparisonBySeason": [
              {
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                "incumbent": {
                  "season": "2024-25",
                  "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                  "selectedHistoricalTeam": "8",
                  "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
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                  "sensitivityAtScenarioMinutes": {
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                    "name": "Quinten Post",
                    "id": "4593016",
                    "assignedMinutes": 6,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
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                      "perMinute": {
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                        "FTA": 0.221,
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                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593016/stats?seasontype=2"
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                  },
                  {
                    "name": "Carson Cooper",
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                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 4
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                  {
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                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2024-25",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "26",
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                        "FGA": 0.24,
                        "threePA": 0.16,
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                        "FTA": 0.208,
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                "requiredMinutes": 14,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
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                  "games": 58,
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                  "actualAvgMinutes": 22.7,
                  "perMinute": {
                    "FGA": 0.304,
                    "threePA": 0.093,
                    "FTA": 0.101,
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                    "turnovers": 0.053,
                    "offensiveRebounds": 0.075,
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                    "FGA": 4.256,
                    "threePA": 1.295,
                    "FTA": 1.419,
                    "assists": 0.678,
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                    "offensiveRebounds": 1.048,
                    "points": 6.167
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                  "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4432810/stats?seasontype=2"
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                "replacements": [
                  {
                    "name": "Quinten Post",
                    "id": "4593016",
                    "assignedMinutes": 6,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": "9",
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
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                        "FTA": 0.208,
                        "assists": 0.486,
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                      "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4593016/stats?seasontype=2"
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                  {
                    "name": "Carson Cooper",
                    "id": "5105817",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "unestimated_missing_or_ambiguous_NBA_history",
                      "minutes": 4
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                  {
                    "name": "Taylor Hendricks",
                    "id": "4684806",
                    "assignedMinutes": 4,
                    "metrics": {
                      "season": "2025-26",
                      "status": "descriptive_sensitivity_proxy",
                      "selectedHistoricalTeam": null,
                      "selectionRule": "Use combined-team season row when supplied; otherwise the sole team row. No total plus splits summation.",
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                      "starts": 17,
                      "actualAvgMinutes": 18.9,
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                        "threePA": 0.164,
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                "requiredMinutes": 14,
                "replacementTotalsForTransferredMinutes": null,
                "interpretation": "Opportunity/rate sensitivity proxy only. Individual points or assist totals are never a calibrated score correction. No teammate/opponent controls; rookie gaps block complete proxy totals."
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        "currentRoster": [
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            "team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
            "player_id": "5041935",
            "player": "Cameron Boozer",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/29/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "29",
            "team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
            "player_id": "4896372",
            "player": "Walter Clayton Jr.",
            "position": "G",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/29/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "29",
            "team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
            "player_id": "5105817",
            "player": "Carson Cooper",
            "position": "C",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/29/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "29",
            "team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
            "player_id": "4903027",
            "player": "Cedric Coward",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/29/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "29",
            "team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
            "player_id": "4600663",
            "player": "Zach Edey",
            "position": "C",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/29/roster?season=2027"
          },
          {
            "team_id": "29",
            "team": "Memphis Grizzlies",
            "player_id": "2991070",
            "player": "Jerami Grant",
            "position": "F",
            "reported_status": "Active",
            "injuries": [],
            "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/29/roster?season=2027"
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        "offense": {
          "pathway": "Retrievals, skating and puck movement may alter exits and offensive zone opportunity; Edmonton must redistribute any departed minutes.",
          "formula": "Sum by strength state: affected minutes / 60 * (new lineup offensive goal rate/60 - reference lineup rate/60).",
          "effect": null,
          "reason": "Two-season/current role comparisons completed, but affected strength-state minutes and validated lineup rate difference relative to registered baseline remain unavailable.",
          "status": "unestimated"
        },
        "defense": {
          "pathway": "Penalty killing, retrievals and coverage may change opponent chances; assess both teams separately.",
          "effect": null,
          "reason": "PK/role evidence retained separately; no confounding-controlled defensive rate difference or validated goal conversion. Blocks/plus-minus/reputation are not substituted.",
          "status": "unestimated",
          "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_xGA_or_GA_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s)); sign applies to opponent score",
          "evidence": {
            "source": "penguins_trade_release.json",
            "PKsecondsPerGame2025_26": 86.81818,
            "totalPKseconds2025_26": 5730,
            "blockedShots2025_26": 63,
            "interpretation": "Role/opportunity only;63blocks do not estimate prevented goals."
          }
        },
        "uncertainty": "Oct 9 dressing status, affected pairing and even-strength/PP/PK minutes unresolved.",
        "baseScore": null,
        "adjustedScore": null,
        "humanFootballDeduction": 0,
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "activation": "Tracking only",
        "originalReview": "BLOCKED_REQUIRED_ROLE_COMPARISON",
        "sourceRefresh": "2026-10-09T11:18:48.241Z",
        "playerAppearedInLastReference": false,
        "incrementalReason": "No presence in latest reference box is not proof of no future role; do not multiply historical production into current score.",
        "current2026_27": [
          {
            "event_id": 2026010003,
            "date": "2026-09-19",
            "stage": "preseason",
            "team": "EDM",
            "role": "defense",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010003/boxscore",
            "playerId": 8481056,
            "name": {
              "default": "S. Stastney"
            },
            "position": "D",
            "goals": 0,
            "assists": 1,
            "points": 1,
            "sog": 2,
            "powerPlayGoals": 0,
            "toi": "18:03",
            "shifts": 24
          },
          {
            "event_id": 2026010037,
            "date": "2026-09-24",
            "stage": "preseason",
            "team": "EDM",
            "role": "defense",
            "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026010037/boxscore",
            "playerId": 8481056,
            "name": {
              "default": "S. Stastney"
            },
            "position": "D",
            "goals": 0,
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            "points": 0,
            "sog": 0,
            "powerPlayGoals": 0,
            "toi": "25:41",
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        ],
        "strengthStateHistory": [
          {
            "evTimeOnIce": 20603,
            "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 895.7826,
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            "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 6.5,
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            "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 2.47826,
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            "shifts": 493,
            "shiftsPerGame": 21.43478,
            "shootsCatches": "L",
            "skaterFullName": "Spencer Stastney",
            "teamAbbrevs": "NSH",
            "timeOnIce": 22323,
            "timeOnIcePerGame": 970.56521,
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          {
            "evTimeOnIce": 55441,
            "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 840.01515,
            "gamesPlayed": 66,
            "lastName": "Stastney",
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            "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 11.64285,
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            "positionCode": "D",
            "ppTimeOnIce": 222,
            "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 3.36363,
            "seasonId": 20252026,
            "shTimeOnIce": 5730,
            "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 86.81818,
            "shifts": 1421,
            "shiftsPerGame": 21.5303,
            "shootsCatches": "L",
            "skaterFullName": "Spencer Stastney",
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            "timeOnIce": 61393,
            "timeOnIcePerGame": 930.19696,
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        ],
        "roleComparisons": [
          {
            "name": "Ty Emberson",
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            "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
            "additionalHistorySource": null,
            "referenceActualMinutes": 11.167,
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                    "otGoals": 0,
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                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=500&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      "shotsPer60": 3.239,
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                ],
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                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 4.6,
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 1.78947,
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                  "shiftsPerGame": 19.39473,
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                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 46.75508
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                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
              },
              {
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                "rows": [
                  {
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                    "otGoals": 0,
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                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=500&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      "individualGoalsPer60": 0.107,
                      "shotsPer60": 2.47,
                      "pointsPer60": 0.644
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                ],
                "strengthStateTime": {
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                  "lastName": "Emberson",
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                  "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0,
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.56944,
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                  "shTimeOnIce": 5553,
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                  "shifts": 1470,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 20.41666,
                  "shootsCatches": "R",
                  "skaterFullName": "Ty Emberson",
                  "teamAbbrevs": "EDM",
                  "timeOnIce": 67048,
                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 931.22222,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.61088
                },
                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
              },
              {
                "season": 20262027,
                "league": "NHL",
                "stage": "regular",
                "status": "observed",
                "rows": [
                  {
                    "seasonId": 20262027,
                    "otGoals": 0,
                    "teamAbbrevs": "EDM",
                    "evPoints": 0,
                    "goals": 0,
                    "ppPoints": 0,
                    "positionCode": "D",
                    "skaterFullName": "Ty Emberson",
                    "shootingPct": null,
                    "evGoals": 0,
                    "playerId": 8480834,
                    "ppGoals": 0,
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                    "timeOnIcePerGame": 676,
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                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
                    "derived": {
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                  }
                ],
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                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 670.5,
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                  "lastName": "Emberson",
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0,
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                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 40.96969
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                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
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            ],
            "meaning": "Observed role-compatible comparison pool; not a confirmed causal replacement."
          },
          {
            "name": "Ryan Shea",
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            "additionalLeagueHistory": null,
            "additionalHistorySource": null,
            "referenceActualMinutes": 24.5,
            "history": [
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                "stage": "regular",
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                "rows": [
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                    "goals": 2,
                    "ppPoints": 1,
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                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      "pointsPer60": 0.46
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                  }
                ],
                "strengthStateTime": {
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                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 901.25641,
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                  "lastName": "Shea",
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                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 1003.5641,
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              },
              {
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                "stage": "regular",
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                "rows": [
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                    "ppPoints": 0,
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                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                  "shiftsPerGame": 20.8625,
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                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 1133.1875,
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                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
              },
              {
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                "rows": [
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                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                ],
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                  "lastName": "Shea",
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 123.5,
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                  "shiftsPerGame": 31.75,
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                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 1376.75,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 43.3622
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                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20262027.json"
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            ],
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          },
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            "name": "Jake Walman",
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                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=700&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                ],
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                  "lastName": "Walman",
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 147.21538,
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                  "shiftsPerGame": 26.10769,
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                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 1366.27692,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 52.33235
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                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20242025.json"
              },
              {
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                "rows": [
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                    "shGoals": 2,
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                    "game_type": 2,
                    "stage": "regular",
                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=900&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20252026+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      "pointsPer60": 1.208
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                  "lastName": "Walman",
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 42.13207,
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                  "shifts": 1253,
                  "shiftsPerGame": 23.6415,
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                  "timeOnIcePerGame": 1125.03773,
                  "timeOnIcePerShift": 47.58739
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                "strengthStateSource": "independent-toi-20252026.json"
              },
              {
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                "rows": [
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                    "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=600&limit=1000&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20262027+and+gameTypeId%3D2",
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                      "pointsPer60": 0
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                  }
                ],
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                  "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 701.25,
                  "gamesPlayed": 4,
                  "lastName": "Walman",
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                  "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 124,
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          "condition": "Player remains outside the same latest actual reference lineup and no other player opportunity changes",
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            {
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              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8475810,
              "name": "Bryan Rust",
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              "points": 1,
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              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
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              "shifts": 20
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            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
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              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8478438,
              "name": "Tommy Novak",
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              "goals": 1,
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              "points": 1,
              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
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            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
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              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8480980,
              "name": "Connor Dewar",
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              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "11:11",
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            },
            {
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              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482148,
              "name": "Hendrix Lapierre",
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              "goals": 0,
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            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
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              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482758,
              "name": "Ville Koivunen",
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              "goals": 0,
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              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
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            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
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              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
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              "name": "Blake Lizotte",
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            {
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              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
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            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
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              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
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              "name": "Rickard Rakell",
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              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
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            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
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              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8471215,
              "name": "Evgeni Malkin",
              "position": "C",
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              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
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              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
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            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
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              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
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            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
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              "team": "PIT",
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              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8471675,
              "name": "Sidney Crosby",
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            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
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              "assists": 1,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
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            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
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              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8479398,
              "name": "Samuel Girard",
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              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "19:00",
              "shifts": 21
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8477845,
              "name": "Trevor van Riemsdyk",
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              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "16:24",
              "shifts": 20
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8471724,
              "name": "Kris Letang",
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              "sog": 3,
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            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
              "date": "2026-10-07",
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              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
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            {
              "event_id": 2026020053,
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              "team": "PIT",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020053/boxscore",
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              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
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            },
            {
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              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
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            },
            {
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            {
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              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
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            {
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            {
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              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
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            },
            {
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              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8478854,
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            {
              "event_id": 2026020055,
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              "team": "EDM",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020055/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8475218,
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            {
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            {
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              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8477986,
              "name": "Brandon Montour",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "20:05",
              "shifts": 21
            }
          ],
          "status": "actual_latest_team_reference_not_automatically_registered_score_exposure"
        },
        "opportunityChange": {
          "league": "NHL",
          "referenceMinutes": 0,
          "projectedMinutes": 0,
          "source": "SEA Sep21 assignment + PHI Oct1 assignment + current official Phantoms roster; neither latest NHL reference has Goyette",
          "status": "supported_current_NHL_nonparticipant_scenario"
        },
        "familiarity": "New organization; actual practice/system exposure unknown.",
        "offense": {
          "pathway": "AHL development/depth change; no demonstrated current NHL opportunity change.",
          "formula": "Sum by strength state: affected minutes / 60 * (new lineup offensive goal rate/60 - reference lineup rate/60).",
          "effect": 0,
          "reason": "AHL-to-AHL assignment;0NHL affected minutes for present role comparison. Does not assert zero future organizational value or establish registered-model exposure.",
          "status": "supported_zero_current_NHL_opportunity"
        },
        "defense": {
          "pathway": "Potential future depth role; no demonstrated current NHL defense change.",
          "effect": 0,
          "reason": "No NHL minutes enter or leave this current-role scenario; AHL defensive talent not equated to zero.",
          "status": "supported_zero_current_NHL_opportunity",
          "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_xGA_or_GA_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s)); sign applies to opponent score"
        },
        "uncertainty": "Conditional zero NHL opportunity only if no NHL role enters either reference lineup; full history and both-team current assignments not yet reconciled.",
        "baseScore": 2.870901734418349,
        "adjustedScore": 2.870901734418349,
        "humanFootballDeduction": 0,
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "activation": "Tracking only",
        "originalReview": "BLOCKED_REQUIRED_ROLE_COMPARISON",
        "sourceRefresh": "2026-10-09T11:18:48.241Z",
        "assignmentEvidence": {
          "verified": "Lehigh Valley Phantoms current official roster lists #10 David Goyette.",
          "source": "https://www.phantomshockey.com/team/",
          "conflict": "Rendered Coachella Valley roster still lists #88 David Goyette, inconsistent with the dated trade release; reject it for current assignment.",
          "conflictingSource": "https://cvfirebirds.com/team-roster/",
          "preTradeSource": "https://www.nhl.com/kraken/team/transactions"
        },
        "current2026_27": [],
        "strengthStateHistory": [],
        "roleComparisons": [
          {
            "player": "Devin Kaplan",
            "playerId": "8483461",
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              {
                "assists": 0,
                "avgToi": "12:12",
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                "gameTypeId": 2,
                "gameWinningGoals": 0,
                "gamesPlayed": 1,
                "goals": 0,
                "leagueAbbrev": "NHL",
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                "plusMinus": -1,
                "points": 0,
                "powerPlayGoals": 0,
                "powerPlayPoints": 0,
                "season": 20242025,
                "sequence": 1,
                "shootingPctg": 0,
                "shorthandedGoals": 0,
                "shorthandedPoints": 0,
                "shots": 0,
                "teamCommonName": {
                  "default": "Flyers"
                },
                "teamName": {
                  "default": "Philadelphia Flyers",
                  "fr": "Flyers de Philadelphie"
                },
                "teamPlaceNameWithPreposition": {
                  "default": "Philadelphia",
                  "fr": "de Philadelphie"
                }
              },
              {
                "assists": 8,
                "gameTypeId": 2,
                "gamesPlayed": 38,
                "goals": 10,
                "leagueAbbrev": "NCAA",
                "pim": 65,
                "plusMinus": -8,
                "points": 18,
                "season": 20242025,
                "sequence": 11,
                "teamName": {
                  "default": "Boston Univ."
                }
              },
              {
                "assists": 3,
                "gameTypeId": 2,
                "gamesPlayed": 1,
                "goals": 3,
                "leagueAbbrev": "JPL-Pro",
                "points": 6,
                "season": 20242025,
                "sequence": 12,
                "teamName": {
                  "default": "43 Oak Foundation"
                }
              },
              {
                "assists": 8,
                "gameTypeId": 2,
                "gamesPlayed": 49,
                "goals": 5,
                "leagueAbbrev": "AHL",
                "pim": 62,
                "plusMinus": -13,
                "points": 13,
                "season": 20252026,
                "sequence": 11,
                "teamName": {
                  "default": "Lehigh Valley Phantoms"
                }
              }
            ],
            "role": "Organizational exchange; not an NHL line-slot swap."
          }
        ],
        "conditionalNoChange": {
          "condition": "Player remains outside the same latest actual reference lineup and no other player opportunity changes",
          "offenseEffect": 0,
          "defenseEffect": 0,
          "derivation": "affected minutes=0, so incremental lineup term=0; applies only to this unchanged-lineup scenario",
          "appliesToRegisteredModel": false
        },
        "analysisStatus": "COMPLETED_TRACKING_COMPARISON_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "displayBaseScore": 3,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 3,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "calculationReference": {
          "model": "primary-2.0.0",
          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
          "coefficientSHA256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd",
          "side": "away",
          "eventId": "401892465",
          "matchup": {
            "away": "Seattle Kraken",
            "home": "Detroit Red Wings"
          },
          "baseAwayHome": [
            2.870901734418349,
            3.1369120565768305
          ],
          "retainedAwayHome": [
            2.870901734418349,
            3.1369120565768305
          ],
          "baseMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.2660103221584813,
          "retainedMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.2660103221584813,
          "baseTotal": 6.007813790995179,
          "retainedTotal": 6.007813790995179,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
        },
        "disclosedLimitations": [
          "Registered base-score lineup exposure must still be linked",
          "Future recall role and AHL-to-NHL translation unestimated"
        ],
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "reviewId": "2026-10-01-goyette-PHI",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "player": "David Goyette",
        "playerId": "8483449",
        "transactionDate": "2026-10-01",
        "formerTeam": "SEA",
        "newTeam": "PHI",
        "reviewTeam": "PHI",
        "direction": "acquiring",
        "transactionSource": {
          "file": "flyers_trade.json",
          "url": "https://www.nhl.com/flyers/news/flyers-acquire-david-goyette-from-seattle",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:35:18.970Z"
        },
        "activeStatus": "AHL Lehigh Valley assignment confirmed; stale Coachella roster explicitly rejected.",
        "history": [
          {
            "assists": 12,
            "gameTypeId": 2,
            "gamesPlayed": 54,
            "goals": 6,
            "leagueAbbrev": "AHL",
            "pim": 20,
            "plusMinus": 5,
            "points": 18,
            "season": 20242025,
            "sequence": 11,
            "teamName": {
              "default": "Coachella Valley Firebirds"
            }
          },
          {
            "assists": 1,
            "gameTypeId": 3,
            "gamesPlayed": 4,
            "goals": 0,
            "leagueAbbrev": "AHL",
            "pim": 0,
            "plusMinus": 0,
            "points": 1,
            "season": 20242025,
            "sequence": 11,
            "teamName": {
              "default": "Coachella Valley Firebirds"
            }
          },
          {
            "assists": 7,
            "gameTypeId": 2,
            "gamesPlayed": 51,
            "goals": 3,
            "leagueAbbrev": "AHL",
            "pim": 73,
            "plusMinus": 3,
            "points": 10,
            "season": 20252026,
            "sequence": 11,
            "teamName": {
              "default": "Coachella Valley Firebirds"
            }
          }
        ],
        "historySource": null,
        "historyRule": "Separate seasons, leagues, stages and teams; seasonTotal/teamSplits are alternate views, never summed together.",
        "preTradeRole": "AHL Coachella Valley, assigned Sep21 before Oct1 transaction.",
        "expectedNewRole": "AHL Lehigh Valley",
        "referenceLineup": {
          "team": "PHI",
          "date": "2026-10-08",
          "skaters": [
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8478439,
              "name": "Travis Konecny",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 1,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "17:04",
              "shifts": 21
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8476461,
              "name": "Sean Couturier",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 4,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "17:11",
              "shifts": 24
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8477989,
              "name": "Christian Dvorak",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "16:02",
              "shifts": 24
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8480220,
              "name": "Noah Cates",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "11:50",
              "shifts": 18
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8484387,
              "name": "Matvei Michkov",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 1,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 1,
              "toi": "15:20",
              "shifts": 19
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8481533,
              "name": "Trevor Zegras",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 1,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "19:25",
              "shifts": 22
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8478569,
              "name": "Noel Acciari",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "12:29",
              "shifts": 18
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8478047,
              "name": "Michael Bunting",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "10:56",
              "shifts": 14
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482159,
              "name": "Tyson Foerster",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "16:33",
              "shifts": 22
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8480015,
              "name": "Owen Tippett",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 4,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "17:21",
              "shifts": 22
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8484142,
              "name": "Denver Barkey",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "11:50",
              "shifts": 19
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8485406,
              "name": "Porter Martone",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "12:24",
              "shifts": 16
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8483460,
              "name": "David Jiricek",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "18:25",
              "shifts": 25
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8477948,
              "name": "Travis Sanheim",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "22:42",
              "shifts": 28
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8481546,
              "name": "Cam York",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "18:17",
              "shifts": 26
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482142,
              "name": "Jamie Drysdale",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "23:15",
              "shifts": 27
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8476372,
              "name": "Nick Seeler",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "16:53",
              "shifts": 22
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020059,
              "date": "2026-10-08",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "PHI",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020059/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8481122,
              "name": "Simon Benoit",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "13:56",
              "shifts": 22
            }
          ],
          "status": "actual_latest_team_reference_not_automatically_registered_score_exposure"
        },
        "opportunityChange": {
          "league": "NHL",
          "referenceMinutes": 0,
          "projectedMinutes": 0,
          "source": "SEA Sep21 assignment + PHI Oct1 assignment + current official Phantoms roster; neither latest NHL reference has Goyette",
          "status": "supported_current_NHL_nonparticipant_scenario"
        },
        "familiarity": "New organization; actual practice/system exposure unknown.",
        "offense": {
          "pathway": "AHL development/depth change; no demonstrated current NHL opportunity change.",
          "formula": "Sum by strength state: affected minutes / 60 * (new lineup offensive goal rate/60 - reference lineup rate/60).",
          "effect": 0,
          "reason": "AHL-to-AHL assignment;0NHL affected minutes for present role comparison. Does not assert zero future organizational value or establish registered-model exposure.",
          "status": "supported_zero_current_NHL_opportunity"
        },
        "defense": {
          "pathway": "Potential future depth role; no demonstrated current NHL defense change.",
          "effect": 0,
          "reason": "No NHL minutes enter or leave this current-role scenario; AHL defensive talent not equated to zero.",
          "status": "supported_zero_current_NHL_opportunity",
          "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_xGA_or_GA_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s)); sign applies to opponent score"
        },
        "uncertainty": "Conditional zero NHL opportunity only if no NHL role enters either reference lineup; full history and both-team current assignments not yet reconciled.",
        "baseScore": null,
        "adjustedScore": null,
        "humanFootballDeduction": 0,
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "activation": "Tracking only",
        "originalReview": "BLOCKED_REQUIRED_ROLE_COMPARISON",
        "sourceRefresh": "2026-10-09T11:18:48.241Z",
        "assignmentEvidence": {
          "verified": "Lehigh Valley Phantoms current official roster lists #10 David Goyette.",
          "source": "https://www.phantomshockey.com/team/",
          "conflict": "Rendered Coachella Valley roster still lists #88 David Goyette, inconsistent with the dated trade release; reject it for current assignment.",
          "conflictingSource": "https://cvfirebirds.com/team-roster/",
          "preTradeSource": "https://www.nhl.com/kraken/team/transactions"
        },
        "current2026_27": [],
        "strengthStateHistory": [],
        "roleComparisons": [
          {
            "player": "Devin Kaplan",
            "playerId": "8483461",
            "history": [
              {
                "assists": 0,
                "avgToi": "12:12",
                "faceoffWinningPctg": 0,
                "gameTypeId": 2,
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                "gamesPlayed": 1,
                "goals": 0,
                "leagueAbbrev": "NHL",
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                "pim": 0,
                "plusMinus": -1,
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                "season": 20242025,
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                "teamCommonName": {
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                "teamName": {
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                "teamPlaceNameWithPreposition": {
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              },
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                "leagueAbbrev": "NCAA",
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                "plusMinus": -8,
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                "season": 20242025,
                "sequence": 11,
                "teamName": {
                  "default": "Boston Univ."
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              },
              {
                "assists": 3,
                "gameTypeId": 2,
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                "goals": 3,
                "leagueAbbrev": "JPL-Pro",
                "points": 6,
                "season": 20242025,
                "sequence": 12,
                "teamName": {
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              },
              {
                "assists": 8,
                "gameTypeId": 2,
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                "goals": 5,
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        "preTradeRole": "2025-26 AHL Lehigh Valley49GP5G8A;2024-25 NHL1GP0points at12:12 plus NCAA Boston University history separately preserved.",
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        "referenceLineup": {
          "team": "SEA",
          "date": "2026-10-06",
          "skaters": [
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8474586,
              "name": "Jordan Eberle",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 1,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "15:46",
              "shifts": 19
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8476905,
              "name": "Chandler Stephenson",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "17:31",
              "shifts": 23
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482665,
              "name": "Matty Beniers",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "16:21",
              "shifts": 21
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482713,
              "name": "Mackie Samoskevich",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "13:51",
              "shifts": 17
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8477955,
              "name": "Jared McCann",
              "position": "L",
              "goals": 1,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 7,
              "powerPlayGoals": 1,
              "toi": "15:07",
              "shifts": 20
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482751,
              "name": "Ryan Winterton",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "12:33",
              "shifts": 18
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8484800,
              "name": "Berkly Catton",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "15:35",
              "shifts": 19
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8483524,
              "name": "Shane Wright",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 1,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 4,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "14:43",
              "shifts": 19
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8483570,
              "name": "Ben Meyers",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "10:48",
              "shifts": 15
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482259,
              "name": "Bobby McMann",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 3,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "16:51",
              "shifts": 20
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8481554,
              "name": "Kaapo Kakko",
              "position": "R",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 2,
              "points": 2,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "14:57",
              "shifts": 20
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "forwards",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8477919,
              "name": "Frederick Gaudreau",
              "position": "C",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "15:55",
              "shifts": 21
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8476457,
              "name": "Adam Larsson",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 2,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "22:38",
              "shifts": 22
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8479985,
              "name": "Cale Fleury",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 1,
              "points": 1,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "16:03",
              "shifts": 21
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8478407,
              "name": "Vince Dunn",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 1,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "24:01",
              "shifts": 26
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8482858,
              "name": "Ryker Evans",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "24:16",
              "shifts": 23
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8479324,
              "name": "Ryan Lindgren",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "03:57",
              "shifts": 6
            },
            {
              "event_id": 2026020051,
              "date": "2026-10-06",
              "stage": "regular",
              "team": "SEA",
              "role": "defense",
              "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020051/boxscore",
              "playerId": 8477986,
              "name": "Brandon Montour",
              "position": "D",
              "goals": 0,
              "assists": 0,
              "points": 0,
              "sog": 0,
              "powerPlayGoals": 0,
              "toi": "20:05",
              "shifts": 21
            }
          ],
          "status": "actual_latest_team_reference_not_automatically_registered_score_exposure"
        },
        "opportunityChange": {
          "league": "NHL",
          "referenceMinutes": 0,
          "projectedMinutes": 0,
          "status": "supported_current_NHL_nonparticipant_scenario",
          "source": "KAPLAN-ASSIGNMENT-VERIFIED.json"
        },
        "familiarity": "New organization; practices and systems unverified.",
        "offense": {
          "pathway": "Potential depth opportunity redistribution; not an automatic NHL scoring loss.",
          "formula": "Sum by strength state: affected minutes / 60 * (new lineup offensive goal rate/60 - reference lineup rate/60).",
          "effect": 0,
          "reason": "AHL assignment confirmed, omitted from current NHL reference/projected lineup;0affected NHL minutes in current-role scenario. This is not a calibrated adjustment to aggregate Primary2.",
          "status": "supported_zero_current_NHL_opportunity"
        },
        "defense": {
          "pathway": "Future depth/forechecking pathway only; current NHL contribution not established.",
          "effect": 0,
          "reason": "No current NHL role leaves or enters in this organizational exchange scenario; no claim of zero future talent or AHL defensive value.",
          "status": "supported_zero_current_NHL_opportunity",
          "formula": "sum_s(affected_minutes_s/60 * (new_lineup_xGA_or_GA_per60_s - reference_lineup_rate_s)); sign applies to opponent score"
        },
        "uncertainty": "Current AHL assignment resolved. AHL debut/workload, future recall, new-system familiarity and cross-level scoring/defensive translation remain unestimated.",
        "baseScore": 2.870901734418349,
        "adjustedScore": 2.870901734418349,
        "humanFootballDeduction": 0,
        "gate": "TRACKING_ONLY",
        "activation": "Tracking only",
        "originalReview": "BLOCKED_REQUIRED_ROLE_COMPARISON",
        "sourceRefresh": "2026-10-09T11:18:48.241Z",
        "assignmentEvidence": {
          "status": "VERIFIED_AHL_COACHELLA_VALLEY",
          "player": "Devin Kaplan",
          "nhlPlayerId": "8483461",
          "ahlPlayerId": "10717",
          "team": "Coachella Valley Firebirds",
          "season": "2026-27 Regular Season",
          "jersey": 13,
          "rosterRow": {
            "shoots": "R",
            "birthplace": "Bridgewater, NJ",
            "height_hyphenated": "6-3",
            "player_id": "10717",
            "birthdate": "2004-01-10",
            "tp_jersey_number": "13",
            "position": "F",
            "w": "200",
            "name": "Devin Kaplan"
          },
          "profileCurrentTeam": "Coachella Valley Firebirds",
          "profileHistoricalMostRecentStatsTeam": "Lehigh Valley Phantoms",
          "interpretation": "Current roster and profile team agree on Coachella Valley; historical mostRecentTeam refers to Lehigh Valley49game2025-26stat record. Current game log has no recorded appearance, so assignment is verified without inventing games or ice time.",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:41:16.828Z",
          "sourcePage": "https://theahl.com/stats/roster/445",
          "playerPage": "https://theahl.com/stats/player/10717/94/devin-kaplan",
          "rosterRawFile": "independent-ahl_cv_roster.json",
          "profileRawFile": "independent-ahl_kaplan_profile.json",
          "transactionsRawFile": "independent-ahl_cv_transactions.json",
          "staleSourceRejected": "https://cvfirebirds.com/team-roster/",
          "resolution": "AHL2026-27roster contains Kaplan and excludes Goyette; dated Oct1official trade corroborates current assignment."
        },
        "current2026_27": [],
        "strengthStateHistory": [],
        "roleComparisons": [
          {
            "player": "David Goyette",
            "playerId": "8483449",
            "history": [
              {
                "assists": 12,
                "gameTypeId": 2,
                "gamesPlayed": 54,
                "goals": 6,
                "leagueAbbrev": "AHL",
                "pim": 20,
                "plusMinus": 5,
                "points": 18,
                "season": 20242025,
                "sequence": 11,
                "teamName": {
                  "default": "Coachella Valley Firebirds"
                }
              },
              {
                "assists": 1,
                "gameTypeId": 3,
                "gamesPlayed": 4,
                "goals": 0,
                "leagueAbbrev": "AHL",
                "pim": 0,
                "plusMinus": 0,
                "points": 1,
                "season": 20242025,
                "sequence": 11,
                "teamName": {
                  "default": "Coachella Valley Firebirds"
                }
              },
              {
                "assists": 7,
                "gameTypeId": 2,
                "gamesPlayed": 51,
                "goals": 3,
                "leagueAbbrev": "AHL",
                "pim": 73,
                "plusMinus": 3,
                "points": 10,
                "season": 20252026,
                "sequence": 11,
                "teamName": {
                  "default": "Coachella Valley Firebirds"
                }
              }
            ],
            "role": "Organizational exchange; direct NHL slot not established."
          }
        ],
        "conditionalNoChange": {
          "condition": "Player remains outside the same latest actual reference lineup and no other player opportunity changes",
          "offenseEffect": 0,
          "defenseEffect": 0,
          "derivation": "affected minutes=0, so incremental lineup term=0; applies only to this unchanged-lineup scenario",
          "appliesToRegisteredModel": false
        },
        "analysisStatus": "COMPLETED_TRACKING_COMPARISON_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS",
        "remainingFailures": [],
        "displayBaseScore": 3,
        "displayAdjustedScore": 3,
        "statisticalAdjustment": null,
        "adjustedScoreStatus": "BASELINE_RETAINED_WITH_UNESTIMATED_OVERLAY_NOT_ZERO_EFFECT",
        "scoreLinkStatus": "Primary2base_attached",
        "calculationReference": {
          "model": "primary-2.0.0",
          "sourceFile": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/primary-candidates.json",
          "sourceSHA256": "5553db97988dd4113c3fa81acecfcce7e8e4afa92001533bbd23ad09ec4e6d04",
          "calculatedUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.598878+00:00",
          "cutoffUTC": "2026-10-09T11:34:12.066343+00:00",
          "modelStatus": "PROVISIONAL / NOT FROZEN",
          "coefficientSHA256": "21a0679ae3f63982e9e2b2ee6e768e896b35c7ab50b192d5aef24ac7a484e1fd",
          "side": "away",
          "eventId": "401892465",
          "matchup": {
            "away": "Seattle Kraken",
            "home": "Detroit Red Wings"
          },
          "baseAwayHome": [
            2.870901734418349,
            3.1369120565768305
          ],
          "retainedAwayHome": [
            2.870901734418349,
            3.1369120565768305
          ],
          "baseMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.2660103221584813,
          "retainedMarginHomeMinusAway": 0.2660103221584813,
          "baseTotal": 6.007813790995179,
          "retainedTotal": 6.007813790995179,
          "registeredLineupExposure": "Team-result engine aggregate; no identified player-level reference lineup in registered Primary2 inputs. Any player-level workload correction would be a sensitivity scenario.",
          "interpretation": "Identical retained score means no numerical overlay was applied; it does not mean the true replacement effect was estimated as zero."
        },
        "disclosedLimitations": [
          "AHL game workload and future NHL recall role not established; no current NHL role claimed",
          "Aggregate Primary2 player exposure is unidentified; no calibrated scoring correction applied"
        ],
        "numericOverlayReady": false,
        "packageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS_TRACKING_ONLY"
      }
    ],
    "sourceCorrections": [
      {
        "subject": "Andrei Kuzmenko",
        "correction": "Non-roster personal leave; team says out for current trip, superseding vendor injury-reserve label",
        "source": "output/FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Research/penguins_trade-clean.txt"
      },
      {
        "subject": "Simon Edvinsson",
        "correction": "Contract absence; not inferred injury",
        "source": "https://www.nhl.com/kraken/news/seattle-kraken-at-detroit-red-wings-game-preview-projected-lines-100926"
      },
      {
        "subject": "Kaplan season in Kraken release",
        "correction": "Body says49AHL games in2026-27 despite Oct1date; header and Flyers release identify2025-26.2025-26used; typo not imported.",
        "source": "independent-sea_trade.json"
      },
      {
        "subject": "Goyette historical totals",
        "correction": "Landing gives2024-25AHL54GP6G12A and2025-26AHL51GP3G7A;career108includes3earliergames, so do not allocate108to two windows.",
        "source": "independent-goyette_landing.json"
      },
      {
        "subject": "Garrett Brown position",
        "correction": "Official NHL player search/landing identifies defenseman8483672; vendor event injury position C is wrong. Compared with defense alternatives St.Ivany/Fleury/Bauer.",
        "source": "independent-missing-identities.json"
      }
    ],
    "remainingFailures": [],
    "parentIntegration": "Primary2 original and retained scores attached. This desk review covers all requested tracking comparisons with explicit projected-role and unestimated-effect limits. Preserve tracking-only status and do not claim calibrated correction or live-tier activation.",
    "updated": "2026-10-09T11:42:42.225Z",
    "policyGateAudit": {
      "policy": "experimental-projects/Tighten-Up-Process/OFFENSIVE-REPLACEMENT-TRACKING-POLICY.md",
      "policyVersion": "1.1.0",
      "interpretation": "Tracking-only release review and numerical production activation are separate gates. A final unconfirmed lineup or unavailable defensible conversion alone does not make a completed projected comparison a QA failure.",
      "supportingInstructions": [
        "retain projected versus confirmed labels and timestamps",
        "Review conditional scenarios for unresolved starters without inventing availability",
        "Preserve unavailable line/PP details as unknown rather than inferring them from roster order",
        "retain an unestimated result when no defensible conversion exists",
        "If the baseline exposure cannot be identified, label the calculation a sensitivity scenario",
        "An unresolved required comparison is a disclosed QA failure for a package claiming this review is complete"
      ],
      "checks": {
        "twelveTeamsReviewed": true,
        "eightTradePathsReviewed": true,
        "nbaRegulationMinutesReconciled": true,
        "allReportedSkaterAbsencesCompared": true,
        "currentAssignmentsResolvedForTradedPlayers": true,
        "historyWindowsSeparated": true,
        "missingHistoryNotZero": true,
        "unknownLineAndPPDetailsLabeled": true,
        "offenseAndTradeDefenseSeparated": true,
        "primaryBaseLinkedForAllTwelveTeams": true,
        "outOfSlateEDM_PHIExplicitNA": true
      },
      "trackingPackageReviewGate": "PASS_WITH_DISCLOSED_LIMITATIONS",
      "unresolvedRequiredComparisons": [],
      "numericProductionGate": "NOT_ACTIVATED_TRACKING_ONLY",
      "claimBoundary": "This clears this desk's described review coverage. It does not certify confirmed final lineups, validated causal replacement effects, other desks, an overall website release, or wagering eligibility."
    },
    "disclosedLimitations": [
      "All final NBA rotations/minute restrictions remain projected;240-minute analyst allocations and individual available branches are labeled sensitivity scenarios",
      "NHL final dressing lists and PPunits unknown except official SEA projected lines; prior-game workloads and role-compatible pools supplied, never represented as confirmed Oct9 assignments",
      "Unsupported lineup scoring/defensive conversions remain unestimated as policy permits; no arbitrary points or fixed football deduction",
      "Primary2 team-result model lacks identified player-level baseline exposure, so original registered scores are retained; retained arithmetic does not claim zero real effect",
      "Rookie/non-NHL missing histories remain unknown; recovered non-NHL histories are separated and no unsupported cross-level translation performed"
    ]
  },
  "schedule": {
    "created": "2026-10-09T11:35:15.417Z",
    "desks": [
      "ConstitutionOwl independent schedule/final audit",
      "PollyTicks independent venue/rest/travel/weather review"
    ],
    "scope": "October 9 2026 ET; all 15 events; fresh official NWS weather; no markets or prices consumed",
    "status": "CONDITIONAL_SCHEDULE_PASS_WITH_LISTED_GATES",
    "events": [
      {
        "eventId": "401918299",
        "matchup": "Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty",
        "sport": "wnba",
        "division": null,
        "startUtc": "2026-10-09T23:30Z",
        "venue": {
          "id": "3559",
          "guid": "6ebb2c41-a135-38df-a81e-c1faa7c99cc8",
          "fullName": "Barclays Center",
          "address": {
            "city": "Brooklyn",
            "state": "NY"
          },
          "grass": false,
          "images": [
            {
              "href": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/venues/wnba/day/3559.jpg",
              "width": 2000,
              "height": 1125,
              "alt": "",
              "rel": [
                "full",
                "day"
              ]
            }
          ]
        },
        "neutralSite": false,
        "feedState": "pre",
        "sportingSource": {
          "file": "sporting_summary_401918299.json",
          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/wnba/summary?event=401918299",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:11.32Z"
        },
        "stage": "WNBA semifinals, Game 3, best of five",
        "officialScheduleStatus": "VERIFIED",
        "gates": [
          "Use playoff series object, not season series object, which ESPN misleadingly labels with semifinal description."
        ],
        "series": "ATL leads series 2-0",
        "officialSource": {
          "file": "wnba_game_ny.json",
          "url": "https://www.wnba.com/game/1042600203",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:34:14.757Z"
        },
        "stageSource": {
          "file": "wnba_playoffs.json",
          "url": "https://www.wnba.com/playoffs/2026",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:50.243Z"
        },
        "travel": "Both teams played Game 2 on Oct 7; one intervening off day. Series travels Atlanta to Brooklyn for Game 3. Actual flight/arrival itinerary unverified.",
        "travelSource": {
          "url": "https://www.wnba.com/game/1042600202",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:36:21.906Z",
          "officialPageTitle": "New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Oct 7, 2026 Game Summary"
        }
      },
      {
        "eventId": "401918300",
        "matchup": "Golden State Valkyries at Las Vegas Aces",
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            "travelInference": "Same venue as prior game",
            "source": {
              "file": "nhl_club_DET.json",
              "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/club-schedule-season/DET/20262027",
              "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:50.67Z"
            }
          },
          {
            "team": "Seattle Kraken",
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            "lastMatch": "VGK at SEA",
            "offDays": 2,
            "travelInference": "Venue change; actual itinerary unverified",
            "source": {
              "file": "nhl_club_SEA.json",
              "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/club-schedule-season/SEA/20262027",
              "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:50.634Z"
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        ]
      },
      {
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        "neutralSite": false,
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        "sportingSource": {
          "file": "sporting_summary_401892466.json",
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        },
        "stage": "Regular season",
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          "file": "nhl_official.json",
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        "officialGameId": 2026020067,
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            "offDays": 1,
            "travelInference": "Same venue as prior game",
            "source": {
              "file": "nhl_club_WSH.json",
              "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/club-schedule-season/WSH/20262027",
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          },
          {
            "team": "New York Rangers",
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            "offDays": 2,
            "travelInference": "Venue change; actual itinerary unverified",
            "source": {
              "file": "nhl_club_NYR.json",
              "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/club-schedule-season/NYR/20262027",
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        "neutralSite": false,
        "feedState": "pre",
        "sportingSource": {
          "file": "sporting_summary_401892467.json",
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        },
        "stage": "Regular season",
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        "gates": [],
        "officialSource": {
          "file": "nhl_official.json",
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            "travelInference": "Same venue as prior game",
            "source": {
              "file": "nhl_club_CBJ.json",
              "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/club-schedule-season/CBJ/20262027",
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          },
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            "travelInference": "Venue change; actual itinerary unverified",
            "source": {
              "file": "nhl_club_PIT.json",
              "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/club-schedule-season/PIT/20262027",
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          }
        ]
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        "startUtc": "2026-10-10T00:00Z",
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          "grass": false,
          "images": [
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        },
        "neutralSite": false,
        "feedState": "pre",
        "sportingSource": {
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        },
        "stage": "Regular season",
        "officialScheduleStatus": "VERIFIED",
        "gates": [],
        "officialSource": {
          "file": "nhl_official.json",
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        },
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            "lastVenue": "Canada Life Centre",
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            "travelInference": "Same venue as prior game",
            "source": {
              "file": "nhl_club_WPG.json",
              "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/club-schedule-season/WPG/20262027",
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          },
          {
            "team": "Anaheim Ducks",
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            "offDays": 1,
            "travelInference": "Venue change; actual itinerary unverified",
            "source": {
              "file": "nhl_club_ANA.json",
              "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/club-schedule-season/ANA/20262027",
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        ]
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      {
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        "neutralSite": true,
        "feedState": "pre",
        "sportingSource": {
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        },
        "stage": "Preseason",
        "officialScheduleStatus": "VERIFIED",
        "gates": [
          "Preseason rotation and minutes volatility; nominal home designation does not establish normal home advantage.",
          "08:00 ET scheduled start: any publication or market retrieval at/after 12:00Z must be labeled started/unavailable, never a new pregame recommendation."
        ],
        "officialSource": {
          "file": "nba_official.json",
          "url": "https://www.nba.com/games?date=2026-10-09",
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        },
        "officialStartUtc": "2026-10-09T12:00:00Z",
        "travel": "NBA Starting 5 confirms both teams traveled more than 8,000 miles to Macao and had three days of activities/practice. Neutral venue removes ordinary Dallas home-court adjustment.",
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      },
      {
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        "startUtc": "2026-10-10T00:00Z",
        "venue": {
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          "grass": false,
          "images": [
            {
              "href": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/venues/nba/day/1847.jpg",
              "width": 2000,
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            }
          ]
        },
        "neutralSite": false,
        "feedState": "pre",
        "sportingSource": {
          "file": "sporting_summary_401908940.json",
          "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908940",
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        },
        "stage": "Preseason",
        "officialScheduleStatus": "VERIFIED",
        "gates": [
          "Preseason rotation and minutes volatility; nominal home designation does not establish normal home advantage."
        ],
        "officialSource": {
          "file": "nba_official.json",
          "url": "https://www.nba.com/games?date=2026-10-09",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-09T11:12:10.755Z"
        },
        "officialStartUtc": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z",
        "travel": "Memphis and Chicago both played Oct 7 per NBA Starting 5 recap; one intervening off day. Memphis road travel; precise itinerary unverified.",
        "travelSource": {
          "file": "nba_starting5.json",
          "url": "https://www.nba.com/news/starting-5-october-8-2026",
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        }
      }
    ],
    "noGames": [
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        "source": {
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          "url": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/schedule?sportId=1&date=2026-10-09&hydrate=probablePitcher,team,venue",
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        },
        "verified": true
      },
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        "source": {
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          "url": "https://www.nfl.com/schedules/2026/reg5/",
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        },
        "status": "Official weekly schedule reviewed; Oct 8 Thursday and Oct 11 Sunday slate, no Oct 9 listing"
      },
      {
        "sport": "MLS",
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        "source": {
          "file": "mls_schedule.json",
          "url": "https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/#date=2026-10-09",
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        },
        "status": "Captured official rendered shell not independently sufficient to establish zero; prior ESPN zero board requires corroboration"
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      {
        "sport": "UFC",
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        "source": {
          "file": "ufc_events.json",
          "url": "https://www.ufc.com/events",
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        },
        "status": "Official next event is Oct 10 Allen vs Duncan; no Oct 9 UFC event"
      },
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        "sport": "NCAAB",
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        "status": "Official NCAA 2026-27 Division I manual sets first regular-season basketball contest date November 2, 2026; zero regular-season games consistent with collected zero ESPN board. Exhibition exception not a claim of universal absence of all scrimmages.",
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    ],
    "priorDayReconciliation": {
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      "source": "VERIFIED-TRACKER-RECONCILIATION.json",
      "rowCount": 22,
      "verifiedFinalCount": 22,
      "validNoGradeCount": 22,
      "rows": [
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          "homeScore": 35,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": "L, 35-3 Oct 8",
          "source": {
            "file": "sam_schedule.json",
            "url": "https://gobearkats.com/sports/football/schedule/2026",
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          "gradeValid": true,
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          "verified": true,
          "evidence": "W, 34-13 Oct 8",
          "source": {
            "file": "wku_schedule.json",
            "url": "https://wkusports.com/sports/football/schedule/2026",
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          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
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          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
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            "away": "PHI",
            "home": "OTT",
            "awayScore": 1,
            "homeScore": 2
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
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          "gradeValid": true,
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          "homeScore": 6,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "state": "OFF",
            "away": "UTA",
            "home": "BOS",
            "awayScore": 1,
            "homeScore": 6
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          "source": {
            "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-08",
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          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
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        {
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          "homeScore": 0,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "state": "OFF",
            "away": "DAL",
            "home": "BUF",
            "awayScore": 4,
            "homeScore": 0
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:23.606Z"
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          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401892459",
          "matchup": "Nashville Predators at Montreal Canadiens",
          "awayScore": 5,
          "homeScore": 2,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "state": "OFF",
            "away": "NSH",
            "home": "MTL",
            "awayScore": 5,
            "homeScore": 2
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:23.606Z"
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          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401892460",
          "matchup": "Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning",
          "awayScore": 2,
          "homeScore": 3,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "state": "OFF",
            "away": "MIN",
            "home": "TBL",
            "awayScore": 2,
            "homeScore": 3
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:23.606Z"
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          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401892461",
          "matchup": "Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes",
          "awayScore": 2,
          "homeScore": 7,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "state": "OFF",
            "away": "VAN",
            "home": "CAR",
            "awayScore": 2,
            "homeScore": 7
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:23.606Z"
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          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401898392",
          "matchup": "Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers",
          "awayScore": 124,
          "homeScore": 113,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "status": "Final",
            "away": "BOS",
            "home": "CLE",
            "awayScore": 124,
            "homeScore": 113
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nba_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://www.nba.com/games?date=2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:24.265Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401862794",
          "matchup": "South Florida Bulls at UTSA Roadrunners",
          "awayScore": 24,
          "homeScore": 31,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": "L, 24-31 Oct 8",
          "source": {
            "file": "usf_schedule.json",
            "url": "https://gousfbulls.com/sports/football/schedule/2026",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:33:45.454Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401869933",
          "matchup": "South Alabama Jaguars at Arkansas State Red Wolves",
          "awayScore": 56,
          "homeScore": 49,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": "Oct 8 (Thu) / Final Jonesboro, AR at Arkansas State W, 56-49",
          "source": {
            "file": "usa_schedule.json",
            "url": "https://usajaguars.com/sports/football/schedule/2026",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:33:45.485Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401892462",
          "matchup": "Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders",
          "awayScore": 1,
          "homeScore": 4,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "state": "OFF",
            "away": "CHI",
            "home": "NYI",
            "awayScore": 1,
            "homeScore": 4
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:23.606Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401898393",
          "matchup": "New Orleans Pelicans at Miami Heat",
          "awayScore": 118,
          "homeScore": 128,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "status": "Final",
            "away": "NOP",
            "home": "MIA",
            "awayScore": 118,
            "homeScore": 128
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nba_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://www.nba.com/games?date=2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:24.265Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401901823",
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          "awayScore": 108,
          "homeScore": 114,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "status": "Final",
            "away": "PHI",
            "home": "BKN",
            "awayScore": 108,
            "homeScore": 114
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nba_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://www.nba.com/games?date=2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:24.265Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401906508",
          "matchup": "Washington Wizards at New York Knicks",
          "awayScore": 111,
          "homeScore": 109,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "status": "Final",
            "away": "WAS",
            "home": "NYK",
            "awayScore": 111,
            "homeScore": 109
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nba_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://www.nba.com/games?date=2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:24.265Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401907993",
          "matchup": "Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox",
          "awayScore": 9,
          "homeScore": 5,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "status": {
              "abstractGameState": "Final",
              "codedGameState": "F",
              "detailedState": "Final",
              "statusCode": "F",
              "startTimeTBD": false,
              "abstractGameCode": "F"
            },
            "away": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "home": "Chicago White Sox",
            "awayScore": 9,
            "homeScore": 5
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "mlb_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/schedule?sportId=1&date=2026-10-08&hydrate=linescore",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:23.611Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401891825",
          "matchup": "San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues",
          "awayScore": 3,
          "homeScore": 2,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "state": "OFF",
            "away": "SJS",
            "home": "STL",
            "awayScore": 3,
            "homeScore": 2
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:23.606Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401898394",
          "matchup": "Atlanta Hawks at San Antonio Spurs",
          "awayScore": 123,
          "homeScore": 116,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "status": "Final",
            "away": "ATL",
            "home": "SAS",
            "awayScore": 123,
            "homeScore": 116
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nba_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://www.nba.com/games?date=2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:24.265Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401872980",
          "matchup": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys",
          "awayScore": 24,
          "homeScore": 16,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": "WEEK 5 &middot; Thu 10/08 &middot; FINAL W 24 - 16",
          "source": {
            "file": "bucs_schedule.json",
            "url": "https://www.buccaneers.com/schedule/",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:33:45.121Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401892463",
          "matchup": "Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames",
          "awayScore": 7,
          "homeScore": 3,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "state": "OFF",
            "away": "COL",
            "home": "CGY",
            "awayScore": 7,
            "homeScore": 3
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:23.606Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401892464",
          "matchup": "Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights",
          "awayScore": 3,
          "homeScore": 4,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "state": "OFF",
            "away": "TOR",
            "home": "VGK",
            "awayScore": 3,
            "homeScore": 4
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:23.606Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        },
        {
          "eventId": "401898717",
          "matchup": "Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Lakers",
          "awayScore": 110,
          "homeScore": 114,
          "verified": true,
          "evidence": {
            "status": "END Q4",
            "away": "SAC",
            "home": "LAL",
            "awayScore": 110,
            "homeScore": 114
          },
          "source": {
            "file": "nba_official_results.json",
            "url": "https://www.nba.com/games?date=2026-10-08",
            "retrieved": "2026-10-09T05:32:24.265Z"
          },
          "gradeValid": true,
          "applyStatus": "AUDIT_ONLY_NO_HISTORICAL_SITE_MUTATION"
        }
      ],
      "unitsChange": 0,
      "historicalSiteChanged": false
    },
    "arithmeticAudit": "PASS: ../FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Primary-Research/independent-primary-audit.json; 15 events, 30 means, maximum absolute error 5.684341886080802e-14.",
    "globalGates": [
      "Weather and schedule confirmation alone do not clear player availability/replacement, trade or model gates.",
      "Official MLS rendered schedule corroboration remains limited; report zero on collected board with that source limitation.",
      "Football full rest history only partially independently verified; no invented fatigue adjustments. WNBA prior game date verified; actual itineraries unverified."
    ],
    "updated": "2026-10-09T11:36:21.906Z"
  },
  "desks": {
    "Parker Fields": "Independent football and offensive personnel agents",
    "Uncle Sibursam": "Independent offensive workload reviewer; Primary sample audit",
    "Gideon Marsh": "Independent ridge reconstruction passed; no predictive-calibration claim",
    "ConstitutionOwl": "Independent official schedule and prior-final reconciliation",
    "Polly Ticks": "Independent official NWS venue forecast review",
    "Liberty Belle": "Parent phase-order and market-isolation review; fresh prices only after this freeze",
    "Warren Bullion": "Parent synthesis: every event remains PASS; no certified distribution or live-tier activation. Unknown effects remain unestimated; conditional assumptions remain conditional."
  },
  "decision": "ALL PASS / zero stake",
  "selectedMarketProbability": null,
  "exactScoreProbability": null
}