{ "dateEastern": "2026-10-15", "created_utc": "2026-10-15T05:56:17.483413+00:00", "phase": "POSTFREEZE_MARKET_GATE_ONLY", "forecast_frozen_utc": "2026-10-15T05:54:39.776742+00:00", "markets_captured_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.961926+00:00", "immutable_inputs": { "score-freeze.json": "8ceec36ab039c18d3e8b0cebcb4c1e9b0cccfadc10631ca21ed0e37c1dd53210", "market-snapshot-complete.json": "2f43ddefae3d9fbc7822aed745e571ea4e3124aca70c36b3771fb9bd42bd9800", "offensive\\event-team-reviews.json": "eeda5a819e45cfb0a32e9097200aaa84e5e119f88e0f2ce38905a7774d6d9970", "offensive\\mlb-pitching-and-bullpen-review.json": "dc23f0a323ca00ba85e8c8c78eb05679a10b962595e1ff01a9a72099bc4a605b", "offensive\\preprice-offensive-gates.json": "d355cb95771b01f6088d3f0b1c54133275d0e56a35f5908d3388b3d4e358af93", "offensive\\review-checksums.json": "8598770d66fc08d089cb7b6ebede2ad108b98347d21503287f8089dce49f774a" }, "policy": { "mlb_base_runline_and_total_floor": 1.0, "conservative_increment": 0.5, "adverse_runs": 1.0, "additional_event_specific_stress": "Single frozen run stress applied once. Joint tail unestimated, no duplicate penalty.", "price_limit": "American strictly better than -400", "frozen_forecasts_changed": false, "NBA_NHL": "TRACKING_ONLY", "disagreement": "Frozen per-market opposition rule; one MEDIUM increment only on opposed market.", "sources": [ "experimental-projects/Tighten-Up-Process/TIGHTEN-UP-PRODUCTION-STANDARDS.md", "experimental-projects/Tighten-Up-Process/SPORTS-PRICE-ELIGIBILITY-POLICY.md" ] }, "events": [ { "eventId": "401908025", "sport": "MLB", "identity": { "away_name": "Tampa Bay Rays", "home_name": "Cleveland Guardians", "date": "2026-10-15T17:00Z" }, "market": { "id": "401908025", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/baseball/mlb/summary?event=401908025", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.130710+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.429271+00:00", "home_line": -1.5, "away_line": 1.5, "home_line_price": 165.0, "away_line_price": -202.0, "total": 6.5, "under_line": 6.5, "over_price": -120.0, "under_price": -101.0, "home_ml": -134.0, "away_ml": 111.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -1.5, "average_total": 6.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "risks": [ { "id": "alcs-starter-role", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Jax elbow-discomfort return and starter/relief transition; Williams confirmed on regular rest. Both bullpens October 14 off-day; Bailey catches Williams, Palacios/Williamson normal platoon and De Luca/Mullins CF conditional.", "resolution": "Historical staff appearances, current roster and conditional lineup branches retained. Numerical incremental effect unestimated.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "Existing gates apply; no added arbitrary expected-score penalty.", "markets": [ "run_line", "total" ], "unresolved": true, "scope_rule": "Apply to both directions; do not silently lower frozen severity after viewing prices.", "finding": "Jax elbow-discomfort return and starter/relief transition; Williams confirmed on regular rest. Both bullpens October 14 off-day; Bailey catches Williams, Palacios/Williamson normal platoon and De Luca/Mullins CF conditional. Historical staff appearances, current roster and conditional lineup branches retained. Numerical incremental effect unestimated.", "market_scope_reason": "Apply to both directions; do not silently lower frozen severity after viewing prices." }, { "id": "replacement-reference-conversion", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Aggregate base reference exposure and validated player-specific run conversion unavailable.", "resolution": "Base scores preserved, adjusted estimates null; null is not zero.", "effect_estimate": null, "markets": [ "run_line", "total" ], "unresolved": true, "scope_rule": "Apply to both directions; do not silently lower frozen severity after viewing prices.", "finding": "Aggregate base reference exposure and validated player-specific run conversion unavailable. Base scores preserved, adjusted estimates null; null is not zero.", "market_scope_reason": "Apply to both directions; do not silently lower frozen severity after viewing prices." }, { "id": "mlb-model-disagreement", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Three registered engines disagree on score levels before price capture. Expected totals: Classic 8.408758, Primary 6.820387, Tighten Up ON 8.429012, Tighten Up OFF 8.429012. Signed home margins: Classic -0.013156, Primary -0.245210, Tighten Up ON -0.231481, Tighten Up OFF -0.231481. ON/OFF share arithmetic, not independent votes.", "resolution": "Preserve each frozen score; no averaging into another model. Apply market-specific opposition rule below after capture.", "effect_estimate": null, "unresolved": false, "markets": [], "scope_rule": "Using unchanged unrounded means and tolerance1e-9, count this one MEDIUM risk for a market if at least one registered engine favors each opposite direction. Moneyline: signs of home margins. Run line: signs of home margins plus captured average signed home line. Total: signs of totals minus captured average total. A zero/tie blocks unanimity but alone is not opposite-direction disagreement. No risk is counted for this category when all nonzero directions agree.", "tier_consequence": "Adds exactly one unresolved MEDIUM risk to each opposed market, regardless of model count. Two other unresolved MEDIUM risks plus this disagreement means three and market ineligible/PASS. Any existing HIGH risk independently prevents tier eligibility.", "no_added_score_penalty": true, "finding": "Three registered engines disagree on score levels before price capture. Expected totals: Classic 8.408758, Primary 6.820387, Tighten Up ON 8.429012, Tighten Up OFF 8.429012. Signed home margins: Classic -0.013156, Primary -0.245210, Tighten Up ON -0.231481, Tighten Up OFF -0.231481. ON/OFF share arithmetic, not independent votes. Preserve each frozen score; no averaging into another model. Apply market-specific opposition rule below after capture.", "market_scope_reason": "Frozen opposition rule: count one MEDIUM risk only in markets containing both positive and negative engine directions. Tie alone is not opposition.", "computed_opposition": { "moneyline": false, "run_line": false, "total": false } } ], "frozen_preprice_risk_register": [ { "id": "alcs-starter-role", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Jax elbow-discomfort return and starter/relief transition; Williams confirmed on regular rest. Both bullpens October 14 off-day; Bailey catches Williams, Palacios/Williamson normal platoon and De Luca/Mullins CF conditional.", "resolution": "Historical staff appearances, current roster and conditional lineup branches retained. Numerical incremental effect unestimated.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "Existing gates apply; no added arbitrary expected-score penalty.", "markets": [ "run_line", "total" ], "unresolved": true, "scope_rule": "Apply to both directions; do not silently lower frozen severity after viewing prices." }, { "id": "replacement-reference-conversion", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Aggregate base reference exposure and validated player-specific run conversion unavailable.", "resolution": "Base scores preserved, adjusted estimates null; null is not zero.", "effect_estimate": null, "markets": [ "run_line", "total" ], "unresolved": true, "scope_rule": "Apply to both directions; do not silently lower frozen severity after viewing prices." }, { "id": "mlb-model-disagreement", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Three registered engines disagree on score levels before price capture. Expected totals: Classic 8.408758, Primary 6.820387, Tighten Up ON 8.429012, Tighten Up OFF 8.429012. Signed home margins: Classic -0.013156, Primary -0.245210, Tighten Up ON -0.231481, Tighten Up OFF -0.231481. ON/OFF share arithmetic, not independent votes.", "resolution": "Preserve each frozen score; no averaging into another model. Apply market-specific opposition rule below after capture.", "effect_estimate": null, "unresolved": "CONDITIONAL_ON_DIRECTION_OPPOSITION", "markets": [ "moneyline", "run_line", "total" ], "scope_rule": "Using unchanged unrounded means and tolerance1e-9, count this one MEDIUM risk for a market if at least one registered engine favors each opposite direction. Moneyline: signs of home margins. Run line: signs of home margins plus captured average signed home line. Total: signs of totals minus captured average total. A zero/tie blocks unanimity but alone is not opposite-direction disagreement. No risk is counted for this category when all nonzero directions agree.", "tier_consequence": "Adds exactly one unresolved MEDIUM risk to each opposed market, regardless of model count. Two other unresolved MEDIUM risks plus this disagreement means three and market ineligible/PASS. Any existing HIGH risk independently prevents tier eligibility.", "no_added_score_penalty": true } ], "risk_severity_note": "Frozen severities and preregistered directional scopes retained; no new postprice escalation or extra score penalty.", "models": { "Classic": { "score_away_home": [ 4.210956790123457, 4.197800925925925 ], "home_margin": -0.013155864197531564, "total": 8.408757716049383, "conservative_mode": false, "provisional": true, "run_line": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0, "base_buffer": 1.5131558641975316, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.5131558641975316, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 0, "unresolved_medium_risks": 2, "risk_ids": [ "alcs-starter-role", "replacement-reference-conversion" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "LEAN", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Tampa Bay Rays", "line": 1.5, "price": -202.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Classic/Primary remains provisional and not an authorized live publication configuration.", "stressed_home_margin": 0.9868441358024684 }, "total_gate": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0, "base_buffer": 1.908757716049383, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.9087577160493829, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 0, "unresolved_medium_risks": 2, "risk_ids": [ "alcs-starter-role", "replacement-reference-conversion" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "LEAN", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Over", "line": 6.5, "price": -120.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Classic/Primary remains provisional and not an authorized live publication configuration.", "stressed_total_one_run_only": 7.408757716049383 }, "moneyline": { "no_vig_away_probability": 0.4528389518906994, "no_vig_home_probability": 0.5471610481093006, "minimum_edge_probability_points": 5, "model_probability": null, "model_probability_edge": null, "stressed_probability_edge": null, "decision": "PASS", "reason": "Validated frozen model probability unavailable; point means and market no-vig values do not establish model probability edge." }, "calibration_note": "No numeric player overlay; causal effects unestimated, not zero. Gate arithmetic is not probability calibration." }, "Primary": { "score_away_home": [ 3.5327987643513405, 3.287588419261159 ], "home_margin": -0.24521034509018147, "total": 6.8203871836125, "conservative_mode": false, "provisional": true, "run_line": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0, "base_buffer": 1.7452103450901815, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.7452103450901815, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 0, "unresolved_medium_risks": 2, "risk_ids": [ "alcs-starter-role", "replacement-reference-conversion" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "LEAN", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Tampa Bay Rays", "line": 1.5, "price": -202.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Classic/Primary remains provisional and not an authorized live publication configuration.", "stressed_home_margin": 0.7547896549098185 }, "total_gate": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0, "base_buffer": 0.3203871836124996, "base_floor_met": false, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": -0.6796128163875004, "same_side_after_one_run": false, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": false, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": false, "unresolved_high_risks": 0, "unresolved_medium_risks": 2, "risk_ids": [ "alcs-starter-role", "replacement-reference-conversion" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "NO_EDGE", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Over", "line": 6.5, "price": -120.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks do not all pass. Classic/Primary remains provisional and not an authorized live publication configuration.", "stressed_total_one_run_only": 5.8203871836125 }, "moneyline": { "no_vig_away_probability": 0.4528389518906994, "no_vig_home_probability": 0.5471610481093006, "minimum_edge_probability_points": 5, "model_probability": null, "model_probability_edge": null, "stressed_probability_edge": null, "decision": "PASS", "reason": "Validated frozen model probability unavailable; point means and market no-vig values do not establish model probability edge." }, "calibration_note": "No numeric player overlay; causal effects unestimated, not zero. Gate arithmetic is not probability calibration." }, "Tighten Up Conservative ON": { "score_away_home": [ 4.330246913580247, 4.098765432098766 ], "home_margin": -0.23148148148148096, "total": 8.429012345679013, "conservative_mode": true, "provisional": false, "run_line": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.5, "base_buffer": 1.731481481481481, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.731481481481481, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 0, "unresolved_medium_risks": 2, "risk_ids": [ "alcs-starter-role", "replacement-reference-conversion" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "LEAN", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Tampa Bay Rays", "line": 1.5, "price": -202.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Conservative ON does not promote unresolved medium availability risk and does not allow Free Picks.", "stressed_home_margin": 0.768518518518519 }, "total_gate": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.5, "base_buffer": 1.9290123456790127, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.9290123456790127, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 0, "unresolved_medium_risks": 2, "risk_ids": [ "alcs-starter-role", "replacement-reference-conversion" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "LEAN", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Over", "line": 6.5, "price": -120.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Conservative ON does not promote unresolved medium availability risk and does not allow Free Picks.", "stressed_total_one_run_only": 7.429012345679013 }, "moneyline": { "no_vig_away_probability": 0.4528389518906994, "no_vig_home_probability": 0.5471610481093006, "minimum_edge_probability_points": 7, "model_probability": null, "model_probability_edge": null, "stressed_probability_edge": null, "decision": "PASS", "reason": "Validated frozen model probability unavailable; point means and market no-vig values do not establish model probability edge." }, "calibration_note": "No numeric player overlay; causal effects unestimated, not zero. Gate arithmetic is not probability calibration." }, "Tighten Up Conservative OFF": { "score_away_home": [ 4.330246913580247, 4.098765432098766 ], "home_margin": -0.23148148148148096, "total": 8.429012345679013, "conservative_mode": false, "provisional": false, "run_line": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0, "base_buffer": 1.731481481481481, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.731481481481481, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 0, "unresolved_medium_risks": 2, "risk_ids": [ "alcs-starter-role", "replacement-reference-conversion" ], "promotion_allowed": true, "maximum_tier": "Free Pick", "final_state": "TIER ELIGIBLE", "production_decision": "ELIGIBLE / FREE PICK ONLY", "selection": "Tampa Bay Rays", "line": 1.5, "price": -202.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Two unresolved MEDIUM risks require downgrade; optional Free Pick only outside Conservative Mode. Parent publication ranking remains separate.", "stressed_home_margin": 0.768518518518519 }, "total_gate": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0, "base_buffer": 1.9290123456790127, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.9290123456790127, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 0, "unresolved_medium_risks": 2, "risk_ids": [ "alcs-starter-role", "replacement-reference-conversion" ], "promotion_allowed": true, "maximum_tier": "Free Pick", "final_state": "TIER ELIGIBLE", "production_decision": "ELIGIBLE / FREE PICK ONLY", "selection": "Over", "line": 6.5, "price": -120.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Two unresolved MEDIUM risks require downgrade; optional Free Pick only outside Conservative Mode. Parent publication ranking remains separate.", "stressed_total_one_run_only": 7.429012345679013 }, "moneyline": { "no_vig_away_probability": 0.4528389518906994, "no_vig_home_probability": 0.5471610481093006, "minimum_edge_probability_points": 5, "model_probability": null, "model_probability_edge": null, "stressed_probability_edge": null, "decision": "PASS", "reason": "Validated frozen model probability unavailable; point means and market no-vig values do not establish model probability edge." }, "calibration_note": "No numeric player overlay; causal effects unestimated, not zero. Gate arithmetic is not probability calibration." } }, "decision": "ELIGIBLE / FREE PICK ONLY", "state": "MARKET_SPECIFIC_GATES_COMPLETE", "reason": "Eligible configurations/markets: Tighten Up Conservative OFF run_line, Tighten Up Conservative OFF total_gate", "pitching_review": [ { "event_id": 849818, "canonical_espn_event_id": "401908025", "team": "Tampa Bay Rays", "probable_starter": { "id": 643377, "fullName": "Griffin Jax", "link": "/api/v1/people/643377" }, "pitch_hand": { "code": "R", "description": "Right" }, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/schedule?sportId=1&date=2026-10-15&hydrate=probablePitcher", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:40:22.280933+00:00", "starter_history": [ { "group": { "displayName": "pitching" }, "season": "2024", "stat": { "age": 29, "gamesPlayed": 72, "gamesStarted": 0, "groundOuts": 65, "airOuts": 51, "runs": 19, "doubles": 7, "triples": 3, "homeRuns": 4, "strikeOuts": 95, "baseOnBalls": 15, "intentionalWalks": 1, "hits": 47, "hitByPitch": 2, "avg": ".184", "atBats": 256, "obp": ".234", "slg": ".281", "ops": ".515", "caughtStealing": 1, "stolenBases": 3, "stolenBasePercentage": ".750", "caughtStealingPercentage": ".250", "groundIntoDoublePlay": 2, "numberOfPitches": 1068, "era": "2.03", "inningsPitched": "71.0", "wins": 5, "losses": 5, "saves": 10, "saveOpportunities": 16, "holds": 24, "blownSaves": 6, "earnedRuns": 16, "whip": "0.87", "battersFaced": 276, "outs": 213, "gamesPitched": 72, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "strikes": 740, "strikePercentage": ".690", "hitBatsmen": 2, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 4, "pickoffs": 1, "totalBases": 72, "groundOutsToAirouts": "1.27", "winPercentage": ".500", "pitchesPerInning": "15.04", "gamesFinished": 16, "strikeoutWalkRatio": "6.33", "strikeoutsPer9Inn": "12.04", "walksPer9Inn": "1.90", "hitsPer9Inn": "5.96", "runsScoredPer9": "2.41", "homeRunsPer9": "0.51", "inheritedRunners": 20, "inheritedRunnersScored": 7, "catchersInterference": 1, "sacBunts": 1, "sacFlies": 1 }, "team": 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"1.1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 0, "airOuts": 2, "runs": 0, "doubles": 1, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 2, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 5, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 15, "inningsPitched": "1.1", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 1, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 5, "outs": 4, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 15, "balls": 5, "strikes": 10, "strikePercentage": ".670", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 1, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 2, "inheritedRunnersScored": 1, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 2 } }, { "date": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849813, "stage": "L", "player_id": 687330, "player": "Kevin Kelly", "stats": { "note": "(H, 2)", "summary": "0.2 IP, ER, 0 K, BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 2, "groundOuts": 0, "airOuts": 2, "runs": 1, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 0, "baseOnBalls": 1, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 3, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 17, "inningsPitched": "0.2", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 1, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 1, "battersFaced": 4, "outs": 2, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 17, "balls": 8, "strikes": 9, "strikePercentage": ".530", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "13.50", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849813, "stage": "L", "player_id": 642547, "player": "Freddy Peralta", "stats": { "note": "(W, 1-0)", "summary": "6.0 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 2 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 1, "flyOuts": 5, "groundOuts": 1, "airOuts": 11, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 6, "baseOnBalls": 2, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 4, "hitByPitch": 1, "atBats": 22, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 1, "stolenBasePercentage": "1.000", "numberOfPitches": 99, "inningsPitched": "6.0", "wins": 1, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 25, "outs": 18, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 99, "balls": 31, "strikes": 68, "strikePercentage": ".690", "hitBatsmen": 1, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 1, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 3, "lineOuts": 3 } }, { "date": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849813, "stage": "L", "player_id": 641329, "player": "Bryan Baker", "stats": { "note": "(S, 4)", "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 1, "groundOuts": 1, "airOuts": 1, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 3, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 8, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 1, "saveOpportunities": 1, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 3, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 8, "balls": 1, "strikes": 7, "strikePercentage": ".880", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 1, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } } ], "health_context": "Jax recent elbow-discomfort return, starter/relief transition; Guardians Williams confirmed regular rest and Bailey battery; both bullpens had October14 off-day.", "numeric_adjustment": null, "gate": "Current probable; no automatic workload coefficient or hitter-overlay double count." }, { "event_id": 849818, "canonical_espn_event_id": "401908025", "team": "Cleveland Guardians", "probable_starter": { "id": 668909, "fullName": "Gavin Williams", "link": "/api/v1/people/668909" }, "pitch_hand": { "code": "R", "description": "Right" }, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/schedule?sportId=1&date=2026-10-15&hydrate=probablePitcher", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:40:22.280933+00:00", 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"saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 3, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 6, "balls": 0, "strikes": 6, "strikePercentage": "1.000", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 1, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 1, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849820, "stage": "L", "player_id": 676282, "player": "Joey Cantillo", "stats": { "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 2 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 1, "airOuts": 2, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 0, "baseOnBalls": 2, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 3, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 1, "stolenBasePercentage": "1.000", "numberOfPitches": 17, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 5, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 17, "balls": 9, "strikes": 8, "strikePercentage": ".470", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 1, "lineOuts": 1 } }, { "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849820, "stage": "L", "player_id": 682982, "player": "Daniel Espino", "stats": { "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 0, "airOuts": 0, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 3, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 3, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 14, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 3, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 14, "balls": 4, "strikes": 10, "strikePercentage": ".710", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849820, "stage": "L", "player_id": 681870, "player": "Erik Sabrowski", "stats": { "note": "(H, 2)", "summary": "1.0 IP, ER, K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 1, "airOuts": 1, "runs": 1, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 1, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 4, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 14, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 1, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 1, "battersFaced": 4, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 14, "balls": 3, "strikes": 11, "strikePercentage": ".790", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 1, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "9.00", "homeRunsPer9": "9.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 1 } }, { "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849820, "stage": "L", "player_id": 683769, "player": "Hunter Gaddis", "stats": { "note": "(W, 1-0)", "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 1, "groundOuts": 0, "airOuts": 2, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 4, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 13, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 1, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 4, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 13, "balls": 4, "strikes": 9, "strikePercentage": ".690", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 1 } }, { "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849820, "stage": "L", "player_id": 656492, "player": "Foster Griffin", "stats": { "summary": "4.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 1, "flyOuts": 3, "groundOuts": 1, "airOuts": 8, "runs": 2, "doubles": 1, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 3, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 5, "hitByPitch": 1, "atBats": 16, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 1, "stolenBasePercentage": "1.000", "numberOfPitches": 63, "inningsPitched": "4.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 2, "battersFaced": 18, "outs": 12, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 63, "balls": 21, "strikes": 42, "strikePercentage": ".670", "hitBatsmen": 1, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 2, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "4.50", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 1, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 2, "lineOuts": 3 } }, { "date": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849813, "stage": "L", "player_id": 542888, "player": "Shawn Armstrong", "stats": { "summary": "1.2 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 0, "airOuts": 4, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 6, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 20, "inningsPitched": "1.2", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 6, "outs": 5, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 20, "balls": 5, "strikes": 15, "strikePercentage": ".750", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 2, "lineOuts": 2 } }, { "date": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849813, "stage": "L", "player_id": 677944, "player": "Slade Cecconi", "stats": { "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 1, "airOuts": 0, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 2, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 3, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 16, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 3, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 16, "balls": 4, "strikes": 12, "strikePercentage": ".750", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 1, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849813, "stage": "L", "player_id": 800048, "player": "Parker Messick", "stats": { "note": "(L, 0-2)", "summary": "5.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 2 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 1, "flyOuts": 2, "groundOuts": 7, "airOuts": 3, "runs": 3, "doubles": 1, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 3, "baseOnBalls": 2, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 6, "hitByPitch": 1, "atBats": 19, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 82, "inningsPitched": "5.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 1, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 22, "outs": 15, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 82, "balls": 35, "strikes": 47, "strikePercentage": ".570", "hitBatsmen": 1, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 1, "rbi": 2, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "5.40", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 1, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849813, "stage": "L", "player_id": 682120, "player": "Tim Herrin", "stats": { "summary": "0.1 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 0, "airOuts": 1, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 0, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 1, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 6, "inningsPitched": "0.1", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 1, "outs": 1, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 6, "balls": 2, "strikes": 4, "strikePercentage": ".670", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 1 } } ], "health_context": "Jax recent elbow-discomfort return, starter/relief transition; Guardians Williams confirmed regular rest and Bailey battery; both bullpens had October14 off-day.", "numeric_adjustment": null, "gate": "Current probable; no automatic workload coefficient or hitter-overlay double count." } ], "sources": [ "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/game/849813/boxscore", "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/teams/114/roster/active", "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/teams/139/roster/active", "https://www.mlb.com/news/rays-vs-guardians-alcs-game-3-starting-lineups-and-pitching-matchup" ] }, { "eventId": "401892506", "sport": "NHL", "identity": { "away_name": "Buffalo Sabres", "home_name": "Toronto Maple Leafs", "date": "2026-10-15T23:00Z" }, "market": { "id": "401892506", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892506", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.130710+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.477387+00:00", "home_line": -1.5, "away_line": 1.5, "home_line_price": 200.0, "away_line_price": -245.0, "total": 6.5, "under_line": 6.5, "over_price": -122.0, "under_price": 102.0, "home_ml": -118.0, "away_ml": -102.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -1.5, "average_total": 6.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." }, { "eventId": "401892507", "sport": "NHL", "identity": { "away_name": "New York Islanders", "home_name": "Ottawa Senators", "date": "2026-10-15T23:00Z" }, "market": { "id": "401892507", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892507", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.130710+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.421555+00:00", "home_line": -1.5, "away_line": 1.5, "home_line_price": 164.0, "away_line_price": -198.0, "total": 5.5, "under_line": 5.5, "over_price": -112.0, "under_price": -108.0, "home_ml": -166.0, "away_ml": 140.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -1.5, "average_total": 5.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." }, { "eventId": "401892509", "sport": "NHL", "identity": { "away_name": "Seattle Kraken", "home_name": "Tampa Bay Lightning", "date": "2026-10-15T23:00Z" }, "market": { "id": "401892509", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892509", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.130710+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.414917+00:00", "home_line": -1.5, "away_line": 1.5, "home_line_price": 105.0, "away_line_price": -125.0, "total": 6.5, "under_line": 6.5, "over_price": 102.0, "under_price": -122.0, "home_ml": -258.0, "away_ml": 210.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -1.5, "average_total": 6.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." }, { "eventId": "401892510", "sport": "NHL", "identity": { "away_name": "Vancouver Canucks", "home_name": "Florida Panthers", "date": "2026-10-15T23:00Z" }, "market": { "id": "401892510", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892510", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.130710+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.429271+00:00", "home_line": -1.5, "away_line": 1.5, "home_line_price": -115.0, "away_line_price": -105.0, "total": 6.5, "under_line": 6.5, "over_price": 110.0, "under_price": -130.0, "home_ml": -298.0, "away_ml": 240.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -1.5, "average_total": 6.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." }, { "eventId": "401892511", "sport": "NHL", "identity": { "away_name": "New York Rangers", "home_name": "New Jersey Devils", "date": "2026-10-15T23:00Z" }, "market": { "id": "401892511", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892511", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.130710+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.410107+00:00", "home_line": -1.5, "away_line": 1.5, "home_line_price": 180.0, "away_line_price": -218.0, "total": 5.5, "under_line": 5.5, "over_price": -135.0, "under_price": 114.0, "home_ml": -148.0, "away_ml": 124.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -1.5, "average_total": 5.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." }, { "eventId": "401892508", "sport": "NHL", "identity": { "away_name": "Philadelphia Flyers", "home_name": "Detroit Red Wings", "date": "2026-10-15T23:30Z" }, "market": { "id": "401892508", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892508", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.429271+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.617938+00:00", "home_line": -1.5, "away_line": 1.5, "home_line_price": 185.0, "away_line_price": -225.0, "total": 5.5, "under_line": 5.5, "over_price": -120.0, "under_price": 100.0, "home_ml": -142.0, "away_ml": 120.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -1.5, "average_total": 5.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." }, { "eventId": "401908945", "sport": "NBA", "identity": { "away_name": "Toronto Raptors", "home_name": "New York Knicks", "date": "2026-10-15T23:30Z" }, "market": { "id": "401908945", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908945", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.429271+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.594868+00:00", "home_line": -5.5, "away_line": 5.5, "home_line_price": -115.0, "away_line_price": -105.0, "total": 225.5, "under_line": 225.5, "over_price": -110.0, "under_price": -110.0, "home_ml": -218.0, "away_ml": 180.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -5.5, "average_total": 225.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." }, { "eventId": "401892512", "sport": "NHL", "identity": { "away_name": "Winnipeg Jets", "home_name": "Chicago Blackhawks", "date": "2026-10-16T00:00Z" }, "market": { "id": "401892512", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892512", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.483066+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.667990+00:00", "home_line": 1.5, "away_line": -1.5, "home_line_price": -230.0, "away_line_price": 190.0, "total": 6.5, "under_line": 6.5, "over_price": 110.0, "under_price": -130.0, "home_ml": 114.0, "away_ml": -135.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": 1.5, "average_total": 6.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." }, { "eventId": "401892513", "sport": "NHL", "identity": { "away_name": "San Jose Sharks", "home_name": "Nashville Predators", "date": "2026-10-16T00:00Z" }, "market": { "id": "401892513", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892513", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.586472+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.801632+00:00", "home_line": -1.5, "away_line": 1.5, "home_line_price": 180.0, "away_line_price": -218.0, "total": 6.5, "under_line": 6.5, "over_price": 102.0, "under_price": -122.0, "home_ml": -148.0, "away_ml": 124.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -1.5, "average_total": 6.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." }, { "eventId": "401892514", "sport": "NHL", "identity": { "away_name": "St. Louis Blues", "home_name": "Minnesota Wild", "date": "2026-10-16T00:00Z" }, "market": { "id": "401892514", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892514", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.604238+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.813501+00:00", "home_line": -1.5, "away_line": 1.5, "home_line_price": 180.0, "away_line_price": -218.0, "total": 5.5, "under_line": 5.5, "over_price": -135.0, "under_price": 114.0, "home_ml": -148.0, "away_ml": 124.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -1.5, "average_total": 5.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." }, { "eventId": "401908033", "sport": "MLB", "identity": { "away_name": "Milwaukee Brewers", "home_name": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "date": "2026-10-16T00:00Z" }, "market": { "id": "401908033", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/baseball/mlb/summary?event=401908033", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.604238+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.840262+00:00", "home_line": -1.5, "away_line": 1.5, "home_line_price": 136.0, "away_line_price": -164.0, "total": 7.5, "under_line": 7.5, "over_price": -105.0, "under_price": -115.0, "home_ml": -161.0, "away_ml": 133.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -1.5, "average_total": 7.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "risks": [ { "id": "nlcs-unannounced-starter", "severity": "HIGH", "facts": "Milwaukee Game 4 starter unannounced, Glasnow listed for LAD. Left/right starter and mixed-bullpen role branches retained; prior observed lineups do not confirm October 15 order. Ohtani/Freeman prior limitations remain contingencies, no newly confirmed absence.", "resolution": "Historical staff appearances, current roster and conditional lineup branches retained. Numerical incremental effect unestimated.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "Existing gates apply; no added arbitrary expected-score penalty.", "markets": [ "run_line", "total" ], "unresolved": true, "scope_rule": "Apply to both directions; do not silently lower frozen severity after viewing prices.", "finding": "Milwaukee Game 4 starter unannounced, Glasnow listed for LAD. Left/right starter and mixed-bullpen role branches retained; prior observed lineups do not confirm October 15 order. Ohtani/Freeman prior limitations remain contingencies, no newly confirmed absence. Historical staff appearances, current roster and conditional lineup branches retained. Numerical incremental effect unestimated.", "market_scope_reason": "Apply to both directions; do not silently lower frozen severity after viewing prices." }, { "id": "replacement-reference-conversion", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Aggregate base reference exposure and validated player-specific run conversion unavailable.", "resolution": "Base scores preserved, adjusted estimates null; null is not zero.", "effect_estimate": null, "markets": [ "run_line", "total" ], "unresolved": true, "scope_rule": "Apply to both directions; do not silently lower frozen severity after viewing prices.", "finding": "Aggregate base reference exposure and validated player-specific run conversion unavailable. Base scores preserved, adjusted estimates null; null is not zero.", "market_scope_reason": "Apply to both directions; do not silently lower frozen severity after viewing prices." }, { "id": "mlb-model-disagreement", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Three registered engines disagree on score levels before price capture. Expected totals: Classic 8.846161, Primary 7.281819, Tighten Up ON 8.799383, Tighten Up OFF 8.799383. Signed home margins: Classic 0.151678, Primary -0.187615, Tighten Up ON -0.040123, Tighten Up OFF -0.040123. ON/OFF share arithmetic, not independent votes.", "resolution": "Preserve each frozen score; no averaging into another model. Apply market-specific opposition rule below after capture.", "effect_estimate": null, "unresolved": true, "markets": [ "moneyline", "total" ], "scope_rule": "Using unchanged unrounded means and tolerance1e-9, count this one MEDIUM risk for a market if at least one registered engine favors each opposite direction. Moneyline: signs of home margins. Run line: signs of home margins plus captured average signed home line. Total: signs of totals minus captured average total. A zero/tie blocks unanimity but alone is not opposite-direction disagreement. No risk is counted for this category when all nonzero directions agree.", "tier_consequence": "Adds exactly one unresolved MEDIUM risk to each opposed market, regardless of model count. Two other unresolved MEDIUM risks plus this disagreement means three and market ineligible/PASS. Any existing HIGH risk independently prevents tier eligibility.", "no_added_score_penalty": true, "finding": "Three registered engines disagree on score levels before price capture. Expected totals: Classic 8.846161, Primary 7.281819, Tighten Up ON 8.799383, Tighten Up OFF 8.799383. Signed home margins: Classic 0.151678, Primary -0.187615, Tighten Up ON -0.040123, Tighten Up OFF -0.040123. ON/OFF share arithmetic, not independent votes. Preserve each frozen score; no averaging into another model. Apply market-specific opposition rule below after capture.", "market_scope_reason": "Frozen opposition rule: count one MEDIUM risk only in markets containing both positive and negative engine directions. Tie alone is not opposition.", "computed_opposition": { "moneyline": true, "run_line": false, "total": true } } ], "frozen_preprice_risk_register": [ { "id": "nlcs-unannounced-starter", "severity": "HIGH", "facts": "Milwaukee Game 4 starter unannounced, Glasnow listed for LAD. Left/right starter and mixed-bullpen role branches retained; prior observed lineups do not confirm October 15 order. Ohtani/Freeman prior limitations remain contingencies, no newly confirmed absence.", "resolution": "Historical staff appearances, current roster and conditional lineup branches retained. Numerical incremental effect unestimated.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "Existing gates apply; no added arbitrary expected-score penalty.", "markets": [ "run_line", "total" ], "unresolved": true, "scope_rule": "Apply to both directions; do not silently lower frozen severity after viewing prices." }, { "id": "replacement-reference-conversion", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Aggregate base reference exposure and validated player-specific run conversion unavailable.", "resolution": "Base scores preserved, adjusted estimates null; null is not zero.", "effect_estimate": null, "markets": [ "run_line", "total" ], "unresolved": true, "scope_rule": "Apply to both directions; do not silently lower frozen severity after viewing prices." }, { "id": "mlb-model-disagreement", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Three registered engines disagree on score levels before price capture. Expected totals: Classic 8.846161, Primary 7.281819, Tighten Up ON 8.799383, Tighten Up OFF 8.799383. Signed home margins: Classic 0.151678, Primary -0.187615, Tighten Up ON -0.040123, Tighten Up OFF -0.040123. ON/OFF share arithmetic, not independent votes.", "resolution": "Preserve each frozen score; no averaging into another model. Apply market-specific opposition rule below after capture.", "effect_estimate": null, "unresolved": "CONDITIONAL_ON_DIRECTION_OPPOSITION", "markets": [ "moneyline", "run_line", "total" ], "scope_rule": "Using unchanged unrounded means and tolerance1e-9, count this one MEDIUM risk for a market if at least one registered engine favors each opposite direction. Moneyline: signs of home margins. Run line: signs of home margins plus captured average signed home line. Total: signs of totals minus captured average total. A zero/tie blocks unanimity but alone is not opposite-direction disagreement. No risk is counted for this category when all nonzero directions agree.", "tier_consequence": "Adds exactly one unresolved MEDIUM risk to each opposed market, regardless of model count. Two other unresolved MEDIUM risks plus this disagreement means three and market ineligible/PASS. Any existing HIGH risk independently prevents tier eligibility.", "no_added_score_penalty": true } ], "risk_severity_note": "Frozen severities and preregistered directional scopes retained; no new postprice escalation or extra score penalty.", "models": { "Classic": { "score_away_home": [ 4.347241512345679, 4.498919753086419 ], "home_margin": 0.15167824074073977, "total": 8.846161265432098, "conservative_mode": false, "provisional": true, "run_line": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0, "base_buffer": 1.3483217592592602, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.34832175925926023, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 1, "unresolved_medium_risks": 1, "risk_ids": [ "nlcs-unannounced-starter", "replacement-reference-conversion" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "LEAN", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Milwaukee Brewers", "line": 1.5, "price": -164.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Frozen unresolved HIGH availability risk makes this market ineligible regardless of cushion. Classic/Primary remains provisional and not an authorized live publication configuration.", "stressed_home_margin": 1.1516782407407398 }, "total_gate": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0, "base_buffer": 1.346161265432098, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.346161265432098, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 1, "unresolved_medium_risks": 2, "risk_ids": [ "nlcs-unannounced-starter", "replacement-reference-conversion", "mlb-model-disagreement" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "LEAN", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Over", "line": 7.5, "price": -105.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Frozen unresolved HIGH availability risk makes this market ineligible regardless of cushion. Classic/Primary remains provisional and not an authorized live publication configuration.", "stressed_total_one_run_only": 7.846161265432098 }, "moneyline": { "no_vig_away_probability": 0.4102934934683162, "no_vig_home_probability": 0.5897065065316837, "minimum_edge_probability_points": 5, "model_probability": null, "model_probability_edge": null, "stressed_probability_edge": null, "decision": "PASS", "reason": "Validated frozen model probability unavailable; point means and market no-vig values do not establish model probability edge." }, "calibration_note": "No numeric player overlay; causal effects unestimated, not zero. Gate arithmetic is not probability calibration." }, "Primary": { "score_away_home": [ 3.734716663556523, 3.5471021372203544 ], "home_margin": -0.18761452633616882, "total": 7.281818800776877, "conservative_mode": false, "provisional": true, "run_line": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0, "base_buffer": 1.6876145263361688, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.6876145263361688, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 1, "unresolved_medium_risks": 1, "risk_ids": [ "nlcs-unannounced-starter", "replacement-reference-conversion" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "LEAN", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Milwaukee Brewers", "line": 1.5, "price": -164.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Frozen unresolved HIGH availability risk makes this market ineligible regardless of cushion. Classic/Primary remains provisional and not an authorized live publication configuration.", "stressed_home_margin": 0.8123854736638312 }, "total_gate": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0, "base_buffer": 0.21818119922312285, "base_floor_met": false, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": -0.7818188007768772, "same_side_after_one_run": false, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": false, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": false, "unresolved_high_risks": 1, "unresolved_medium_risks": 2, "risk_ids": [ "nlcs-unannounced-starter", "replacement-reference-conversion", "mlb-model-disagreement" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "NO_EDGE", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Under", "line": 7.5, "price": -115.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks do not all pass. Frozen unresolved HIGH availability risk makes this market ineligible regardless of cushion. Classic/Primary remains provisional and not an authorized live publication configuration.", "stressed_total_one_run_only": 8.281818800776877 }, "moneyline": { "no_vig_away_probability": 0.4102934934683162, "no_vig_home_probability": 0.5897065065316837, "minimum_edge_probability_points": 5, "model_probability": null, "model_probability_edge": null, "stressed_probability_edge": null, "decision": "PASS", "reason": "Validated frozen model probability unavailable; point means and market no-vig values do not establish model probability edge." }, "calibration_note": "No numeric player overlay; causal effects unestimated, not zero. Gate arithmetic is not probability calibration." }, "Tighten Up Conservative ON": { "score_away_home": [ 4.419753086419753, 4.37962962962963 ], "home_margin": -0.04012345679012341, "total": 8.799382716049383, "conservative_mode": true, "provisional": false, "run_line": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.5, "base_buffer": 1.5401234567901234, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.5401234567901234, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 1, "unresolved_medium_risks": 1, "risk_ids": [ "nlcs-unannounced-starter", "replacement-reference-conversion" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "LEAN", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Milwaukee Brewers", "line": 1.5, "price": -164.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Frozen unresolved HIGH availability risk makes this market ineligible regardless of cushion. Conservative ON does not promote unresolved medium availability risk and does not allow Free Picks.", "stressed_home_margin": 0.9598765432098766 }, "total_gate": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.5, "base_buffer": 1.299382716049383, "base_floor_met": false, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.29938271604938294, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": false, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 1, "unresolved_medium_risks": 2, "risk_ids": [ "nlcs-unannounced-starter", "replacement-reference-conversion", "mlb-model-disagreement" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "NO_EDGE", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Over", "line": 7.5, "price": -105.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks do not all pass. Frozen unresolved HIGH availability risk makes this market ineligible regardless of cushion. Conservative ON does not promote unresolved medium availability risk and does not allow Free Picks.", "stressed_total_one_run_only": 7.799382716049383 }, "moneyline": { "no_vig_away_probability": 0.4102934934683162, "no_vig_home_probability": 0.5897065065316837, "minimum_edge_probability_points": 7, "model_probability": null, "model_probability_edge": null, "stressed_probability_edge": null, "decision": "PASS", "reason": "Validated frozen model probability unavailable; point means and market no-vig values do not establish model probability edge." }, "calibration_note": "No numeric player overlay; causal effects unestimated, not zero. Gate arithmetic is not probability calibration." }, "Tighten Up Conservative OFF": { "score_away_home": [ 4.419753086419753, 4.37962962962963 ], "home_margin": -0.04012345679012341, "total": 8.799382716049383, "conservative_mode": false, "provisional": false, "run_line": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0, "base_buffer": 1.5401234567901234, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.5401234567901234, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 1, "unresolved_medium_risks": 1, "risk_ids": [ "nlcs-unannounced-starter", "replacement-reference-conversion" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "LEAN", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Milwaukee Brewers", "line": 1.5, "price": -164.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Frozen unresolved HIGH availability risk makes this market ineligible regardless of cushion.", "stressed_home_margin": 0.9598765432098766 }, "total_gate": { "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0, "base_buffer": 1.299382716049383, "base_floor_met": true, "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0, "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.29938271604938294, "same_side_after_one_run": true, "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true, "numeric_only_gate_pass": true, "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null, "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null, "combined_stress_status": "Frozen one-run case applied once; joint tail remains unestimated, not an extra invented penalty or bound.", "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true, "unresolved_high_risks": 1, "unresolved_medium_risks": 2, "risk_ids": [ "nlcs-unannounced-starter", "replacement-reference-conversion", "mlb-model-disagreement" ], "promotion_allowed": false, "maximum_tier": null, "final_state": "LEAN", "production_decision": "PASS", "selection": "Over", "line": 7.5, "price": -105.0, "reason": "Numerical base-buffer, one-run adverse and price checks pass. Frozen unresolved HIGH availability risk makes this market ineligible regardless of cushion.", "stressed_total_one_run_only": 7.799382716049383 }, "moneyline": { "no_vig_away_probability": 0.4102934934683162, "no_vig_home_probability": 0.5897065065316837, "minimum_edge_probability_points": 5, "model_probability": null, "model_probability_edge": null, "stressed_probability_edge": null, "decision": "PASS", "reason": "Validated frozen model probability unavailable; point means and market no-vig values do not establish model probability edge." }, "calibration_note": "No numeric player overlay; causal effects unestimated, not zero. Gate arithmetic is not probability calibration." } }, "decision": "PASS", "state": "MARKET_SPECIFIC_GATES_COMPLETE", "reason": "No authorized configuration/market clears all numerical, availability, risk-count and activation gates.", "pitching_review": [ { "event_id": 849810, "canonical_espn_event_id": "401908033", "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "probable_starter": null, "pitch_hand": null, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/schedule?sportId=1&date=2026-10-15&hydrate=probablePitcher", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:40:22.280933+00:00", "starter_history": [], "last_actual_appearance": null, "recent_staff_appearances": [ { "date": "2026-09-23T22:40:00Z", "event_id": 823410, "stage": "R", "player_id": 701656, "player": "Logan Henderson", "stats": { "note": "(W, 11-3)", "summary": "5.0 IP, ER, 3 K, 3 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 1, "flyOuts": 5, "groundOuts": 4, "airOuts": 8, "runs": 1, "doubles": 2, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 3, "baseOnBalls": 3, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 4, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 19, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 87, "inningsPitched": "5.0", "wins": 1, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 1, "battersFaced": 22, "outs": 15, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 87, "balls": 36, "strikes": 51, "strikePercentage": ".590", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 1, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "1.80", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 2, "lineOuts": 1 } }, { "date": "2026-09-23T22:40:00Z", "event_id": 823410, "stage": "R", "player_id": 682842, "player": "Abner Uribe", "stats": { "note": "(H, 23)", "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 2, "airOuts": 0, "runs": 0, "doubles": 1, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 4, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 14, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 1, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 4, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 14, "balls": 6, "strikes": 8, "strikePercentage": ".570", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-09-23T22:40:00Z", "event_id": 823410, "stage": "R", "player_id": 669084, "player": "DL Hall", "stats": { "note": "(H, 6)", "summary": "2.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 3, "airOuts": 1, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 2, "baseOnBalls": 1, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 1, "atBats": 7, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 36, "inningsPitched": "2.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 1, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 9, "outs": 6, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 36, "balls": 15, "strikes": 21, "strikePercentage": ".580", "hitBatsmen": 1, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 1 } }, { "date": "2026-09-23T22:40:00Z", "event_id": 823410, "stage": "R", "player_id": 656730, "player": "Trevor Megill", "stats": { "note": "(S, 30)", "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 1, "airOuts": 1, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 3, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 11, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 1, "saveOpportunities": 1, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 3, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 11, "balls": 4, "strikes": 7, "strikePercentage": ".640", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 1, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 1, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-09-24T22:05:00Z", "event_id": 823411, "stage": "R", "player_id": 694477, "player": "Chad Patrick", "stats": { "summary": "1.1 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 2, "airOuts": 2, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 0, "baseOnBalls": 1, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 4, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 16, "inningsPitched": "1.1", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 5, "outs": 4, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 16, "balls": 6, "strikes": 10, "strikePercentage": ".630", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 1, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 2 } }, { "date": "2026-09-24T22:05:00Z", "event_id": 823411, "stage": "R", "player_id": 668941, "player": "JoJo Romero", "stats": { "note": "(W, 3-3)", "summary": "1.1 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 0, "airOuts": 3, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 5, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 17, "inningsPitched": "1.1", "wins": 1, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 5, "outs": 4, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 17, "balls": 7, "strikes": 10, "strikePercentage": ".590", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 2, "lineOuts": 1 } }, { "date": "2026-09-24T22:05:00Z", "event_id": 823411, "stage": "R", "player_id": 675660, "player": "Shane Drohan", "stats": { "summary": "2.2 IP, ER, 2 K, 2 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 1, "flyOuts": 3, "groundOuts": 3, "airOuts": 3, "runs": 1, "doubles": 1, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 2, "baseOnBalls": 2, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 3, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 11, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 47, "inningsPitched": "2.2", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 1, "battersFaced": 13, "outs": 8, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 47, "balls": 17, "strikes": 30, "strikePercentage": ".640", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 1, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "3.38", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-09-24T22:05:00Z", "event_id": 823411, "stage": "R", "player_id": 676879, "player": "Aaron Ashby", "stats": { "summary": "2.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 5, "airOuts": 0, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 2, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 7, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 33, "inningsPitched": "2.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 7, "outs": 6, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 33, "balls": 13, "strikes": 20, "strikePercentage": ".610", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-09-24T22:05:00Z", "event_id": 823411, "stage": "R", "player_id": 622608, "player": "Antonio Senzatela", "stats": { "note": "(S, 4)", "summary": "1.2 IP, 0 ER, K, BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 1, "groundOuts": 2, "airOuts": 2, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 1, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 5, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 19, "inningsPitched": "1.2", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 1, "saveOpportunities": 1, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 6, "outs": 5, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 19, "balls": 7, "strikes": 12, "strikePercentage": ".630", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 1, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 1 } }, { "date": "2026-09-25T23:40:00Z", "event_id": 823735, "stage": "R", "player_id": 682842, "player": "Abner Uribe", "stats": { "note": "(W, 6-3)", "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 2, "airOuts": 0, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 4, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 11, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 1, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 4, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 11, "balls": 2, "strikes": 9, "strikePercentage": ".820", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-09-25T23:40:00Z", "event_id": 823735, "stage": "R", "player_id": 688107, "player": "Robert Gasser", "stats": { "summary": "6.0 IP, ER, 9 K, BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 1, "flyOuts": 2, "groundOuts": 2, "airOuts": 7, "runs": 1, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 1, "strikeOuts": 9, "baseOnBalls": 1, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 19, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 87, "inningsPitched": "6.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 1, "battersFaced": 20, "outs": 18, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 87, "balls": 30, "strikes": 57, "strikePercentage": ".660", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 1, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "1.50", "homeRunsPer9": "1.50", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 2, "lineOuts": 3 } }, { "date": "2026-09-25T23:40:00Z", "event_id": 823735, "stage": "R", "player_id": 669060, "player": "Bryse Wilson", "stats": { "note": "(BS, 1)", "summary": "1.0 IP, 3 ER, K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 2, "airOuts": 0, "runs": 3, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 2, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 3, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 6, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 25, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 1, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 1, "earnedRuns": 3, "battersFaced": 6, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 25, "balls": 8, "strikes": 17, "strikePercentage": ".680", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 3, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "27.00", "homeRunsPer9": "18.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-09-25T23:40:00Z", "event_id": 823735, "stage": "R", "player_id": 656730, "player": "Trevor Megill", "stats": { "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 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0, "strikeOuts": 0, "baseOnBalls": 2, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 3, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 19, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 1, "saveOpportunities": 1, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 5, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 19, "balls": 11, "strikes": 8, "strikePercentage": ".420", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 1, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 1, "lineOuts": 1 } }, { "date": "2026-10-12T21:00:00Z", "event_id": 849812, "stage": "L", "player_id": 701656, "player": "Logan Henderson", "stats": { "summary": "4.0 IP, 2 ER, 2 K, 2 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 1, "flyOuts": 2, "groundOuts": 4, "airOuts": 7, "runs": 4, "doubles": 1, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 2, "baseOnBalls": 2, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 3, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 14, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 64, "inningsPitched": "4.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 2, "battersFaced": 18, "outs": 12, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 64, "balls": 20, "strikes": 44, "strikePercentage": ".690", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 1, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 1, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "9.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 1, "sacFlies": 1, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 1, "lineOuts": 4 } }, { "date": "2026-10-12T21:00:00Z", "event_id": 849812, "stage": "L", "player_id": 682842, "player": "Abner Uribe", "stats": { "note": "(H, 3)", "summary": "1.1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 2, "airOuts": 0, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 2, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 4, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 13, "inningsPitched": "1.1", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 1, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 4, "outs": 4, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 13, "balls": 4, "strikes": 9, "strikePercentage": ".690", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-10-12T21:00:00Z", "event_id": 849812, "stage": "L", "player_id": 668941, "player": "JoJo Romero", "stats": { "note": "(W, 1-1)", "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 1, "airOuts": 0, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 2, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 3, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 13, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 1, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 3, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 13, "balls": 4, "strikes": 9, "strikePercentage": ".690", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-10-12T21:00:00Z", "event_id": 849812, "stage": "L", "player_id": 676879, "player": "Aaron Ashby", "stats": { "note": "(S, 1)", "summary": "1.2 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 1, "groundOuts": 1, "airOuts": 2, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 2, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 5, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 21, "inningsPitched": "1.2", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 1, "saveOpportunities": 1, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 5, "outs": 5, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 21, "balls": 7, "strikes": 14, "strikePercentage": ".670", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 1, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 1 } }, { "date": "2026-10-12T21:00:00Z", "event_id": 849812, "stage": "L", "player_id": 669160, "player": "Dustin May", "stats": { "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 1, "groundOuts": 1, "airOuts": 1, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 2, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 14, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 3, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 14, "balls": 6, "strikes": 8, "strikePercentage": ".570", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 1, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 1, "inheritedRunnersScored": 1, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 1, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-10-15T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849811, "stage": "L", "player_id": 682842, "player": "Abner Uribe", "stats": { "note": "(BS, 1)", "summary": "0.1 IP, 2 ER, K, 3 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 0, "airOuts": 0, "runs": 2, "doubles": 1, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 3, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 2, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 20, "inningsPitched": "0.1", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 1, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 1, "earnedRuns": 2, "battersFaced": 5, "outs": 1, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 20, "balls": 14, "strikes": 6, "strikePercentage": ".300", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 2, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "54.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-10-15T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849811, "stage": "L", "player_id": 688107, "player": "Robert Gasser", "stats": { "summary": "5.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 1, "flyOuts": 8, "groundOuts": 2, "airOuts": 10, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 3, "baseOnBalls": 1, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 3, "hitByPitch": 1, "atBats": 18, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 72, "inningsPitched": "5.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 20, "outs": 15, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 72, "balls": 25, "strikes": 47, "strikePercentage": ".650", "hitBatsmen": 1, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 2 } }, { "date": "2026-10-15T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849811, "stage": "L", "player_id": 669084, "player": "DL Hall", "stats": { "note": "(W, 3-0)", "summary": "2.1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 2, "groundOuts": 2, "airOuts": 3, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 2, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 8, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 28, "inningsPitched": "2.1", "wins": 1, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 8, "outs": 7, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 28, "balls": 6, "strikes": 22, "strikePercentage": ".790", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 2, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 1 } }, { "date": "2026-10-15T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849811, "stage": "L", "player_id": 656730, "player": "Trevor Megill", "stats": { "note": "(S, 4)", "summary": "1.1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 1, "groundOuts": 0, "airOuts": 2, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 2, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 4, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 18, "inningsPitched": "1.1", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 1, "saveOpportunities": 1, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 4, "outs": 4, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 18, "balls": 5, "strikes": 13, "strikePercentage": ".720", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 1, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 1, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 1 } } ], "health_context": "Milwaukee Game4 starter unannounced; recent postseason staff workload retained, no rest deduction or invented fatigue coefficient. Glasnow listed forLAD.", "numeric_adjustment": null, "gate": "HIGH_AVAILABILITY_RISK_PASS: starter unannounced; current roster and recent appearances support conditional LHP/RHP/mixed-bullpen review, no invented role allocation." }, { "event_id": 849810, "canonical_espn_event_id": "401908033", "team": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "probable_starter": { "id": 607192, "fullName": "Tyler Glasnow", "link": "/api/v1/people/607192" }, "pitch_hand": { "code": "R", "description": "Right" }, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/schedule?sportId=1&date=2026-10-15&hydrate=probablePitcher", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:40:22.280933+00:00", "starter_history": [ { "group": { "displayName": "pitching" }, "season": "2024", "stat": { "age": 30, "gamesPlayed": 22, "gamesStarted": 22, "groundOuts": 121, "airOuts": 104, "runs": 53, "doubles": 27, "triples": 2, "homeRuns": 15, "strikeOuts": 168, "baseOnBalls": 35, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 92, "hitByPitch": 0, "avg": ".190", "atBats": 484, "obp": ".244", "slg": ".347", "ops": ".591", "caughtStealing": 4, "stolenBases": 14, "stolenBasePercentage": ".778", "caughtStealingPercentage": ".222", "groundIntoDoublePlay": 10, "numberOfPitches": 2011, "era": "3.49", "inningsPitched": "134.0", "wins": 9, "losses": 6, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 52, "whip": "0.95", "battersFaced": 522, "outs": 402, "gamesPitched": 22, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "strikes": 1309, "strikePercentage": ".650", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 1, "wildPitches": 12, "pickoffs": 0, "totalBases": 168, "groundOutsToAirouts": "1.16", "winPercentage": ".600", "pitchesPerInning": "15.01", "gamesFinished": 0, "strikeoutWalkRatio": "4.80", "strikeoutsPer9Inn": "11.28", "walksPer9Inn": "2.35", "hitsPer9Inn": "6.18", "runsScoredPer9": "3.56", "homeRunsPer9": "1.01", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 2, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 1 }, "team": { "id": 119, "name": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "link": "/api/v1/teams/119" }, "player": { "id": 607192, "fullName": "Tyler Glasnow", "link": "/api/v1/people/607192" }, "league": { "id": 104, "name": "National League", "link": "/api/v1/league/104" }, "sport": { "id": 1, "link": "/api/v1/sports/1", "abbreviation": "MLB" }, "gameType": "R" }, { "group": { "displayName": "pitching" }, "season": "2025", "stat": { "age": 31, "gamesPlayed": 18, "gamesStarted": 18, "groundOuts": 79, "airOuts": 79, "runs": 33, "doubles": 12, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 10, "strikeOuts": 106, "baseOnBalls": 43, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 56, "hitByPitch": 3, "avg": ".177", "atBats": 316, "obp": ".279", "slg": ".310", "ops": ".589", "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 10, "stolenBasePercentage": "1.000", "caughtStealingPercentage": ".000", "groundIntoDoublePlay": 7, "numberOfPitches": 1480, "era": "3.19", "inningsPitched": "90.1", "wins": 4, "losses": 3, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 32, "whip": "1.10", "battersFaced": 366, "outs": 271, "gamesPitched": 18, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "strikes": 893, "strikePercentage": ".600", "hitBatsmen": 3, "balks": 2, "wildPitches": 5, "pickoffs": 0, "totalBases": 98, "groundOutsToAirouts": "1.00", "winPercentage": ".571", "pitchesPerInning": "16.38", "gamesFinished": 0, "strikeoutWalkRatio": "2.47", "strikeoutsPer9Inn": "10.56", "walksPer9Inn": "4.28", "hitsPer9Inn": "5.58", "runsScoredPer9": "3.29", "homeRunsPer9": "1.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 4 }, "team": { "id": 119, "name": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "link": "/api/v1/teams/119" }, "player": { "id": 607192, "fullName": "Tyler Glasnow", "link": "/api/v1/people/607192" }, "league": { "id": 104, "name": "National League", "link": "/api/v1/league/104" }, "sport": { "id": 1, "link": "/api/v1/sports/1", "abbreviation": "MLB" }, "gameType": "R" }, { "group": { "displayName": "pitching" }, "season": 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"event_id": 849812, "stage": "L", "player_id": 681911, "player": "Alex Vesia", "stats": { "summary": "0.1 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 0, "airOuts": 0, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 1, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 4, "inningsPitched": "0.1", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 1, "outs": 1, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 4, "balls": 1, "strikes": 3, "strikePercentage": ".750", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 2, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-10-12T21:00:00Z", "event_id": 849812, "stage": "L", "player_id": 683618, "player": "Edgardo Henriquez", "stats": { "summary": "1.0 IP, 2 ER, 0 K, BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 1, "airOuts": 1, "runs": 2, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 0, "baseOnBalls": 1, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 3, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 5, "caughtStealing": 1, "stolenBases": 1, "stolenBasePercentage": ".500", "numberOfPitches": 21, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 2, "battersFaced": 6, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 21, "balls": 7, "strikes": 14, "strikePercentage": ".670", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 1, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "18.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 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"saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 1, "battersFaced": 6, "outs": 2, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 12, "balls": 3, "strikes": 9, "strikePercentage": ".750", "hitBatsmen": 1, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 1, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "13.50", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 2, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-10-12T21:00:00Z", "event_id": 849812, "stage": "L", "player_id": 808963, "player": "Roki Sasaki", "stats": { "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 2, "airOuts": 0, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 1, "baseOnBalls": 1, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 0, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 3, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", 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"homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 3, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 2, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 7, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 1, "stolenBasePercentage": "1.000", "numberOfPitches": 32, "inningsPitched": "1.2", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 1, "battersFaced": 7, "outs": 5, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 32, "balls": 10, "strikes": 22, "strikePercentage": ".690", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 1, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 1, "gamesFinished": 1, "runsScoredPer9": "5.40", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 2, "inheritedRunnersScored": 1, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 1 } }, { "date": "2026-10-15T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849811, "stage": "L", "player_id": 623465, "player": "Evan Phillips", "stats": { "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 1, "groundOuts": 0, "airOuts": 2, "runs": 0, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 0, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 1, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 3, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 10, "inningsPitched": "1.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 0, "battersFaced": 3, "outs": 3, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 10, "balls": 2, "strikes": 8, "strikePercentage": ".800", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "0.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 1 } }, { "date": "2026-10-15T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849811, "stage": "L", "player_id": 605483, "player": "Blake Snell", "stats": { "note": "(L, 0-1)", "summary": "6.0 IP, 4 ER, 9 K, 2 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 1, "flyOuts": 3, "groundOuts": 5, "airOuts": 4, "runs": 4, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 3, "strikeOuts": 9, "baseOnBalls": 2, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 4, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 22, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 101, "inningsPitched": "6.0", "wins": 0, "losses": 1, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 4, "battersFaced": 24, "outs": 18, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 101, "balls": 38, "strikes": 63, "strikePercentage": ".620", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 4, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "6.00", "homeRunsPer9": "4.50", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 1, "lineOuts": 0 } }, { "date": "2026-10-15T00:00:00Z", "event_id": 849811, "stage": "L", "player_id": 808963, "player": "Roki Sasaki", "stats": { "summary": "0.1 IP, ER, 0 K, 0 BB", "gamesPlayed": 1, "gamesStarted": 0, "flyOuts": 0, "groundOuts": 1, "airOuts": 0, "runs": 1, "doubles": 0, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 0, "strikeOuts": 0, "baseOnBalls": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 2, "hitByPitch": 0, "atBats": 3, "caughtStealing": 0, "stolenBases": 0, "stolenBasePercentage": ".---", "numberOfPitches": 14, "inningsPitched": "0.1", "wins": 0, "losses": 0, "saves": 0, "saveOpportunities": 0, "holds": 0, "blownSaves": 0, "earnedRuns": 1, "battersFaced": 3, "outs": 1, "gamesPitched": 1, "completeGames": 0, "shutouts": 0, "pitchesThrown": 14, "balls": 3, "strikes": 11, "strikePercentage": ".790", "hitBatsmen": 0, "balks": 0, "wildPitches": 0, "pickoffs": 0, "rbi": 0, "gamesFinished": 0, "runsScoredPer9": "27.00", "homeRunsPer9": "0.00", "inheritedRunners": 0, "inheritedRunnersScored": 0, "catchersInterference": 0, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 0, "passedBall": 0, "popOuts": 0, "lineOuts": 0 } } ], "health_context": "Milwaukee Game4 starter unannounced; recent postseason staff workload retained, no rest deduction or invented fatigue coefficient. Glasnow listed forLAD.", "numeric_adjustment": null, "gate": "Current probable; no automatic workload coefficient or hitter-overlay double count." } ], "sources": [ "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/game/849811/boxscore", "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/game/849812/boxscore", "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/teams/119/roster/active", "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/teams/158/roster/active", "https://www.mlb.com/brewers/news/brewers-2026-nlcs-roster" ] }, { "eventId": "401908622", "sport": "NBA", "identity": { "away_name": "Oklahoma City Thunder", "home_name": "Houston Rockets", "date": "2026-10-16T00:30Z" }, "market": { "id": "401908622", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908622", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.617938+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.821454+00:00", "home_line": 3.5, "away_line": -3.5, "home_line_price": -105.0, "away_line_price": -115.0, "total": 224.5, "under_line": 224.5, "over_price": -110.0, "under_price": -110.0, "home_ml": 136.0, "away_ml": -162.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": 3.5, "average_total": 224.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." }, { "eventId": "401892515", "sport": "NHL", "identity": { "away_name": "Utah Mammoth", "home_name": "Edmonton Oilers", "date": "2026-10-16T01:00Z" }, "market": { "id": "401892515", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892515", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.667990+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.862020+00:00", "home_line": -1.5, "away_line": 1.5, "home_line_price": 180.0, "away_line_price": -218.0, "total": 6.5, "under_line": 6.5, "over_price": -112.0, "under_price": -108.0, "home_ml": -130.0, "away_ml": 110.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -1.5, "average_total": 6.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." }, { "eventId": "401892516", "sport": "NHL", "identity": { "away_name": "Calgary Flames", "home_name": "Vegas Golden Knights", "date": "2026-10-16T02:00Z" }, "market": { "id": "401892516", "quotes": [ { "provider": "DraftKings", "provider_id": "100", "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892516", "requested_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.811283+00:00", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-15T05:55:47.957729+00:00", "home_line": -1.5, "away_line": 1.5, "home_line_price": -125.0, "away_line_price": 105.0, "total": 6.5, "under_line": 6.5, "over_price": 105.0, "under_price": -125.0, "home_ml": -305.0, "away_ml": 245.0, "draw_ml": null, "moneyline_scope": "Game winner", "moneyline_complete": true, "spread_complete": true, "total_complete": true } ], "average_home_line": -1.5, "average_total": 6.5, "spread_quote_count": 1, "total_quote_count": 1, "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus" }, "market_missing": false, "website_excluded": false, "research_record_retained": true, "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE", "state": "TRACKING_ONLY", "reason": "Standing activation remains absent. Market availability does not activate wagering." } ], "qa": { "event_count": 15, "MLB_count": 2, "tracking_count": 13, "frozen_inputs_rehashed": true, "risk_assessment": "Retained frozen severity; two MEDIUM downgrade, three MEDIUM or any HIGH PASS.", "package_semantics": "Completed PASS decisions do not inherently block packaging; final-confirmation uncertainty and unestimated effects remain visible." } }