{ "createdUtc": "2026-10-14T10:49:51.984078+00:00", "reviewers": "Three independent agents plus parent; seven named desks share reviewers.", "events": [ { "eventId": "401871054", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Kennesaw State Owls: Zion Booker OUT / season-ending confirmed; Booker established slot20catches/161 loses remaining-season opportunities; Munroe moved slot and Gary entered starting lineup Oct7, with Dean/Rogers rotation. Bullock prior primaryTE832/884TEsnaps; if still limited, Jesiolowski/Harrold cover TE routes/blocking. No exact future target-share forecast available.; Gerard Bullock Jr. UNRESOLVED / conditional continued absence; Booker established slot20catches/161 loses remaining-season opportunities; Munroe moved slot and Gary entered starting lineup Oct7, with Dean/Rogers rotation. Bullock prior primaryTE832/884TEsnaps; if still limited, Jesiolowski/Harrold cover TE routes/blocking. No exact future target-share forecast available. Missouri State Bears: Covered QB/RB/WR/TE roles screened; no qualifying trigger.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 13 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 12 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2916 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: Documented NCAA mismatch v1: 50/50 prior/current matchup, bounded \u00b110 0.20 strength correction, home +1.5 if nonneutral, scores clipped 3\u201370. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. away: 13 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 12 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2916 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: Documented NCAA mismatch v1: 50/50 prior/current matchup, bounded \u00b110 0.20 strength correction, home +1.5 if nonneutral, scores clipped 3\u201370. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Registered baseline unchanged; ON/OFF identical; human overlay separated from unestimated statistical changes; overlap explicit.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Robert W. Plaster Stadium; listed 2026-10-14T23:30Z. Official current game notes and NCAA full weekly query corroborate matchup. KSU7days / MissouriState6days between starts; host returns from Kentucky and visitor travels west one time zone. Official host actual kickoff7:32PMET versus schedule7:30PMET. Personnel scenarios in football-replacement-ledger.json; no final active certification.", "details": { "event_id": "401871054", "sport": "NCAAF", "away": "Kennesaw State Owls", "home": "Missouri State Bears", "start_et": "2026-10-14T19:30:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T23:30Z", "venue": { "id": "3878", "fullName": "Robert W. Plaster Stadium", "address": { "city": "Springfield", "state": "MO", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": false }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Wed, October 14th at 7:30 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/14 - 7:30 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/scoreboard?dates=20261014&limit=1000&groups=80", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:38:26.766225+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://sdataprod.ncaa.com?meta=GetContests_web&extensions=%7B%22persistedQuery%22%3A%7B%22version%22%3A1%2C%22sha256Hash%22%3A%224bcb5e6432fa9da365c0c19af01b1f9015cc7eb5c21e7af2dba308784a166df7%22%7D%7D&queryName=GetContests_web&variables=%7B%22sportCode%22%3A%22MFB%22%2C%22division%22%3A11%2C%22seasonYear%22%3A2026%2C%22contestDate%22%3Anull%2C%22week%22%3A7%7D", "https://ksuowls.com/news/2026/10/11/football-readies-for-return-to-springfield-to-face-missouri-state.aspx", "https://missouristatebears.com/news/2026/10/11/football-bears-back-home-wednesday-to-take-on-defending-cusa-champions" ], "context": [ "Official current game notes and NCAA full weekly query corroborate matchup.", "KSU7days / MissouriState6days between starts; host returns from Kentucky and visitor travels west one time zone. Official host actual kickoff7:32PMET versus schedule7:30PMET.", "Personnel scenarios in football-replacement-ledger.json; no final active certification." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Kennesaw State Owls", "previous_game": { "id": "401871051", "date": "2026-10-07T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2026, "neutral": false, "sport": "NCAAF", "away": "55", "away_name": "Jacksonville State Gamecocks", "away_score": 27.0, "home": "338", "home_name": "Kennesaw State Owls", "home_score": 26.0, "day": 20733.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 7, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Missouri State Bears", "previous_game": { "id": "401871052", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2026, "neutral": false, "sport": "NCAAF", "venue": { "id": "3796", "fullName": "Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium", "indoor": false, "address": { "city": "Bowling Green", "state": "KY", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "2623", "away_name": "Missouri State Bears", "away_score": 13.0, "home": "98", "home_name": "Western Kentucky Hilltoppers", "home_score": 34.0, "day": 20734.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 6, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." } ], "weather": { "source": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SGF/68,35/forecast/hourly", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:39:17.935708+00:00", "updateTime": "2026-10-14T09:51:07+00:00", "periods": [ { "number": 14, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T18:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 74, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 36 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 21.666666666666668 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 90 }, "windSpeed": "6 mph", "windDirection": "N", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra,40?size=small", "shortForecast": "Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 15, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 74, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 25 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 21.11111111111111 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 87 }, "windSpeed": "5 mph", "windDirection": "NE", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_sct,30?size=small", "shortForecast": "Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 16, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 73, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 27 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 21.11111111111111 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 90 }, "windSpeed": "5 mph", "windDirection": "NE", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_sct,30?size=small", "shortForecast": "Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 17, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 71, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 23 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 20.555555555555557 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 93 }, "windSpeed": "6 mph", "windDirection": "E", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_sct,20?size=small", "shortForecast": "Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 18, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T23:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 71, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 22 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 20.555555555555557 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 93 }, "windSpeed": "6 mph", "windDirection": "E", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_hi,20?size=small", "shortForecast": "Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms", "detailedForecast": "" } ], "interpretation": "Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment." }, "stage_label": "FBS / CUSA regular season" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:39:17.935708+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T09:51:07+00:00; periods: number: 14; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T18:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 74; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 36; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 21.666666666666668; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 90; windSpeed: 6 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra,40?size=small; shortForecast: Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 15; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 74; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 25; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 21.11111111111111; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 87; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: NE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_sct,30?size=small; shortForecast: Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 73; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 27; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 21.11111111111111; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 90; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: NE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_sct,30?size=small; shortForecast: Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 71; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 23; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 20.555555555555557; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 93; windSpeed: 6 mph; windDirection: E; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_sct,20?size=small; shortForecast: Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 18; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 71; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 22; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 20.555555555555557; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 93; windSpeed: 6 mph; windDirection: E; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_hi,20?size=small; shortForecast: Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "details": { "source": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SGF/68,35/forecast/hourly", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:39:17.935708+00:00", "updateTime": "2026-10-14T09:51:07+00:00", "periods": [ { "number": 14, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T18:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 74, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 36 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 21.666666666666668 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 90 }, "windSpeed": "6 mph", "windDirection": "N", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra,40?size=small", "shortForecast": "Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 15, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 74, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 25 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 21.11111111111111 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 87 }, "windSpeed": "5 mph", "windDirection": "NE", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_sct,30?size=small", "shortForecast": "Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 16, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 73, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 27 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 21.11111111111111 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 90 }, "windSpeed": "5 mph", "windDirection": "NE", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_sct,30?size=small", "shortForecast": "Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 17, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 71, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 23 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 20.555555555555557 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 93 }, "windSpeed": "6 mph", "windDirection": "E", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_sct,20?size=small", "shortForecast": "Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 18, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T23:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 71, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 22 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 20.555555555555557 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 93 }, "windSpeed": "6 mph", "windDirection": "E", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_hi,20?size=small", "shortForecast": "Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms", "detailedForecast": "" } ], "interpretation": "Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment." }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH_IF_NOT_ROBUST", "risk": "KSU mainWR out, primaryTE unresolved", "detail": "Booker season-ending loss confirmed. Bullock prior3misses; current return not certified. Review production-3 plus baseline and possible separate-loss-6 sensitivity with ordinary gates.", "markets": [ "winner", "spread", "total" ], "resolved": false } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH_IF_NOT_ROBUST", "risk": "KSU mainWR out, primaryTE unresolved", "detail": "Booker season-ending loss confirmed. Bullock prior3misses; current return not certified. Review production-3 plus baseline and possible separate-loss-6 sensitivity with ordinary gates.", "markets": [ "winner", "spread", "total" ], "resolved": false } ] }, { "eventId": "401892504", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "MTL: Matheson day-to-day missed October13; Engstrom/Xhekaj actual defense depth and Hutson/Dobson PP roles retained. Demidov/Kapanen prior absences remain in observed redistribution. Struble October9 trade reviewed for Montreal and Nashville; cannot count sending-player absence twice. WSH: Dubois illness missed road trip; current actual Jenner/Protas/Strome center opportunities retained. Home return conditional, no current clearance. Roy IR and Sandin LTIR; Holl actual deployment now observed. Tuch played October13 so old maintenance is not confirmed absence.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current. Primary uses 2857 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. Projected winners disagree; preserve each engine direction. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Capital One Arena; listed 2026-10-14T23:30Z. Official regular-season gameType2 matched. Both clubs played Oct13; back-to-back travel/goalie uncertainty retained.", "details": { "event_id": "401892504", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Montreal Canadiens", "home": "Washington Capitals", "start_et": "2026-10-14T19:30:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T23:30Z", "venue": { "id": "1823", "fullName": "Capital One Arena", "address": { "city": "Washington", "state": "DC", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Wed, October 14th at 7:30 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/14 - 7:30 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261014&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:38:26.807727+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-13" ], "context": [ "Official regular-season gameType2 matched. Both clubs played Oct13; back-to-back travel/goalie uncertainty retained." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Montreal Canadiens", "previous_game": { "id": "401892490", "date": "2026-10-13T22:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1831", "fullName": "Bell Centre", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Montreal", "state": "QC", "country": "Canada" } }, "away": "2", "away_name": "Buffalo Sabres", "away_score": 3.0, "home": "10", "home_name": "Montreal Canadiens", "home_score": 4.0, "day": 20739.9375 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Washington Capitals", "previous_game": { "id": "401892491", "date": "2026-10-13T22:45Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "999", "fullName": "Lenovo Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Raleigh", "state": "NC", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "23", "away_name": "Washington Capitals", "away_score": 2.0, "home": "7", "home_name": "Carolina Hurricanes", "home_score": 4.0, "day": 20739.947916666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020106, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401898404", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Miami Heat: Larsson doubtful with lingering headaches per October13 update; prior25-minute actual role requires exclusion branch. Latest reserve-heavy reference omits Adebayo/Antetokounmpo/Mitchell/Thompson/Wiggins; prior actual regular-led rotations retained as return branches. No DTD promoted to confirmed absence. Brooklyn Nets: Sharpe returned from shoulder issue for21minutes October12; use actual participation over old injury flag. Randle/Porter/Demin first-unit and Clowney reserve creation retained. Brown/Jefferson unresolved; Brown/Dainja waived removed from alternatives.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current. Primary uses 2791 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2026 season-label full regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean with retained venue term. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NBA preseason rotations are conditional reference allocations, not confirmed minutes.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Kaseya Center; listed 2026-10-14T23:30Z. Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs BKN 7:30 pm ET Kaseya Center Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation.", "details": { "event_id": "401898404", "sport": "NBA", "away": "Brooklyn Nets", "home": "Miami Heat", "start_et": "2026-10-14T19:30:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T23:30Z", "venue": { "id": "3438", "fullName": "Kaseya Center", "address": { "city": "Miami", "state": "FL" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 1, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0.0", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Wed, October 14th at 7:30 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/14 - 7:30 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/scoreboard?dates=20261014&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:38:25.962999+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/team/1610612748/schedule" ], "context": [ "Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs BKN 7:30 pm ET Kaseya Center Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Brooklyn Nets", "previous_game": { "id": "401901824", "date": "2026-10-12T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "1823", "fullName": "Capital One Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Washington", "state": "DC" } }, "away": "17", "away_name": "Brooklyn Nets", "away_score": 131.0, "home": "27", "home_name": "Washington Wizards", "home_score": 122.0, "day": 20738.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Miami Heat", "previous_game": { "id": "401898397", "date": "2026-10-11T00:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "3438", "fullName": "Kaseya Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Miami", "state": "FL" } }, "away": "16", "away_name": "Minnesota Timberwolves", "away_score": 125.0, "home": "14", "home_name": "Miami Heat", "home_score": 124.0, "day": 20737.0 }, "days_between_start_dates": 4, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "stage_label": "Preseason / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401898405", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Boston Celtics: Tatum/George/White latest first unit, Pritchard26-year role remains substantial off bench; Carter illness and Harper shoulder separate from coach DNPs. Garza played then DTD: conditional absence branch, no assumed OUT. Charlotte Hornets: Schroder/Miller/McNeeley/Reid/Diabate latest reference, Sion James and Connaughton reserve guards. Allen/Anderson/Boswell/Knueppel/White/Grant Williams absent or uncertain; no hypothetical full-healthy reference. Hield/Dillingham/Nembhard trade/current-membership distinctions retained.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current. Primary uses 2791 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2026 season-label full regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean with retained venue term. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NBA preseason rotations are conditional reference allocations, not confirmed minutes.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "TD Garden; listed 2026-10-14T23:30Z. Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs CHA 7:30 pm ET TD Garden Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation.", "details": { "event_id": "401898405", "sport": "NBA", "away": "Charlotte Hornets", "home": "Boston Celtics", "start_et": "2026-10-14T19:30:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T23:30Z", "venue": { "id": "1824", "fullName": "TD Garden", "address": { "city": "Boston", "state": "MA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 1, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0.0", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Wed, October 14th at 7:30 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/14 - 7:30 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/scoreboard?dates=20261014&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:38:25.962999+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/team/1610612738/schedule" ], "context": [ "Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs CHA 7:30 pm ET TD Garden Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "previous_game": { "id": "401901821", "date": "2026-10-11T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "1893", "fullName": "Spectrum Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Charlotte", "state": "NC" } }, "away": "15", "away_name": "Milwaukee Bucks", "away_score": 90.0, "home": "30", "home_name": "Charlotte Hornets", "home_score": 105.0, "day": 20737.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Boston Celtics", "previous_game": { "id": "401898398", "date": "2026-10-11T00:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "1824", "fullName": "TD Garden", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Boston", "state": "MA" } }, "away": "20", "away_name": "Philadelphia 76ers", "away_score": 106.0, "home": "2", "home_name": "Boston Celtics", "home_score": 144.0, "day": 20737.0 }, "days_between_start_dates": 4, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "stage_label": "Preseason / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "761860", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Orlando City SC: Marco Pa\u0161ali\u0107 (out), Tyrese Spicer (out), Griffin Dorsey (questionable), Braian Ojeda (questionable). Toronto FC: Jonathan Osorio (out), Nelson Palacio (out), Walker Zimmerman (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "BMO Field; 2026-10-14T23:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:18.110752+00:00; forecast_excerpt: Detailed Forecast Forecast issued : 5:00 AM EDT Wednesday 14 October 2026\nDate Detailed Forecast\nToday Cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers this morning. Wind northwest 20 km/h. High 17. UV index 2 or low.\nTonight Cloudy. Wind northwest 20 km/h becoming northeast 20 after midnight. Low 6.\nThu , 15 Oct Cloudy. Wind east 20 km/h. High 13. UV index 3 or moderate.\nNight Periods of rain. Low 10.\nFri , 16 Oct Showers. High 14.\nNight Cloudy periods with 40 percent chance of showers. Windy. Low plus 1.\nSat , 17 Oct Sunny. High 9.\nNight Clear. Low plus 2.\nSun , 18 Oct Sunny. High 14.\nNight Cloudy periods. Low 7.\nMon , 19 Oct A mix of sun and cloud. High 16.\nNight Cloudy periods. Low 8.\nTue , 20 Oct A mix of sun and cloud. High 15.\nNormals Max 14 \u00b0 C . Min 6 \u00b0 C . Sunrise 7:30 EDT Sunset 18:36 EDT\nDetailed Forecast Forecast issued : 5:00 AM EDT Wednesday 14 October 2026\nToday 17\u00b0 C\nCloudy. 30 percent chance of showers this morning. Wind northwest 20 km/h. High 17. UV index 2 or low.\nTonight 6\u00b0 C\nCloudy. Wind northwest 20 km/h becoming northeast 20 after midnight. Low 6.\nThu , 15 Oct 13\u00b0 C\nClou; interpretation: Official ECCC daily/tonight forecast, not precise stadium hourly measurement. No numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "761861", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "New York City FC: Drew Baiera (out), Arnau Farn\u00f3s (out), Maxi Moralez (out), Keaton Parks (out), Kai Trewin (out). Inter Miami CF: Tadeo Allende (out), Yannick Bright (out), Mateo Silvetti (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Nu Stadium; 2026-10-14T23:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:19.357058+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T08:41:24+00:00; periods: number: 14; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 83; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 20; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 24.444444444444443; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 80; windSpeed: 12 mph; windDirection: NE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_hi,20?size=small; shortForecast: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 15; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 82; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 22; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 23.88888888888889; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 79; windSpeed: 9 mph; windDirection: E; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_hi,20?size=small; shortForecast: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 81; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 25; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 24.444444444444443; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 85; windSpeed: 9 mph; windDirection: E; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_hi,30?size=small; shortForecast: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 81; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 25; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 24.444444444444443; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 85; windSpeed: 8 mph; windDirection: E; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_hi,30?size=small; shortForecast: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "761862", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "New England Revolution: Leo Campana (out), Mamadou Fofana (out), Jack Harrison (out), Alhassan Yusuf (out). FC Cincinnati: Jos\u00e9 Mart\u00ednez (out), Miles Robinson (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "TQL Stadium; 2026-10-14T23:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:19.420658+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T08:00:29+00:00; periods: number: 14; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 76; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 51; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 22.77777777777778; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 90; windSpeed: 3 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra,50?size=small; shortForecast: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 15; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 74; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 72; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 22.22222222222222; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 93; windSpeed: 2 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra,70?size=small; shortForecast: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely; detailedForecast: ; number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 73; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 66; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 22.22222222222222; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 97; windSpeed: 2 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra,70?size=small; shortForecast: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 71; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 50; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 21.666666666666668; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 100; windSpeed: 2 mph; windDirection: NE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra,50?size=small; shortForecast: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "761863", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Red Bull New York: no listed absences. D.C. United: Hosei Kijima (out), Louis Munteanu (out), Gabe Segal (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Audi Field; 2026-10-14T23:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:19.298073+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T08:53:04+00:00; periods: number: 14; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 82; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 11; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 20; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 63; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: W; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/sct?size=small; shortForecast: Partly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; number: 15; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 78; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 26; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 20.555555555555557; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 74; windSpeed: 3 mph; windDirection: NW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_hi,30?size=small; shortForecast: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 77; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 24; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 20.555555555555557; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 76; windSpeed: 3 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_hi,20?size=small; shortForecast: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 75; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 20; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 20.555555555555557; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 82; windSpeed: 3 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_hi,20?size=small; shortForecast: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "761864", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Atlanta United FC: Tomas Jacob (out), Will Reilly (out). CF Montr\u00e9al: Brayan Ceballos (out), Thomas Gillier (out), Bode Hidalgo (out), Brayan Vera (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Stade Saputo; 2026-10-14T23:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:17.805507+00:00; forecast_excerpt: Detailed Forecast Forecast issued : 5:00 AM EDT Wednesday 14 October 2026\nDate Detailed Forecast\nToday Periods of drizzle ending near noon then mainly cloudy. Fog patches dissipating early this morning. Wind north 20 km/h becoming west 20 this morning. High 14. UV index 3 or moderate.\nTonight Mainly cloudy. Clearing before morning. Wind northwest 20 km/h. Low plus 5.\nThu , 15 Oct Mainly sunny. High 12. UV index 4 or moderate.\nNight Cloudy. Low plus 5.\nFri , 16 Oct Rain. High 9.\nNight Periods of rain. Low plus 2.\nSat , 17 Oct Sunny. High 7.\nNight Clear. Low plus 1.\nSun , 18 Oct Sunny. High 9.\nNight Clear. Low plus 4.\nMon , 19 Oct Sunny. High 16.\nNight Clear. Low 6.\nTue , 20 Oct Sunny. High 15.\nNormals Max 12 \u00b0 C . Min 3 \u00b0 C . Sunrise 7:09 EDT Sunset 18:11 EDT\nDetailed Forecast Forecast issued : 5:00 AM EDT Wednesday 14 October 2026\nToday 14\u00b0 C\nPeriods of drizzle ending near noon then mainly cloudy. Fog patches dissipating early this morning. Wind north 20 km/h becoming west 20 this morning. High 14. UV index 3 or moderate.\nTonight 5\u00b0 C\nMainly cloudy. Clearing before morning. Wind nort; interpretation: Official ECCC daily/tonight forecast, not precise stadium hourly measurement. No numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "761865", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Charlotte FC: Nimfasha Berchimas (out), Archie Goodwin (out), Aron John (out). Columbus Crew: Wessam Abou Ali (out), Rudy Camacho (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "ScottsMiracle-Gro Field; 2026-10-14T23:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:19.350730+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T08:00:29+00:00; periods: number: 14; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 74; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 64; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 19.444444444444443; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 79; windSpeed: 8 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra,60?size=small; shortForecast: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely; detailedForecast: ; number: 15; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 71; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 45; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 18.88888888888889; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 84; windSpeed: 8 mph; windDirection: NE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/rain_showers,50?size=small; shortForecast: Chance Rain Showers; detailedForecast: ; number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 69; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 31; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 18.88888888888889; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 90; windSpeed: 8 mph; windDirection: NE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/rain_showers,30?size=small; shortForecast: Chance Rain Showers; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-04:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-04:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 68; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 25; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 18.333333333333332; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 90; windSpeed: 8 mph; windDirection: NE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/rain_showers,30?size=small; shortForecast: Chance Rain Showers; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "401871068", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: Covered QB/RB/WR/TE roles screened; no qualifying trigger. Sam Houston Bearkats: Covered QB/RB/WR/TE roles screened; no qualifying trigger.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 12 prior regular-season games, 6 current; home: 12 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2916 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: Documented NCAA mismatch v1: 50/50 prior/current matchup, bounded \u00b110 0.20 strength correction, home +1.5 if nonneutral, scores clipped 3\u201370. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. away: 12 prior regular-season games, 6 current; home: 12 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2916 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: Documented NCAA mismatch v1: 50/50 prior/current matchup, bounded \u00b110 0.20 strength correction, home +1.5 if nonneutral, scores clipped 3\u201370. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Registered baseline unchanged; ON/OFF identical; human overlay separated from unestimated statistical changes; overlap explicit.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Elliott T. Bowers Stadium; listed 2026-10-15T00:00Z. Official current game notes and NCAA full weekly query corroborate matchup. WKU/Sam both6days between starts; Sam returns from Liberty; WKU travels to Huntsville. Broadcast upgraded to ESPN; kickoff8PMET unchanged. Personnel scenarios in football-replacement-ledger.json; no final active certification.", "details": { "event_id": "401871068", "sport": "NCAAF", "away": "Western Kentucky Hilltoppers", "home": "Sam Houston Bearkats", "start_et": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-15T00:00Z", "venue": { "id": "3647", "fullName": "Elliott T. Bowers Stadium", "address": { "city": "Huntsville", "state": "TX", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": false }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Wed, October 14th at 8:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/14 - 8:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/scoreboard?dates=20261014&limit=1000&groups=80", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:38:26.766225+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://sdataprod.ncaa.com?meta=GetContests_web&extensions=%7B%22persistedQuery%22%3A%7B%22version%22%3A1%2C%22sha256Hash%22%3A%224bcb5e6432fa9da365c0c19af01b1f9015cc7eb5c21e7af2dba308784a166df7%22%7D%7D&queryName=GetContests_web&variables=%7B%22sportCode%22%3A%22MFB%22%2C%22division%22%3A11%2C%22seasonYear%22%3A2026%2C%22contestDate%22%3Anull%2C%22week%22%3A7%7D", "https://wkusports.com/news/2026/10/12/football-hilltoppers-travel-to-sam-houston-for-midweek-matchup", "https://gobearkats.com/news/2026/10/12/football-game-6-preview-vs-wku" ], "context": [ "Official current game notes and NCAA full weekly query corroborate matchup.", "WKU/Sam both6days between starts; Sam returns from Liberty; WKU travels to Huntsville. Broadcast upgraded to ESPN; kickoff8PMET unchanged.", "Personnel scenarios in football-replacement-ledger.json; no final active certification." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Western Kentucky Hilltoppers", "previous_game": { "id": "401871052", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2026, "neutral": false, "sport": "NCAAF", "venue": { "id": "3796", "fullName": "Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium", "indoor": false, "address": { "city": "Bowling Green", "state": "KY", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "2623", "away_name": "Missouri State Bears", "away_score": 13.0, "home": "98", "home_name": "Western Kentucky Hilltoppers", "home_score": 34.0, "day": 20734.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 6, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Sam Houston Bearkats", "previous_game": { "id": "401870766", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2026, "neutral": false, "sport": "NCAAF", "venue": { "id": "3992", "fullName": "Williams Stadium (VA)", "indoor": false, "address": { "city": "Lynchburg", "state": "VA", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "2534", "away_name": "Sam Houston Bearkats", "away_score": 3.0, "home": "2335", "home_name": "Liberty Flames", "home_score": 35.0, "day": 20734.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 6, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." } ], "weather": { "source": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/HGX/57,137/forecast/hourly", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:39:18.047172+00:00", "updateTime": "2026-10-14T06:21:38+00:00", "periods": [ { "number": 15, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 82, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 5 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 19.444444444444443 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 61 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "SE", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small", "shortForecast": "Mostly Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 16, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 79, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 5 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 19.444444444444443 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 67 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "SE", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 17, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 77, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 5 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 19.444444444444443 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 71 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "SE", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 18, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T23:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 75, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 20 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 79 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "S", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small", "shortForecast": "Mostly Clear", "detailedForecast": "" } ], "interpretation": "Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment." }, "stage_label": "FBS / CUSA regular season" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:39:18.047172+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T06:21:38+00:00; periods: number: 15; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 82; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 5; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 19.444444444444443; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 61; windSpeed: 10 mph; windDirection: SE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 79; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 5; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 19.444444444444443; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 67; windSpeed: 10 mph; windDirection: SE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 77; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 5; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 19.444444444444443; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 71; windSpeed: 10 mph; windDirection: SE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 18; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 75; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 20; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 79; windSpeed: 10 mph; windDirection: S; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Clear; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "details": { "source": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/HGX/57,137/forecast/hourly", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:39:18.047172+00:00", "updateTime": "2026-10-14T06:21:38+00:00", "periods": [ { "number": 15, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 82, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 5 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 19.444444444444443 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 61 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "SE", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small", "shortForecast": "Mostly Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 16, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 79, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 5 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 19.444444444444443 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 67 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "SE", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 17, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 77, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 5 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 19.444444444444443 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 71 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "SE", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 18, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T23:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 75, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 20 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 79 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "S", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small", "shortForecast": "Mostly Clear", "detailedForecast": "" } ], "interpretation": "Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment." }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "LOW", "risk": "QB choices and college final availability", "detail": "Current official covered-role review establishes no unavailable starter. QB OR/rotations and Sam freshmanOL are documented context, not fabricated injury severity. Final availability report pending standard pregame timing.", "markets": [ "winner", "spread", "total" ], "resolved": false } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "LOW", "risk": "QB choices and college final availability", "detail": "Current official covered-role review establishes no unavailable starter. QB OR/rotations and Sam freshmanOL are documented context, not fabricated injury severity. Final availability report pending standard pregame timing.", "markets": [ "winner", "spread", "total" ], "resolved": false } ] }, { "eventId": "401898722", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "San Antonio Spurs: October12 reserve-led game excludes Wembanyama/Fox/Castle/Harper/Vassell. Preserve earlier actual rotations for conditional returns, not perpetual reserve-only expectation. Harris calf and Quaintance knee separate; waived RJ Davis removed and15reference minutes redistributed. Phoenix Suns: Booker rested latest game; Green/Kennard actual shots and creation tracked. Booker/Bridges returns conditional. Williams Out; Maluach/Ighodaro demonstrated center share without invented permanent starter decision.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current. Primary uses 2791 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2026 season-label full regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean with retained venue term. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NBA preseason rotations are conditional reference allocations, not confirmed minutes.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Frost Bank Center; listed 2026-10-15T00:00Z. Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs PHX 8:00 pm ET Frost Bank Center Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation.", "details": { "event_id": "401898722", "sport": "NBA", "away": "Phoenix Suns", "home": "San Antonio Spurs", "start_et": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-15T00:00Z", "venue": { "id": "780", "fullName": "Frost Bank Center", "address": { "city": "San Antonio", "state": "TX" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 1, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0.0", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Wed, October 14th at 8:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/14 - 8:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/scoreboard?dates=20261014&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:38:25.962999+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/team/1610612759/schedule" ], "context": [ "Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs PHX 8:00 pm ET Frost Bank Center Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Phoenix Suns", "previous_game": { "id": "401898720", "date": "2026-10-11T02:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "1949", "fullName": "Mortgage Matchup Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Phoenix", "state": "AZ" } }, "away": "24", "away_name": "San Antonio Spurs", "away_score": 98.0, "home": "21", "home_name": "Phoenix Suns", "home_score": 102.0, "day": 20737.104166666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 4, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." }, { "side": "home", "team": "San Antonio Spurs", "previous_game": { "id": "401898721", "date": "2026-10-13T01:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "3093", "fullName": "Delta Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Salt Lake City", "state": "UT" } }, "away": "24", "away_name": "San Antonio Spurs", "away_score": 109.0, "home": "26", "home_name": "Utah Jazz", "home_score": 119.0, "day": 20739.041666666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "stage_label": "Preseason / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401901825", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Dallas Mavericks: Latest Irving/Flagg/Risacher/Gafford/Washington reference preserved; Aldama/Lively/Johnson/Sasser returns conditional. Biberovic and de Larrea have professional European histories, not zero historical ability; source fallback separate from NBA data. Waived camp players excluded. New Orleans Pelicans: October8 reference predates Houstan/Koloko waivers; remove19combined observed minutes and redistribute to current demonstrated participants. Murray rest remains return scenario, Fears/Poole/Mathurin actual creation retained. AJ Johnson/Gibson September trade ledger separate from present membership.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current. Primary uses 2791 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2026 season-label full regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean with retained venue term. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NBA preseason rotations are conditional reference allocations, not confirmed minutes.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. Projected winners disagree; preserve each engine direction. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "American Airlines Center; listed 2026-10-15T00:00Z. Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs NOP 8:00 pm ET American Airlines Center Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation.", "details": { "event_id": "401901825", "sport": "NBA", "away": "New Orleans Pelicans", "home": "Dallas Mavericks", "start_et": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-15T00:00Z", "venue": { "id": "516", "fullName": "American Airlines Center", "address": { "city": "Dallas", "state": "TX" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 1, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0.0", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Wed, October 14th at 8:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/14 - 8:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/scoreboard?dates=20261014&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:38:25.962999+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/team/1610612742/schedule" ], "context": [ "Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs NOP 8:00 pm ET American Airlines Center Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "New Orleans Pelicans", "previous_game": { "id": "401898393", "date": "2026-10-08T23:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "3438", "fullName": "Kaseya Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Miami", "state": "FL" } }, "away": "3", "away_name": "New Orleans Pelicans", "away_score": 118.0, "home": "14", "home_name": "Miami Heat", "home_score": 128.0, "day": 20734.979166666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 6, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "previous_game": { "id": "401898400", "date": "2026-10-11T10:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": true, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "4018", "fullName": "Venetian Arena", "indoor": true, "address": null }, "away": "6", "away_name": "Dallas Mavericks", "away_score": 132.0, "home": "10", "home_name": "Houston Rockets", "home_score": 115.0, "day": 20737.416666666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "stage_label": "Preseason / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401908032", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Milwaukee Brewers: Official refreshed FAQ projects left-handed-starter platoons; actual orders TBD. No active-roster injury reported. Yelich starts per manager plan, Lara/Ortiz projected changes versus Frelick/Hamilton, normal selection not injury deduction. Los Angeles Dodgers: Official refreshed FAQ projects left-handed-starter platoons; actual orders TBD. Roberts explicitly says Ohtani WILL START, superseding earlier bench-consideration snippet. Ohtani rightbiceps/leftknee and Freeman rightknee lingering issues retain contingency branches. Hernandez/Rojas platoons replace Muncy/Edman relative toGame2.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 162 prior regular-season games, 162 current; home: 162 prior regular-season games, 162 current. Primary uses 4952 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: Full 2026 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean; no pitcher, park or lineup coefficient. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. Current batting-slot opportunity and bench branches are retained in the official reference-box ledger; unannounced lineups remain conditional.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. Projected winners disagree; preserve each engine direction. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Dodger Stadium; listed 2026-10-15T00:00Z. Official Dodgers venue now branded UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium; outdoor Los Angeles. Official MLB event time/stage matched.", "details": { "event_id": "401908032", "sport": "MLB", "away": "Milwaukee Brewers", "home": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "start_et": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-15T00:00Z", "venue": { "id": "19", "fullName": "Dodger Stadium", "address": { "city": "Los Angeles", "state": "California" }, "indoor": false }, "neutral": false, "stage": 3, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 1, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Scheduled", "shortDetail": "10/14 - 8:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/baseball/mlb/scoreboard?dates=20261014&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:38:25.919269+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/schedule?sportId=1&startDate=2026-10-13&endDate=2026-10-14" ], "context": [ "Official Dodgers venue now branded UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium; outdoor Los Angeles. Official MLB event time/stage matched." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "previous_game": { "id": "401908031", "date": "2026-10-12T21:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 3, "season": 2026, "neutral": false, "sport": "MLB", "venue": { "id": "4242", "fullName": "American Family Field", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Milwaukee", "state": "Wisconsin" } }, "away": "19", "away_name": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "away_score": 4.0, "home": "8", "home_name": "Milwaukee Brewers", "home_score": 7.0, "day": 20738.875 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "previous_game": { "id": "401908031", "date": "2026-10-12T21:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 3, "season": 2026, "neutral": false, "sport": "MLB", "venue": { "id": "4242", "fullName": "American Family Field", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Milwaukee", "state": "Wisconsin" } }, "away": "19", "away_name": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "away_score": 4.0, "home": "8", "home_name": "Milwaukee Brewers", "home_score": 7.0, "day": 20738.875 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." } ], "weather": { "source": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LOX/155,46/forecast/hourly", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:42:20.828919+00:00", "updateTime": "2026-10-14T09:06:53+00:00", "periods": [ { "number": 15, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T17:00:00-07:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T18:00:00-07:00", "isDaytime": true, "temperature": 77, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 3.888888888888889 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 25 }, "windSpeed": "5 mph", "windDirection": "WSW", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/day/few?size=small", "shortForecast": "Sunny", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 16, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T18:00:00-07:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T19:00:00-07:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 71, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 3.3333333333333335 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 30 }, "windSpeed": "5 mph", "windDirection": "WSW", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small", "shortForecast": "Mostly Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 17, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T19:00:00-07:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-07:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 68, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 3.888888888888889 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 35 }, "windSpeed": "5 mph", "windDirection": "WSW", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small", "shortForecast": "Mostly Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 18, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-07:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T21:00:00-07:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 71, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 7.777777777777778 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 41 }, "windSpeed": "5 mph", "windDirection": "NW", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small", "shortForecast": "Mostly Clear", "detailedForecast": "" } ], "interpretation": "Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment." }, "official_event_id": 849811, "stage_label": "NL Championship Series Game 3" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:20.828919+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T09:06:53+00:00; periods: number: 15; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T17:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T18:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: True; temperature: 77; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 3.888888888888889; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 25; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: WSW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/day/few?size=small; shortForecast: Sunny; detailedForecast: ; number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T18:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 71; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 3.3333333333333335; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 30; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: WSW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 68; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 3.888888888888889; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 35; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: WSW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 18; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 71; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 7.777777777777778; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 41; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: NW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Clear; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "details": { "source": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LOX/155,46/forecast/hourly", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:42:20.828919+00:00", "updateTime": "2026-10-14T09:06:53+00:00", "periods": [ { "number": 15, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T17:00:00-07:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T18:00:00-07:00", "isDaytime": true, "temperature": 77, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 3.888888888888889 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 25 }, "windSpeed": "5 mph", "windDirection": "WSW", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/day/few?size=small", "shortForecast": "Sunny", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 16, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T18:00:00-07:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T19:00:00-07:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 71, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 3.3333333333333335 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 30 }, "windSpeed": "5 mph", "windDirection": "WSW", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small", "shortForecast": "Mostly Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 17, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T19:00:00-07:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-07:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 68, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 3.888888888888889 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 35 }, "windSpeed": "5 mph", "windDirection": "WSW", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small", "shortForecast": "Mostly Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 18, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-07:00", "endTime": "2026-10-14T21:00:00-07:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 71, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 7.777777777777778 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 41 }, "windSpeed": "5 mph", "windDirection": "NW", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small", "shortForecast": "Mostly Clear", "detailedForecast": "" } ], "interpretation": "Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment." }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "id": "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Gasser small postseason sample; Snell shoulder/elbow/groinlimited season and5walks in prior3.2IPstart. MILUribe6of6/Ashby5of6postseason appearances; LAD7of9relievers usedGame2. October13offday helps both.", "resolution": "Currentprobable starters plus actual pitcher/bullpen histories retained. No source confirms an essential active reliever unavailable.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "One-run workload outcome stress once; do not add a second penalty for the same described risk." }, { "id": "mlb-lingering-hitter-limitations", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Ohtani rightbiceps/leftknee and Freeman rightknee lingering; Roberts explicitly confirms Ohtani starts. No new confirmed absence; possible diminished performance remains unquantified.", "resolution": "Same projected lineup plus explicit OhtaniDH-DePaula and Freeman1B-Muncy contingency branches; two priorseasons and current hand splits retained.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "Separate downside toLADoffense/total from starter/bullpen downside. Do not translate knee symptoms to an invented run coefficient. New material confirmed limitation requires sporting revision." }, { "id": "mlb-normal-platoon", "severity": "LOW", "facts": "Both opposing starters left-handed; MILprojectedLara/Ortiz replaceFrelick/Hamilton, LADHernandez/Rojas replaceMuncy/Edman. Yelich managerplan restofseries.", "resolution": "ProjectedslotPA and conditionalalternates retained; normal platoon not fresh injury deduction.", "effect_estimate": null }, { "id": "mlb-reference-conversion", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Playerweighted exposure inside aggregate reference and validated runconversion unavailable.", "resolution": "Registered base means retained, adjusted score null; no zeroeffect or causal calibration claim.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "Do not certify replacementrobustness from unestimated effects; compare market-specific supported descriptive buffers with explicit limitation." }, { "id": "mlb-model-disagreement", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "ClassicMIL4.3472-LAD4.4989; PrimaryMIL3.6930-LAD3.5614; TightenUpMIL4.4198-LAD4.3796. Tiny winner margins and opposing directions. Totals8.8462/7.2544/8.7994.", "resolution": "Preserve disagreement; never average into fifthforecast. Winner not robust to one-run scenario; separate spread/total evaluation afterfreeze." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "id": "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Gasser small postseason sample; Snell shoulder/elbow/groinlimited season and5walks in prior3.2IPstart. MILUribe6of6/Ashby5of6postseason appearances; LAD7of9relievers usedGame2. October13offday helps both.", "resolution": "Currentprobable starters plus actual pitcher/bullpen histories retained. No source confirms an essential active reliever unavailable.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "One-run workload outcome stress once; do not add a second penalty for the same described risk." }, { "id": "mlb-lingering-hitter-limitations", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Ohtani rightbiceps/leftknee and Freeman rightknee lingering; Roberts explicitly confirms Ohtani starts. No new confirmed absence; possible diminished performance remains unquantified.", "resolution": "Same projected lineup plus explicit OhtaniDH-DePaula and Freeman1B-Muncy contingency branches; two priorseasons and current hand splits retained.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "Separate downside toLADoffense/total from starter/bullpen downside. Do not translate knee symptoms to an invented run coefficient. New material confirmed limitation requires sporting revision." }, { "id": "mlb-normal-platoon", "severity": "LOW", "facts": "Both opposing starters left-handed; MILprojectedLara/Ortiz replaceFrelick/Hamilton, LADHernandez/Rojas replaceMuncy/Edman. Yelich managerplan restofseries.", "resolution": "ProjectedslotPA and conditionalalternates retained; normal platoon not fresh injury deduction.", "effect_estimate": null }, { "id": "mlb-reference-conversion", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Playerweighted exposure inside aggregate reference and validated runconversion unavailable.", "resolution": "Registered base means retained, adjusted score null; no zeroeffect or causal calibration claim.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "Do not certify replacementrobustness from unestimated effects; compare market-specific supported descriptive buffers with explicit limitation." }, { "id": "mlb-model-disagreement", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "ClassicMIL4.3472-LAD4.4989; PrimaryMIL3.6930-LAD3.5614; TightenUpMIL4.4198-LAD4.3796. Tiny winner margins and opposing directions. Totals8.8462/7.2544/8.7994.", "resolution": "Preserve disagreement; never average into fifthforecast. Winner not robust to one-run scenario; separate spread/total evaluation afterfreeze." } ] }, { "eventId": "401908942", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Milwaukee Bucks: Herro/Rollins and Jaquez creation with Turner/Ware frontcourt tracked. Ament/Burries/Jakucionis dated DTD flags separate from bench coach decisions. Markovic source404 affects no latest positive-minute role; absence of history not zero. Chicago Bulls: Collins will remain out Wednesday per October13 league-hosted update. Awaka questionable; Okoro missed practice. Explicit Okoro absence branch redistributes13reference minutes among current roster, with Hield/Hawkins/Leonard Miller supported opportunity pool. Hield trade and Hawkins subsequent signing retained.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current. Primary uses 2791 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2026 season-label full regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean with retained venue term. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NBA preseason rotations are conditional reference allocations, not confirmed minutes.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. Projected winners disagree; preserve each engine direction. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Fiserv Forum; listed 2026-10-15T00:00Z. Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs CHI 8:00 pm ET Fiserv Forum Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation.", "details": { "event_id": "401908942", "sport": "NBA", "away": "Chicago Bulls", "home": "Milwaukee Bucks", "start_et": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-15T00:00Z", "venue": { "id": "5777", "fullName": "Fiserv Forum", "address": { "city": "Milwaukee", "state": "WI" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 1, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0.0", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Wed, October 14th at 8:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/14 - 8:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/scoreboard?dates=20261014&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:38:25.962999+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/team/1610612749/schedule" ], "context": [ "Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs CHI 8:00 pm ET Fiserv Forum Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Chicago Bulls", "previous_game": { "id": "401908941", "date": "2026-10-12T01:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "892", "fullName": "Ball Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Denver", "state": "CO" } }, "away": "4", "away_name": "Chicago Bulls", "away_score": 128.0, "home": "7", "home_name": "Denver Nuggets", "home_score": 133.0, "day": 20738.041666666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Milwaukee Bucks", "previous_game": { "id": "401901821", "date": "2026-10-11T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "1893", "fullName": "Spectrum Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Charlotte", "state": "NC" } }, "away": "15", "away_name": "Milwaukee Bucks", "away_score": 90.0, "home": "30", "home_name": "Charlotte Hornets", "home_score": 105.0, "day": 20737.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "stage_label": "Preseason / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401914125", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Minnesota Timberwolves: Ball/Dosunmu returned October12; latest full rotation supersedes prior bench-only game. DiVincenzo Out, Kuminga/Freeman/Shannon/Zikarsky dated issues conditional. No new confirmed first-unit absence. Detroit Pistons: Cunningham/Duren absent latest reference; Jenkins/Okorie creation and Reed/Smith center minutes documented. Earlier actual rotations are conditional returns, not fresh lost PPG deductions.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current. Primary uses 2791 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2026 season-label full regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean with retained venue term. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NBA preseason rotations are conditional reference allocations, not confirmed minutes.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. Projected winners disagree; preserve each engine direction. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Target Center; listed 2026-10-15T00:00Z. Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs DET 8:00 pm ET Target Center Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation.", "details": { "event_id": "401914125", "sport": "NBA", "away": "Detroit Pistons", "home": "Minnesota Timberwolves", "start_et": "2026-10-14T20:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-15T00:00Z", "venue": { "id": "2029", "fullName": "Target Center", "address": { "city": "Minneapolis", "state": "MN" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 1, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0.0", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Wed, October 14th at 8:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/14 - 8:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/scoreboard?dates=20261014&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:38:25.962999+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/team/1610612750/schedule" ], "context": [ "Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs DET 8:00 pm ET Target Center Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Detroit Pistons", "previous_game": { "id": "401906510", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "1823", "fullName": "Capital One Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Washington", "state": "DC" } }, "away": "8", "away_name": "Detroit Pistons", "away_score": 108.0, "home": "27", "home_name": "Washington Wizards", "home_score": 114.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 4, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Minnesota Timberwolves", "previous_game": { "id": "401914124", "date": "2026-10-12T23:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "1830", "fullName": "Madison Square Garden", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "New York", "state": "NY" } }, "away": "16", "away_name": "Minnesota Timberwolves", "away_score": 122.0, "home": "18", "home_name": "New York Knicks", "home_score": 104.0, "day": 20738.979166666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "stage_label": "Preseason / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892505", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "DAL: Johnston illness late scratch October13 and coach says will NOT travel Wednesday. Reference used11forwards/7defensemen, Capobianco extra defenseman; Seguin received PP opportunity. Hintz scored/played but new DTD flag conditional; no confirmed injury automatically inferred from fight. Duchene surgery and Kiviranta absence preserved, Faksa returned. Old Lundkvist Out flag superseded by actual play. COL: Makar absent for family reasons October13; Wednesday return explicitly unannounced. Malinski/Toews redistributed top-pair/PP work. LHeureux late upper-body scratch left17skaters; coach considering recall, identity unannounced. Actual shortened group plus return/recall uncertainty retained; no invented18th skater.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current. Primary uses 2857 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Ball Arena; listed 2026-10-15T00:30Z. Official regular-season gameType2 matched. Both clubs played Oct13; back-to-back travel/goalie uncertainty retained.", "details": { "event_id": "401892505", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Dallas Stars", "home": "Colorado Avalanche", "start_et": "2026-10-14T20:30:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-15T00:30Z", "venue": { "id": "892", "fullName": "Ball Arena", "address": { "city": "Denver", "state": "CO", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Wed, October 14th at 8:30 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/14 - 8:30 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261014&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:38:26.807727+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-13" ], "context": [ "Official regular-season gameType2 matched. Both clubs played Oct13; back-to-back travel/goalie uncertainty retained." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Dallas Stars", "previous_game": { "id": "401892498", "date": "2026-10-14T00:45Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "516", "fullName": "American Airlines Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Dallas", "state": "TX", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "17", "away_name": "Colorado Avalanche", "away_score": 3.0, "home": "9", "home_name": "Dallas Stars", "home_score": 2.0, "day": 20740.03125 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Colorado Avalanche", "previous_game": { "id": "401892498", "date": "2026-10-14T00:45Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "516", "fullName": "American Airlines Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Dallas", "state": "TX", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "17", "away_name": "Colorado Avalanche", "away_score": 3.0, "home": "9", "home_name": "Dallas Stars", "home_score": 2.0, "day": 20740.03125 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020107, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "761866", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Sporting Kansas City: Lasse Berg Johnsen (out), Or Blorian (out), Diego Borges (out), Moises Mosquera (out), Owen Wolff (out), Jake Davis (questionable), Justin Reynolds (questionable). Nashville SC: Owen Presthus (out), Famara Camara (questionable). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "GEODIS Park; 2026-10-15T00:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:20.556870+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T10:21:28+00:00; periods: number: 15; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 82; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 21; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 21.666666666666668; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 69; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: WSW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_hi,20?size=small; shortForecast: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 80; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 25; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 22.22222222222222; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 77; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: WNW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_sct,30?size=small; shortForecast: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 78; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 18; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 21.666666666666668; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 79; windSpeed: 0 mph; windDirection: ; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_sct,20?size=small; shortForecast: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; number: 18; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 77; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 14; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 21.666666666666668; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 82; windSpeed: 0 mph; windDirection: ; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/bkn?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "761867", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Seattle Sounders FC: Pedro de la Vega (out), Nikola Petkovi\u0107 (out), Paul Rothrock (out). FC Dallas: Logan Farrington (out), Anderson Julio (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Toyota Stadium; 2026-10-15T00:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:20.475159+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T10:11:39+00:00; periods: number: 15; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 88; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 13; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 23.88888888888889; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 66; windSpeed: 10 mph; windDirection: SE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/sct?size=small; shortForecast: Partly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 86; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 13; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 23.88888888888889; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 70; windSpeed: 10 mph; windDirection: SE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/sct?size=small; shortForecast: Partly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 83; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 13; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 23.333333333333332; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 74; windSpeed: 15 mph; windDirection: SSE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/sct?size=small; shortForecast: Partly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; number: 18; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 82; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 5; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 23.333333333333332; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 77; windSpeed: 15 mph; windDirection: SSE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/sct?size=small; shortForecast: Partly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "761868", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Vancouver Whitecaps: Sam Adekugbe (out), Jeevan Badwal (out), Tristan Blackmon (out), Kenji Cabrera (out), Belal Halbouni (out), Thomas M\u00fcller (out). St. Louis CITY SC: Celio Pompeu (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Energizer Park; 2026-10-15T00:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:20.478242+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T10:06:24+00:00; periods: number: 15; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 74; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 20; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 22.22222222222222; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 93; windSpeed: 6 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/rain_showers,20?size=small; shortForecast: Slight Chance Rain Showers; detailedForecast: ; number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 73; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 15; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 22.22222222222222; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 97; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/rain_showers,20?size=small; shortForecast: Slight Chance Rain Showers; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 71; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 17; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 21.666666666666668; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 100; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/rain_showers,20?size=small; shortForecast: Slight Chance Rain Showers; detailedForecast: ; number: 18; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 71; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 18; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 21.666666666666668; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 100; windSpeed: 3 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/tsra_sct,20?size=small; shortForecast: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "761869", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Philadelphia Union: Agustin Anello (out), Danley Jean Jacques (out). Chicago Fire FC: Dje D\u2019Avilla (out), Andr\u00e9 Franco (out), Robin Lod (out), Anzor Mekvabishvili (out), Sam Rogers (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Soldier Field; 2026-10-15T00:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:19.078302+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T07:41:19+00:00; periods: number: 15; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 60; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 11.666666666666666; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 78; windSpeed: 20 mph; windDirection: NNE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/bkn?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 59; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 11.666666666666666; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 80; windSpeed: 15 mph; windDirection: NNE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/bkn?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 59; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 11.666666666666666; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 80; windSpeed: 15 mph; windDirection: NNE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/bkn?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; number: 18; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 59; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 11.666666666666666; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 80; windSpeed: 15 mph; windDirection: NE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/bkn?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "761870", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "San Jose Earthquakes: Nonso Adimabua (out), Jonathan Gonzalez (out), Darius Johnson (out), DeJuan Jones (out), Benji Kikanovic (out), Jack Skahan (out), Niko Tsakiris (out). Real Salt Lake: Juan Jose Arias (out), Emeka Eneli (out), Lukas Engel (out), Justen Glad (out), Diego Luna (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "America First Field; 2026-10-15T01:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:20.142211+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T06:31:28+00:00; periods: number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-06:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-06:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 54; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 10; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 6.111111111111111; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 65; windSpeed: 6 mph; windDirection: NNW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/sct?size=small; shortForecast: Partly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-06:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-06:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 51; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 10; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 5.555555555555555; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 70; windSpeed: 6 mph; windDirection: NNW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/sct?size=small; shortForecast: Partly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; number: 18; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-06:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-06:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 49; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 7; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 5.555555555555555; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 76; windSpeed: 3 mph; windDirection: NE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/sct?size=small; shortForecast: Partly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; number: 19; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-06:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-06:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 47; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 7; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 5; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 81; windSpeed: 3 mph; windDirection: NE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/sct?size=small; shortForecast: Partly Cloudy; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "761871", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Minnesota United FC: Anthony Markanich (out), Alec Smir (out), Peter Stroud (out). Colorado Rapids: Ali Fadal (out), Youssef Maziz (out), Zack Steffen (out), Reggie Cannon (questionable), Ted Ku (questionable). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Dick's Sporting Goods Park; 2026-10-15T01:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:20.096468+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T06:46:36+00:00; periods: number: 16; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-06:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-06:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 43; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 84; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 6.111111111111111; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 100; windSpeed: 9 mph; windDirection: NNE; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/rain,80?size=small; shortForecast: Rain; detailedForecast: ; number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-06:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-06:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 43; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 84; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 6.111111111111111; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 100; windSpeed: 9 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/rain,80?size=small; shortForecast: Rain; detailedForecast: ; number: 18; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-06:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-06:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 43; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 84; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 6.111111111111111; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 100; windSpeed: 8 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/rain,80?size=small; shortForecast: Rain; detailedForecast: ; number: 19; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-06:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-06:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 43; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 84; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 6.111111111111111; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 100; windSpeed: 7 mph; windDirection: N; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/rain,80?size=small; shortForecast: Rain; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "401918011", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "LA Clippers: Garland/Christie creation and Hachimura/Jones/Lopez frontcourt with multiple wing injuries. Remove waived Kawamura14minutes; Ingram/Strus/Miller/Niederhauser absences and Beal/Sanders unresolved returns. Loyer re-signing October13 overrides October6 waiver, current role unestimated. Denver Nuggets: Jokic/Murray/Braun/Gordon/Johnson intact latest reference; Spencer Jones not contact-cleared. DeRozan limited preseason workload distinct from regular-season role. Walker/Bradshaw waived excluded; source-date disagreement on camp signing flagged, no current positive-minute dependence.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current. Primary uses 2791 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2026 season-label full regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean with retained venue term. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NBA preseason rotations are conditional reference allocations, not confirmed minutes.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. Projected winners disagree; preserve each engine direction. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Intuit Dome; listed 2026-10-15T02:30Z. Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs DEN 10:30 pm ET Intuit Dome Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation.", "details": { "event_id": "401918011", "sport": "NBA", "away": "Denver Nuggets", "home": "LA Clippers", "start_et": "2026-10-14T22:30:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-15T02:30Z", "venue": { "id": "10642", "fullName": "Intuit Dome", "address": { "city": "Inglewood", "state": "CA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 1, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0.0", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Wed, October 14th at 10:30 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/14 - 10:30 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/scoreboard?dates=20261014&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-14T10:38:25.962999+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/team/1610612746/schedule" ], "context": [ "Official home-team schedule matches Oct 14 vs DEN 10:30 pm ET Intuit Dome Preseason. Preseason rotations/minutes uncertainty; no activation." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Denver Nuggets", "previous_game": { "id": "401908941", "date": "2026-10-12T01:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "892", "fullName": "Ball Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Denver", "state": "CO" } }, "away": "4", "away_name": "Chicago Bulls", "away_score": 128.0, "home": "7", "home_name": "Denver Nuggets", "home_score": 133.0, "day": 20738.041666666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." }, { "side": "home", "team": "LA Clippers", "previous_game": { "id": "401902645", "date": "2026-10-10T22:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "1833", "fullName": "Rogers Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Vancouver", "state": "BC" } }, "away": "12", "away_name": "LA Clippers", "away_score": 106.0, "home": "28", "home_name": "Toronto Raptors", "home_score": 114.0, "day": 20736.9375 }, "days_between_start_dates": 4, "interpretation": "Calendar start-date interval; no assumed flight itinerary or unregistered rest adjustment." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "stage_label": "Preseason / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "761872", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Houston Dynamo FC: Felipe Andrade (out), Jimmy Maurer (out), Jonathan Bond (questionable). San Diego FC: Osvald S\u00f8e (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Snapdragon Stadium; 2026-10-15T02:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:20.184833+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T08:33:05+00:00; periods: number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 70; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 10.555555555555555; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 52; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: NW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 18; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 68; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 11.666666666666666; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 58; windSpeed: 0 mph; windDirection: ; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 19; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 67; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 11.666666666666666; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 60; windSpeed: 0 mph; windDirection: ; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 20; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 66; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 11.11111111111111; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 61; windSpeed: 0 mph; windDirection: ; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "761873", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Austin FC: Mikkel Desler (questionable), \u017dan Kolmani\u010d (out). LAFC: Cabral Carter (out), Jeremy Ebobisse (out), Timothy Tillman (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "BMO Stadium; 2026-10-15T02:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:20.230358+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T09:06:53+00:00; periods: number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 69; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 7.777777777777778; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 43; windSpeed: 10 mph; windDirection: WSW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 18; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 69; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 10; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 50; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: WNW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 19; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 69; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 10.555555555555555; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 52; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: WNW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 20; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 67; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 8.88888888888889; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 50; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: WNW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/few?size=small; shortForecast: Mostly Clear; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] }, { "eventId": "761874", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Portland Timbers: Alex Bonetig (out), Brandon Bye (out), Zac McGraw (out), Juan Mosquera (out), Hunter Sulte (out), Finn Surman (out). LA Galaxy: Ky\u014dgo Furuhashi (out), Hirving Lozano (out). Matchday30 official report; questionable remains conditional. Oct14 XI unannounced; named replacements are not assumed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "Recent actual starting XIs and team-split histories remain descriptive. No registered MLS engine or validated conversion from replacements to goals.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four numerical forecasts are unavailable. No model arithmetic, winner agreement or probability is claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Dignity Health Sports Park; 2026-10-15T02:30Z; Official MLS content API exact fixture/title,time,Matchday30/regular-season and club/venue IDs corroborated. No registered calibrated MLS score engine; retain four explicit unavailable forecasts, no invented soccer scores.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-14T10:42:20.157612+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-14T09:06:53+00:00; periods: number: 17; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T19:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 68; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 8.88888888888889; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 49; windSpeed: 10 mph; windDirection: W; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 18; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T20:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 68; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 11.11111111111111; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 56; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: WNW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 19; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T21:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 66; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 10.555555555555555; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 58; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: WNW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 20; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-14T22:00:00-07:00; endTime: 2026-10-14T23:00:00-07:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 66; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 11.11111111111111; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 60; windSpeed: 5 mph; windDirection: WNW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS hourly conditions near venue; no unregistered numerical adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before freeze. Regulation three-way moneyline must include draw after freeze.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / MODEL UNAVAILABLE. Complete personnel and trade review retained despite unavailable score engine; no automatic football deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent MLS/schedule review with parent reconciliation" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered MLS scoring engine" } ] } ] }