{ "createdUtc": "2026-10-13T05:52:30.046255+00:00", "reviewers": "Three independent agents plus parent; seven named desks share reviewers.", "events": [ { "eventId": "401892488", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "NJD: Brown still working back with limited practice, Kovacevic possible return remains conditional; current observed lineup supersedes October12 morning expectation. Evangelista illness not presumed absent after participation. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. DET: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Little Caesars Arena; listed 2026-10-13T22:00Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892488", "sport": "NHL", "away": "New Jersey Devils", "home": "Detroit Red Wings", "start_et": "2026-10-13T18:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-13T22:00Z", "venue": { "id": "5404", "fullName": "Little Caesars Arena", "address": { "city": "Detroit", "state": "MI", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 6:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 6:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "New Jersey Devils", "previous_game": { "id": "401892486", "date": "2026-10-12T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1826", "fullName": "Prudential Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Newark", "state": "NJ", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "14", "away_name": "Ottawa Senators", "away_score": 4.0, "home": "11", "home_name": "New Jersey Devils", "home_score": 1.0, "day": 20738.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Detroit Red Wings", "previous_game": { "id": "401892473", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1831", "fullName": "Bell Centre", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Montreal", "state": "QC", "country": "Canada" } }, "away": "5", "away_name": "Detroit Red Wings", "away_score": 0.0, "home": "10", "home_name": "Montreal Canadiens", "home_score": 1.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020090, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892489", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "FLA: Current reference already omits Barkov/Marchand/Gadjovich. Brady Tkachuk recent actual participation supersedes stale DTD flag; Markstrom exit and Schmid relief remain separate goalie uncertainty. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. CBJ: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 4 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Nationwide Arena; listed 2026-10-13T22:15Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892489", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Florida Panthers", "home": "Columbus Blue Jackets", "start_et": "2026-10-13T18:15:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-13T22:15Z", "venue": { "id": "1828", "fullName": "Nationwide Arena", "address": { "city": "Columbus", "state": "OH", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 6:15 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 6:15 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Florida Panthers", "previous_game": { "id": "401892485", "date": "2026-10-12T17:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1848", "fullName": "KeyBank Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Buffalo", "state": "NY", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "26", "away_name": "Florida Panthers", "away_score": 3.0, "home": "2", "home_name": "Buffalo Sabres", "home_score": 5.0, "day": 20738.708333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Columbus Blue Jackets", "previous_game": { "id": "401892477", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1839", "fullName": "Enterprise Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "St. Louis", "state": "MO", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "29", "away_name": "Columbus Blue Jackets", "away_score": 3.0, "home": "19", "home_name": "St. Louis Blues", "home_score": 5.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020091, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892490", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "BUF: Dahlin left October12 early and did not travel; do not repeat his partial-game PP role as healthy. Exclusion and acquisition-depth branches retained; Jones/Laatsch/Johnson trade source primary and both sides reviewed. Recent-reference new availability branches: Rasmus Dahlin. MTL: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. Projected winners disagree; preserve each engine direction. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Bell Centre; listed 2026-10-13T22:30Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892490", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Buffalo Sabres", "home": "Montreal Canadiens", "start_et": "2026-10-13T18:30:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-13T22:30Z", "venue": { "id": "1831", "fullName": "Bell Centre", "address": { "city": "Montreal", "state": "QC", "country": "Canada" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 6:30 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 6:30 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Buffalo Sabres", "previous_game": { "id": "401892485", "date": "2026-10-12T17:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1848", "fullName": "KeyBank Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Buffalo", "state": "NY", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "26", "away_name": "Florida Panthers", "away_score": 3.0, "home": "2", "home_name": "Buffalo Sabres", "home_score": 5.0, "day": 20738.708333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Montreal Canadiens", "previous_game": { "id": "401892473", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1831", "fullName": "Bell Centre", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Montreal", "state": "QC", "country": "Canada" } }, "away": "5", "away_name": "Detroit Red Wings", "away_score": 0.0, "home": "10", "home_name": "Montreal Canadiens", "home_score": 1.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020092, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892491", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "WSH: Dubois will not travel with illness, Roy IR and Sandin LTIR; Holl recalled. Current reference already excludes those players; Tuch maintenance not assumed absent. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. CAR: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 7 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Lenovo Center; listed 2026-10-13T22:45Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892491", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Washington Capitals", "home": "Carolina Hurricanes", "start_et": "2026-10-13T18:45:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-13T22:45Z", "venue": { "id": "999", "fullName": "Lenovo Center", "address": { "city": "Raleigh", "state": "NC", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 6:45 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 6:45 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Washington Capitals", "previous_game": { "id": "401892482", "date": "2026-10-11T21:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1823", "fullName": "Capital One Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Washington", "state": "DC", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "124292", "away_name": "Seattle Kraken", "away_score": 5.0, "home": "23", "home_name": "Washington Capitals", "home_score": 3.0, "day": 20737.875 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Carolina Hurricanes", "previous_game": { "id": "401892484", "date": "2026-10-11T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1845", "fullName": "Xfinity Mobile Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Philadelphia", "state": "PA", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "7", "away_name": "Carolina Hurricanes", "away_score": 4.0, "home": "15", "home_name": "Philadelphia Flyers", "home_score": 1.0, "day": 20737.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020093, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401871067", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Delaware Blue Hens: Nick Minicucci UNRESOLVED for Oct13; official Oct10preview reports missed prior game, not current OUT.; If Minicucci remains unavailable, incumbent starter snaps/passing/rushing redistribute to Archield and possibly Streeter/Bell; exact Oct13share not confirmed. Latest Liberty debut does not guarantee sole starter workload. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: Covered QB/RB/WR/TE roles screened; no qualifying trigger.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 12 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 12 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2813 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: Documented NCAA mismatch v1: 50/50 prior/current matchup, bounded \u00b110 0.20 strength correction, home +1.5 if nonneutral, scores clipped 3\u201370. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. away: 12 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 12 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2813 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: Documented NCAA mismatch v1: 50/50 prior/current matchup, bounded \u00b110 0.20 strength correction, home +1.5 if nonneutral, scores clipped 3\u201370. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four base scores loaded unchanged from latest shared cutoff; unrounded conditional -3affects only Delaware. ON/OFF same arithmetic; effect on winner disagreement retained.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Johnny \"Red\" Floyd Stadium; listed 2026-10-13T23:00Z. Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro. Official host actual kickoff6:02PM CT/7:02PM ET; feed rounds7PM ET. Delaware last played Oct2 at home; Middle Tennessee Oct3 at Kansas.11/10calendar-day intervals. Delaware crosses one time zone west; host returns from Kansas. Delaware Minicucci prior-game injury: current QB return unresolved; conditional football replacement overlay retained.", "details": { "event_id": "401871067", "sport": "NCAAF", "away": "Delaware Blue Hens", "home": "Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders", "start_et": "2026-10-13T19:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-13T23:00Z", "venue": { "id": "3725", "fullName": "Johnny \"Red\" Floyd Stadium", "address": { "city": "Murfreesboro", "state": "TN", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": false }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 7:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 7:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000&groups=80", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.385814+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://sdataprod.ncaa.com?meta=GetContests_web&extensions=%7B%22persistedQuery%22%3A%7B%22version%22%3A1%2C%22sha256Hash%22%3A%224bcb5e6432fa9da365c0c19af01b1f9015cc7eb5c21e7af2dba308784a166df7%22%7D%7D&queryName=GetContests_web&variables=%7B%22sportCode%22%3A%22MFB%22%2C%22division%22%3A11%2C%22seasonYear%22%3A2026%2C%22contestDate%22%3Anull%2C%22week%22%3A7%7D", "https://goblueraiders.com/news/2026/10/12/mtsu-faces-delaware-tuesday-night-in-floyd", "https://bluehens.com/news/2026/10/10/football-heads-to-middle-tennessee-for-weekday-cusa-matchup-on-tuesday" ], "context": [ "Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro. Official host actual kickoff6:02PM CT/7:02PM ET; feed rounds7PM ET.", "Delaware last played Oct2 at home; Middle Tennessee Oct3 at Kansas.11/10calendar-day intervals. Delaware crosses one time zone west; host returns from Kansas.", "Delaware Minicucci prior-game injury: current QB return unresolved; conditional football replacement overlay retained." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Delaware Blue Hens", "previous_game": { "id": "401871050", "date": "2026-10-02T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2026, "neutral": false, "sport": "NCAAF", "away": "2335", "away_name": "Liberty Flames", "away_score": 30.0, "home": "48", "home_name": "Delaware Blue Hens", "home_score": 14.0, "day": 20728.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 11, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders", "previous_game": { "id": "401856807", "date": "2026-10-03T16:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2026, "neutral": false, "sport": "NCAAF", "away": "2393", "away_name": "Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders", "away_score": 0.0, "home": "2305", "home_name": "Kansas Jayhawks", "home_score": 55.0, "day": 20729.666666666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 10, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "source": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OHX/66,44/forecast/hourly", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:38:19.844660+00:00", "updateTime": "2026-10-13T03:36:08+00:00", "periods": [ { "number": 19, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T18:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T19:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 84, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 17.77777777777778 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 52 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "SSW", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 20, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T19:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T20:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 80, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 1 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 17.77777777777778 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 57 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "SSW", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 21, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T20:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T21:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 75, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 1 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 17.77777777777778 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 69 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "S", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 22, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T21:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T22:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 73, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 1 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 17.22222222222222 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 71 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "S", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" } ], "interpretation": "Official NWS outdoor hourly conditions; no unregistered numerical weather adjustment." }, "stage_label": "FBS / CUSA regular season" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-13T05:38:19.844660+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-13T03:36:08+00:00; periods: number: 19; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-13T18:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-13T19:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 84; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 17.77777777777778; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 52; windSpeed: 10 mph; windDirection: SSW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 20; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-13T19:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-13T20:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 80; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 1; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 17.77777777777778; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 57; windSpeed: 10 mph; windDirection: SSW; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 21; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-13T20:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-13T21:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 75; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 1; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 17.77777777777778; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 69; windSpeed: 10 mph; windDirection: S; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 22; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-13T21:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-13T22:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 73; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 1; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 17.22222222222222; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 71; windSpeed: 10 mph; windDirection: S; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS outdoor hourly conditions; no unregistered numerical weather adjustment.", "details": { "source": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OHX/66,44/forecast/hourly", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:38:19.844660+00:00", "updateTime": "2026-10-13T03:36:08+00:00", "periods": [ { "number": 19, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T18:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T19:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 84, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 17.77777777777778 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 52 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "SSW", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 20, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T19:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T20:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 80, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 1 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 17.77777777777778 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 57 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "SSW", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 21, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T20:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T21:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 75, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 1 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 17.77777777777778 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 69 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "S", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 22, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T21:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T22:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 73, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 1 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 17.22222222222222 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 71 }, "windSpeed": "10 mph", "windDirection": "S", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" } ], "interpretation": "Official NWS outdoor hourly conditions; no unregistered numerical weather adjustment." }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH_IF_NOT_ROBUST", "risk": "Delaware quarterback availability unresolved", "detail": "Minicucci missed prior game; replacement Archield has19career college attempts. Preserve healthy-return and unavailable -3branches; no current OUT claim. No unconditional failure preselected: all availability endpoints, adverse opponent-offense bound and existing stress/gates must survive. No endpoint survival certifies actual QB status.", "markets": [ "winner", "spread", "total" ], "resolved": false } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH_IF_NOT_ROBUST", "risk": "Delaware quarterback availability unresolved", "detail": "Minicucci missed prior game; replacement Archield has19career college attempts. Preserve healthy-return and unavailable -3branches; no current OUT claim. No unconditional failure preselected: all availability endpoints, adverse opponent-offense bound and existing stress/gates must survive. No endpoint survival certifies actual QB status.", "markets": [ "winner", "spread", "total" ], "resolved": false } ] }, { "eventId": "401891665", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Official current card and Week10 weigh-in verify all ten fighters at permitted weights. No new cancellation found at capture. Current rescheduled Bulaid\u2013Visconde bout distinguished from Week8 postponement. No athlete point-score projection.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "No registered validated UFC performance-to-score engine. Team-sport inputs do not apply to bout outcomes.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four configuration outputs explicitly unavailable; no numerical arithmetic or agreement claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas; card starts 2026-10-13T19:00:00-04:00. Bout order/times may change.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "Indoor venue; no exterior weather scoring adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before this freeze. Prior exposure disclosed. Complete bout-level paired market must be checked separately.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / no registered scoring engine. Include in coverage ledger; apply ordinary incomplete-market removal only after fresh verification.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered validated MMA score engine." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892492", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "SEA: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. PHI: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 7 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. Projected winners disagree; preserve each engine direction. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Xfinity Mobile Arena; listed 2026-10-13T23:00Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892492", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Seattle Kraken", "home": "Philadelphia Flyers", "start_et": "2026-10-13T19:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-13T23:00Z", "venue": { "id": "1845", "fullName": "Xfinity Mobile Arena", "address": { "city": "Philadelphia", "state": "PA", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 7:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 7:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Seattle Kraken", "previous_game": { "id": "401892482", "date": "2026-10-11T21:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1823", "fullName": "Capital One Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Washington", "state": "DC", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "124292", "away_name": "Seattle Kraken", "away_score": 5.0, "home": "23", "home_name": "Washington Capitals", "home_score": 3.0, "day": 20737.875 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Philadelphia Flyers", "previous_game": { "id": "401892484", "date": "2026-10-11T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1845", "fullName": "Xfinity Mobile Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Philadelphia", "state": "PA", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "7", "away_name": "Carolina Hurricanes", "away_score": 4.0, "home": "15", "home_name": "Philadelphia Flyers", "home_score": 1.0, "day": 20737.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020094, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401898403", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Orlando Magic: Richardson starts with Suggs illness and Black ankle absence; Bane and Isaac also absent in latest reference. All observed October11 shots and creation belong to Richardson/Carter/Davison and current teammates. Return branches use earlier actual preseason rotations; no DTD converted to OUT. Cleveland Cavaliers: Allen/Mobley/Harden/Mitchell/Watson October11 first unit intact in observed reference. Diop and Tomlin dated DTD flags distinct from zero-minute coach decisions. Diop/Yaacov unreturned NBA history has no assumed zero ability or invented return workload.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current. Primary uses 2792 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2026 season-label full regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean with retained venue term. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NBA preseason rotations are conditional reference allocations, not confirmed minutes.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. Projected winners disagree; preserve each engine direction. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Kia Center; listed 2026-10-13T23:00Z. Official NBA home-team schedule corroborates Oct 13 vs CLE 7:00 pm ET Kia Center Preseason. NBA rotation and minutes volatility; tracking-only.", "details": { "event_id": "401898403", "sport": "NBA", "away": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "home": "Orlando Magic", "start_et": "2026-10-13T19:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-13T23:00Z", "venue": { "id": "3432", "fullName": "Kia Center", "address": { "city": "Orlando", "state": "FL" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 1, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0.0", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 7:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 7:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.365786+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/team/1610612753/schedule" ], "context": [ "Official NBA home-team schedule corroborates Oct 13 vs CLE 7:00 pm ET Kia Center Preseason. NBA rotation and minutes volatility; tracking-only." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "previous_game": { "id": "401898401", "date": "2026-10-11T22:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "3417", "fullName": "Rocket Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Cleveland", "state": "OH" } }, "away": "19", "away_name": "Orlando Magic", "away_score": 105.0, "home": "5", "home_name": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "home_score": 119.0, "day": 20737.9375 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Orlando Magic", "previous_game": { "id": "401898401", "date": "2026-10-11T22:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "3417", "fullName": "Rocket Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Cleveland", "state": "OH" } }, "away": "19", "away_name": "Orlando Magic", "away_score": 105.0, "home": "5", "home_name": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "home_score": 119.0, "day": 20737.9375 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "stage_label": "Preseason / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401908944", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Toronto Raptors: September Leonard acquisition and outgoing Dick/Ingram reviewed on both sides. Current actual reference has Walter/Barrett/Barnes/Poeltl/Quickley; Leonard has no current role sample and a return is unestimated rather than invented. Hepburn waived October12 and removed; Jackson-Davis/Graves return not confirmed. New York Knicks: Latest October12 Anunoby/Towns/Hart/Bridges/Brunson reference retained. All five new DTD flags may reflect back-to-back management; full first-unit-rest and previous-rotation branches are sensitivities, not five confirmed injuries.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current. Primary uses 2792 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2026 season-label full regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean with retained venue term. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NBA preseason rotations are conditional reference allocations, not confirmed minutes.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. Projected winners disagree; preserve each engine direction. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Scotiabank Arena; listed 2026-10-13T23:00Z. Official NBA home-team schedule corroborates Oct 13 vs NYK 7:00 pm ET Scotiabank Arena Preseason. NBA rotation and minutes volatility; tracking-only.", "details": { "event_id": "401908944", "sport": "NBA", "away": "New York Knicks", "home": "Toronto Raptors", "start_et": "2026-10-13T19:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-13T23:00Z", "venue": { "id": "1838", "fullName": "Scotiabank Arena", "address": { "city": "Toronto", "state": "ON" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 1, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0.0", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 7:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 7:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.365786+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/team/1610612761/schedule" ], "context": [ "Official NBA home-team schedule corroborates Oct 13 vs NYK 7:00 pm ET Scotiabank Arena Preseason. NBA rotation and minutes volatility; tracking-only." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "New York Knicks", "previous_game": { "id": "401914124", "date": "2026-10-12T23:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "1830", "fullName": "Madison Square Garden", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "New York", "state": "NY" } }, "away": "16", "away_name": "Minnesota Timberwolves", "away_score": 122.0, "home": "18", "home_name": "New York Knicks", "home_score": 104.0, "day": 20738.979166666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Toronto Raptors", "previous_game": { "id": "401902645", "date": "2026-10-10T22:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "1833", "fullName": "Rogers Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Vancouver", "state": "BC" } }, "away": "12", "away_name": "LA Clippers", "away_score": 106.0, "home": "28", "home_name": "Toronto Raptors", "home_score": 114.0, "day": 20736.9375 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "stage_label": "Preseason / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401928737", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Official current card and Week10 weigh-in verify all ten fighters at permitted weights. No new cancellation found at capture. Current rescheduled Bulaid\u2013Visconde bout distinguished from Week8 postponement. No athlete point-score projection.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "No registered validated UFC performance-to-score engine. Team-sport inputs do not apply to bout outcomes.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four configuration outputs explicitly unavailable; no numerical arithmetic or agreement claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas; card starts 2026-10-13T19:00:00-04:00. Bout order/times may change.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "Indoor venue; no exterior weather scoring adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before this freeze. Prior exposure disclosed. Complete bout-level paired market must be checked separately.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / no registered scoring engine. Include in coverage ledger; apply ordinary incomplete-market removal only after fresh verification.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered validated MMA score engine." } ] }, { "eventId": "401928738", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Official current card and Week10 weigh-in verify all ten fighters at permitted weights. No new cancellation found at capture. Current rescheduled Bulaid\u2013Visconde bout distinguished from Week8 postponement. No athlete point-score projection.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "No registered validated UFC performance-to-score engine. Team-sport inputs do not apply to bout outcomes.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four configuration outputs explicitly unavailable; no numerical arithmetic or agreement claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas; card starts 2026-10-13T19:00:00-04:00. Bout order/times may change.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "Indoor venue; no exterior weather scoring adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before this freeze. Prior exposure disclosed. Complete bout-level paired market must be checked separately.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / no registered scoring engine. Include in coverage ledger; apply ordinary incomplete-market removal only after fresh verification.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered validated MMA score engine." } ] }, { "eventId": "401928739", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Official current card and Week10 weigh-in verify all ten fighters at permitted weights. No new cancellation found at capture. Current rescheduled Bulaid\u2013Visconde bout distinguished from Week8 postponement. No athlete point-score projection.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "No registered validated UFC performance-to-score engine. Team-sport inputs do not apply to bout outcomes.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four configuration outputs explicitly unavailable; no numerical arithmetic or agreement claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas; card starts 2026-10-13T19:00:00-04:00. Bout order/times may change.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "Indoor venue; no exterior weather scoring adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before this freeze. Prior exposure disclosed. Complete bout-level paired market must be checked separately.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / no registered scoring engine. Include in coverage ledger; apply ordinary incomplete-market removal only after fresh verification.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered validated MMA score engine." } ] }, { "eventId": "401928740", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Official current card and Week10 weigh-in verify all ten fighters at permitted weights. No new cancellation found at capture. Current rescheduled Bulaid\u2013Visconde bout distinguished from Week8 postponement. No athlete point-score projection.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "No registered validated UFC performance-to-score engine. Team-sport inputs do not apply to bout outcomes.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four configuration outputs explicitly unavailable; no numerical arithmetic or agreement claimed.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas; card starts 2026-10-13T19:00:00-04:00. Bout order/times may change.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "Indoor venue; no exterior weather scoring adjustment.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "No fresh prices requested before this freeze. Prior exposure disclosed. Complete bout-level paired market must be checked separately.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "PASS / no registered scoring engine. Include in coverage ledger; apply ordinary incomplete-market removal only after fresh verification.", "reviewer": "Independent official schedule evidence with parent synthesis; no independent MMA score engine" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "model", "risk": "No registered validated MMA score engine." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892493", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "TBL: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. NYR: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 7 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Madison Square Garden; listed 2026-10-13T23:15Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892493", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Tampa Bay Lightning", "home": "New York Rangers", "start_et": "2026-10-13T19:15:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-13T23:15Z", "venue": { "id": "1830", "fullName": "Madison Square Garden", "address": { "city": "New York", "state": "NY", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 7:15 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 7:15 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Tampa Bay Lightning", "previous_game": { "id": "401892479", "date": "2026-10-10T23:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "7226", "fullName": "UBS Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Elmont", "state": "NY", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "20", "away_name": "Tampa Bay Lightning", "away_score": 5.0, "home": "12", "home_name": "New York Islanders", "home_score": 3.0, "day": 20736.979166666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "New York Rangers", "previous_game": { "id": "401892483", "date": "2026-10-11T22:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1830", "fullName": "Madison Square Garden", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "New York", "state": "NY", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "22", "away_name": "Vancouver Canucks", "away_score": 2.0, "home": "13", "home_name": "New York Rangers", "home_score": 6.0, "day": 20737.916666666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020095, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892494", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "STL: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. OTT: Sanderson/Zub/Crotty out; Matinpalo new October12 issue after short appearance requires conditional depth transfer. Chabot/Spence/Kleven/Yakemchuk/Stanley previous usage preserved. Recent-reference new availability branches: Nikolas Matinpalo.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Canadian Tire Centre; listed 2026-10-13T23:30Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892494", "sport": "NHL", "away": "St. Louis Blues", "home": "Ottawa Senators", "start_et": "2026-10-13T19:30:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-13T23:30Z", "venue": { "id": "1832", "fullName": "Canadian Tire Centre", "address": { "city": "Ottawa", "state": "ON", "country": "Canada" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 7:30 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 7:30 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "St. Louis Blues", "previous_game": { "id": "401892477", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1839", "fullName": "Enterprise Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "St. Louis", "state": "MO", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "29", "away_name": "Columbus Blue Jackets", "away_score": 3.0, "home": "19", "home_name": "St. Louis Blues", "home_score": 5.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Ottawa Senators", "previous_game": { "id": "401892486", "date": "2026-10-12T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1826", "fullName": "Prudential Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Newark", "state": "NJ", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "14", "away_name": "Ottawa Senators", "away_score": 4.0, "home": "11", "home_name": "New Jersey Devils", "home_score": 1.0, "day": 20738.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020096, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892495", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "VAN: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. NYI: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 7 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "UBS Arena; listed 2026-10-13T23:45Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892495", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Vancouver Canucks", "home": "New York Islanders", "start_et": "2026-10-13T19:45:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-13T23:45Z", "venue": { "id": "7226", "fullName": "UBS Arena", "address": { "city": "Elmont", "state": "NY", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 7:45 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 7:45 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Vancouver Canucks", "previous_game": { "id": "401892483", "date": "2026-10-11T22:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1830", "fullName": "Madison Square Garden", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "New York", "state": "NY", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "22", "away_name": "Vancouver Canucks", "away_score": 2.0, "home": "13", "home_name": "New York Rangers", "home_score": 6.0, "day": 20737.916666666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 2, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "New York Islanders", "previous_game": { "id": "401892479", "date": "2026-10-10T23:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "7226", "fullName": "UBS Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Elmont", "state": "NY", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "20", "away_name": "Tampa Bay Lightning", "away_score": 5.0, "home": "12", "home_name": "New York Islanders", "home_score": 3.0, "day": 20736.979166666668 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020097, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401871053", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Florida International Panthers: Covered QB/RB/WR/TE roles screened; no qualifying trigger. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: Covered QB/RB/WR/TE roles screened; no qualifying trigger.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 12 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 13 prior regular-season games, 6 current. Primary uses 2813 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: Documented NCAA mismatch v1: 50/50 prior/current matchup, bounded \u00b110 0.20 strength correction, home +1.5 if nonneutral, scores clipped 3\u201370. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. away: 12 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 13 prior regular-season games, 6 current. Primary uses 2813 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: Documented NCAA mismatch v1: 50/50 prior/current matchup, bounded \u00b110 0.20 strength correction, home +1.5 if nonneutral, scores clipped 3\u201370. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "All four base scores loaded unchanged from latest shared cutoff; unrounded conditional -3affects only Delaware. ON/OFF same arithmetic; effect on winner disagreement retained.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "AmFirst Stadium; listed 2026-10-14T00:00Z. AmFirst Stadium, Jacksonville Alabama,8PM ET/7PM CT. Both played Oct7: six-calendar-day turnaround; FIU travels from Miami, Jacksonville State returns from Kennesaw. Official coach explains advance preparation and normal-practice sequence adapted to short week.", "details": { "event_id": "401871053", "sport": "NCAAF", "away": "Florida International Panthers", "home": "Jacksonville State Gamecocks", "start_et": "2026-10-13T20:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T00:00Z", "venue": { "id": "3662", "fullName": "AmFirst Stadium", "address": { "city": "Jacksonville", "state": "AL", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": false }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 8:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 8:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000&groups=80", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.385814+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://sdataprod.ncaa.com?meta=GetContests_web&extensions=%7B%22persistedQuery%22%3A%7B%22version%22%3A1%2C%22sha256Hash%22%3A%224bcb5e6432fa9da365c0c19af01b1f9015cc7eb5c21e7af2dba308784a166df7%22%7D%7D&queryName=GetContests_web&variables=%7B%22sportCode%22%3A%22MFB%22%2C%22division%22%3A11%2C%22seasonYear%22%3A2026%2C%22contestDate%22%3Anull%2C%22week%22%3A7%7D", "https://fiusports.com/news/2026/10/11/football-faces-off-with-jax-state-in-first-road-cusa-game-on-tuesday-night.aspx", "https://jaxstatesports.com/sports/2021/8/25/2016-football-game-notes" ], "context": [ "AmFirst Stadium, Jacksonville Alabama,8PM ET/7PM CT. Both played Oct7: six-calendar-day turnaround; FIU travels from Miami, Jacksonville State returns from Kennesaw.", "Official coach explains advance preparation and normal-practice sequence adapted to short week." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Florida International Panthers", "previous_game": { "id": "401871066", "date": "2026-10-08T00:04Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2026, "neutral": false, "sport": "NCAAF", "away": "166", "away_name": "New Mexico State Aggies", "away_score": 3.0, "home": "2229", "home_name": "Florida International Panthers", "home_score": 22.0, "day": 20734.00277777778 }, "days_between_start_dates": 6, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Jacksonville State Gamecocks", "previous_game": { "id": "401871051", "date": "2026-10-07T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2026, "neutral": false, "sport": "NCAAF", "away": "55", "away_name": "Jacksonville State Gamecocks", "away_score": 27.0, "home": "338", "home_name": "Kennesaw State Owls", "home_score": 26.0, "day": 20733.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 6, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "source": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/BMX/97,100/forecast/hourly", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:38:19.782072+00:00", "updateTime": "2026-10-12T23:06:36+00:00", "periods": [ { "number": 21, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T19:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T20:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 75, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 18.88888888888889 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 74 }, "windSpeed": "0 mph", "windDirection": "", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 22, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T20:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T21:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 69, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 18.333333333333332 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 87 }, "windSpeed": "0 mph", "windDirection": "", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 23, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T21:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T22:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 67, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 17.77777777777778 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 90 }, "windSpeed": "0 mph", "windDirection": "", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 24, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T22:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T23:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 66, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 17.22222222222222 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 90 }, "windSpeed": "0 mph", "windDirection": "", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" } ], "interpretation": "Official NWS outdoor hourly conditions; no unregistered numerical weather adjustment." }, "stage_label": "FBS / CUSA regular season" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "retrieved_utc: 2026-10-13T05:38:19.782072+00:00; updateTime: 2026-10-12T23:06:36+00:00; periods: number: 21; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-13T19:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-13T20:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 75; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 18.88888888888889; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 74; windSpeed: 0 mph; windDirection: ; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 22; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-13T20:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-13T21:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 69; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 18.333333333333332; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 87; windSpeed: 0 mph; windDirection: ; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 23; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-13T21:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-13T22:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 67; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 17.77777777777778; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 90; windSpeed: 0 mph; windDirection: ; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; number: 24; name: ; startTime: 2026-10-13T22:00:00-05:00; endTime: 2026-10-13T23:00:00-05:00; isDaytime: False; temperature: 66; temperatureUnit: F; temperatureTrend: None; probabilityOfPrecipitation: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 0; dewpoint: unitCode: wmoUnit:degC; value: 17.22222222222222; relativeHumidity: unitCode: wmoUnit:percent; value: 90; windSpeed: 0 mph; windDirection: ; icon: https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small; shortForecast: Clear; detailedForecast: ; interpretation: Official NWS outdoor hourly conditions; no unregistered numerical weather adjustment.", "details": { "source": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/BMX/97,100/forecast/hourly", "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:38:19.782072+00:00", "updateTime": "2026-10-12T23:06:36+00:00", "periods": [ { "number": 21, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T19:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T20:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 75, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 18.88888888888889 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 74 }, "windSpeed": "0 mph", "windDirection": "", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 22, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T20:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T21:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 69, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 18.333333333333332 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 87 }, "windSpeed": "0 mph", "windDirection": "", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 23, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T21:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T22:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 67, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 17.77777777777778 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 90 }, "windSpeed": "0 mph", "windDirection": "", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" }, { "number": 24, "name": "", "startTime": "2026-10-13T22:00:00-05:00", "endTime": "2026-10-13T23:00:00-05:00", "isDaytime": false, "temperature": 66, "temperatureUnit": "F", "temperatureTrend": null, "probabilityOfPrecipitation": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 0 }, "dewpoint": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:degC", "value": 17.22222222222222 }, "relativeHumidity": { "unitCode": "wmoUnit:percent", "value": 90 }, "windSpeed": "0 mph", "windDirection": "", "icon": "https://api.weather.gov/icons/land/night/skc?size=small", "shortForecast": "Clear", "detailedForecast": "" } ], "interpretation": "Official NWS outdoor hourly conditions; no unregistered numerical weather adjustment." }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "LOW", "risk": "College final lineup and short-week uncertainty", "detail": "No identified current unavailable covered starter in official notes. Both six-day turnarounds verified; coach explains planned preparation. Routine future lineup confirmation is not an invented medium player absence.", "markets": [ "winner", "spread", "total" ], "resolved": false } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "LOW", "risk": "College final lineup and short-week uncertainty", "detail": "No identified current unavailable covered starter in official notes. Both six-day turnarounds verified; coach explains planned preparation. Routine future lineup confirmation is not an invented medium player absence.", "markets": [ "winner", "spread", "total" ], "resolved": false } ] }, { "eventId": "401892496", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "PIT: Kuzmenko practice return is bereavement-related, not current confirmed medical absence; possible Kindel/Koivunen line. Van Riemsdyk will not travel; acquired Ryan Johnson has no assumed NHL debut. Stastney actual reference already reflects October7 trade. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. CHI: Bedard potential return verified primary; first-line center with Kantserov/Kane and PP with Bertuzzi/Byram identified. Conditional return replaces one center role, not added player points. Nazar suspension kept separate. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "United Center; listed 2026-10-14T00:00Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892496", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Pittsburgh Penguins", "home": "Chicago Blackhawks", "start_et": "2026-10-13T20:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T00:00Z", "venue": { "id": "1847", "fullName": "United Center", "address": { "city": "Chicago", "state": "IL", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 8:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 8:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Pittsburgh Penguins", "previous_game": { "id": "401892475", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1837", "fullName": "PPG Paints Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Pittsburgh", "state": "PA", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "9", "away_name": "Dallas Stars", "away_score": 1.0, "home": "16", "home_name": "Pittsburgh Penguins", "home_score": 2.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Chicago Blackhawks", "previous_game": { "id": "401892476", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1847", "fullName": "United Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Chicago", "state": "IL", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "7", "away_name": "Carolina Hurricanes", "away_score": 5.0, "home": "4", "home_name": "Chicago Blackhawks", "home_score": 2.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020098, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401908024", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Cleveland Guardians: October12 actual nine retained as conditional Game2 reference against same opposing pitcher hand. No new confirmed hitter absence in current official record. Halpin/Martinez performance-selection branch separate from injury. Tampa Bay Rays: October12 actual nine retained as conditional Game2 reference against left-handed Messick. Primary collision follow-up: Caminero stayed in game, manager says OK; DeLuca reports left shoulder/hand contact but expects no subsequent issue. No confirmed new hitter absence. Retain conditional collision and catcher/outfield platoon branches without automatic deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 162 prior regular-season games, 162 current; home: 162 prior regular-season games, 162 current. Primary uses 4952 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: Full 2026 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean; no pitcher, park or lineup coefficient. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. Current batting-slot opportunity and bench branches are retained in the official reference-box ledger; unannounced lineups remain conditional.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Tropicana Field; listed 2026-10-14T00:00Z. Official MLB game date/time/venue and postseason series verified. Cleveland and Tampa Bay played here Oct12; same-venue second consecutive day.", "details": { "event_id": "401908024", "sport": "MLB", "away": "Cleveland Guardians", "home": "Tampa Bay Rays", "start_et": "2026-10-13T20:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T00:00Z", "venue": { "id": "31", "fullName": "Tropicana Field", "address": { "city": "St. Petersburg", "state": "Florida" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 3, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 1, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Scheduled", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 8:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/baseball/mlb/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.332921+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/schedule?sportId=1&startDate=2026-10-12&endDate=2026-10-13" ], "context": [ "Official MLB game date/time/venue and postseason series verified. Cleveland and Tampa Bay played here Oct12; same-venue second consecutive day." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Cleveland Guardians", "previous_game": { "id": "401908023", "date": "2026-10-13T00:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 3, "season": 2026, "neutral": false, "sport": "MLB", "venue": { "id": "31", "fullName": "Tropicana Field", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "St. Petersburg", "state": "Florida" } }, "away": "5", "away_name": "Cleveland Guardians", "away_score": 7.0, "home": "30", "home_name": "Tampa Bay Rays", "home_score": 3.0, "day": 20739.0 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Tampa Bay Rays", "previous_game": { "id": "401908023", "date": "2026-10-13T00:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 3, "season": 2026, "neutral": false, "sport": "MLB", "venue": { "id": "31", "fullName": "Tropicana Field", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "St. Petersburg", "state": "Florida" } }, "away": "5", "away_name": "Cleveland Guardians", "away_score": 7.0, "home": "30", "home_name": "Tampa Bay Rays", "home_score": 3.0, "day": 20739.0 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Tropicana Field fixed-roof venue; no direct outside-weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 849813, "stage_label": "AL Championship Series Game 2" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Tropicana Field fixed-roof venue; no direct outside-weather adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Tropicana Field fixed-roof venue; no direct outside-weather adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "id": "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Messick twoALDSstarts total6.2IP; CLE used five relievers for one inning each Oct12, none above17pitches; Smith six appearances in10days. TB Peralta current posttrade record separate from NYM and relievers usedGame1.", "resolution": "Actual staff pitch counts and last appearances captured. No primary report establishes essential reliever unavailable. Workload remains genuine context, not automaticallyHIGH or a numerical expected-score correction.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "Apply the separately declared1run adverse allowance once; do not additionally subtract1 as a starter/bullpen player effect." }, { "id": "mlb-collision-availability", "severity": "LOW_WITH_CONDITIONAL_ESCALATION", "facts": "Caminero remained in game and manager saysOK; DeLuca expects shoulder/hand contact not to cause absence.", "resolution": "Primary follow-up supports same-nine branch; alternate third-base/outfield chain retained. Not a confirmed missing-player event.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "If new credible material limitation emerges, reopen sporting revision; do not silently switch injury assumption after market capture." }, { "id": "mlb-normal-platoon", "severity": "LOW", "facts": "CLE right-handed opposing starter, TB left-handed opposing starter; referenceGame1samehand. Halpin/Martinez, Vilade/Simpson, Fortes/Hicks alternatives retained.", "resolution": "Reference already includes mix of roster/platoon conditions; no repeated fullhealthyplayer deduction.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "Unannounced order alone does not veto; supported material lineup change requires revised scenario." }, { "id": "mlb-reference-conversion", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Player-weighted exposure inside fullseason aggregates and validated current run-valued conversion unavailable.", "resolution": "Base engine retained, adjusted estimate null. Numeric replacement improvement not asserted.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "A null effect is not0; do not certify calibrated causal robustness. Decision may use documented descriptive buffer gate only with limitation." }, { "id": "mlb-model-disagreement", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Classic/TUtotal near8.4, Primary near6.9; winner margins all underhalf-run.", "resolution": "Frozen four-model arithmetic retained; disagreement itself not forcedPASS for a qualifying market-specific buffer.", "decision_test": "Evaluate winner, spread and total separately; no averaging of models into fifth forecast." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "id": "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Messick twoALDSstarts total6.2IP; CLE used five relievers for one inning each Oct12, none above17pitches; Smith six appearances in10days. TB Peralta current posttrade record separate from NYM and relievers usedGame1.", "resolution": "Actual staff pitch counts and last appearances captured. No primary report establishes essential reliever unavailable. Workload remains genuine context, not automaticallyHIGH or a numerical expected-score correction.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "Apply the separately declared1run adverse allowance once; do not additionally subtract1 as a starter/bullpen player effect." }, { "id": "mlb-collision-availability", "severity": "LOW_WITH_CONDITIONAL_ESCALATION", "facts": "Caminero remained in game and manager saysOK; DeLuca expects shoulder/hand contact not to cause absence.", "resolution": "Primary follow-up supports same-nine branch; alternate third-base/outfield chain retained. Not a confirmed missing-player event.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "If new credible material limitation emerges, reopen sporting revision; do not silently switch injury assumption after market capture." }, { "id": "mlb-normal-platoon", "severity": "LOW", "facts": "CLE right-handed opposing starter, TB left-handed opposing starter; referenceGame1samehand. Halpin/Martinez, Vilade/Simpson, Fortes/Hicks alternatives retained.", "resolution": "Reference already includes mix of roster/platoon conditions; no repeated fullhealthyplayer deduction.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "Unannounced order alone does not veto; supported material lineup change requires revised scenario." }, { "id": "mlb-reference-conversion", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Player-weighted exposure inside fullseason aggregates and validated current run-valued conversion unavailable.", "resolution": "Base engine retained, adjusted estimate null. Numeric replacement improvement not asserted.", "effect_estimate": null, "decision_test": "A null effect is not0; do not certify calibrated causal robustness. Decision may use documented descriptive buffer gate only with limitation." }, { "id": "mlb-model-disagreement", "severity": "MEDIUM", "facts": "Classic/TUtotal near8.4, Primary near6.9; winner margins all underhalf-run.", "resolution": "Frozen four-model arithmetic retained; disagreement itself not forcedPASS for a qualifying market-specific buffer.", "decision_test": "Evaluate winner, spread and total separately; no averaging of models into fifth forecast." } ] }, { "eventId": "401908621", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Oklahoma City Thunder: October12 bench-only Atlanta trip is a distinct reference; regulars did not travel. October7 regular-led alternate retained for home return. Holmgren quadriceps, Topic back, Sorber knee remain separate unresolved medical issues. Do not forecast October12 40-minute reserve workload as a coach commitment. Indiana Pacers: Haliburton full Monday practice but game-day decision. Latest Nembhard-led reference excludes him and McConnell; preserve prior October7 Haliburton actual branch for minutes/shots/creation redistribution without a PPG deduction.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current. Primary uses 2792 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2026 season-label full regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean with retained venue term. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NBA preseason rotations are conditional reference allocations, not confirmed minutes.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Paycom Center; listed 2026-10-14T00:00Z. Official NBA home-team schedule corroborates Oct 13 vs IND 8:00 pm ET Paycom Center Preseason. NBA rotation and minutes volatility; tracking-only.", "details": { "event_id": "401908621", "sport": "NBA", "away": "Indiana Pacers", "home": "Oklahoma City Thunder", "start_et": "2026-10-13T20:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T00:00Z", "venue": { "id": "2559", "fullName": "Paycom Center", "address": { "city": "Oklahoma City", "state": "OK" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 1, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0.0", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 8:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 8:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.365786+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/team/1610612760/schedule" ], "context": [ "Official NBA home-team schedule corroborates Oct 13 vs IND 8:00 pm ET Paycom Center Preseason. NBA rotation and minutes volatility; tracking-only." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Indiana Pacers", "previous_game": { "id": "401898396", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "2183", "fullName": "Gainbridge Fieldhouse", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Indianapolis", "state": "IN" } }, "away": "1", "away_name": "Atlanta Hawks", "away_score": 119.0, "home": "11", "home_name": "Indiana Pacers", "home_score": 117.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Oklahoma City Thunder", "previous_game": { "id": "401898402", "date": "2026-10-12T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "1827", "fullName": "State Farm Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Atlanta", "state": "GA" } }, "away": "25", "away_name": "Oklahoma City Thunder", "away_score": 110.0, "home": "1", "home_name": "Atlanta Hawks", "home_score": 113.0, "day": 20738.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "stage_label": "Preseason / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892497", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "MIN: Marcus Foligno IR and Pitlick recall; Nico Sturm newly Out during October12 game, remove partial role conditionally and test recalled depth. Nick Foligno/Faber remain absent. Goaltenders kept separate. Recent-reference new availability branches: Nico Sturm. WPG: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Canada Life Centre; listed 2026-10-14T00:15Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892497", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Minnesota Wild", "home": "Winnipeg Jets", "start_et": "2026-10-13T20:15:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T00:15Z", "venue": { "id": "1397", "fullName": "Canada Life Centre", "address": { "city": "Winnipeg", "state": "MB", "country": "Canada" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 8:15 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 8:15 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Minnesota Wild", "previous_game": { "id": "401892487", "date": "2026-10-13T00:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1835", "fullName": "Grand Casino Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Saint Paul", "state": "MN", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "37", "away_name": "Vegas Golden Knights", "away_score": 2.0, "home": "30", "home_name": "Minnesota Wild", "home_score": 4.0, "day": 20739.0 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Winnipeg Jets", "previous_game": { "id": "401892468", "date": "2026-10-10T00:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1397", "fullName": "Canada Life Centre", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Winnipeg", "state": "MB", "country": "Canada" } }, "away": "25", "away_name": "Anaheim Ducks", "away_score": 5.0, "home": "28", "home_name": "Winnipeg Jets", "home_score": 1.0, "day": 20736.0 }, "days_between_start_dates": 4, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020099, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892498", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "COL: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. DAL: Duchene surgery and three-month absence confirmed; all five regular games already omit him so no repeat full-player deduction. Faksa/Kiviranta expected available, not fresh losses; stale Lundkvist Out flag superseded by current actual play. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "American Airlines Center; listed 2026-10-14T00:30Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892498", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Colorado Avalanche", "home": "Dallas Stars", "start_et": "2026-10-13T20:30:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T00:30Z", "venue": { "id": "516", "fullName": "American Airlines Center", "address": { "city": "Dallas", "state": "TX", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 8:30 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 8:30 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Colorado Avalanche", "previous_game": { "id": "401892478", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "892", "fullName": "Ball Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Denver", "state": "CO", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "21", "away_name": "Toronto Maple Leafs", "away_score": 6.0, "home": "17", "home_name": "Colorado Avalanche", "home_score": 3.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Dallas Stars", "previous_game": { "id": "401892475", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1837", "fullName": "PPG Paints Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Pittsburgh", "state": "PA", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "9", "away_name": "Dallas Stars", "away_score": 1.0, "home": "16", "home_name": "Pittsburgh Penguins", "home_score": 2.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020100, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892499", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "VGK: Olofsson remains absent. October12 actual Coghlan replaces Wotherspoon, superseding older projected lines. Heinola alternative retained by observed prior opportunity; no new duplicate loss. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. NSH: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 7 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Bridgestone Arena; listed 2026-10-14T00:45Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892499", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Vegas Golden Knights", "home": "Nashville Predators", "start_et": "2026-10-13T20:45:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T00:45Z", "venue": { "id": "1834", "fullName": "Bridgestone Arena", "address": { "city": "Nashville", "state": "TN", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 8:45 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 8:45 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Vegas Golden Knights", "previous_game": { "id": "401892487", "date": "2026-10-13T00:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1835", "fullName": "Grand Casino Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Saint Paul", "state": "MN", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "37", "away_name": "Vegas Golden Knights", "away_score": 2.0, "home": "30", "home_name": "Minnesota Wild", "home_score": 4.0, "day": 20739.0 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Nashville Predators", "previous_game": { "id": "401892474", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1832", "fullName": "Canadian Tire Centre", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Ottawa", "state": "ON", "country": "Canada" } }, "away": "27", "away_name": "Nashville Predators", "away_score": 2.0, "home": "14", "home_name": "Ottawa Senators", "home_score": 3.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020101, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892500", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "TOR: Tanev IR after partial October10 exposure; Rifai recalled. Tavares likely return after family absence; explicit center-slot and defense-slot branches preserve exposure. Recent-reference new availability branches: Chris Tanev. UTA: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Delta Center; listed 2026-10-14T01:00Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892500", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Toronto Maple Leafs", "home": "Utah Mammoth", "start_et": "2026-10-13T21:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T01:00Z", "venue": { "id": "3093", "fullName": "Delta Center", "address": { "city": "Salt Lake City", "state": "UT", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 9:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 9:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Toronto Maple Leafs", "previous_game": { "id": "401892478", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "892", "fullName": "Ball Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Denver", "state": "CO", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "21", "away_name": "Toronto Maple Leafs", "away_score": 6.0, "home": "17", "home_name": "Colorado Avalanche", "home_score": 3.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Utah Mammoth", "previous_game": { "id": "401892472", "date": "2026-10-10T23:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1848", "fullName": "KeyBank Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Buffalo", "state": "NY", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "129764", "away_name": "Utah Mammoth", "away_score": 4.0, "home": "2", "home_name": "Buffalo Sabres", "home_score": 1.0, "day": 20736.958333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020102, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892501", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "CGY: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. ANA: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: Ryan Poehling, Cutter Gauthier.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Honda Center; listed 2026-10-14T01:45Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892501", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Calgary Flames", "home": "Anaheim Ducks", "start_et": "2026-10-13T21:45:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T01:45Z", "venue": { "id": "1842", "fullName": "Honda Center", "address": { "city": "Anaheim", "state": "CA", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 9:45 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 9:45 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Calgary Flames", "previous_game": { "id": "401892480", "date": "2026-10-11T02:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1843", "fullName": "Scotiabank Saddledome", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Calgary", "state": "AB", "country": "Canada" } }, "away": "25", "away_name": "Anaheim Ducks", "away_score": 4.0, "home": "3", "home_name": "Calgary Flames", "home_score": 2.0, "day": 20737.083333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Anaheim Ducks", "previous_game": { "id": "401892480", "date": "2026-10-11T02:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1843", "fullName": "Scotiabank Saddledome", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Calgary", "state": "AB", "country": "Canada" } }, "away": "25", "away_name": "Anaheim Ducks", "away_score": 4.0, "home": "3", "home_name": "Calgary Flames", "home_score": 2.0, "day": 20737.083333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020103, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401898718", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Los Angeles Lakers: Latest Doncic/Reaves/Grimes creation with Looney/Mamukelashvili center minutes. Kessler practice does not establish clearance; conditional return role unestimated without current sample. William Kyle waived October9, removed. Kaluma/Knecht/Sexton/Williams flags retain dates. Golden State Warriors: Santos/Lendeborg first-unit opportunities cover Butler/Moody absences. Horford explicitly will not travel Tuesday; remove his reference minutes and redistribute among current demonstrated participants. Porzingis absent, not automatically cleared. Miles Kelly waived. Neutral Las Vegas exhibition, not Lakers home advantage evidence.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current. Primary uses 2792 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2026 season-label full regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean with retained venue term. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NBA preseason rotations are conditional reference allocations, not confirmed minutes.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "T-Mobile Arena; listed 2026-10-14T02:00Z. Official NBA home-team schedule corroborates Oct 13 vs GSW 10:00 pm ET T-Mobile Arena Preseason. NBA rotation and minutes volatility; tracking-only. Neutral exhibition at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, not Los Angeles. NeutralSite=true confirmed in score input.", "details": { "event_id": "401898718", "sport": "NBA", "away": "Golden State Warriors", "home": "Los Angeles Lakers", "start_et": "2026-10-13T22:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T02:00Z", "venue": { "id": "5060", "fullName": "T-Mobile Arena", "address": { "city": "Las Vegas", "state": "NV" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": true, "stage": 1, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0.0", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 10:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 10:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.365786+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/team/1610612747/schedule" ], "context": [ "Official NBA home-team schedule corroborates Oct 13 vs GSW 10:00 pm ET T-Mobile Arena Preseason. NBA rotation and minutes volatility; tracking-only.", "Neutral exhibition at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, not Los Angeles. NeutralSite=true confirmed in score input." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Golden State Warriors", "previous_game": { "id": "401898399", "date": "2026-10-11T00:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "6270", "fullName": "Chase Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "San Francisco", "state": "CA" } }, "away": "23", "away_name": "Sacramento Kings", "away_score": 106.0, "home": "9", "home_name": "Golden State Warriors", "home_score": 111.0, "day": 20737.020833333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Los Angeles Lakers", "previous_game": { "id": "401898717", "date": "2026-10-09T02:45Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "1841", "fullName": "crypto.com Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Los Angeles", "state": "CA" } }, "away": "23", "away_name": "Sacramento Kings", "away_score": 110.0, "home": "13", "home_name": "Los Angeles Lakers", "home_score": 114.0, "day": 20735.114583333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 5, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "stage_label": "Preseason / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401901826", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "Sacramento Kings: Sabonis and Monk practiced Monday but no Tuesday clearance. Cardwell calf uncertain; Raynaud newly Out after latest game so remove and redistribute big-man opportunities to Achiuwa/Mogbo in the conditional branch. Earlier full rotation remains return sensitivity. Portland Trail Blazers: Latest October12 reference has Holiday starting after Lillard rest, with Henderson reserve creation. Sharpe absence remains; Lillard/Williams/Youngblood Tuesday returns conditional using prior observed rotations. Jaylen Martin waived, removed. London blowout separated from NBA opponent sample.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 0 current. Primary uses 2792 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2026 season-label full regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean with retained venue term. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NBA preseason rotations are conditional reference allocations, not confirmed minutes.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "Golden 1 Center; listed 2026-10-14T02:00Z. Official NBA home-team schedule corroborates Oct 13 vs POR 10:00 pm ET Golden 1 Center Preseason. NBA rotation and minutes volatility; tracking-only.", "details": { "event_id": "401901826", "sport": "NBA", "away": "Portland Trail Blazers", "home": "Sacramento Kings", "start_et": "2026-10-13T22:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T02:00Z", "venue": { "id": "5310", "fullName": "Golden 1 Center", "address": { "city": "Sacramento", "state": "CA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 1, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0.0", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 10:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 10:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.365786+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/team/1610612758/schedule" ], "context": [ "Official NBA home-team schedule corroborates Oct 13 vs POR 10:00 pm ET Golden 1 Center Preseason. NBA rotation and minutes volatility; tracking-only." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Portland Trail Blazers", "previous_game": { "id": "401914130", "date": "2026-10-12T20:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "3423", "fullName": "Moda Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Portland", "state": "OR" } }, "away": "134478", "away_name": "London Lions", "away_score": 66.0, "home": "22", "home_name": "Portland Trail Blazers", "home_score": 119.0, "day": 20738.833333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 1, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Sacramento Kings", "previous_game": { "id": "401898399", "date": "2026-10-11T00:30Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 1, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NBA", "venue": { "id": "6270", "fullName": "Chase Center", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "San Francisco", "state": "CA" } }, "away": "23", "away_name": "Sacramento Kings", "away_score": 106.0, "home": "9", "home_name": "Golden State Warriors", "home_score": 111.0, "day": 20737.020833333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "stage_label": "Preseason / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892502", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "EDM: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. LAK: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 4 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "crypto.com Arena; listed 2026-10-14T02:30Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892502", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Edmonton Oilers", "home": "Los Angeles Kings", "start_et": "2026-10-13T22:30:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T02:30Z", "venue": { "id": "1841", "fullName": "crypto.com Arena", "address": { "city": "Los Angeles", "state": "CA", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 10:30 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 10:30 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Edmonton Oilers", "previous_game": { "id": "401892471", "date": "2026-10-10T20:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1653", "fullName": "SAP Center at San Jose", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "San Jose", "state": "CA", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "6", "away_name": "Edmonton Oilers", "away_score": 3.0, "home": "18", "home_name": "San Jose Sharks", "home_score": 1.0, "day": 20736.833333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "Los Angeles Kings", "previous_game": { "id": "401892481", "date": "2026-10-11T02:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "5060", "fullName": "T-Mobile Arena", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Las Vegas", "state": "NV", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "8", "away_name": "Los Angeles Kings", "away_score": 1.0, "home": "37", "home_name": "Vegas Golden Knights", "home_score": 2.0, "day": 20737.083333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020104, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] }, { "eventId": "401892503", "desks": { "Parker Fields": { "finding": "BOS: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: none in latest participating group. SJS: Latest official actual regular-season skaters and strength-state exposure retained. Dated roster injury flags checked against subsequent participation; old statuses do not override actual play. No newly verified trade/absence is omitted from conditional branches. Recent-reference new availability branches: Barclay Goodrow.", "reviewer": "Independent football/offensive agent" }, "Uncle Sibursam": { "finding": "away: 82 prior regular-season games, 6 current; home: 82 prior regular-season games, 5 current. Primary uses 2845 strictly earlier completed games within 730 days. Tighten Up baseline: 2025/26 regular-season offense/opposing-defense arithmetic mean, no goalie or venue bonus. Small samples do not establish calibration; NBA/NHL retain tracking-only status. Prior two seasons, current regular season and preseason are separated in the opportunity ledger. NHL even-strength/power-play/short-handed exposure is retained separately.", "reviewer": "Independent model reviewer with parent reconciliation" }, "Gideon Marsh": { "finding": "Independently recomputed Classic scalar shrinkage, Primary weighted matrix fit and Tighten Up registered arithmetic. All four configurations share the same projected winner; ON/OFF are one score engine, not independent votes. Availability/trade overlays require the separate event desk before production decisions. No unsupported coefficient was added.", "reviewer": "Independent arithmetic reviewers" }, "ConstitutionOwl": { "finding": "SAP Center at San Jose; listed 2026-10-14T03:00Z. Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason.", "details": { "event_id": "401892503", "sport": "NHL", "away": "Boston Bruins", "home": "San Jose Sharks", "start_et": "2026-10-13T23:00:00-04:00", "start_utc": "2026-10-14T03:00Z", "venue": { "id": "1653", "fullName": "SAP Center at San Jose", "address": { "city": "San Jose", "state": "CA", "country": "USA" }, "indoor": true }, "neutral": false, "stage": 2, "current_status": { "clock": 0.0, "displayClock": "0:00", "period": 0, "type": { "id": "1", "name": "STATUS_SCHEDULED", "state": "pre", "completed": false, "description": "Scheduled", "detail": "Tue, October 13th at 11:00 PM EDT", "shortDetail": "10/13 - 11:00 PM EDT" } }, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard?dates=20261013&limit=1000", "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:36:41.402291+00:00", "prospective_eligible": true, "official_sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-12" ], "context": [ "Official NHL gameType2, venue/time and identity matched;16games on Frozen Frenzy schedule. NHL remains tracking-only; not preseason." ], "rest_travel": [ { "side": "away", "team": "Boston Bruins", "previous_game": { "id": "401892469", "date": "2026-10-10T17:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1824", "fullName": "TD Garden", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "Boston", "state": "MA", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "15", "away_name": "Philadelphia Flyers", "away_score": 1.0, "home": "1", "home_name": "Boston Bruins", "home_score": 5.0, "day": 20736.708333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." }, { "side": "home", "team": "San Jose Sharks", "previous_game": { "id": "401892471", "date": "2026-10-10T20:00Z", "completed": true, "state": "STATUS_FINAL", "season_type": 2, "season": 2027, "neutral": false, "sport": "NHL", "venue": { "id": "1653", "fullName": "SAP Center at San Jose", "indoor": true, "address": { "city": "San Jose", "state": "CA", "country": "USA" } }, "away": "6", "away_name": "Edmonton Oilers", "away_score": 3.0, "home": "18", "home_name": "San Jose Sharks", "home_score": 1.0, "day": 20736.833333333332 }, "days_between_start_dates": 3, "interpretation": "Calendar interval from retained completed result, not flight or actual rest hours. No unsupported rest coefficient." } ], "weather": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "official_event_id": 2026020105, "stage_label": "Regular season / tracking only" }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Polly Ticks": { "finding": "assessment: Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.; numerical_adjustment: None", "details": { "assessment": "Indoor arena; no direct exterior-weather score adjustment.", "numerical_adjustment": null }, "reviewer": "Independent schedule agent" }, "Liberty Belle": { "finding": "Sporting allowlist used; no fresh current-day prices requested before freeze. Earlier incidental/historical market exposure disclosed; not a blind trial.", "reviewer": "Parent research-isolation audit" }, "Warren Bullion": { "finding": "Keep model disagreement and all applicable replacement branches. Separate side and total gates follow after freeze. Unresolved high risk forces PASS; no quota filled.", "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ], "reviewer": "Parent synthesis" } }, "risks": [ { "severity": "HIGH", "kind": "activation", "risk": "No explicit sport activation; tracking-only." } ] } ] }