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        "date": "2026-10-14T00:00Z"
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            "provider": "DraftKings",
            "provider_id": "100",
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          "resolution": "Actual staff pitch counts and last appearances captured. No primary report establishes essential reliever unavailable. Workload remains genuine context, not automaticallyHIGH or a numerical expected-score correction.",
          "effect_estimate": null,
          "decision_test": "Apply the separately declared1run adverse allowance once; do not additionally subtract1 as a starter/bullpen player effect.",
          "unresolved": true,
          "markets": [
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            "total"
          ],
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        },
        {
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          "resolution": "Primary follow-up supports same-nine branch; alternate third-base/outfield chain retained. Not a confirmed missing-player event.",
          "effect_estimate": null,
          "decision_test": "If new credible material limitation emerges, reopen sporting revision; do not silently switch injury assumption after market capture.",
          "unresolved": false,
          "markets": [
            "run_line",
            "total"
          ],
          "finding": "Caminero remained in game and manager saysOK; DeLuca expects shoulder/hand contact not to cause absence. Primary follow-up supports same-nine branch; alternate third-base/outfield chain retained. Not a confirmed missing-player event."
        },
        {
          "id": "mlb-normal-platoon",
          "severity": "LOW",
          "facts": "CLE right-handed opposing starter, TB left-handed opposing starter; referenceGame1samehand. Halpin/Martinez, Vilade/Simpson, Fortes/Hicks alternatives retained.",
          "resolution": "Reference already includes mix of roster/platoon conditions; no repeated fullhealthyplayer deduction.",
          "effect_estimate": null,
          "decision_test": "Unannounced order alone does not veto; supported material lineup change requires revised scenario.",
          "unresolved": false,
          "markets": [
            "run_line",
            "total"
          ],
          "finding": "CLE right-handed opposing starter, TB left-handed opposing starter; referenceGame1samehand. Halpin/Martinez, Vilade/Simpson, Fortes/Hicks alternatives retained. Reference already includes mix of roster/platoon conditions; no repeated fullhealthyplayer deduction."
        },
        {
          "id": "mlb-reference-conversion",
          "severity": "MEDIUM",
          "facts": "Player-weighted exposure inside fullseason aggregates and validated current run-valued conversion unavailable.",
          "resolution": "Base engine retained, adjusted estimate null. Numeric replacement improvement not asserted.",
          "effect_estimate": null,
          "decision_test": "A null effect is not0; do not certify calibrated causal robustness. Decision may use documented descriptive buffer gate only with limitation.",
          "unresolved": true,
          "markets": [
            "run_line",
            "total"
          ],
          "finding": "Player-weighted exposure inside fullseason aggregates and validated current run-valued conversion unavailable. Base engine retained, adjusted estimate null. Numeric replacement improvement not asserted."
        },
        {
          "id": "mlb-model-disagreement",
          "severity": "MEDIUM",
          "facts": "Classic/TUtotal near8.4, Primary near6.9; winner margins all underhalf-run.",
          "resolution": "Frozen four-model arithmetic retained; disagreement itself not forcedPASS for a qualifying market-specific buffer.",
          "decision_test": "Evaluate winner, spread and total separately; no averaging of models into fifth forecast.",
          "unresolved": true,
          "markets": [
            "total"
          ],
          "finding": "Classic/TUtotal near8.4, Primary near6.9; winner margins all underhalf-run. Frozen four-model arithmetic retained; disagreement itself not forcedPASS for a qualifying market-specific buffer.",
          "market_scope_reason": "Primary projects total6.922 below captured7 while Classic/TU project above7; therefore total-specific direction uncertainty. All four configurations select the same CLE+1.5 run-line direction, so the model-disagreement risk is not counted again against run line. Narrow outright winner is addressed by moneyline stress."
        }
      ],
      "frozen_preprice_risk_register": [
        {
          "id": "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration",
          "severity": "MEDIUM",
          "facts": "Messick twoALDSstarts total6.2IP; CLE used five relievers for one inning each Oct12, none above17pitches; Smith six appearances in10days. TB Peralta current posttrade record separate from NYM and relievers usedGame1.",
          "resolution": "Actual staff pitch counts and last appearances captured. No primary report establishes essential reliever unavailable. Workload remains genuine context, not automaticallyHIGH or a numerical expected-score correction.",
          "effect_estimate": null,
          "decision_test": "Apply the separately declared1run adverse allowance once; do not additionally subtract1 as a starter/bullpen player effect."
        },
        {
          "id": "mlb-collision-availability",
          "severity": "LOW_WITH_CONDITIONAL_ESCALATION",
          "facts": "Caminero remained in game and manager saysOK; DeLuca expects shoulder/hand contact not to cause absence.",
          "resolution": "Primary follow-up supports same-nine branch; alternate third-base/outfield chain retained. Not a confirmed missing-player event.",
          "effect_estimate": null,
          "decision_test": "If new credible material limitation emerges, reopen sporting revision; do not silently switch injury assumption after market capture."
        },
        {
          "id": "mlb-normal-platoon",
          "severity": "LOW",
          "facts": "CLE right-handed opposing starter, TB left-handed opposing starter; referenceGame1samehand. Halpin/Martinez, Vilade/Simpson, Fortes/Hicks alternatives retained.",
          "resolution": "Reference already includes mix of roster/platoon conditions; no repeated fullhealthyplayer deduction.",
          "effect_estimate": null,
          "decision_test": "Unannounced order alone does not veto; supported material lineup change requires revised scenario."
        },
        {
          "id": "mlb-reference-conversion",
          "severity": "MEDIUM",
          "facts": "Player-weighted exposure inside fullseason aggregates and validated current run-valued conversion unavailable.",
          "resolution": "Base engine retained, adjusted estimate null. Numeric replacement improvement not asserted.",
          "effect_estimate": null,
          "decision_test": "A null effect is not0; do not certify calibrated causal robustness. Decision may use documented descriptive buffer gate only with limitation."
        },
        {
          "id": "mlb-model-disagreement",
          "severity": "MEDIUM",
          "facts": "Classic/TUtotal near8.4, Primary near6.9; winner margins all underhalf-run.",
          "resolution": "Frozen four-model arithmetic retained; disagreement itself not forcedPASS for a qualifying market-specific buffer.",
          "decision_test": "Evaluate winner, spread and total separately; no averaging of models into fifth forecast."
        }
      ],
      "risk_severity_note": "All preprice risk severities preserved. Two MEDIUM risks apply to run line (workload, reference conversion); three to total (plus direction disagreement). No new HIGH classification or extra numerical threshold after price capture.",
      "models": {
        "Classic": {
          "score_away_home": [
            3.9978009259259255,
            4.410956790123456
          ],
          "home_margin": 0.4131558641975306,
          "total": 8.408757716049381,
          "conservative_mode": false,
          "provisional": true,
          "run_line": {
            "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0,
            "base_buffer": 1.0868441358024694,
            "base_floor_met": true,
            "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0,
            "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.08684413580246941,
            "same_side_after_one_run": true,
            "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true,
            "numeric_only_gate_pass": true,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null,
            "combined_stress_status": "The frozen one-run test represents the reviewed starter/bullpen case and is applied once. More severe joint tail is unestimated and not established; it is disclosed, not an added veto or certified upper bound.",
            "final_state": "LEAN",
            "production_decision": "PASS",
            "promotion_allowed": false,
            "selection": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "line": 1.5,
            "price": -199.0,
            "reason": "Frozen minimum buffer, declared one-run workload adverse test and price filter pass. Classic/Primary is a provisional engine and is not an authorized live publication configuration.",
            "stressed_home_margin": 1.4131558641975306,
            "unresolved_high_risks": 0,
            "unresolved_medium_risks": 2,
            "risk_ids": [
              "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration",
              "mlb-reference-conversion"
            ],
            "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true,
            "maximum_tier": null
          },
          "total_gate": {
            "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0,
            "base_buffer": 1.4087577160493812,
            "base_floor_met": true,
            "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0,
            "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.40875771604938116,
            "same_side_after_one_run": true,
            "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true,
            "numeric_only_gate_pass": true,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null,
            "combined_stress_status": "The frozen one-run test represents the reviewed starter/bullpen case and is applied once. More severe joint tail is unestimated and not established; it is disclosed, not an added veto or certified upper bound.",
            "final_state": "LEAN",
            "production_decision": "PASS",
            "promotion_allowed": false,
            "selection": "Over",
            "line": 7.0,
            "price": 102.0,
            "reason": "Frozen minimum buffer, declared one-run workload adverse test and price filter pass. Classic/Primary is a provisional engine and is not an authorized live publication configuration. Three frozen unresolved MEDIUM risks (starter/bullpen workload, reference conversion, and total-direction model disagreement) make this total ineligible under standards section5.",
            "stressed_total_one_run_only": 7.408757716049381,
            "unresolved_high_risks": 0,
            "unresolved_medium_risks": 3,
            "risk_ids": [
              "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration",
              "mlb-reference-conversion",
              "mlb-model-disagreement"
            ],
            "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true,
            "maximum_tier": null
          },
          "moneyline": {
            "no_vig_away_probability": 0.44701799388886787,
            "no_vig_home_probability": 0.552982006111132,
            "minimum_edge_probability_points": 5,
            "model_probability": null,
            "model_probability_edge": null,
            "stressed_probability_edge": null,
            "decision": "PASS",
            "reason": "Frozen model probability unavailable; narrow score winner also reverses under1run adverse margin. A point-score favorite is not a validated no-vig probability edge."
          },
          "calibration_note": "Point-score and workload arithmetic verified; probability and causal personnel-effect validation are unavailable."
        },
        "Primary": {
          "score_away_home": [
            3.2789419407735076,
            3.6434934765336107
          ],
          "home_margin": 0.364551535760103,
          "total": 6.922435417307119,
          "conservative_mode": false,
          "provisional": true,
          "run_line": {
            "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0,
            "base_buffer": 1.135448464239897,
            "base_floor_met": true,
            "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0,
            "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.13544846423989698,
            "same_side_after_one_run": true,
            "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true,
            "numeric_only_gate_pass": true,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null,
            "combined_stress_status": "The frozen one-run test represents the reviewed starter/bullpen case and is applied once. More severe joint tail is unestimated and not established; it is disclosed, not an added veto or certified upper bound.",
            "final_state": "LEAN",
            "production_decision": "PASS",
            "promotion_allowed": false,
            "selection": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "line": 1.5,
            "price": -199.0,
            "reason": "Frozen minimum buffer, declared one-run workload adverse test and price filter pass. Classic/Primary is a provisional engine and is not an authorized live publication configuration.",
            "stressed_home_margin": 1.364551535760103,
            "unresolved_high_risks": 0,
            "unresolved_medium_risks": 2,
            "risk_ids": [
              "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration",
              "mlb-reference-conversion"
            ],
            "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true,
            "maximum_tier": null
          },
          "total_gate": {
            "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0,
            "base_buffer": 0.07756458269288125,
            "base_floor_met": false,
            "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0,
            "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": -0.9224354173071188,
            "same_side_after_one_run": false,
            "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true,
            "numeric_only_gate_pass": false,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null,
            "combined_stress_status": "The frozen one-run test represents the reviewed starter/bullpen case and is applied once. More severe joint tail is unestimated and not established; it is disclosed, not an added veto or certified upper bound.",
            "final_state": "NO_EDGE",
            "production_decision": "PASS",
            "promotion_allowed": false,
            "selection": "Under",
            "line": 7.0,
            "price": -122.0,
            "reason": "Base buffer below the frozen configuration floor. Classic/Primary is a provisional engine and is not an authorized live publication configuration. Three frozen unresolved MEDIUM risks (starter/bullpen workload, reference conversion, and total-direction model disagreement) make this total ineligible under standards section5.",
            "stressed_total_one_run_only": 7.922435417307119,
            "unresolved_high_risks": 0,
            "unresolved_medium_risks": 3,
            "risk_ids": [
              "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration",
              "mlb-reference-conversion",
              "mlb-model-disagreement"
            ],
            "event_specific_workload_test_pass": false,
            "maximum_tier": null
          },
          "moneyline": {
            "no_vig_away_probability": 0.44701799388886787,
            "no_vig_home_probability": 0.552982006111132,
            "minimum_edge_probability_points": 5,
            "model_probability": null,
            "model_probability_edge": null,
            "stressed_probability_edge": null,
            "decision": "PASS",
            "reason": "Frozen model probability unavailable; narrow score winner also reverses under1run adverse margin. A point-score favorite is not a validated no-vig probability edge."
          },
          "calibration_note": "Point-score and workload arithmetic verified; probability and causal personnel-effect validation are unavailable."
        },
        "Tighten Up Conservative ON": {
          "score_away_home": [
            4.098765432098766,
            4.330246913580247
          ],
          "home_margin": 0.23148148148148096,
          "total": 8.429012345679013,
          "conservative_mode": true,
          "provisional": false,
          "run_line": {
            "minimum_base_buffer": 1.5,
            "base_buffer": 1.268518518518519,
            "base_floor_met": false,
            "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0,
            "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.26851851851851904,
            "same_side_after_one_run": true,
            "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true,
            "numeric_only_gate_pass": false,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null,
            "combined_stress_status": "The frozen one-run test represents the reviewed starter/bullpen case and is applied once. More severe joint tail is unestimated and not established; it is disclosed, not an added veto or certified upper bound.",
            "final_state": "NO_EDGE",
            "production_decision": "PASS",
            "promotion_allowed": false,
            "selection": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "line": 1.5,
            "price": -199.0,
            "reason": "Base buffer below the frozen configuration floor. Conservative ON also disallows unresolved medium availability risk.",
            "stressed_home_margin": 1.231481481481481,
            "unresolved_high_risks": 0,
            "unresolved_medium_risks": 2,
            "risk_ids": [
              "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration",
              "mlb-reference-conversion"
            ],
            "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true,
            "maximum_tier": null
          },
          "total_gate": {
            "minimum_base_buffer": 1.5,
            "base_buffer": 1.4290123456790127,
            "base_floor_met": false,
            "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0,
            "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.4290123456790127,
            "same_side_after_one_run": true,
            "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true,
            "numeric_only_gate_pass": false,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null,
            "combined_stress_status": "The frozen one-run test represents the reviewed starter/bullpen case and is applied once. More severe joint tail is unestimated and not established; it is disclosed, not an added veto or certified upper bound.",
            "final_state": "NO_EDGE",
            "production_decision": "PASS",
            "promotion_allowed": false,
            "selection": "Over",
            "line": 7.0,
            "price": 102.0,
            "reason": "Base buffer below the frozen configuration floor. Three frozen unresolved MEDIUM risks (starter/bullpen workload, reference conversion, and total-direction model disagreement) make this total ineligible under standards section5.",
            "stressed_total_one_run_only": 7.429012345679013,
            "unresolved_high_risks": 0,
            "unresolved_medium_risks": 3,
            "risk_ids": [
              "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration",
              "mlb-reference-conversion",
              "mlb-model-disagreement"
            ],
            "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true,
            "maximum_tier": null
          },
          "moneyline": {
            "no_vig_away_probability": 0.44701799388886787,
            "no_vig_home_probability": 0.552982006111132,
            "minimum_edge_probability_points": 7,
            "model_probability": null,
            "model_probability_edge": null,
            "stressed_probability_edge": null,
            "decision": "PASS",
            "reason": "Frozen model probability unavailable; narrow score winner also reverses under1run adverse margin. A point-score favorite is not a validated no-vig probability edge."
          },
          "calibration_note": "Point-score and workload arithmetic verified; probability and causal personnel-effect validation are unavailable."
        },
        "Tighten Up Conservative OFF": {
          "score_away_home": [
            4.098765432098766,
            4.330246913580247
          ],
          "home_margin": 0.23148148148148096,
          "total": 8.429012345679013,
          "conservative_mode": false,
          "provisional": false,
          "run_line": {
            "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0,
            "base_buffer": 1.268518518518519,
            "base_floor_met": true,
            "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0,
            "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.26851851851851904,
            "same_side_after_one_run": true,
            "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true,
            "numeric_only_gate_pass": true,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null,
            "combined_stress_status": "The frozen one-run test represents the reviewed starter/bullpen case and is applied once. More severe joint tail is unestimated and not established; it is disclosed, not an added veto or certified upper bound.",
            "final_state": "TIER ELIGIBLE",
            "production_decision": "ELIGIBLE / FREE PICK ONLY",
            "promotion_allowed": true,
            "selection": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "line": 1.5,
            "price": -199.0,
            "reason": "Frozen minimum buffer, declared one-run workload adverse test and price filter pass. Two frozen unresolved MEDIUM risks (starter/bullpen workload and reference conversion) require downgrade; Pick of the Day and Bonus require at most one medium, so optional Free Pick only. This is descriptive gate eligibility, not demonstrated positive expected value or calibrated probability.",
            "stressed_home_margin": 1.231481481481481,
            "unresolved_high_risks": 0,
            "unresolved_medium_risks": 2,
            "risk_ids": [
              "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration",
              "mlb-reference-conversion"
            ],
            "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true,
            "maximum_tier": "Free Pick"
          },
          "total_gate": {
            "minimum_base_buffer": 1.0,
            "base_buffer": 1.4290123456790127,
            "base_floor_met": true,
            "mandatory_adverse_runs": 1.0,
            "stressed_buffer_one_run_only": 0.4290123456790127,
            "same_side_after_one_run": true,
            "price_strictly_better_than_minus400": true,
            "numeric_only_gate_pass": true,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_runs": null,
            "combined_event_specific_stress_pass": null,
            "combined_stress_status": "The frozen one-run test represents the reviewed starter/bullpen case and is applied once. More severe joint tail is unestimated and not established; it is disclosed, not an added veto or certified upper bound.",
            "final_state": "LEAN",
            "production_decision": "PASS",
            "promotion_allowed": false,
            "selection": "Over",
            "line": 7.0,
            "price": 102.0,
            "reason": "Frozen minimum buffer, declared one-run workload adverse test and price filter pass. Three frozen unresolved MEDIUM risks (starter/bullpen workload, reference conversion, and total-direction model disagreement) make this total ineligible under standards section5.",
            "stressed_total_one_run_only": 7.429012345679013,
            "unresolved_high_risks": 0,
            "unresolved_medium_risks": 3,
            "risk_ids": [
              "mlb-starter-bullpen-duration",
              "mlb-reference-conversion",
              "mlb-model-disagreement"
            ],
            "event_specific_workload_test_pass": true,
            "maximum_tier": null
          },
          "moneyline": {
            "no_vig_away_probability": 0.44701799388886787,
            "no_vig_home_probability": 0.552982006111132,
            "minimum_edge_probability_points": 5,
            "model_probability": null,
            "model_probability_edge": null,
            "stressed_probability_edge": null,
            "decision": "PASS",
            "reason": "Frozen model probability unavailable; narrow score winner also reverses under1run adverse margin. A point-score favorite is not a validated no-vig probability edge."
          },
          "calibration_note": "Point-score and workload arithmetic verified; probability and causal personnel-effect validation are unavailable."
        }
      },
      "decision": "RUN_LINE_ELIGIBLE_FREE_ONLY / TOTAL_PASS",
      "state": "MARKET_SPECIFIC_GATES_COMPLETE",
      "reason": "OFF CLE+1.5(-199) survives frozen1run workload stress with0.2685185run residual and two MEDIUM risks: eligible only for optional Free Pick. OFF Over7(+102) survives arithmetic but has three MEDIUM risks, so PASS. ON floors fail; Classic/Primary provisional. No extra postprice stress veto, invented severity escalation or blanket lineup rejection.",
      "pitching_review": [
        {
          "event_id": 849813,
          "canonical_espn_event_id": "401908024",
          "team": "Cleveland Guardians",
          "probable_starter": {
            "id": 800048,
            "fullName": "Parker Messick",
            "link": "/api/v1/people/800048"
          },
          "pitch_hand": {
            "code": "L",
            "description": "Left"
          },
          "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/schedule?sportId=1&date=2026-10-13&hydrate=probablePitcher",
          "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:47:02.708033+00:00",
          "starter_history": [
            {
              "group": {
                "displayName": "pitching"
              },
              "season": "2025",
              "stat": {
                "age": 24,
                "gamesPlayed": 7,
                "gamesStarted": 7,
                "groundOuts": 38,
                "airOuts": 37,
                "runs": 12,
                "doubles": 7,
                "triples": 0,
                "homeRuns": 4,
                "strikeOuts": 38,
                "baseOnBalls": 6,
                "intentionalWalks": 0,
                "hits": 46,
                "hitByPitch": 0,
                "avg": ".289",
                "atBats": 159,
                "obp": ".315",
                "slg": ".409",
                "ops": ".724",
                "caughtStealing": 0,
                "stolenBases": 0,
                "stolenBasePercentage": ".---",
                "caughtStealingPercentage": ".---",
                "groundIntoDoublePlay": 4,
                "numberOfPitches": 625,
                "era": "2.72",
                "inningsPitched": "39.2",
                "wins": 3,
                "losses": 1,
                "saves": 0,
                "saveOpportunities": 0,
                "holds": 0,
                "blownSaves": 0,
                "earnedRuns": 12,
                "whip": "1.31",
                "battersFaced": 165,
                "outs": 119,
                "gamesPitched": 7,
                "completeGames": 0,
                "shutouts": 0,
                "strikes": 413,
                "strikePercentage": ".660",
                "hitBatsmen": 0,
                "balks": 1,
                "wildPitches": 2,
                "pickoffs": 0,
                "totalBases": 65,
                "groundOutsToAirouts": "1.03",
                "winPercentage": ".750",
                "pitchesPerInning": "15.76",
                "gamesFinished": 0,
                "strikeoutWalkRatio": "6.33",
                "strikeoutsPer9Inn": "8.62",
                "walksPer9Inn": "1.36",
                "hitsPer9Inn": "10.44",
                "runsScoredPer9": "2.72",
                "homeRunsPer9": "0.91",
                "inheritedRunners": 0,
                "inheritedRunnersScored": 0,
                "catchersInterference": 0,
                "sacBunts": 0,
                "sacFlies": 0
              },
              "team": {
                "id": 114,
                "name": "Cleveland Guardians",
                "link": "/api/v1/teams/114"
              },
              "player": {
                "id": 800048,
                "fullName": "Parker Messick",
                "link": "/api/v1/people/800048"
              },
              "league": {
                "id": 103,
                "name": "American League",
                "link": "/api/v1/league/103"
              },
              "sport": {
                "id": 1,
                "link": "/api/v1/sports/1",
                "abbreviation": "MLB"
              },
              "gameType": "R"
            },
            {
              "group": {
                "displayName": "pitching"
              },
              "season": "2026",
              "stat": {
                "age": 25,
                "gamesPlayed": 32,
                "gamesStarted": 32,
                "groundOuts": 175,
                "airOuts": 177,
                "runs": 57,
                "doubles": 32,
                "triples": 5,
                "homeRuns": 17,
                "strikeOuts": 193,
                "baseOnBalls": 49,
                "intentionalWalks": 2,
                "hits": 149,
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                "avg": ".217",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-22T22:45:00Z",
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              "date": "2026-09-23T23:10:00Z",
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              "date": "2026-09-23T23:10:00Z",
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              "date": "2026-09-23T23:10:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-24T22:45:00Z",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-24T22:45:00Z",
              "event_id": 824707,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-24T22:45:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-24T22:45:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-24T22:45:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-25T23:40:00Z",
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              "date": "2026-09-25T23:40:00Z",
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              "date": "2026-09-25T23:40:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-25T23:40:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-25T23:40:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-25T23:40:00Z",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-25T23:40:00Z",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-26T23:10:00Z",
              "event_id": 824057,
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              "player_id": 542888,
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                "lineOuts": 1
              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-26T23:10:00Z",
              "event_id": 824057,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 684974,
              "player": "Craig Yoho",
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                "summary": "0.1 IP, 2 ER, 0 K, 0 BB",
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                "stolenBasePercentage": ".---",
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                "inningsPitched": "0.1",
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                "strikePercentage": ".700",
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                "runsScoredPer9": "54.00",
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                "catchersInterference": 0,
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                "lineOuts": 0
              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-26T23:10:00Z",
              "event_id": 824057,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 677944,
              "player": "Slade Cecconi",
              "stats": {
                "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 BB",
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-26T23:10:00Z",
              "event_id": 824057,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 671922,
              "player": "Cade Smith",
              "stats": {
                "note": "(H, 1)",
                "summary": "0.2 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 BB",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-26T23:10:00Z",
              "event_id": 824057,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 676440,
              "player": "Tanner Bibee",
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                "note": "(W, 7-15)",
                "summary": "6.0 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, BB",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-27T19:10:00Z",
              "event_id": 824055,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 800048,
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                "summary": "3.0 IP, ER, 2 K, BB",
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-27T19:10:00Z",
              "event_id": 824055,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 804926,
              "player": "Austin Peterson",
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                "note": "(L, 0-1)",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-03T17:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849829,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 671922,
              "player": "Cade Smith",
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                "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-03T17:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849829,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 800048,
              "player": "Parker Messick",
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                "note": "(L, 0-1)",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-03T17:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849829,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 682982,
              "player": "Daniel Espino",
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                "summary": "0.2 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, BB",
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-03T17:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849829,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 681870,
              "player": "Erik Sabrowski",
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                "summary": "1.2 IP, ER, 2 K, BB",
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                "strikePercentage": ".600",
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                "runsScoredPer9": "5.40",
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-03T17:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849829,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 683769,
              "player": "Hunter Gaddis",
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                "summary": "0.1 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 BB",
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                "stolenBasePercentage": ".---",
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                "runsScoredPer9": "0.00",
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-03T17:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849829,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 682120,
              "player": "Tim Herrin",
              "stats": {
                "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB",
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                "numberOfPitches": 14,
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                "pitchesThrown": 14,
                "balls": 6,
                "strikes": 8,
                "strikePercentage": ".570",
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                "runsScoredPer9": "0.00",
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-05T21:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849834,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 542888,
              "player": "Shawn Armstrong",
              "stats": {
                "summary": "1.1 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB",
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                "stolenBasePercentage": ".---",
                "numberOfPitches": 16,
                "inningsPitched": "1.1",
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                "holds": 0,
                "blownSaves": 0,
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                "battersFaced": 4,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-05T21:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849834,
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              "player_id": 671922,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-05T21:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849834,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 681870,
              "player": "Erik Sabrowski",
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                "note": "(L, 0-1)(BS, 1)",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-05T21:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849834,
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              "player_id": 668909,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-05T21:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849834,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849833,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849833,
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            {
              "date": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849833,
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            {
              "date": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849833,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849833,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849833,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 656492,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-09T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849832,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 542888,
              "player": "Shawn Armstrong",
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                "summary": "1.2 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB",
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-09T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849832,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 671922,
              "player": "Cade Smith",
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                "summary": "1.0 IP, ER, K, BB",
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-09T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849832,
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              "player_id": 800048,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-09T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849832,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 681870,
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                "note": "(W, 1-1)",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-09T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849832,
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              "player_id": 668909,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-09T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849832,
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              "player_id": 683769,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-09T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849832,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-09T00:00:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849831,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849831,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849831,
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              "player_id": 668909,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849831,
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849820,
              "stage": "L",
              "player_id": 671922,
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                "runsScoredPer9": "0.00",
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849820,
              "stage": "L",
              "player_id": 676282,
              "player": "Joey Cantillo",
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                "stolenBasePercentage": ".---",
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                "inningsPitched": "1.0",
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                "pitchesThrown": 13,
                "balls": 4,
                "strikes": 9,
                "strikePercentage": ".690",
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                "wildPitches": 0,
                "pickoffs": 0,
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                "runsScoredPer9": "0.00",
                "homeRunsPer9": "0.00",
                "inheritedRunners": 0,
                "inheritedRunnersScored": 0,
                "catchersInterference": 0,
                "sacBunts": 0,
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849820,
              "stage": "L",
              "player_id": 656492,
              "player": "Foster Griffin",
              "stats": {
                "summary": "4.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 K, 0 BB",
                "gamesPlayed": 1,
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                "flyOuts": 3,
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                "stolenBasePercentage": "1.000",
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                "inningsPitched": "4.0",
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                "saves": 0,
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                "holds": 0,
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                "earnedRuns": 2,
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                "pitchesThrown": 63,
                "balls": 21,
                "strikes": 42,
                "strikePercentage": ".670",
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                "rbi": 2,
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                "runsScoredPer9": "4.50",
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              }
            }
          ],
          "health_context": "Messick rookie, twoALDSstarts6.2IP combined. Five relievers each one inning Oct12, <=17pitches each. Smith pitched every6postseasongames. Same-day availability unannounced; reduced bullpen depth plausible adverse case.",
          "numeric_adjustment": null,
          "adverse_case": "One additional run allowed by shortened starter/bullpen workload can reverse narrow model winner margin. This is a run-event stress scenario, not coefficient applied to registered score.",
          "source_article": "https://www.mlb.com/news/alcs-game-2-2026-storylines-to-follow",
          "gate": "Review market-specific buffers after freeze; no automatic blanketPASS from lineup not yet posted."
        },
        {
          "event_id": 849813,
          "canonical_espn_event_id": "401908024",
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            "link": "/api/v1/people/642547"
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            "code": "R",
            "description": "Right"
          },
          "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/schedule?sportId=1&date=2026-10-13&hydrate=probablePitcher",
          "source_retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:47:02.708033+00:00",
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                "whip": "1.21",
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                "strikes": 1866,
                "strikePercentage": ".610",
                "hitBatsmen": 10,
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                "wildPitches": 8,
                "pickoffs": 0,
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                "groundOutsToAirouts": "0.73",
                "winPercentage": ".550",
                "pitchesPerInning": "17.65",
                "gamesFinished": 0,
                "strikeoutWalkRatio": "2.94",
                "strikeoutsPer9Inn": "10.36",
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                "hitsPer9Inn": "7.41",
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              },
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                "link": "/api/v1/teams/158"
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              "player": {
                "id": 642547,
                "fullName": "Freddy Peralta",
                "link": "/api/v1/people/642547"
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                "name": "National League",
                "link": "/api/v1/league/104"
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                "link": "/api/v1/sports/1",
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                "avg": ".193",
                "atBats": 643,
                "obp": ".277",
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                "ops": ".604",
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                "stolenBasePercentage": ".923",
                "caughtStealingPercentage": ".077",
                "groundIntoDoublePlay": 8,
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                "pitchesPerInning": "17.47",
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                "strikeoutWalkRatio": "3.09",
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              "team": {
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                "link": "/api/v1/teams/158"
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                "id": 642547,
                "fullName": "Freddy Peralta",
                "link": "/api/v1/people/642547"
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                "name": "National League",
                "link": "/api/v1/league/104"
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                "link": "/api/v1/sports/1",
                "abbreviation": "MLB"
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              "gameType": "R"
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                "intentionalWalks": 0,
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                "avg": ".264",
                "atBats": 455,
                "obp": ".339",
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                "ops": ".787",
                "caughtStealing": 1,
                "stolenBases": 4,
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                "caughtStealingPercentage": ".200",
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                "inningsPitched": "113.2",
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                "whip": "1.48",
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                "strikePercentage": ".610",
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                "wildPitches": 7,
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                "groundOutsToAirouts": "0.88",
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                "pitchesPerInning": "18.41",
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                "strikeoutWalkRatio": "2.35",
                "strikeoutsPer9Inn": "8.95",
                "walksPer9Inn": "3.80",
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                "runsScoredPer9": "5.62",
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                "inheritedRunners": 0,
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                "sacBunts": 2,
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              },
              "team": {
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                "name": "New York Mets",
                "link": "/api/v1/teams/121"
              },
              "player": {
                "id": 642547,
                "fullName": "Freddy Peralta",
                "link": "/api/v1/people/642547"
              },
              "league": {
                "id": 104,
                "name": "National League",
                "link": "/api/v1/league/104"
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              "sport": {
                "id": 1,
                "link": "/api/v1/sports/1",
                "abbreviation": "MLB"
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              "gameType": "R"
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            {
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              "stat": {
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                "groundOuts": 47,
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                "avg": ".208",
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                "obp": ".273",
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                "ops": ".603",
                "caughtStealing": 1,
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                "stolenBasePercentage": ".750",
                "caughtStealingPercentage": ".250",
                "groundIntoDoublePlay": 4,
                "numberOfPitches": 866,
                "era": "3.25",
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                "groundOutsToAirouts": "0.68",
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                "gamesFinished": 0,
                "strikeoutWalkRatio": "2.87",
                "strikeoutsPer9Inn": "6.99",
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                "runsScoredPer9": "3.25",
                "homeRunsPer9": "0.98",
                "inheritedRunners": 0,
                "inheritedRunnersScored": 0,
                "catchersInterference": 0,
                "sacBunts": 2,
                "sacFlies": 1
              },
              "team": {
                "id": 139,
                "name": "Tampa Bay Rays",
                "link": "/api/v1/teams/139"
              },
              "player": {
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                "fullName": "Freddy Peralta",
                "link": "/api/v1/people/642547"
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                "name": "American League",
                "link": "/api/v1/league/103"
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                "link": "/api/v1/sports/1",
                "abbreviation": "MLB"
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                "groundOuts": 153,
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                "baseOnBalls": 63,
                "intentionalWalks": 0,
                "hits": 161,
                "hitByPitch": 8,
                "avg": ".247",
                "atBats": 652,
                "obp": ".320",
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                "ops": ".733",
                "caughtStealing": 2,
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                "caughtStealingPercentage": ".222",
                "groundIntoDoublePlay": 7,
                "numberOfPitches": 2959,
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                "battersFaced": 730,
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                "strikePercentage": ".610",
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                "wildPitches": 7,
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                "groundOutsToAirouts": "0.81",
                "winPercentage": ".476",
                "pitchesPerInning": "17.51",
                "gamesFinished": 0,
                "strikeoutWalkRatio": "2.48",
                "strikeoutsPer9Inn": "8.31",
                "walksPer9Inn": "3.36",
                "hitsPer9Inn": "8.57",
                "runsScoredPer9": "4.85",
                "homeRunsPer9": "1.22",
                "inheritedRunners": 0,
                "inheritedRunnersScored": 0,
                "catchersInterference": 0,
                "sacBunts": 4,
                "sacFlies": 3
              },
              "player": {
                "id": 642547,
                "fullName": "Freddy Peralta",
                "link": "/api/v1/people/642547"
              },
              "sport": {
                "id": 1,
                "link": "/api/v1/sports/1",
                "abbreviation": "MLB"
              },
              "gameType": "R",
              "numTeams": 2,
              "numLeagues": 2
            }
          ],
          "last_actual_appearance": {
            "date": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z",
            "event_id": 849839,
            "stage": "D",
            "player_id": 642547,
            "player": "Freddy Peralta",
            "stats": {
              "summary": "4.2 IP, ER, 3 K, BB",
              "gamesPlayed": 1,
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              "flyOuts": 4,
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              "inningsPitched": "4.2",
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              "battersFaced": 18,
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              "pitchesThrown": 66,
              "balls": 23,
              "strikes": 43,
              "strikePercentage": ".650",
              "hitBatsmen": 0,
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              "gamesFinished": 0,
              "runsScoredPer9": "1.93",
              "homeRunsPer9": "1.93",
              "inheritedRunners": 0,
              "inheritedRunnersScored": 0,
              "catchersInterference": 0,
              "sacBunts": 0,
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              "passedBall": 0,
              "popOuts": 3,
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            }
          },
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          "recent_staff_appearances": [
            {
              "date": "2026-09-20T17:40:00Z",
              "event_id": 822922,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 571927,
              "player": "Steven Matz",
              "stats": {
                "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB",
                "gamesPlayed": 1,
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                "flyOuts": 1,
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                "stolenBasePercentage": ".---",
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                "balls": 5,
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                "strikePercentage": ".640",
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                "runsScoredPer9": "0.00",
                "homeRunsPer9": "0.00",
                "inheritedRunners": 0,
                "inheritedRunnersScored": 0,
                "catchersInterference": 0,
                "sacBunts": 0,
                "sacFlies": 0,
                "passedBall": 0,
                "popOuts": 0,
                "lineOuts": 0
              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-20T17:40:00Z",
              "event_id": 822922,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 694494,
              "player": "Ty Johnson",
              "stats": {
                "summary": "0.2 IP, ER, K, 0 BB",
                "gamesPlayed": 1,
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                "flyOuts": 0,
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                "stolenBasePercentage": ".---",
                "numberOfPitches": 13,
                "inningsPitched": "0.2",
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                "holds": 0,
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                "strikePercentage": ".690",
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                "pickoffs": 0,
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                "gamesFinished": 0,
                "runsScoredPer9": "13.50",
                "homeRunsPer9": "13.50",
                "inheritedRunners": 0,
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                "lineOuts": 0
              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-20T17:40:00Z",
              "event_id": 822922,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 642121,
              "player": "Cole Sulser",
              "stats": {
                "summary": "1.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 BB",
                "gamesPlayed": 1,
                "gamesStarted": 0,
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-20T17:40:00Z",
              "event_id": 822922,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 687330,
              "player": "Kevin Kelly",
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-20T17:40:00Z",
              "event_id": 822922,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 811315,
              "player": "Brody Hopkins",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-20T17:40:00Z",
              "event_id": 822922,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 643377,
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                "note": "(W, 8-10)",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-22T17:05:00Z",
              "event_id": 823543,
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              "player_id": 694494,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-22T17:05:00Z",
              "event_id": 823543,
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              "player_id": 607259,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-22T23:05:00Z",
              "event_id": 823494,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-22T23:05:00Z",
              "event_id": 823494,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 687330,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-22T23:05:00Z",
              "event_id": 823494,
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              "player_id": 641329,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-22T23:05:00Z",
              "event_id": 823494,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 656876,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-23T23:05:00Z",
              "event_id": 823492,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 571927,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-23T23:05:00Z",
              "event_id": 823492,
              "stage": "R",
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                "note": "(L, 0-4)",
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                "runsScoredPer9": "19.64",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-23T23:05:00Z",
              "event_id": 823492,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 668984,
              "player": "Casey Legumina",
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                "summary": "1.1 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-23T23:05:00Z",
              "event_id": 823492,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-23T23:05:00Z",
              "event_id": 823492,
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              "player_id": 811315,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-24T23:05:00Z",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-24T23:05:00Z",
              "event_id": 823493,
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-24T23:05:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-24T23:05:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-25T22:40:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-25T22:40:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-25T22:40:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-25T22:40:00Z",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-25T22:40:00Z",
              "event_id": 823409,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-26T23:15:00Z",
              "event_id": 823407,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 571927,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-26T23:15:00Z",
              "event_id": 823407,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 694494,
              "player": "Ty Johnson",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-26T23:15:00Z",
              "event_id": 823407,
              "stage": "R",
              "player_id": 592155,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-26T23:15:00Z",
              "event_id": 823407,
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              "player_id": 642121,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-26T23:15:00Z",
              "event_id": 823407,
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-26T23:15:00Z",
              "event_id": 823407,
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-26T23:15:00Z",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-27T18:30:00Z",
              "event_id": 823408,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-27T18:30:00Z",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-27T18:30:00Z",
              "event_id": 823408,
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            {
              "date": "2026-09-27T18:30:00Z",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-09-27T18:30:00Z",
              "event_id": 823408,
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              "player_id": 655889,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-03T22:30:00Z",
              "event_id": 849835,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 641329,
              "player": "Bryan Baker",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-03T22:30:00Z",
              "event_id": 849835,
              "stage": "D",
              "player_id": 656876,
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                "note": "(W, 1-0)",
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                "strikePercentage": ".680",
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              }
            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849839,
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              "player_id": 592155,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849839,
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            {
              "date": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849839,
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            {
              "date": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-08T00:00:00Z",
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              "date": "2026-10-08T00:00:00Z",
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              "date": "2026-10-08T00:00:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-10-08T00:00:00Z",
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              "date": "2026-10-08T00:00:00Z",
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              "date": "2026-10-08T00:00:00Z",
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            {
              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849820,
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              "player_id": 669330,
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            {
              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849820,
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              "player_id": 592155,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849820,
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              "player_id": 693855,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
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              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849820,
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            {
              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849820,
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            {
              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849820,
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            {
              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849820,
              "stage": "L",
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                "lineOuts": 0
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            {
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              "event_id": 849820,
              "stage": "L",
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849820,
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              "player_id": 642121,
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            },
            {
              "date": "2026-10-13T00:00:00Z",
              "event_id": 849820,
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          ],
          "health_context": "Peralta right-handed acquired at deadline; NYM and TB samples retained, no pooling total and split. October12 reliever usage retained; no automatic fatigue deduction. McClanahan season-ending issue separate from hitter overlay.",
          "numeric_adjustment": null,
          "adverse_case": "One additional run allowed by shortened starter/bullpen workload can reverse narrow model winner margin. This is a run-event stress scenario, not coefficient applied to registered score.",
          "source_article": "https://www.mlb.com/news/alcs-game-2-2026-storylines-to-follow",
          "gate": "Review market-specific buffers after freeze; no automatic blanketPASS from lineup not yet posted."
        }
      ],
      "sources": [
        "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/game/849820/boxscore",
        "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/teams/114/roster/active",
        "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/teams/139/roster/active",
        "https://www.mlb.com/news/alcs-game-2-2026-storylines-to-follow",
        "https://www.mlb.com/news/junior-caminero-ok-after-collision-with-jonny-deluca"
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        "date": "2026-10-14T00:00Z"
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            "provider_id": "100",
            "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908621",
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            "away_line_price": -105.0,
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            "under_line": 228.5,
            "over_price": -110.0,
            "under_price": -110.0,
            "home_ml": -278.0,
            "away_ml": 225.0,
            "moneyline_complete": true,
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        "spread_quote_count": 1,
        "total_quote_count": 1,
        "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus"
      },
      "market_missing": false,
      "website_excluded": false,
      "research_record_retained": true,
      "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE",
      "state": "TRACKING_ONLY",
      "reason": "Standing sport activation is absent. Seven-game threshold permits review only; available quotes do not activate live wagering."
    },
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        "away_name": "Minnesota Wild",
        "home_name": "Winnipeg Jets",
        "date": "2026-10-14T00:15Z"
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            "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892497",
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        "average_total": 6.5,
        "spread_quote_count": 1,
        "total_quote_count": 1,
        "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus"
      },
      "market_missing": false,
      "website_excluded": false,
      "research_record_retained": true,
      "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE",
      "state": "TRACKING_ONLY",
      "reason": "Standing sport activation is absent. Seven-game threshold permits review only; available quotes do not activate live wagering."
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401892498",
      "sport": "NHL",
      "identity": {
        "away_name": "Colorado Avalanche",
        "home_name": "Dallas Stars",
        "date": "2026-10-14T00:30Z"
      },
      "market": {
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        "quotes": [
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            "provider_id": "100",
            "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892498",
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        "total_quote_count": 1,
        "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus"
      },
      "market_missing": false,
      "website_excluded": false,
      "research_record_retained": true,
      "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE",
      "state": "TRACKING_ONLY",
      "reason": "Standing sport activation is absent. Seven-game threshold permits review only; available quotes do not activate live wagering."
    },
    {
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      "sport": "NHL",
      "identity": {
        "away_name": "Vegas Golden Knights",
        "home_name": "Nashville Predators",
        "date": "2026-10-14T00:45Z"
      },
      "market": {
        "id": "401892499",
        "quotes": [
          {
            "provider": "DraftKings",
            "provider_id": "100",
            "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892499",
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            "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:52:31.766078+00:00",
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            "away_line": -1.5,
            "home_line_price": -230.0,
            "away_line_price": 190.0,
            "total": 6.5,
            "under_line": 6.5,
            "over_price": 110.0,
            "under_price": -130.0,
            "home_ml": 110.0,
            "away_ml": -130.0,
            "moneyline_complete": true,
            "spread_complete": true,
            "total_complete": true
          }
        ],
        "average_home_line": 1.5,
        "average_total": 6.5,
        "spread_quote_count": 1,
        "total_quote_count": 1,
        "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus"
      },
      "market_missing": false,
      "website_excluded": false,
      "research_record_retained": true,
      "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE",
      "state": "TRACKING_ONLY",
      "reason": "Standing sport activation is absent. Seven-game threshold permits review only; available quotes do not activate live wagering."
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401892500",
      "sport": "NHL",
      "identity": {
        "away_name": "Toronto Maple Leafs",
        "home_name": "Utah Mammoth",
        "date": "2026-10-14T01:00Z"
      },
      "market": {
        "id": "401892500",
        "quotes": [
          {
            "provider": "DraftKings",
            "provider_id": "100",
            "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892500",
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            "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:52:31.832681+00:00",
            "home_line": -1.5,
            "away_line": 1.5,
            "home_line_price": 150.0,
            "away_line_price": -180.0,
            "total": 6.5,
            "under_line": 6.5,
            "over_price": -108.0,
            "under_price": -112.0,
            "home_ml": -155.0,
            "away_ml": 130.0,
            "moneyline_complete": true,
            "spread_complete": true,
            "total_complete": true
          }
        ],
        "average_home_line": -1.5,
        "average_total": 6.5,
        "spread_quote_count": 1,
        "total_quote_count": 1,
        "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus"
      },
      "market_missing": false,
      "website_excluded": false,
      "research_record_retained": true,
      "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE",
      "state": "TRACKING_ONLY",
      "reason": "Standing sport activation is absent. Seven-game threshold permits review only; available quotes do not activate live wagering."
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401892501",
      "sport": "NHL",
      "identity": {
        "away_name": "Calgary Flames",
        "home_name": "Anaheim Ducks",
        "date": "2026-10-14T01:45Z"
      },
      "market": {
        "id": "401892501",
        "quotes": [
          {
            "provider": "DraftKings",
            "provider_id": "100",
            "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892501",
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            "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:52:31.872315+00:00",
            "home_line": -1.5,
            "away_line": 1.5,
            "home_line_price": 124.0,
            "away_line_price": -148.0,
            "total": 6.5,
            "under_line": 6.5,
            "over_price": 110.0,
            "under_price": -130.0,
            "home_ml": -205.0,
            "away_ml": 170.0,
            "moneyline_complete": true,
            "spread_complete": true,
            "total_complete": true
          }
        ],
        "average_home_line": -1.5,
        "average_total": 6.5,
        "spread_quote_count": 1,
        "total_quote_count": 1,
        "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus"
      },
      "market_missing": false,
      "website_excluded": false,
      "research_record_retained": true,
      "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE",
      "state": "TRACKING_ONLY",
      "reason": "Standing sport activation is absent. Seven-game threshold permits review only; available quotes do not activate live wagering."
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401898718",
      "sport": "NBA",
      "identity": {
        "away_name": "Golden State Warriors",
        "home_name": "Los Angeles Lakers",
        "date": "2026-10-14T02:00Z"
      },
      "market": {
        "id": "401898718",
        "quotes": [
          {
            "provider": "DraftKings",
            "provider_id": "100",
            "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898718",
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            "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:52:31.924221+00:00",
            "home_line": -2.5,
            "away_line": 2.5,
            "home_line_price": -110.0,
            "away_line_price": -110.0,
            "total": 227.5,
            "under_line": 227.5,
            "over_price": -110.0,
            "under_price": -110.0,
            "home_ml": -135.0,
            "away_ml": 114.0,
            "moneyline_complete": true,
            "spread_complete": true,
            "total_complete": true
          }
        ],
        "average_home_line": -2.5,
        "average_total": 227.5,
        "spread_quote_count": 1,
        "total_quote_count": 1,
        "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus"
      },
      "market_missing": false,
      "website_excluded": false,
      "research_record_retained": true,
      "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE",
      "state": "TRACKING_ONLY",
      "reason": "Standing sport activation is absent. Seven-game threshold permits review only; available quotes do not activate live wagering."
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401901826",
      "sport": "NBA",
      "identity": {
        "away_name": "Portland Trail Blazers",
        "home_name": "Sacramento Kings",
        "date": "2026-10-14T02:00Z"
      },
      "market": {
        "id": "401901826",
        "quotes": [
          {
            "provider": "DraftKings",
            "provider_id": "100",
            "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901826",
            "requested_utc": "2026-10-13T05:52:31.775168+00:00",
            "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:52:31.929050+00:00",
            "home_line": 3.5,
            "away_line": -3.5,
            "home_line_price": -105.0,
            "away_line_price": -115.0,
            "total": 227.5,
            "under_line": 227.5,
            "over_price": -110.0,
            "under_price": -110.0,
            "home_ml": 142.0,
            "away_ml": -170.0,
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            "spread_complete": true,
            "total_complete": true
          }
        ],
        "average_home_line": 3.5,
        "average_total": 227.5,
        "spread_quote_count": 1,
        "total_quote_count": 1,
        "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus"
      },
      "market_missing": false,
      "website_excluded": false,
      "research_record_retained": true,
      "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE",
      "state": "TRACKING_ONLY",
      "reason": "Standing sport activation is absent. Seven-game threshold permits review only; available quotes do not activate live wagering."
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401892502",
      "sport": "NHL",
      "identity": {
        "away_name": "Edmonton Oilers",
        "home_name": "Los Angeles Kings",
        "date": "2026-10-14T02:30Z"
      },
      "market": {
        "id": "401892502",
        "quotes": [
          {
            "provider": "DraftKings",
            "provider_id": "100",
            "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892502",
            "requested_utc": "2026-10-13T05:52:31.794408+00:00",
            "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:52:32.004686+00:00",
            "home_line": 1.5,
            "away_line": -1.5,
            "home_line_price": -245.0,
            "away_line_price": 200.0,
            "total": 6.5,
            "under_line": 6.5,
            "over_price": 114.0,
            "under_price": -135.0,
            "home_ml": 105.0,
            "away_ml": -125.0,
            "moneyline_complete": true,
            "spread_complete": true,
            "total_complete": true
          }
        ],
        "average_home_line": 1.5,
        "average_total": 6.5,
        "spread_quote_count": 1,
        "total_quote_count": 1,
        "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus"
      },
      "market_missing": false,
      "website_excluded": false,
      "research_record_retained": true,
      "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE",
      "state": "TRACKING_ONLY",
      "reason": "Standing sport activation is absent. Seven-game threshold permits review only; available quotes do not activate live wagering."
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401892503",
      "sport": "NHL",
      "identity": {
        "away_name": "Boston Bruins",
        "home_name": "San Jose Sharks",
        "date": "2026-10-14T03:00Z"
      },
      "market": {
        "id": "401892503",
        "quotes": [
          {
            "provider": "DraftKings",
            "provider_id": "100",
            "url": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892503",
            "requested_utc": "2026-10-13T05:52:31.804172+00:00",
            "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-13T05:52:32.036004+00:00",
            "home_line": -1.5,
            "away_line": 1.5,
            "home_line_price": 220.0,
            "away_line_price": -270.0,
            "total": 6.5,
            "under_line": 6.5,
            "over_price": 110.0,
            "under_price": -130.0,
            "home_ml": -115.0,
            "away_ml": -105.0,
            "moneyline_complete": true,
            "spread_complete": true,
            "total_complete": true
          }
        ],
        "average_home_line": -1.5,
        "average_total": 6.5,
        "spread_quote_count": 1,
        "total_quote_count": 1,
        "average_status": "SINGLE-PROVIDER QUOTE; not a broad market consensus"
      },
      "market_missing": false,
      "website_excluded": false,
      "research_record_retained": true,
      "decision": "PASS / NOT LIVE",
      "state": "TRACKING_ONLY",
      "reason": "Standing sport activation is absent. Seven-game threshold permits review only; available quotes do not activate live wagering."
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  ],
  "qa": {
    "event_count": 22,
    "MLB_count": 1,
    "tracking_count": 21,
    "frozen_inputs_rehashed": true,
    "price_source": "Single-provider DraftKings via ESPN, not broad market consensus",
    "risk_assessment": "Preprice severity preserved; market-specific scopes explicit; two-medium downgrade and three-medium PASS applied under existing rules.",
    "package_semantics": "CompletedPASS decisions do not inherently block packaging. Unestimated fullrobustness and provisional/tracking states must remain visible."
  },
  "postprice_correction": {
    "supersedes": "postprice-offensive-gates-SUPERSEDED-extra-stress-interpretation.json",
    "reason": "Independent reviewer identified extra-stress veto conflicting with frozen one-run workload declaration. Removed unsupported high escalation; replaced with frozen risk counts and existing tier rules.",
    "forecast_or_preprice_changed": false,
    "previous_postprice_sha256": "b554b7996c63cf83c5e339c7114ccf4a052e96806aec4edc01572229edada2dc"
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}