{
  "createdUtc": "2026-10-11T11:50:39.129684+00:00",
  "dateEastern": "2026-10-11",
  "configuration": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
  "selections": [
    {
      "event_id": "401872990",
      "market": "total",
      "tier": "Free Pick",
      "pick": "Under 47.5 (-118)",
      "price": -118,
      "worst_stressed_buffer": 3.479871595995121,
      "unresolved_medium": 2,
      "slot": "Free Pick 1",
      "matchup": "Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers",
      "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/nfl/summary?event=401872990",
      "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-11T11:49:17.283790+00:00",
      "rationale": "Tighten Up OFF; all applicable replacement cases survive the registered adverse test, with minimum cushion 3.48. 2 medium risks require a tier downgrade; no unresolved high risk. Remaining risks: Green Bay interior protection; Green Bay interior run defense. This is an optional Free selection, with no probability or stake assigned."
    },
    {
      "event_id": "401872988",
      "market": "spread",
      "tier": "Free Pick",
      "pick": "New York Giants +3.5 (-108)",
      "price": -108,
      "worst_stressed_buffer": 2.1000621655416296,
      "unresolved_medium": 2,
      "slot": "Free Pick 2",
      "matchup": "New York Giants at Washington Commanders",
      "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/nfl/summary?event=401872988",
      "retrieved_utc": "2026-10-11T11:49:17.341632+00:00",
      "rationale": "Tighten Up OFF; all applicable replacement cases survive the registered adverse test, with minimum cushion 2.10. 2 medium risks require a tier downgrade; no unresolved high risk. Remaining risks: Washington safety depth; Landover wet conditions. This is an optional Free selection, with no probability or stake assigned."
    }
  ],
  "sourceGateFile": "football/postprice-tightenup-gates-final.json",
  "source": "Full13-game final defense/protection review plus52independent NFL market gates and parent all-sport reconciliation. MLB actual lineup and stress gates remain unresolved. NBA/NHL tracking-only; MLS unsupported; elapsed NBA no prospective output.",
  "tier_reason": "No Pick of the Day or Bonus qualifies. Remaining eligible OFF candidates each have two medium risks; mandatory downgrade permits at most two optional Free slots. No tier quota filled. ON has no selections.",
  "other_configurations": "Classic/Primary provisional; ON retained without duplicate wagers.",
  "no_probability_or_stake": true,
  "edition_exceptions": []
}