{
  "created": "2026-10-10T10:34:03.837Z",
  "status": "VERIFIED PROPOSAL; NOT APPLIED TO HISTORICAL WEBSITE",
  "source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-09-Tighten-Up-OFF-STAGING-NOT-FOR-UPLOAD\\tracker.html",
  "sourceSha256": "568c98154b8214984ff1d56f542ee2f7ed6e7f2f091f5d6aa178ea4bf31d6927",
  "edition": "October9 TightenUp Conservative OFF; original Primary PASS edition separate",
  "rows": [
    {
      "eventId": "401898395",
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        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NBA",
        "competition": "NBA",
        "eventId": "401898395",
        "away": "Houston Rockets",
        "home": "Dallas Mavericks",
        "startTime": "8:00 AM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Not offered — elapsed event",
        "ml": "Not offered — elapsed event",
        "total": "Not offered — elapsed event",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Houston Rockets 117.5, Dallas Mavericks 112.0; base 117.5 / 112.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/houston-rockets-dallas-mavericks-401898395-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": null,
        "marketRetrieved": null,
        "marketConf": {},
        "notes": "Already started, neutral-site preseason and unresolved rotations; retained numbers are tracking-only, never a new pregame recommendation.",
        "baseScore": [
          117.4329275,
          112.06707
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        "adjustedScore": [
          117.4329275,
          112.06707
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        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-nba-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
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          112.06707
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null
      },
      "proposed": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NBA",
        "competition": "NBA",
        "eventId": "401898395",
        "away": "Houston Rockets",
        "home": "Dallas Mavericks",
        "startTime": "8:00 AM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Houston Rockets 135, Dallas Mavericks 117",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Not offered — elapsed event",
        "ml": "Not offered — elapsed event",
        "total": "Not offered — elapsed event",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Houston Rockets 117.5, Dallas Mavericks 112.0; base 117.5 / 112.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/houston-rockets-dallas-mavericks-401898395-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": null,
        "marketRetrieved": null,
        "marketConf": {},
        "notes": "Already started, neutral-site preseason and unresolved rotations; retained numbers are tracking-only, never a new pregame recommendation.",
        "baseScore": [
          117.4329275,
          112.06707
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          117.4329275,
          112.06707
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        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-nba-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          117.4329275,
          112.06707
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null,
        "actual": [
          135,
          117
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        "wagerGrade": "NO GRADE",
        "coverMargin": null,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "nba_official_results.json",
          "url": "https://www.nba.com/games?date=2026-10-09",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:31:42.081Z"
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      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401868329",
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        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401868329",
        "away": "Florida A&M Rattlers",
        "home": "Alabama State Hornets",
        "startTime": "12:05 PM ET",
        "pick": "Alabama State Hornets -14.5 (-102)",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Free Pick",
        "tier": "Free Pick",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Florida A&M Rattlers +14.5 (-122) / Alabama State Hornets -14.5 (-102)",
        "ml": "Florida A&M Rattlers +438 / Alabama State Hornets -650",
        "total": "O 47.5 (-102) / U 47.5 (-122)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Florida A&M Rattlers 14.0, Alabama State Hornets 42.5; base 14.0 / 42.5.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/florida-a-m-rattlers-alabama-state-hornets-401868329-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401868329",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.978Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Robust OFF side receives a two-medium-risk downgrade to Free Pick; quarterback cause and wind/rain remain unresolved, and total is withheld.",
        "baseScore": [
          13.868333333333332,
          42.36083333333333
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          13.868333333333332,
          42.36083333333333
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          13.868333333333332,
          42.36083333333333
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": "spread",
        "odds": -102
      },
      "proposed": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401868329",
        "away": "Florida A&M Rattlers",
        "home": "Alabama State Hornets",
        "startTime": "12:05 PM ET",
        "pick": "Alabama State Hornets -14.5 (-102)",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Free Pick",
        "tier": "Free Pick",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Florida A&M Rattlers 28, Alabama State Hornets 27",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Florida A&M Rattlers +14.5 (-122) / Alabama State Hornets -14.5 (-102)",
        "ml": "Florida A&M Rattlers +438 / Alabama State Hornets -650",
        "total": "O 47.5 (-102) / U 47.5 (-122)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Florida A&M Rattlers 14.0, Alabama State Hornets 42.5; base 14.0 / 42.5.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/florida-a-m-rattlers-alabama-state-hornets-401868329-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401868329",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.978Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Robust OFF side receives a two-medium-risk downgrade to Free Pick; quarterback cause and wind/rain remain unresolved, and total is withheld.",
        "baseScore": [
          13.868333333333332,
          42.36083333333333
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          13.868333333333332,
          42.36083333333333
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          13.868333333333332,
          42.36083333333333
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": "spread",
        "odds": -102,
        "actual": [
          28,
          27
        ],
        "wagerGrade": "LOSS",
        "coverMargin": -15.5,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "prior_official_alabama.json",
          "url": "https://bamastatesports.com/sports/football/schedule/2026",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:36:27.791Z"
        }
      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401858254",
      "before": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401858254",
        "away": "Florida State Seminoles",
        "home": "Louisville Cardinals",
        "startTime": "7:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Florida State Seminoles +3.5 (-108) / Louisville Cardinals -3.5 (-112)",
        "ml": "Florida State Seminoles +150 / Louisville Cardinals -180",
        "total": "O 59.5 (-112) / U 59.5 (-108)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Florida State Seminoles 26.5, Louisville Cardinals 29.0; base 29.5 / 29.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/florida-state-seminoles-louisville-cardinals-401858254-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401858254",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.870Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Known Singleton replacement, conditional Louisville workload and thin numerical cushions; both markets remain PASS.",
        "baseScore": [
          29.5325,
          29.180000000000003
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        "adjustedScore": [
          26.5325,
          29.180000000000003
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        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          26.5325,
          29.180000000000003
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null
      },
      "proposed": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401858254",
        "away": "Florida State Seminoles",
        "home": "Louisville Cardinals",
        "startTime": "7:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Florida State Seminoles 20, Louisville Cardinals 44",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Florida State Seminoles +3.5 (-108) / Louisville Cardinals -3.5 (-112)",
        "ml": "Florida State Seminoles +150 / Louisville Cardinals -180",
        "total": "O 59.5 (-112) / U 59.5 (-108)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Florida State Seminoles 26.5, Louisville Cardinals 29.0; base 29.5 / 29.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/florida-state-seminoles-louisville-cardinals-401858254-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401858254",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.870Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Known Singleton replacement, conditional Louisville workload and thin numerical cushions; both markets remain PASS.",
        "baseScore": [
          29.5325,
          29.180000000000003
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          26.5325,
          29.180000000000003
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          26.5325,
          29.180000000000003
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null,
        "actual": [
          20,
          44
        ],
        "wagerGrade": "NO GRADE",
        "coverMargin": null,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "prior_official_louisville.json",
          "url": "https://gocards.com/sports/football/schedule/2026",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:36:27.913Z"
        }
      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401868265",
      "before": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401868265",
        "away": "Columbia Lions",
        "home": "Marist Red Foxes",
        "startTime": "7:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Columbia Lions -1.5 (-111) / Marist Red Foxes +1.5 (-112)",
        "ml": "Columbia Lions -130 / Marist Red Foxes +104",
        "total": "O 43.5 (-111) / U 43.5 (-111)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Columbia Lions 16.0, Marist Red Foxes 30.5; base 16.0 / 30.5.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/columbia-lions-marist-red-foxes-401868265-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401868265",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.971Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Columbia’s three-game current sample conflicts with the fixed 50 percent registered weight; both configurations remain ineligible.",
        "baseScore": [
          16.218333333333334,
          30.49833333333333
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        "adjustedScore": [
          16.218333333333334,
          30.49833333333333
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        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          16.218333333333334,
          30.49833333333333
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null
      },
      "proposed": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401868265",
        "away": "Columbia Lions",
        "home": "Marist Red Foxes",
        "startTime": "7:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Columbia Lions 41, Marist Red Foxes 28",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Columbia Lions -1.5 (-111) / Marist Red Foxes +1.5 (-112)",
        "ml": "Columbia Lions -130 / Marist Red Foxes +104",
        "total": "O 43.5 (-111) / U 43.5 (-111)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Columbia Lions 16.0, Marist Red Foxes 30.5; base 16.0 / 30.5.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/columbia-lions-marist-red-foxes-401868265-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401868265",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.971Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Columbia’s three-game current sample conflicts with the fixed 50 percent registered weight; both configurations remain ineligible.",
        "baseScore": [
          16.218333333333334,
          30.49833333333333
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        "adjustedScore": [
          16.218333333333334,
          30.49833333333333
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        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          16.218333333333334,
          30.49833333333333
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null,
        "actual": [
          41,
          28
        ],
        "wagerGrade": "NO GRADE",
        "coverMargin": null,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "prior_official_marist.json",
          "url": "https://goredfoxes.com/sports/football/schedule/2026",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:36:28.028Z"
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      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401892465",
      "before": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "competition": "NHL",
        "eventId": "401892465",
        "away": "Seattle Kraken",
        "home": "Detroit Red Wings",
        "startTime": "7:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Seattle Kraken +1.5 (-205) / Detroit Red Wings -1.5 (+170)",
        "ml": "Seattle Kraken +120 / Detroit Red Wings -142",
        "total": "O 6.5 (+110) / U 6.5 (-130)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Seattle Kraken 3.0, Detroit Red Wings 3.0; base 3.0 / 3.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/seattle-kraken-detroit-red-wings-401892465-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892465",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:17.037Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Near-level means, uncertain final defensive workloads and unconfirmed goalie effects; current AHL trade roles do not justify an NHL scoring adjustment.",
        "baseScore": [
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        "adjustedScore": [
          2.91463,
          3.0243849999999997
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        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-nhl-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          2.91463,
          3.0243849999999997
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null
      },
      "proposed": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "competition": "NHL",
        "eventId": "401892465",
        "away": "Seattle Kraken",
        "home": "Detroit Red Wings",
        "startTime": "7:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Seattle Kraken 6, Detroit Red Wings 3",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Seattle Kraken +1.5 (-205) / Detroit Red Wings -1.5 (+170)",
        "ml": "Seattle Kraken +120 / Detroit Red Wings -142",
        "total": "O 6.5 (+110) / U 6.5 (-130)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Seattle Kraken 3.0, Detroit Red Wings 3.0; base 3.0 / 3.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/seattle-kraken-detroit-red-wings-401892465-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892465",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:17.037Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Near-level means, uncertain final defensive workloads and unconfirmed goalie effects; current AHL trade roles do not justify an NHL scoring adjustment.",
        "baseScore": [
          2.91463,
          3.0243849999999997
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        "adjustedScore": [
          2.91463,
          3.0243849999999997
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        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-nhl-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          2.91463,
          3.0243849999999997
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null,
        "actual": [
          6,
          3
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        "wagerGrade": "NO GRADE",
        "coverMargin": null,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
          "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-09",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:31:41.929Z"
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      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401892466",
      "before": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "competition": "NHL",
        "eventId": "401892466",
        "away": "New York Rangers",
        "home": "Washington Capitals",
        "startTime": "7:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "New York Rangers +1.5 (-230) / Washington Capitals -1.5 (+190)",
        "ml": "New York Rangers +120 / Washington Capitals -142",
        "total": "O 5.5 (-125) / U 5.5 (+105)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF New York Rangers 3.0, Washington Capitals 3.0; base 3.0 / 3.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/new-york-rangers-washington-capitals-401892466-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892466",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:17.063Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Current blue-line and depth-forward opportunities are incomplete; small mean separation and NHL tracking policy prevent live selection.",
        "baseScore": [
          2.88414,
          3.10975
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          2.88414,
          3.10975
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-nhl-existing-oct7",
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      },
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        "home": "Washington Capitals",
        "startTime": "7:00 PM ET",
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        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "New York Rangers 1, Washington Capitals 3",
        "units": 0,
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        "ml": "New York Rangers +120 / Washington Capitals -142",
        "total": "O 5.5 (-125) / U 5.5 (+105)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF New York Rangers 3.0, Washington Capitals 3.0; base 3.0 / 3.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/new-york-rangers-washington-capitals-401892466-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892466",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:17.063Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Current blue-line and depth-forward opportunities are incomplete; small mean separation and NHL tracking policy prevent live selection.",
        "baseScore": [
          2.88414,
          3.10975
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          2.88414,
          3.10975
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-nhl-existing-oct7",
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        "actual": [
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          3
        ],
        "wagerGrade": "NO GRADE",
        "coverMargin": null,
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        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
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      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401892467",
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        "competition": "NHL",
        "eventId": "401892467",
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        "home": "Columbus Blue Jackets",
        "startTime": "7:00 PM ET",
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        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
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        "ml": "Pittsburgh Penguins +102 / Columbus Blue Jackets -122",
        "total": "O 6.5 (-105) / U 6.5 (-115)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Pittsburgh Penguins 3.5, Columbus Blue Jackets 3.0; base 3.5 / 3.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/pittsburgh-penguins-columbus-blue-jackets-401892467-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892467",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:17.034Z",
        "marketConf": {
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        },
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        "baseScore": [
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          3.07317
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
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          3.07317
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
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        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-nhl-existing-oct7",
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
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        "status": "final",
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        "units": 0,
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        "ml": "Pittsburgh Penguins +102 / Columbus Blue Jackets -122",
        "total": "O 6.5 (-105) / U 6.5 (-115)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Pittsburgh Penguins 3.5, Columbus Blue Jackets 3.0; base 3.5 / 3.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/pittsburgh-penguins-columbus-blue-jackets-401892467-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892467",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:17.034Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Personal-leave status, trade role changes and unequal rest require tracking; offensive and defensive trade effects remain separately unestimated.",
        "baseScore": [
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          3.07317
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        "adjustedScore": [
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          3.07317
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-nhl-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
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        "actual": [
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          3
        ],
        "wagerGrade": "NO GRADE",
        "coverMargin": null,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
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          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:31:41.929Z"
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      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401918299",
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        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "WNBA",
        "competition": "WNBA",
        "eventId": "401918299",
        "away": "Atlanta Dream",
        "home": "New York Liberty",
        "startTime": "7:30 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Atlanta Dream +2.5 (-105) / New York Liberty -2.5 (-115)",
        "ml": "Atlanta Dream +130 / New York Liberty -155",
        "total": "O 171.5 (-110) / U 171.5 (-110)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Atlanta Dream 87.5, New York Liberty 88.5; base 87.5 / 88.5.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/atlanta-dream-new-york-liberty-401918299-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/wnba/summary?event=401918299",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.975Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
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        "baseScore": [
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          88.522727
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        "adjustedScore": [
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          88.522727
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-wnba-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null
      },
      "proposed": {
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        "competition": "WNBA",
        "eventId": "401918299",
        "away": "Atlanta Dream",
        "home": "New York Liberty",
        "startTime": "7:30 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
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        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Atlanta Dream 85, New York Liberty 83",
        "units": 0,
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        "total": "O 171.5 (-110) / U 171.5 (-110)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Atlanta Dream 87.5, New York Liberty 88.5; base 87.5 / 88.5.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/atlanta-dream-new-york-liberty-401918299-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/wnba/summary?event=401918299",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.975Z",
        "marketConf": {
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        "baseScore": [
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          88.522727
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
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          88.522727
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        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-wnba-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null,
        "actual": [
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          83
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        "wagerGrade": "NO GRADE",
        "coverMargin": null,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "wnba_result_ny.json",
          "url": "https://www.wnba.com/game/1042600203",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:34:21.293Z"
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      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401908940",
      "before": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NBA",
        "competition": "NBA",
        "eventId": "401908940",
        "away": "Memphis Grizzlies",
        "home": "Chicago Bulls",
        "startTime": "8:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 (-115) / Chicago Bulls -3.5 (-105)",
        "ml": "Memphis Grizzlies +124 / Chicago Bulls -148",
        "total": "O 239.5 (-110) / U 239.5 (-110)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Memphis Grizzlies 118.0, Chicago Bulls 118.5; base 118.0 / 118.5.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/memphis-grizzlies-chicago-bulls-401908940-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908940",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.977Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Near-level baseline and unsettled preseason opportunities; no supported numerical lineup correction and no NBA live activation.",
        "baseScore": [
          118.09146000000001,
          118.493905
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        "adjustedScore": [
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          118.493905
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        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-nba-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
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          118.493905
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null
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        "sport": "NBA",
        "competition": "NBA",
        "eventId": "401908940",
        "away": "Memphis Grizzlies",
        "home": "Chicago Bulls",
        "startTime": "8:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Memphis Grizzlies 104, Chicago Bulls 100",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 (-115) / Chicago Bulls -3.5 (-105)",
        "ml": "Memphis Grizzlies +124 / Chicago Bulls -148",
        "total": "O 239.5 (-110) / U 239.5 (-110)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Memphis Grizzlies 118.0, Chicago Bulls 118.5; base 118.0 / 118.5.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/memphis-grizzlies-chicago-bulls-401908940-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401908940",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.977Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
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        "baseScore": [
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          118.493905
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        "adjustedScore": [
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          118.493905
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        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-nba-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
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          118.493905
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null,
        "actual": [
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          100
        ],
        "wagerGrade": "NO GRADE",
        "coverMargin": null,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "nba_official_results.json",
          "url": "https://www.nba.com/games?date=2026-10-09",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:31:42.081Z"
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      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401892468",
      "before": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "competition": "NHL",
        "eventId": "401892468",
        "away": "Anaheim Ducks",
        "home": "Winnipeg Jets",
        "startTime": "8:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Anaheim Ducks +1.5 (-250) / Winnipeg Jets -1.5 (+205)",
        "ml": "Anaheim Ducks +105 / Winnipeg Jets -125",
        "total": "O 6.5 (-102) / U 6.5 (-118)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Anaheim Ducks 3.0, Winnipeg Jets 3.0; base 3.0 / 3.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/anaheim-ducks-winnipeg-jets-401892468-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892468",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:17.022Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Conditional Morrissey role, already depleted Anaheim reference and almost level means; no live NHL activation or calibrated goalie adjustment.",
        "baseScore": [
          3.176825,
          3.1524349999999997
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          3.176825,
          3.1524349999999997
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-nhl-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
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      "proposed": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NHL",
        "competition": "NHL",
        "eventId": "401892468",
        "away": "Anaheim Ducks",
        "home": "Winnipeg Jets",
        "startTime": "8:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Anaheim Ducks 5, Winnipeg Jets 1",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Anaheim Ducks +1.5 (-250) / Winnipeg Jets -1.5 (+205)",
        "ml": "Anaheim Ducks +105 / Winnipeg Jets -125",
        "total": "O 6.5 (-102) / U 6.5 (-118)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Anaheim Ducks 3.0, Winnipeg Jets 3.0; base 3.0 / 3.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/anaheim-ducks-winnipeg-jets-401892468-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/summary?event=401892468",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:17.022Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Conditional Morrissey role, already depleted Anaheim reference and almost level means; no live NHL activation or calibrated goalie adjustment.",
        "baseScore": [
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          3.1524349999999997
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        "adjustedScore": [
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          3.1524349999999997
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        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-nhl-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
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          3.1524349999999997
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        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null,
        "actual": [
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          1
        ],
        "wagerGrade": "NO GRADE",
        "coverMargin": null,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "nhl_official_results.json",
          "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/schedule/2026-10-09",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:31:41.929Z"
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      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401858487",
      "before": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401858487",
        "away": "Iowa Hawkeyes",
        "home": "Washington Huskies",
        "startTime": "9:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Iowa Hawkeyes +2.5 (-105) / Washington Huskies -2.5 (-115)",
        "ml": "Iowa Hawkeyes +124 / Washington Huskies -148",
        "total": "O 41.5 (-105) / U 41.5 (-115)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Iowa Hawkeyes 24.5, Washington Huskies 23.0; base 24.5 / 23.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/iowa-hawkeyes-washington-huskies-401858487-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401858487",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.897Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Actual unresolved quarterback availability defeats both selections after the authorized scenario and ordinary stress.",
        "baseScore": [
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          22.767500000000002
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          24.695,
          22.767500000000002
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          24.695,
          22.767500000000002
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null
      },
      "proposed": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401858487",
        "away": "Iowa Hawkeyes",
        "home": "Washington Huskies",
        "startTime": "9:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Iowa Hawkeyes 41, Washington Huskies 24",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Iowa Hawkeyes +2.5 (-105) / Washington Huskies -2.5 (-115)",
        "ml": "Iowa Hawkeyes +124 / Washington Huskies -148",
        "total": "O 41.5 (-105) / U 41.5 (-115)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Iowa Hawkeyes 24.5, Washington Huskies 23.0; base 24.5 / 23.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/iowa-hawkeyes-washington-huskies-401858487-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401858487",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.897Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Actual unresolved quarterback availability defeats both selections after the authorized scenario and ordinary stress.",
        "baseScore": [
          24.695,
          22.767500000000002
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          24.695,
          22.767500000000002
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          24.695,
          22.767500000000002
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null,
        "actual": [
          41,
          24
        ],
        "wagerGrade": "NO GRADE",
        "coverMargin": null,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "prior_official_washington.json",
          "url": "https://gohuskies.com/sports/football/schedule/2026",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:36:27.986Z"
        }
      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401860922",
      "before": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401860922",
        "away": "Washington State Cougars",
        "home": "Utah State Aggies",
        "startTime": "9:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Washington State Cougars +5.5 (-112) / Utah State Aggies -5.5 (-108)",
        "ml": "Washington State Cougars +170 / Utah State Aggies -205",
        "total": "O 43.5 (-115) / U 43.5 (-105)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Washington State Cougars 24.0, Utah State Aggies 24.0; base 24.0 / 24.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/washington-state-cougars-utah-state-aggies-401860922-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401860922",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.877Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Side and total each have their own material offensive sensitivity; the over’s mechanical pass is preserved but withheld.",
        "baseScore": [
          23.75,
          23.9375
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          23.75,
          23.9375
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          23.75,
          23.9375
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null
      },
      "proposed": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401860922",
        "away": "Washington State Cougars",
        "home": "Utah State Aggies",
        "startTime": "9:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Washington State Cougars 16, Utah State Aggies 17",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Washington State Cougars +5.5 (-112) / Utah State Aggies -5.5 (-108)",
        "ml": "Washington State Cougars +170 / Utah State Aggies -205",
        "total": "O 43.5 (-115) / U 43.5 (-105)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Washington State Cougars 24.0, Utah State Aggies 24.0; base 24.0 / 24.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/washington-state-cougars-utah-state-aggies-401860922-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401860922",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.877Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Side and total each have their own material offensive sensitivity; the over’s mechanical pass is preserved but withheld.",
        "baseScore": [
          23.75,
          23.9375
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          23.75,
          23.9375
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          23.75,
          23.9375
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null,
        "actual": [
          16,
          17
        ],
        "wagerGrade": "NO GRADE",
        "coverMargin": null,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "wsu_official_results.json",
          "url": "https://wsucougars.com/sports/football/schedule",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:38:29.200Z"
        }
      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401864519",
      "before": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401864519",
        "away": "Wyoming Cowboys",
        "home": "San José State Spartans",
        "startTime": "9:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "Wyoming Cowboys +4.5 (-112)",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Bonus Pick",
        "tier": "Bonus Pick",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Wyoming Cowboys +4.5 (-112) / San José State Spartans -4.5 (-108)",
        "ml": "Wyoming Cowboys +160 / San José State Spartans -192",
        "total": "O 42.5 (-112) / U 42.5 (-108)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Wyoming Cowboys 22.0, San José State Spartans 23.0; base 22.0 / 23.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/wyoming-cowboys-san-jose-state-spartans-401864519-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401864519",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.853Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Eligible OFF side at +4.5; only 0.53 points remain after the mandatory stress, so a worse line or material news can remove qualification.",
        "baseScore": [
          22.043333333333333,
          23.010833333333338
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          22.043333333333333,
          23.010833333333338
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          22.043333333333333,
          23.010833333333338
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": "spread",
        "odds": -112
      },
      "proposed": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401864519",
        "away": "Wyoming Cowboys",
        "home": "San José State Spartans",
        "startTime": "9:00 PM ET",
        "pick": "Wyoming Cowboys +4.5 (-112)",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Bonus Pick",
        "tier": "Bonus Pick",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Wyoming Cowboys 16, San José State Spartans 13",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Wyoming Cowboys +4.5 (-112) / San José State Spartans -4.5 (-108)",
        "ml": "Wyoming Cowboys +160 / San José State Spartans -192",
        "total": "O 42.5 (-112) / U 42.5 (-108)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Wyoming Cowboys 22.0, San José State Spartans 23.0; base 22.0 / 23.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/wyoming-cowboys-san-jose-state-spartans-401864519-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401864519",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.853Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Eligible OFF side at +4.5; only 0.53 points remain after the mandatory stress, so a worse line or material news can remove qualification.",
        "baseScore": [
          22.043333333333333,
          23.010833333333338
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          22.043333333333333,
          23.010833333333338
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          22.043333333333333,
          23.010833333333338
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": "spread",
        "odds": -112,
        "actual": [
          16,
          13
        ],
        "wagerGrade": "WIN",
        "coverMargin": 7.5,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "prior_official_sjsu_recovered.json",
          "url": "https://sjsuspartans.com/sports/football/schedule",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:37:22.139Z"
        }
      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401918300",
      "before": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "WNBA",
        "competition": "WNBA",
        "eventId": "401918300",
        "away": "Golden State Valkyries",
        "home": "Las Vegas Aces",
        "startTime": "9:30 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Golden State Valkyries +3.5 (-105) / Las Vegas Aces -3.5 (-115)",
        "ml": "Golden State Valkyries +150 / Las Vegas Aces -180",
        "total": "O 156.5 (-115) / U 156.5 (-105)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Golden State Valkyries 82.5, Las Vegas Aces 85.0; base 82.5 / 85.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/golden-state-valkyries-las-vegas-aces-401918300-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/wnba/summary?event=401918300",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:17.039Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Current availability can redistribute minutes; completed-season rates do not activate WNBA betting tiers or supply calibrated probabilities.",
        "baseScore": [
          82.48863700000001,
          84.795455
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          82.48863700000001,
          84.795455
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-wnba-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          82.48863700000001,
          84.795455
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null
      },
      "proposed": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "WNBA",
        "competition": "WNBA",
        "eventId": "401918300",
        "away": "Golden State Valkyries",
        "home": "Las Vegas Aces",
        "startTime": "9:30 PM ET",
        "pick": "PASS / Stay Away",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Stay Away",
        "tier": "Stay Away",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Golden State Valkyries 87, Las Vegas Aces 77",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Golden State Valkyries +3.5 (-105) / Las Vegas Aces -3.5 (-115)",
        "ml": "Golden State Valkyries +150 / Las Vegas Aces -180",
        "total": "O 156.5 (-115) / U 156.5 (-105)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Golden State Valkyries 82.5, Las Vegas Aces 85.0; base 82.5 / 85.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/golden-state-valkyries-las-vegas-aces-401918300-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/wnba/summary?event=401918300",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:17.039Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Current availability can redistribute minutes; completed-season rates do not activate WNBA betting tiers or supply calibrated probabilities.",
        "baseScore": [
          82.48863700000001,
          84.795455
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          82.48863700000001,
          84.795455
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-wnba-existing-oct7",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          82.48863700000001,
          84.795455
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": null,
        "odds": null,
        "actual": [
          87,
          77
        ],
        "wagerGrade": "NO GRADE",
        "coverMargin": null,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "wnba_result_lv.json",
          "url": "https://www.wnba.com/game/1042600213",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T05:34:21.315Z"
        }
      },
      "applied": false
    },
    {
      "eventId": "401856826",
      "before": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401856826",
        "away": "Iowa State Cyclones",
        "home": "BYU Cougars",
        "startTime": "10:15 PM ET",
        "pick": "Iowa State Cyclones +10.5 (-112)",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Pick of the Day",
        "tier": "Pick of the Day",
        "status": "pending",
        "final": "Awaiting official final",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Iowa State Cyclones +10.5 (-112) / BYU Cougars -10.5 (-108)",
        "ml": "Iowa State Cyclones +330 / BYU Cougars -425",
        "total": "O 46.5 (-108) / U 46.5 (-112)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Iowa State Cyclones 22.0, BYU Cougars 28.0; base 22.0 / 31.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/iowa-state-cyclones-byu-cougars-401856826-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401856826",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.851Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Eligible OFF side only after the labeled BYU −3 human scenario; replacement efficiency remains unestimated and total stays PASS.",
        "baseScore": [
          21.939358974358978,
          30.76224358974359
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          21.939358974358978,
          27.76224358974359
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          21.939358974358978,
          27.76224358974359
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": "spread",
        "odds": -112
      },
      "proposed": {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "sport": "NCAA-FB",
        "competition": "NCAA-FB",
        "eventId": "401856826",
        "away": "Iowa State Cyclones",
        "home": "BYU Cougars",
        "startTime": "10:15 PM ET",
        "pick": "Iowa State Cyclones +10.5 (-112)",
        "confidence": null,
        "confidenceMeaning": "Unavailable / Not calibrated; no assigned stake.",
        "category": "Pick of the Day",
        "tier": "Pick of the Day",
        "status": "final",
        "final": "Iowa State Cyclones 10, BYU Cougars 24",
        "units": 0,
        "spread": "Iowa State Cyclones +10.5 (-112) / BYU Cougars -10.5 (-108)",
        "ml": "Iowa State Cyclones +330 / BYU Cougars -425",
        "total": "O 46.5 (-108) / U 46.5 (-112)",
        "workingScore": "Tighten Up OFF Iowa State Cyclones 22.0, BYU Cougars 28.0; base 22.0 / 31.0.",
        "story": "/stories/2026/10/09/iowa-state-cyclones-byu-cougars-401856826-october-9-2026.html",
        "marketSource": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/summary?event=401856826",
        "marketRetrieved": "2026-10-09T12:39:16.851Z",
        "marketConf": {
          "provider": "DraftKings"
        },
        "notes": "Eligible OFF side only after the labeled BYU −3 human scenario; replacement efficiency remains unestimated and total stays PASS.",
        "baseScore": [
          21.939358974358978,
          30.76224358974359
        ],
        "adjustedScore": [
          21.939358974358978,
          27.76224358974359
        ],
        "adjustedDecision": "PASS",
        "baseDecision": "PASS",
        "model": "Tighten Up Conservative OFF",
        "modelId": "tighten-up-off-existing-oct7",
        "engineId": "tighten-up-ncaaf-mismatch-v1",
        "forecastFrozen": "2026-10-09T12:20:41.893781+00:00",
        "forecastScores": [
          21.939358974358978,
          27.76224358974359
        ],
        "selectedMarketKind": "spread",
        "odds": -112,
        "actual": [
          10,
          24
        ],
        "wagerGrade": "LOSS",
        "coverMargin": -3.5,
        "stake": null,
        "cashProfit": null,
        "unitsNote": "Inherited zero is a display placeholder; no stake or cash profit was recorded for this OFF edition.",
        "resultSource": {
          "file": "other-sports/byu-schedule.source.html",
          "url": "https://byucougars.com/sports/football/schedule/season/2026",
          "retrieved": "2026-10-10T10:08:50.626167+00:00"
        }
      },
      "applied": false
    }
  ],
  "summary": {
    "publishedSelections": 3,
    "wins": 1,
    "losses": 2,
    "passes": 12,
    "stake": null,
    "cashProfit": null
  },
  "preservation": "All original selections, odds, categories, confidence, frozen scores and sources retained in before. No retrospective conversion of Primary PASS or comparison-only findings."
}